| Literature DB >> 31170237 |
Funda Tuzun1, Hasan Ozkan1, Merih Cetinkaya2, Ebru Yucesoy3, Ozge Kurum2, Burcu Cebeci2, Ertan Cakmak4, Aydan Ozkutuk4, Pembe Keskinoglu5, Bora Baysal1, Abdullah Kumral1, Nuray Duman1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Currently, there is a lack of clear definition for neonatal sepsis. The Pediatric Committee of the European Medicines Agency (EMA) developed consensus criteria to ensure a standardization for neonatal sepsis definition. However, there is no evidence supporting the accuracy of the EMA sepsis criteria in neonatal sepsis diagnosis. The main objective of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of EMA sepsis criteria for proven neonatal sepsis.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31170237 PMCID: PMC6553766 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0218002
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Flow diagram of the patients.
245 infants were included to the study among 350 potentially eligible infants.
Characteristics of the study population.
| | 38.4 ±1.5 |
| | 20 (8.2%) |
| | 225 (91.8%) |
| | 3336.1 ± 518.1 |
| | 101 (41.2%) |
| | 97 (39.6%) |
| | 8 (7–9) |
| | 9 (9–10) |
| | 1.25 (0.41–2.45) |
| | 195 (79.6%) |
| | 50 (20.4%) |
| | 8.7 ±3.0 |
| | 91 (37.1%) |
| | 4 (1.6%) |
| | 12.7 ±10.8 |
| | 2 (0.8%) |
SD: standard deviation
IQR: inter-quartile range
Diagnostic accuracy measures of the clinical and laboratory findings included in the EMA sepsis criteria at the time of sepsis suspicion.
| n /n’ (%) | OR | p | Sensitivity | Specificity | Accuracy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/30 (76.7) | 4.5 | <0.001 | 20.35 | 94.70 | 60.41 | |
| 4/5 (80.0) | 4.8 | 0.101 | 3.54 | 95.85 | 55.10 | |
| 2/2 (100) | - | 0.212 | 1.77 | 100 | 54.69 | |
| 2/3 (66.7) | 2.4 | 0.596 | 1.77 | 99.24 | 54.29 | |
| 46/91 (50.5) | 1.3 | 0.285 | 40.71 | 65.91 | 54.29 | |
| 46/92 (50.0) | 1.3 | 0.345 | 40.71 | 65.15 | 53.88 | |
| 2/3 (66.7) | 2.3 | 0.596 | 1.77 | 99.24 | 54.29 | |
| 0 (0) | ||||||
| 4/8 (50.0) | 1.2 | 0.823 | 3.54 | 96.97 | 53.88 | |
| 39/80 (48.8) | 1.2 | 0.566 | 34.51 | 68.94 | 53.06 | |
| 47/93 (50.5) | 1.3 | 0.278 | 41.59 | 65.15 | 54.29 | |
| 42/88 (47.7) | 1.1 | 0.706 | 37.17 | 65.15 | 52.24 | |
| 77/168 (45.8) | 1.0 | 0.893 | 68.14 | 31.06 | 48.16 | |
| 91/198 (46.0) | 1.1 | 0.916 | 80.53 | 18.94 | 47.35 | |
| 4/6 (66.7) | 2.4 | 0.419 | 3.54 | 98.48 | 54.69 | |
| 12/27 (44.4) | 1.1 | 0.853 | 10.62 | 88.64 | 52.65 | |
| 9/14 (64.3) | 2.4 | 0.596 | 7.96 | 96.21 | 55. | |
| 19/34 (55.9) | 1.6 | 0.219 | 16.81 | 88.64 | 55.51 | |
| 33/67 (49.3) | 1.2 | 0.546 | 29.20 | 74.24 | 53.47 | |
| 55/117 (47.0) | 1.1 | 0.790 | 48.67 | 53.03 | 51.02 | |
| 8/13 (61.5) | 1.9 | 0.252 | 7.08 | 96.21 | 55.10 | |
| 52/103 (50.5) | 1.4 | 0.243 | 46.02 | 61.36 | 54.29 | |
| 8/17 (47.1) | 1.0 | 0.936 | 7.08 | 93.18 | 53.47 | |
| 2/6 (33.3) | 1.37 | 0.541 | 1.83 | 96.92 | 53.56 | |
| 68/149 (45.6) | 1.0 | 0.99 | 62.39 | 37.69 | 48.95 |
a. Total sample size = 245
b. n represents the frequency of proven sepsis among the cases presenting with certain finding (n’)
c. Core temperature greater than 38,5°C or less than 36°C and/or temperature instability
d. Bradycardia (mean HR less than the 10th percentile for age in the absence of external vagal stimulus, beta blockers or congenital heart disease OR otherwise unexplained persistent depression over a 0.5 h time period) OR tachycardia (mean HR greater than 2 SD above normal for age in the absence of external stimulus, chronic drugs and painful stimuli OR otherwise unexplained persistent elevation over a 0,5 h to 4 h time period) and/or rhythm instability
e. Reduced urinary output (less than 1 mL/kg/h)
f. Hypotension (mean arterial pressure less than the 5th percentile for age)
g. White blood cells (WBC) count: <4000x x109 cells/L or 20000 x109 cells/L
h. Immature to total neutrophil ratio (I/T) greater than 0.2
i. Platelet count <100000 x109 cells/L
j. Glucose intolerance confirmed at least 2 times: hyperglycemia (blood glucose >180 mg/dL or 10 mMol/L) OR hypoglycemia (blood glucose < 45 mg/dL or 2.5 mMol/L) when receiving age specific normal range glucose amounts
Diagnostic accuracy measures of EMA sepsis criteria and its modifications: In total sample and subgroups of EONS and LONS.
| Criteria | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Accuracy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 | 64.4 | 55.6 | 57.4 | 55.1 | ||
| 49.6 | 56.1 | 49.1 | 56.5 | 53.1 | ||
| 34.5 | 73.5 | 52.7 | 56.7 | 55.5 | ||
| 27.4 | 72.7 | 46.3 | 53.9 | 51.8 | ||
| 43.9 | 61.5 | 50.0 | 55.6 | 53.3 | ||
| 49.4 | 54.8 | 48.9 | 55.3 | 52.3 | ||
| 45.4 | 75.0 | 58.8 | 63.6 | 62.0 | ||
| 50.0 | 60.7 | 50.0 | 60.7 | 56.0 |
The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy measures of the criteria for proven sepsis were calculated with standard two-by-two tables through MedCalc statistical software.
EONS: Early onset neonatal sepsis; LONS: Late onset neonatal sepsis
Fig 2Evaluation of diagnostic value of the EMA sepsis criteria using data mining methods.
Area under the curve [AUC], sensitivity, positive predictive value [PPV] scores and ROC curves evaluated by decision tree, support vector machine (SVM), random forest, naive-bayes, neural network, and logistic regression algorithms are shown.