| Literature DB >> 31263271 |
Lu Zhou1,2,3, Tao Liang1, Lei Shi4.
Abstract
The analysis of the biogeographic distribution of species is the basis for establishing a strategy for land management and responding to climatic change, but research on the distribution of amphibians and reptiles in the arid land in the middle of Asia is extremely limited. After classifying the chorotypes of amphibians and reptiles in the arid land of Central Asia using a clustering analysis, we delineated their distribution characteristics and discovered the ecological determinants for the chorotypes in terms of feature selection and the Akaike information criterion (AIC). We identified 6 chorotypes at the higher level and 16 sub-chorotypes at the lower level. Compared to small-scale or subjective research, which produces unstable results, research characterized by both large scale and clustering methods yields more consistent and stable results. Our results show that the Mean Altitude (MA), Mean Annual Temperature (MAT), and Mean Temperature in the Wettest Quarter (MTWE) are the critical variables determining the higher-level chorotypes. Furthermore, geographical factors appear to have a stronger influence on chorotypes than climatic factors. Several climatic variables and MA were identified as the best fit in the AIC model at the lower level, while the sub-chorotypes are determined more by multiple climatic factors with complex relationships. The research on amphibian and reptilian distribution patterns will shed light on the overall distribution of other species in the same understudied area. Widespread species in the study area are not clearly distinguished due to the cluster analysis computing process. This problem however, appears in studies of the distribution of other organisms thus warrants further research. Our methodology based on the selection of multiple models is effective to explore how the environment determines the distributions of different animal groups.Entities:
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Year: 2019 PMID: 31263271 PMCID: PMC6603035 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-45912-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Figure 1Location of the research area of amphibians and reptiles in the arid land of Central Asia (the area surrounded by the black line). The map and the inset satellite imagery are in geographic coordinate system GCS_WGS_1984 and were built using Esri ArcGIS 10.3 (www.esri.com). Map data: Google, ORION-ME, SK telecom, ZENRIN.
Figure 2The 76 Geographical Units in the arid land of Central Asia for amphibians and reptiles. The map is in geographic coordinate system GCS_WGS_1984 and was built using Esri ArcGIS 10.3 (www.esri.com). Note: X1, Upper Erqis River Mountain; X2, Upper Ulungur River Mountain; X3, Sawuer Mountain; X4, Tarbagatai Mountain; X5, Barluk‒Mayier Mountain; X6, Emin Basin; X7, Ili Valley; X8, Tukai Desert; X9, Narat Mountain; X10, Poluokenu‒Saaerming Mountain; X11, Bogdo Mountain; X12, Lower Erqis Eiver Desert; X13, Northern Ulungur River Gobi; X14, Karamaili Gobi; X15, Karamay Desert; X16, Gurbantunggut Desert; X17, Abby Desert; X18, Wusu‒Qitai Desert; X19, Mori‒Barkol Hills; X20, Karlik Mountain; X21, Baitak Mountain; X22, Nuomin Gobi; X23, Jarquetawu‒Horace mountain; X24, Yuerdosi Grassland; X25, Baicheng Basin; X26, Yanqi Basin; X27, Turpan Basin; X28, Hami Basin; X29, Gaxun Gobi; X30, Upper Tarim River; X31, Middle Tarim River; X32, Taklimakan Desert; X33, Lopnor Lowland; X34, Pishan‒Minfeng; X35, Cherchen River; X36, Xinjiang Pamir; X37, Kunlun Mountain; X38, Altun Mountain; N6, Alashan Desert; N7, Egina Gobi; G5, Hexi corridor; Q1, Qaidam Basin; Q2, Northern Qinghai Lake Mountain; Q3, Qinghai Qilian Mountain; Q6, Tangula‒Hoh Xil; Z1, Tibet Qiangtang; Z2, Ngari; Z3, Brahmaputra Vally; E1, Russia Sayan; E2, Angara River; E3, Baikal Lake; M1, Hövsgöl Mountain; M2, Hentii Mountain; M3, Hangai Mountain; M4, Mongolia Daguur Steppe; M5, Northwest Mongolia Altai Mountain; M6, South Mongolia Altai Mountain; M9, Great Lakes depression; M10, Valley of the Lakes; M13, Gobi Altai Mountain; M15, Trans Mongol Altai Gobi Desert; M16, Mongolia Alashan Gobi Desert; T1, Tajik Southwest Desert; T2, Tajik Northern desert; T3, Tajik West TianShan; T4, Tajik Middle Mountains; T5, Tajikistan Pamir; H1, Kazakhstan Altai Mountain; H2, Kazakhstan Hills; H3, Balkhash Desert; K1, Kirgiz Northern desert; K2, Kirgiz Southwest Desert; K3, Kirgiz Tianshan; Tu, Turkmenistan; Uz, Uzbekistan.
Figure 3The clustering dendrogram of species in higher level (a) and lower level (b) chorotypes of amphibians and reptiles in the arid land of Central Asia. Different colours indicate different branches (a) and twigs (b).
Figure 4Distribution diagram of the 5 chorotypes of amphibians and reptiles in the arid land of Central Asia. The maps are in geographic coordinate system GCS_WGS_1984 and were built using Esri ArcGIS 10.3 (www.esri.com). The 5 branches were defined as 5 chorotypes whose distributions are shown: (a) is for Chorotype I, the chorotype of the Tianshan Mountains; (b) is for Chorotype II, the chorotype of Euro-Siberia; (c) is for Chorotype III, the chorotype of Mongolia-Xinjiang; (d) is for Chorotype IV, the chorotype of Turan; (e) is for Chorotype V, the chorotype of the Tibetan Plateau. The hatchings indicate the number of species. The map is in Lambert conformal conic projection. The codes of the units are same as those in Fig. 2.
Not highly correlated (|r| < 0.7) variables.
| Variables | MA | MAT | MTWE | AP | PDM | AET | PET | WFDF | WWDF | AVHRRPF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA | 1 | |||||||||
| MAT | −0.657** | 1 | ||||||||
| MTWE | −0.573** | 0.504** | 1 | |||||||
| AP | 0.093 | −0.351** | −0.645** | 1 | ||||||
| PDM | −0.214 | −0.199 | −0.252* | 0.629** | 1 | |||||
| AET | 0.069 | −0.373** | −0.436** | 0.699** | 0.549** | 1 | ||||
| PET | 0.410** | 0.284* | −0.307** | 0.030 | −0.279* | −0.135 | 1 | |||
| WFDF | 0.383** | −0.196 | −0.645** | 0.472** | 0.349** | 0.421** | 0.378** | 1 | ||
| WWDF | 0.428** | −0.692** | −0.290* | 0.365** | 0.172 | 0.695** | −0.211 | 0.269* | 1 | |
| AVHRRPF | 0.173 | 0.297** | 0.246* | −0.539** | −0.449** | −0.554** | 0.254* | −0.209 | −0.378** | 1 |
“*” Indicates p < 0.05, “**” indicates p < 0.01. Definition of abbreviations: MA, Mean Altitude; MAT, Mean Annual Temperature; MTWE, Mean Temperature of the Wettest Quarter; AP, Mean Annual Precipitation; PDM, Mean Precipitation of the Driest Month; AET, Mean Annual Actual Evapotranspiration; PET, Mean Annual Potential Evapotranspiration; WFDF, Mean Frost Day Frequency of the Warmest Month; WWDF, Mean Wet Day Frequency of the Warmest Month; AVHRRPF, the Advanced Very High Resclaglon Radiometer data.
Figure 5Feature selection results in higher level (a) and lower level (b) chorotypes of amphibians and reptiles in the arid land of Central Asia. Green colour means significantly important, yellow colour means unimportant and being excluded. The definition of abbreviations are same as those in Table 2.
Best linear regression model for environmental factors in lower level chorotypes.
| Variables | Best model | Variable importance | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA | + | 0.999 | 0.525 |
| MAT | + | 0.992 | 0.484 |
| MTWE | + | 0.827 | 0.330 |
| AP | − | 0.161 | 0.334 |
| AET | − | 0.160 | 0.289 |
| PDM | − | 0.145 | 0.266 |
| AVHRRPF | − | 0.016 | 0.198 |
| WFDF | − | 0.015 | 0.337 |
| WWDF | − | 0.015 | 0.378 |
| AICc | 119.581 | − | − |
| Akaike weight | 0.658 | − | − |
| R2 model | 0.858 | − | − |
“+” Indicates variables included in the best model (ΔAICc ≤ 2); variable importance is the relative importance of each variable calculated by the sum of the Akaike weight of models including them; R2 is the deviance explained by each factor in single-predictor models; AICc is Akaike’s information criterion corrected for a small sample size; and the Akaike weight is the probability of one model being favoured over alternative models; the R2 model is the deviance explained by the best fit model. The definition of the abbreviations are same as those in Table 1.
Best linear regression model for environmental factors in lower level chorotypes.
| Variables | Best model | Variable importance | R2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PET | + | 0.991 | 0.622 |
| WWDF | + | 0.875 | 0.622 |
| MA | + | 0.887 | 0.578 |
| AP | + | 0.926 | 0.551 |
| AET | + | 0.950 | 0.502 |
| WFDF | − | 0.025 | 0.542 |
| MAT | − | 0.205 | 0.540 |
| AVHRRPF | − | 0.133 | 0.424 |
| MTWE | − | 0.007 | 0.474 |
| AICc | −1320.380 | − | − |
| Akaike weight | 0.769 | − | − |
| R2 model | 0.976 | − | − |
“+” Indicates variables included in the best model (ΔAICc ≤ 2); variable importance is the relative importance of each variable calculated by the sum of the Akaike weight of models including them; R2 is the deviance explained by each factor in single-predictor models; AICc is Akaike’s information criterion corrected for a small sample size; and the Akaike weight is the probability of one model being favoured over alternative models; the R2 model is the deviance explained by the best fit model. The definition of the abbreviations are same as those in Table 1.