| Literature DB >> 31145759 |
Marina Segura1, Rosa Lopez-Gigosos1,2, Eloisa Mariscal-Lopez2, Mario Gutierrez-Bedmar2, Alberto Mariscal2.
Abstract
Crises and disasters affect the numbers of people traveling either for tourism or other reasons. Many studies have been published on the effects of such events on travel, especially on tourism, and based on the arrivals or departures of travelers to or from countries. Our aim was to assess the influence of these events on the demand for pre-travel medical consultation in an International Vaccination Centre (IVC). Data on 94683 international travelers who visited 113529 international destinations attended at the IVC of Malaga (Spain) during 2000-2017 were studied. A descriptive and time series analyses was conducted. The demand to IVC was 3.47 times higher in 2017 than in 2000. The increase has not been the same for all destinations: Travel to South-East Asia and Western Pacific World Health Organization (WHO) regions has multiplied by 10, while in the same period, Africa WHO region has declined from 36% to 20% of total demand. Thailand, India and Brazil were the countries with the highest demand (21% of all pre-travel consultations). We found out three periods, concurrent with some socioeconomic or health events, in which the number of travellers attend decline with respect to the previous years, or the growth was very slow. Growth in the demand for pre-travel medical advice in parallel with a foreseeable increase in the number of travelers is expected. Pre-travel medical services must be adapted to this increase. This study of the trend of demand for pre-travel medical information should new related problems to travel to be identified and quantified, and should assist improvement of policies and programs aimed at care of travelers.Entities:
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Year: 2019 PMID: 31145759 PMCID: PMC6542509 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0217588
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Travelers attended to and prescribed vaccines at the International Vaccination Centre of Malaga.
| Year | Travelers (N = 94683) | Destinations | Number of doctors in IVCMa | Prescribed vaccines (N = 267766) | Prescribed vaccines per traveler (mean) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 2885 | 2885 | 1 | 5253 | 1.82 |
| 2001 | 2852 | 2852 | 1 | 6111 | 2.14 |
| 2002 | 2549 | 2549 | 1 | 5294 | 2.08 |
| 2003 | 2306 | 2306 | 1 | 4713 | 2.04 |
| 2004 | 2826 | 2826 | 2 | 3790 | 1.34 |
| 2005 | 2956 | 2499 | 2 | 7410 | 2.51 |
| 2006 | 3772 | 3405 | 3 | 8970 | 2.38 |
| 2007 | 4866 | 4874 | 3 | 14384 | 2.96 |
| 2008 | 4593 | 5543 | 3 | 13183 | 2.87 |
| 2009 | 5262 | 6763 | 3 | 15779 | 3.00 |
| 2010 | 5173 | 6872 | 4 | 16289 | 3.15 |
| 2011 | 5442 | 7085 | 4 | 17485 | 3.21 |
| 2012 | 6516 | 8041 | 4 | 20562 | 3.16 |
| 2013 | 7701 | 8763 | 4 | 23922 | 3.11 |
| 2014 | 7656 | 8646 | 4 | 22189 | 2.90 |
| 2015 | 8038 | 9304 | 4 | 23236 | 2.89 |
| 2016 | 9273 | 13133 | 4 | 28896 | 3.12 |
| 2017 | 10017 | 15183 | 4 | 30300 | 3.02 |
1 Number of countries for which information was requested
2 Between 2000 and 2004. SISAEX did not collect information on the monthly number of countries visited.
Fig 1Destinations of travelers by WHO region and by year.
Fig 2Monthly distribution of travelers, 2000–2017.
Each bar represents the average annual percentage for each month and the Y-error bars are the corresponding standard deviation.
Fig 3Destination countries with highest demand for pre-travel health information between 2005 and 2017 at the International Vaccination Centre of Malaga (51.8% of consultations).
Fig 4Travelers attended at the International Vaccination Centre of Malaga.
Seasonally adjusted travelers (12th order moving average model denoted by ARIMA model) (green) and original data (blue), 2000–2017.
Timeline of some of the most well-known events that could affect international travel between 2000 and 2017.
| NY Terrorist attacks | 2001 |
| Bombing Bali. | 2002 |
| SARS | 2003 |
| Madrid Terrorist attacks, Earthquake & Tsunami Indian Ocean, Avian Flu | 2004 |
| Bombing Bali | 2005 |
| International Financial crisis. | 2007–2008 |
| Flu pandemic | 2009 |
| Earthquake Haiti | 2010 |
| Spanish unemployment rate >20% | 2010–2015 |
| Arab Spring | 2010–2012 |
| Ukrainian crisis | 2013 |
| Ebola outbreak. Daesh | 2014 |
| Europe refugee crisis | 2015 |