| Literature DB >> 31281280 |
César Méndez1, Bruno Gonçalves2, Joao Santos3, J N Ribeiro3, Bruno Travassos3.
Abstract
This study aimed to (i) explore the discriminatory power of the task-related variables and the context in establishing differences in the elite futsal leagues of Portugal, Spain, and Russia and (ii) understand how these variables vary according to the match outcome. Methodological issues concerning efficiency (goals and shots), offensive organisation (positional attack, counterattack, set pieces, or 5vs4+Goalkeeper), 1st goal scored during matches (home or away team), match type (balanced or unbalanced), and match outcome (winner, loser, or drawer) were discussed. Archival data were obtained from the 2017-2018 season of Portuguese, Spanish, and Russian professional futsal leagues for all play-off matches. Crosstabs analysis was conducted to establish the significance relationship between the elite futsal leagues and the situational variables. Afterward, discriminant analysis was used to identify the task-related variables that maximise mean differences between different league teams for defining offensive profile, and the variations found when the condition of the winner, loser, or drawer is taken into account. The results allowed to understand that the Portuguese and Russian teams used the positional attacks more, and less the counterattacks and set pieces than the Spaniards, who present a more balanced offensive profile. Overall, winners were better discriminated by goals scored, whereas 5vs4+Goalkeeper strategy discriminated loser teams. Coaches should be aware of these different offensive profiles in order to increase control over the match planning and decrease predictability against opposing teams.Entities:
Keywords: discriminant analysis; match outcome; performance analysis; situational variables; task-related variables
Year: 2019 PMID: 31281280 PMCID: PMC6596354 DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2019.01370
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Psychol ISSN: 1664-1078
Distribution of descriptive statistics from the studied variables.
| Variables | Portugal | Spain | Russia | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | ||||||||||
| Task related | ||||||||||||
| Efficiency | ||||||||||||
| Goals | – | 88 | 2.9 | 1.8 | – | 102 | 2.8 | 1.3 | – | 140 | 3.0 | 1.9 |
| Shots | – | 1,161 | 38.7 | 14.8 | – | 1,243 | 34.5 | 8.8 | – | 2,127 | 46.2 | 8.9 |
| Offensive organisation | ||||||||||||
| Counterattack | 5.9 | 199 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 10.2 | 384 | 10.6 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 406 | 8.8 | 3.7 |
| Positional attack | 71.5 | 2,402 | 80.0 | 15.2 | 57.4 | 2,170 | 60.2 | 12.5 | 70.5 | 4,750 | 103.2 | 12.7 |
| Set pieces | 17.5 | 588 | 19.6 | 8.7 | 27.7 | 1,051 | 29.1 | 10.5 | 18.4 | 1,241 | 26.9 | 6.5 |
| 5vs4+Gk | 5.1 | 170 | 5.6 | 6.4 | 4.7 | 178 | 4.9 | 6.6 | 5.1 | 339 | 7.3 | 9.2 |
| Situational | ||||||||||||
| 1st goal | ||||||||||||
| Home team | 53.3 | 16 | – | – | 55.6 | 20 | – | – | 65.2 | 30 | – | – |
| Away team | 46.7 | 14 | – | – | 44.4 | 16 | – | – | 34.8 | 16 | – | – |
| Match outcome | ||||||||||||
| Winner | 50.0 | 15 | – | – | 44.4 | 16 | – | – | 47.8 | 22 | – | – |
| Loser | 50.0 | 15 | – | – | 44.4 | 16 | – | – | 47.8 | 22 | – | – |
| Drawer | – | – | – | – | 11.1 | 4 | – | – | 4.3 | 2 | – | – |
| Match type | ||||||||||||
| Balanced | 73.3 | 22 | – | – | 77.8 | 28 | – | – | 56.5 | 26 | – | – |
| Unbalanced | 26.7 | 8 | – | – | 22.2 | 8 | – | – | 43.5 | 20 | – | – |
Dependence relationship between the 1st goal scored and the European leagues.
| 1st goal scored | Portugal | Spain | Russia | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home team | Count | 16 | 20 | 30 | 66 |
| % within league | 53.3% | 55.6% | 65.2% | 58.9% | |
| Corrected residue | −0.7 | −0.5 | 1.1 | – | |
| Away team | Count | 14 | 16 | 16 | 46 |
| % within league | 46.7% | 44.4% | 34.8% | 41.1% | |
| Corrected residue | 0.7 | 0.5 | −1.1 | – | |
| Total | Count | 30 | 36 | 46 | 112 |
| % within league | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | |
| 1.309 | 2 | 0.520 | 12.32 | 0.10 | |
Dependence relationship between the match type and the European leagues.
| Match type | Portugal | Spain | Russia | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced | Count | 22 | 28 | 26 | 76 |
| % within league | 73.3% | 78.8% | 56.5% | 67.9% | |
| Corrected residue | 0.8 | 1.5 | −2.1 | – | |
| Unbalanced | Count | 8 | 8 | 20 | 36 |
| % within league | 26.7% | 22.2% | 43.5% | 32.1% | |
| Corrected residue | −0.8 | −1.5 | 2.1 | – | |
| Total | Count | 30 | 36 | 46 | 112 |
| % within league | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | |
| 4.447 | 2 | 0.093 | 9.64 | 0.20 | |
Dependence relationship between the winner–nonwinner condition and the 1st goal scored.
| Match outcome | 1st goal scored | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home team | Away team | ||||
| Winner | Count | 33 | 20 | 53 | |
| % within 1st goal | 50.0% | 43.5% | 47.3% | ||
| Corrected residue | 0.7 | −0.7 | – | ||
| Loser | Count | 33 | 20 | 53 | |
| % within 1st goal | 50.0% | 43.5% | 47.3% | ||
| Corrected residue | 0.7 | −0.7 | – | ||
| Drawer | Count | 0 | 6 | 6 | |
| % within 1st goal | 0.0% | 13.0% | 5.4% | ||
| Corrected residue | 0.0 | 3.0 | – | ||
| Total | Count | 66 | 46 | 112 | |
| % within 1st goal | 100.0% | 100.0% | 100.0% | ||
| Portugal | 0.000 | 1 | 1.0 | 7 | 0.00 |
| Spain | 5.625 | 2 | 0.060 | 1.78 | 0.39 |
| Russia | 3.920 | 2 | 0.141 | 0.70 | 0.29 |
FIGURE 1Influence of the first goal scored in the winner–nonwinner condition in the Portuguese (left), Spanish (middle), and Russian (right) leagues.
ANOVA preliminary test with F statistics that contrasts the equality of means hypothesis among the groups in each independent variable.
| Variables | Wilks’ Lambda | df1 | df2 | Sig. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.997 | 0.145 | 2 | 109 | 0.865 |
| Shots | 0.816 | 12.324 | 2 | 109 | 0.000∗ |
| Positional Attack | 0.341 | 105.266 | 2 | 109 | 0.000∗ |
| Counterattack | 0.862 | 8.753 | 2 | 109 | 0.000∗ |
| Set Pieces | 0.831 | 11.059 | 2 | 109 | 0.000∗ |
| 5vs4+Gk | 0.981 | 1.050 | 2 | 109 | 0.353 |
Summary of discriminant functions.
| Variables | Eigenvalues and | Group centroids | Standardised coefficients | SCs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Function | Function | Function | Function | |||||
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| Portugal | – | – | 0.438 | – 1.061 | – | – | – | – |
| Spain | – | – | –2.654 | 0.269 | – | – | – | – |
| Russia | – | – | 1.791 | .481 | – | – | – | – |
| Positional Attack | – | – | – | – | 1.390 | 0.627 | 0.511 | |
| Goals | – | – | – | – | –0.207 | 0.062 | 0.026∗ | 0.018 |
| Set Pieces | – | – | – | – | –0.340 | 1.262 | −0.088 | 0. |
| Counterattack | – | – | – | – | –0.608 | 0.495 | −0.129 | 0. |
| Shots | – | – | – | – | –0.271 | −1.218 | 0.231 | 0.248∗ |
| 5vs4+Gk | – | – | – | – | 0.164 | 0.479 | 0.066 | 0.084∗ |
| Eigenvalue | 3.733 | 0.432 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| % of Variance | 89.6% | 10.4% | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Canonical correlation | 0.888 | 0.549 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| Wilks’ Lambda | 0.148 | 0.698 | – | – | – | – | ||
| Chi-Square | 201.870 | 37.867 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 16 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Significance | 0.000 | 0.000 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
FIGURE 2Territorial map of the discriminant functions for the Portuguese, Spanish, and Russian leagues.
ANOVA preliminary test with F statistics that contrasts the equality of means hypothesis among the groups in each independent variable.
| League | Variables | Wilks’ Lambda | df1 | df2 | Sig. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal | Goals | 0.549 | 22.967 | 1 | 28 | 0.000∗ |
| Shots | 0.661 | 14.345 | 1 | 28 | 0.001∗ | |
| Positional attack | 0.988 | 0.350 | 1 | 28 | 0.559 | |
| Counterattack | 0.959 | 1.199 | 1 | 28 | 0.283 | |
| Set Pieces | 0.747 | 9.503 | 1 | 28 | 0.005∗ | |
| 5vs4+Gk | 0.300 | 65.401 | 1 | 28 | 0.000∗ | |
| Spain | Goals | 0.442 | 20.791 | 2 | 33 | 0.000∗ |
| Shots | 0.898 | 1.867 | 2 | 33 | 0.171 | |
| Positional attack | 0.782 | 4.608 | 2 | 33 | 0.017∗∗ | |
| Counterattack | 0.962 | 0.644 | 2 | 33 | 0.531 | |
| Set Pieces | 0.856 | 2.774 | 2 | 33 | 0.077 | |
| 5vs4+Gk | 0.374 | 27.622 | 2 | 33 | 0.000∗ | |
| Russia | Goals | 0.560 | 16.926 | 2 | 43 | 0.000∗ |
| Shots | 0.964 | 0.797 | 2 | 43 | 0.457 | |
| Positional attack | 0.813 | 4.959 | 2 | 43 | 0.012∗∗ | |
| Counterattack | 0.950 | 1.136 | 2 | 43 | 0.331 | |
| Set Pieces | 0.984 | 0.343 | 2 | 43 | 0.712 | |
| 5vs4+Gk | 0.422 | 29.431 | 2 | 43 | 0.000∗ |
Summary of discriminant functions.
| League | Variables | Eigenvalues and | Group centroids | Standardised coefficients | SCs | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Function | Function | Function | Function | ||||||
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | ||
| Portugal | Winner | – | – | 1.918 | – | – | – | – | – |
| Loser | – | – | −1.918 | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Drawer | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 5vs4+Gk | – | – | – | – | −0.617 | – | − | – | |
| Goals | – | – | – | – | 0.350 | – | – | ||
| Shots | – | – | – | – | −2.150 | – | – | ||
| Set Pieces | – | – | – | – | 0.810 | – | 0.293 | – | |
| Counterattack | – | – | – | – | 0.366 | – | 0.104 | – | |
| Positional attack | – | – | – | – | 0.608 | – | 0.056 | – | |
| Eigenvalue | 3.941 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| % of Variance | 100% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Canonical correlat. | 0.893 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wilks’ Lambda | 0.202 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Chi-Square | 38.343 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 8 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Significance | 0.000 | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Spain | Winner | – | – | 2.258 | 0.283 | – | – | – | – |
| Loser | – | – | −2.141 | 0.462 | – | – | – | – | |
| Drawer | – | – | −0.469 | −2.980 | – | – | – | – | |
| 5vs4+GK | – | – | – | – | −0.439 | 0.193 | − | 0.367 | |
| Goals | – | – | – | – | 0.816 | 0.330 | 0.225 | ||
| Counterattack | – | – | – | – | 0.549 | 0.644 | 0.086∗ | −0.056 | |
| Positional attack | – | – | – | – | 1.277 | −0.545 | 0.048 | − | |
| Set Pieces | – | – | – | – | 1.480 | −0.419 | −0.037 | − | |
| Shots | – | – | – | – | −3.530 | −1.469 | 0.071 | −0.271∗ | |
| Eigenvalue | 4.720 | 1.219 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| % of Variance | 79.5% | 20.5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Canonical correlat. | 0.908 | 0.741 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wilks’ Lambda | 0.79 | 0.451 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Chi-Square | 74.958 | 23.508 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 16 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Significance | 0.000 | 0.001 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Russia | Winner | – | – | 1.619 | 0.102 | – | – | – | – |
| Loser | – | – | −1.631 | 0.086 | – | – | – | – | |
| Drawer | – | – | 0.134 | −2.062 | – | – | – | – | |
| 5vs4+Gk | – | – | – | – | −0.671 | 0.583 | − | 0.258 | |
| Goals | – | – | – | – | 0.551 | −0.036 | −0.270 | ||
| Counterattack | – | – | – | – | 0.186 | 0.532 | 0.139∗ | 0.052 | |
| Positional attack | – | – | – | – | −0.098 | −0.150 | −0.188 | − | |
| Shots | – | – | – | – | −0.583 | −2.378 | 0.073 | − | |
| Set Pieces | – | – | – | – | −0.076 | 0.554 | 0.031 | −0.254∗ | |
| Eigenvalue | 2.703 | 0.207 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| % of Variance | 92.9% | 7.1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Canonical correlat. | 0.854 | 0.414 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Wilks’ Lambda | 0.224 | 0.829 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| Chi-Square | 59.140 | 7.425 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
| 16 | 7 | – | – | – | – | – | – | ||
| Significance | 0.000 | 0.386 | – | – | – | – | – | – | |
FIGURE 3Territorial map of the discriminant functions according to match outcome for the Spanish and Russian leagues.