| Literature DB >> 31269915 |
Urzula Nora Urbane1, Dita Gaidule-Logina2, Dace Gardovska3, Jana Pavare3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Serious bacterial infections (SBI) are a significant cause of mortality worldwide. Parental concern and clinician's gut feeling that there is something wrong has been associated with increased likelihood of developing SBI in primary care studies. The aim of this study is to assess the diagnostic value of parental concern and gut feeling at the emergency department of a tertiary hospital.Entities:
Keywords: Children; Fever; Paediatric emergency department; Serious bacterial infections
Year: 2019 PMID: 31269915 PMCID: PMC6607523 DOI: 10.1186/s12887-019-1591-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Pediatr ISSN: 1471-2431 Impact factor: 2.125
Final diagnoses of the patients enrolled in the study
| Absolute number | Percentage | |
|---|---|---|
| Serious bacterial infection present | 46 | 28.4% |
| Urinary tract infection | 7 | 4.3% |
| Sepsis / bacteraemia | 3 | 1.9% |
| Pneumonia | 28 | 17.3% |
| Acute osteomyelitis with bacteraemia | 1 | 0.6% |
| Bacterial meningitis with bacteraemia | 1 | 0.6% |
| Bacterial gastroenteritis | 3 | 1.9% |
| Acute appendicitis | 2 | 1.2% |
| Bacterial soft tissue infection (phlegmon) | 1 | 0.6% |
| Serious bacterial infection absent | 116 | 71.6% |
| Upper respiratory tract infections (adenovirus, bocavirus, RSV or unspecified) | 28 | 17.3% |
| Influenza | 13 | 8.0% |
| Croup | 2 | 1.2% |
| Acute otitis media | 3 | 1.9% |
| Scarlet fever | 3 | 1.9% |
| Pharyngitis, tonsillitis | 27 | 16.7% |
| Viral gastroenteritis | 8 | 4.9% |
| Viral lower respiratory tract infections | 9 | 5.6% |
| Aseptic meningitis | 2 | 1.2% |
| Viral syndrome | 14 | 8.6% |
| No definite diagnosis | 7 | 4.3% |
Diagnostic value of “gut feeling” and parental concern for the presence of SBI
| SBI present | SBI absent | Sensitivity, % | Specificity, % | Predictive value, % | Positive and negative likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Chi-Square ( | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| positive | negative | LR+ | LR- | ||||||
| “Gut feeling” of all clinicians | |||||||||
| Present | 23 | 19 | 50.0 | 83.6 | 54.8 | 80.8 | 3.1 (1.9–5.1) | 0.6 (0.4–0.8) | 19.4 (0.000) |
| Absent | 23 | 97 | |||||||
| “Gut feeling” of certified paediatricians | |||||||||
| Present | 9 | 5 | 39.1 | 91.9 | 64.3 | 80.3 | 4.9 (1.8–13.0) | 0.7 (0.5–0.9) | (0.002)a |
| Absent | 14 | 57 | |||||||
| “Gut feeling” of paediatric residents | |||||||||
| Present | 14 | 14 | 60.9 | 74.0 | 50.0 | 81.6 | 2.4 (1.3–4.1) | 0.5 (0.3–0.9) | 8.5 (0.004) |
| Absent | 9 | 40 | |||||||
| Parental concern (“different illness”) | |||||||||
| Present | 38 | 67 | 82.6 | 41.2 | 36.1 | 85.4 | 1.4 (1.1–1.7) | 0.4 (0.2–0.8) | 8.2 (0.004) |
| Absent | 8 | 47 | |||||||
aFisher’s exact test was applied when the number of subjects in one of the cells in the 2 × 2 contingency table was less than 5
Diagnostic value of sense of reassurance for the absence of SBI
| SBI absent | SBI present | Sensitivity, % | Specificity, % | Predictive value, % | Positive and negative likelihood ratio (95% CI) | Chi-Square ( | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| positive | negative | LR+ | LR- | ||||||
| Sense of reassurancea in all clinicians | |||||||||
| Present | 44 | 2 | 38.3 | 95.7 | 95.7 | 38.2 | 8.8 (2.2–34.8) | 0.7 (0.6–0.8) | 18.5 (0.000) |
| Absent | 71 | 44 | |||||||
| Sense of reassurancea in certified paediatricians | |||||||||
| Present | 25 | 1 | 40.3 | 95.7 | 96.2 | 37.3 | 9.3 (1.3–64.6) | 0.6 (0.5–0.8) | 10.2 (0.001) |
| Absent | 37 | 22 | |||||||
| Sense of reassurancea in paediatric residents | |||||||||
| Present | 19 | 1 | 35.9 | 95.7 | 95.0 | 39.9 | 8.25 (1.2–58.0) | 0.7 (0.5–0.8) | 8.2 (0.04) |
| Absent | 34 | 22 | |||||||
aSense of reassurance (expectation of absence of SBI) in case of absent SBI was considered as true positive