Literature DB >> 31217282

Impact of tax increases on illicit cigarette trade in Mongolia.

Hana Ross1, Nicole Vellios2, Tsetsegsaikhan Batmunkh3, Myadagmaa Enkhtsogt3, Laura Rossouw1.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: The Mongolian government increased import tobacco tax by 30% in May 2017 and excise tobacco tax by 10% in January 2018. To assess the impact of these tax increases on illicit cigarette trade, we estimate illicit trade before and after tax increases.
METHODS: Discarded cigarette packs were collected in the capital city and in two provinces near China, the Russian Federation and Kazakhstan. Tax increases occurred between all three rounds (April 2017, August/September 2017, May/June 2018). Cigarette packs are identified as illicit if there is evidence that tax was not paid. This is deduced from the absence of the Mongolian excise tax stamp, or the absence of traces of a tax stamp (glue residue). Data are weighted to represent the areas sampled.
RESULTS: In round 1, 15.4% (95% CI 14.6% to 16.2%) of the 7494 collected packs were illicit. This estimate decreased to 13.6% (95% CI 12.7% to 14.5%) in round 2 (5852 collected packs) and to 6.3% (95% CI 5.7% to 6.9%) in round 3 (6258 collected packs). Illicit cigarettes originated primarily from the Republic of Korea and Ukraine, but some were manufactured in Mongolia. While the majority of illicit products are supplied by global companies (Korea Tobacco & Ginseng, Imperial Tobacco and Philip Morris Kazakhstan), one local company, Mongol Tobacco SO, is also implicated.
CONCLUSIONS: The share of illicit cigarettes declined between rounds 1 and 2 despite the import tax increase, and this trend continued in round 3 despite the excise tax increase. © Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2020. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.

Entities:  

Keywords:  advocacy; illegal tobacco products; low/middle income country; packaging and labelling; taxation

Year:  2019        PMID: 31217282     DOI: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2018-054904

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Tob Control        ISSN: 0964-4563            Impact factor:   7.552


  3 in total

1.  Illicit Tobacco in Lithuania: A Cross-Sectional Survey.

Authors:  Vaida Liutkutė-Gumarov; Lukas Galkus; Janina Petkevičienė; Mindaugas Štelemėkas; Laura Miščikienė; Aušra Mickevičienė; Justina Vaitkevičiūtė
Journal:  Int J Environ Res Public Health       Date:  2020-10-06       Impact factor: 3.390

2.  Measuring the capacity to combat illicit tobacco trade in 160 countries.

Authors:  Valerie Gilbert Ulep; Monica Paula Lavares; Ariza Francisco
Journal:  Global Health       Date:  2021-11-17       Impact factor: 4.185

3.  Illicit trade in tobacco products: recent trends and coming challenges.

Authors:  Guillermo Paraje; Michal Stoklosa; Evan Blecher
Journal:  Tob Control       Date:  2022-03       Impact factor: 7.552

  3 in total

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