| Literature DB >> 31242882 |
Yukio Iwamoto1, Simone Kaucher1, Eva Lorenz2,3, Till Bärnighausen1, Volker Winkler4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Triggered by the successive implementation of organized mammography screening programs (MSPs) throughout western European countries over the last decades, there is an ongoing debate questioning their effectiveness. Since it is difficult to assess the effect of MSPs on a population level, we rather aim to assess the impact of the implementation itself on breast cancer mortality rates utilizing an ecological study design.Entities:
Keywords: Breast cancer; Europe; Mammography screening; Mortality
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31242882 PMCID: PMC6595700 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-7166-6
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Public Health ISSN: 1471-2458 Impact factor: 3.295
MSPs in western European countries with more than 4.5 million inhabitants [7, 8, 10–15]
| Country | Implementation Perioda | Age range of women eligible for screening | Participation rate | Years for analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austriab | 2014 | 50–69 | – | 2004–2017 |
| Belgiumc | 2001 | 50–69 | 2005: 38% [ | 1991–2015 |
| Denmarkd | 2007–2010 | 50–69 | 2010: 73% [ | 1997–2015 |
| Finlande | 1987 | 50–69 | 2010: 85% [ | 1980–2015 |
| Francef | 1989–2004 | 50–74 | 2010: 52% [ | 1980–2015 |
| Germany | 2005–2009 | 50–69 | 2014: 54% [ | 1995–2015 |
| Italy | 2002–2007 | 50–69 | 2010: 61% [ | 1992–2015 |
| Netherlandsg | 1988–1997 | 50–75 | 2010: 81% [ | 1980–2016 |
| Norway | 1996–2004 | 50–69 | 2010: 76% [ | 1986–2016 |
| Portugalh | 1990–1999 | 45–69 | 2010: 63/58% [ | 1989–2016 |
| Spaini | 1990–2003 | 50–69 | 2015: 75% [ | 1980–2016 |
| Swedenj | 1986–1996 | 40–74 | 2010: 70% [ | 1980–2016 |
| Switzerlandk | 1999–2004 | 50–70 | 2012: 46% [ | 1989–2015 |
| United Kingdoml | 1988–1995 | 50–70 | 2010: 73% [ | 1980–2015 |
aThe implementation period is defined as the year when the roll-out of a national MSP began until the year in which a 100% geographical national coverage was achieved. The degree of completeness, measurable e.g. by % coverage by invitation, as well as pace and strategy of roll-out varies between countries
bIn Austria, an opportunistic screening without an invitation mechanism or dedicated mammography screening centers was introduced in 1974, but an organized MSP was only introduced in 2014
cIn Belgium, the participation rate for 2005 is just for the province Flanders
dIn Denmark, a population-based screening program started in 1991 in Copenhagen and in 1993 in the region of Funen. In 2007, nationwide MSP was rolled out
eIn Finland, in some regions, the upper limit of invitation is 59, while in others 69
fIn France, partial regional screening was introduced in 1989, followed by a partial national screening covering some parts of France from 1994. The MSP was initially planned for women aged 50–69 and the age-range was then extended to 50–74 [17]
gIn the Netherlands, an MSP for women aged 50–69 was implemented from 1987 to 1997 and extended to age 74 from 1998 to 2001 [18]
hIn Portugal, an MSP was launched in 1990 in the northern Central Region and in 1997 in the southern Alentejo Region. The participation rates are therefore mentioned separately for these regions (63% in Central, 58% in Alentejo)
iIn Spain, the model of MSPs varies throughout the different states regarding screened age groups and initiation years. In most parts of the country, an organized MSP was introduced during 1990–2003 targeting 50–69-year-old women. Some parts start screening already at age 45, other parts stop screening at 65
jIn Sweden, pilot projects started in 1982 and screening was recommended for women aged 50–69. Later the screened age range was extended
kIn Switzerland, the geographical coverage for organized MSPs in 2012 was 37%, and was still at 56% in 2015 [16]. The coverage by invitation within the target population, however, was at 93% (2012) and 99% (2015) with participation rates of 46% (2012) and 41% (2015) respectively
lIn the United Kingdom, the screened age group was 50–64, from 1988 to 2001 [8]
Fig. 1Joinpoint analysis of breast cancer-related mortality rates since 1980 in 14 western European countries
Interrupted time series regression based on combined data from all 14 western European countries
| Age 50–59 | Age 60–69 | Age 70–79 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | ||||
| Constant | −7.266 | < 0.001 | −6.988 | < 0.001 | −6.737 | < 0.001 |
| Calendar year (year-1980) | −0.013 | < 0.001 | − 0.008 | 0.004 | − 0.002 | 0.190 |
| Interaction term (Availability of MSP × Calendar year) | − 0.004 | < 0.001 | − 0.003 | < 0.001 | −0.004 | < 0.001 |
Results of the interrupted time series regression on the association between independent variables calendar year and an interaction term for calendar year and the availability of MSP and breast cancer mortality. The analysis was performed based on combined data from all 14 western European countries considered in this study. Results are presented for the three defined age groups (50–59, 60–69, 70–79) separately.
Multivariable Poisson regression with independent variables: “calendar year”, “year of MSP implementation”, “years with MSP”
| Age 50–59 | Age 60–69 | Age 70–79 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate | 95% CI | Estimate | 95% CI | Estimate | 95% CI | |
| Constant |
| −7.240 − − 7.152 |
| − 6.997 − − 6.904 |
| − 6.715 − − 6.654 |
| Calendar year (year-1980) |
| − 0.016 − − 0.010 |
| − 0.008 − − 0.001 | −0.002 | − 0.005 – 0.001 |
| Year of MSP implementation (year-1980) |
| − 0.008 − − 0.002 |
| − 0.008 − − 0.001 | −0.002 | − 0.006 − 0.001 |
| Years with MSP (0–31) |
| −0.013 − − 0.004 |
| − 0.017 − − 0.007 |
| − 0.014 − − 0.004 |
Results of multivariable Poisson regression of the association between “calendar year”, “year of MSP implementation” and “years with MSP” and breast cancer mortality in three different age groups (50–59, 60–69, 70–79). The analysis was performed based on combined data from all 14 western European countries considered in this study. Effect estimates with p-values< 0.001 are indicated in bold.