| Literature DB >> 31191770 |
Naoki Morimoto1, Kouichi Miura1, Shunji Watanabe1, Mamiko Tsukui1, Yoshinari Takaoka1, Hiroaki Nomoto1, Kozue Murayama1, Takuya Hirosawa1, Rie Goka1, Naoki Kunitomo2, Hiroyasu Nakamura2, Hideharu Sugimoto2, Norio Isoda1, Hironori Yamamoto1.
Abstract
Objective: The development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is not uncommon in patients who achieve eradication of the hepatitis C virus through direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. The aim of this study was to identify the patients at high risk for novel HCC development after a sustained virologic response (SVR) by DAA treatment. Patients andEntities:
Keywords: Gd-EOB-DTPA; MRI; hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC); hypo-intense nodule; sustained virologic response (SVR)
Year: 2019 PMID: 31191770 PMCID: PMC6545425 DOI: 10.2185/jrm.2993
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Rural Med ISSN: 1880-487X
Characteristics of patients as related to HCC occurrence
| Overall | HCC occurrence – | HCC occurrence + | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex (Male/Female) | 286/232 | 273/223 | 12/10 | 1.0 |
| Age (years) | 66 (26–88) | 65.5(26–88) | 72 (59–83) | 0.0008 |
| Diagnosis CH/LC | 383/135 | 369/127 | 14/8 | 0.32 |
| HCV-RNA (LogIU/mL) | 6.2 (2.2–7.3) | 6.2 (2.2–7.3) | 6.1 (4.5–7.0) | 0.77 |
| Genotype 1/2 | 39360/158 | 345/151 | 15/7 | 1.0 |
| AST (U/L) | 43 (11–610) | 42 (11–610) | 63.5 (21–177) | 0.006 |
| ALT (U/L) | 43 (8–749) | 41 (8–749) | 49.5 (21–193) | 0.19 |
| PLT (× 104/µL) | 14.5 (2.9–34.8) | 14.5 (2.9–34.8) | 10.7 (5.7–20.5) | 0.0004 |
| FIB-4 index | 3.25 (0.38–32.0) | 3.18 (0.37–32.0) | 6.01 (2.53–14.4) | 0.00007 |
| Post-AFP (ng/mL) | 3 (1–68) | 3 (1–29) | 5 (2.3–68) | 0.0001 |
| Post-M2BPGi (COI) | 1.16 (0.13–15.3) | 1.14 (0.13–15.3) | 2.29 (0.69–7.95) | 0.0005 |
CH: chronic hepatitis; LC: liver cirrhosis; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; PLT: platelet count; AFP: α-fetoprotein; M2BPGi: Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer.
Results of univariate and multivariate analyses for variables associated with the development of HCC
| n=518 | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | HR (95% CI) | p value | HR (95% CI) | p value | |
| Sex | Female | 1 | |||
| Male | 1.02 (0.44–2.37) | 0.96 | |||
| Age (years) | ≤64 | 1 | |||
| >64 | 5.18 (1.53–17.5) | 0.008 | |||
| CH/LC | CH | 1 | |||
| LC | 1.26 (0.52–3.02) | 0.61 | |||
| HCV-RNA (LogIU/mL) | ≤6.0 | 1 | |||
| >6.0 | 0.64 (0.28–1.49) | 0.31 | |||
| HCV-genotype | 1 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 1.11 (0.42–2.91) | 0.84 | |||
| AST (U/L) | ≤34 | 1 | |||
| >34 | 9.18 (1.23–68.5) | 0.03 | |||
| ALT (U/L) | ≤42 | 1 | |||
| >42 | 3.07 (1.13–8.33) | 0.03 | |||
| PLT (× 104/µL) | ≥12.5 | 1 | |||
| <12.5 | 3.77 (1.47–9.68) | 0.006 | |||
| FIB-4 index | ≤4.0 | 1 | 1 | ||
| >4.0 | 9.00 (2.64–30.4) | 0.0004 | 4.84 (1.26–18.6) | 0.02 | |
| Post-AFP (ng/mL) | ≤4.0 | 1 | 1 | ||
| >4.0 | 4.66 (1.90–11.4) | 0.0008 | 2.91 (1.15–7.38) | 0.02 | |
| Post-M2BPGi (COI) | ≤1.6 | 1 | 1 | ||
| >1.6 | 4.33 (1.76–10.7) | 0.001 | 1.57 (0.58–4.27) | 0.37 | |
CH: chronic hepatitis; LC: liver cirrhosis; AST: aspartate aminotransferase; ALT: alanine aminotransferase; PLT: platelet count; AFP: α-fetoprotein; M2BPGi: Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval.
Predictability of a non-hypervascular hypo-enhanced nodule for subsequent HCC occurrence
| (a) Distribution of cases that underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI. | |||||||
| n=118 | HCC occurrence+ | HCC occurrence− | |||||
| nHHN + on MRI | 12 | 14 | |||||
| nHHN − on MRI | 1 | 91 | |||||
| (b) Distribution of cases that underwent dynamic CT. | |||||||
| n=182 | HCC occurrence+ | HCC occurrence− | |||||
| nHHN + on CT | 4 | 2 | |||||
| nHHN − on CT | 6 | 170 | |||||
| (c) Performance of positive findings by MRI and CT for HCC occurrence. | |||||||
| Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | LR+ | LR− | ||
| nHHN + on MRI | 0.92 | 0.87 | 0.46 | 0.99 | 6.9 | 0.09 | |
| nHHN + on CT | 0.40 | 0.99 | 0.67 | 0.97 | 34 | 0.61 | |
HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; nHHN: non-hypervascular hypo-enhanced nodule; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging; CT: computed tomography; PPV: positive predictive value; NPV: negative predictive value; LR+: positive likelihood ratio; LR–: negative likelihood ratio.
Multivariate analysis of variables associated with the occurrence of HCC in patients who underwent Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI before DAA treatment
| n=118 | Multivariate analysis | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Variable | HR (95% CI) | p value | |
| FIB-4 index | ≤ 4.0 | 1 | |
| > 4.0 | 3.20 (0.34–29.8) | 0.31 | |
| Post-AFP (ng/mL) | ≤ 4.0 | 1 | |
| > 4.0 | 2.32 (0.60–9.01) | 0.22 | |
| Post-M2BPGi (COI) | ≤ 1.6 | 1 | |
| > 1.6 | 0.63 (0.15–2.69) | 0.53 | |
| Non-hypervascular hypo-intense nodule | negative | 1 | |
| positive | 32.4 (3.92–268) | 0.001 | |
AFP: α-fetoprotein; M2BPGi: Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; Gd-EOB-DTPA: gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging; DAA: direct-acting antiviral.
Figure 1Cumulative HCC rates after achieving SVR according to Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI findings showing non-hypervascular hypo-intense nodules (nHHNs) in the hepatobiliary phase. The dashed line indicates HCC incidence in patients with nHHNs, and the solid line indicates HCC incidence in patients without nHHNs. The incidence of HCC is significantly higher in patients with nHHNs than in patients without nHHNs (p<0.0001, log-rank test). HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; SVR: sustained virologic response; Gd-EOB-DTPA: gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging.
Figure 2MRI and CT findings in a patient who developed HCC after SVR. The patient was a 64-year-old male, and the platelet count, FIB-4 index, post-treatment AFP levels, and post-treatment M2BPGi levels were 185,000 /µL, 2.75, 3 ng/mL, and 1.11 COI, respectively. Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI performed before DAA treatment shows a small nodule next to a cyst in the hepatobiliary phase (arrowhead) (b), while it is undetectable in the arterial phase (a).At 1.2 years after achieving SVR, the nodule has enlarged and shows hypervascularity in the arterial phase (c, e), following hypo-enhancement in the hepatobiliary phase (d) or the portal phase (f) (arrows). (c, d: Gd-EOB-DTPA-enhanced MRI; e, f: dynamic CT). CT: computed tomography; MRI: magnetic resonance imaging; HCC: hepatocellular carcinoma; SVR: sustained virologic response; AFP: α-fetoprotein; M2BPGi: Mac-2 binding protein glycosylation isomer; Gd-EOB-DTPA: gadolinium-ethoxybenzyl-diethylenetriamine pentaacetic acid; DAA: direct-acting antiviral.