Use of Initial Noninvasive Cardiac Testing and Association with Downstream Healthcare Resource: A Retrospective Review of Resources Used Across a 12-Month Window for Probable Type I Myocardial Infarction Patients.

BACKGROUND: Clinical guidelines provide clinicians with substantial discretion in the use of noninvasive cardiac testing for patients with suspected coronary artery disease. Repeat testing, frequent emergency department (ED) visits, and increases in other cardiac-related procedures can be a burden on patients and payers and can complicate treatment planning. We assessed downstream healthcare resource utilization (HCRU) for patients undergoing initial single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT), myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), stress echocardiography (ECHO), or exercise treadmill testing (ETT) with probable type I myocardial infarction (MI).
METHODS: Electronic medical records data from 12,130 patients with probable type I MI presenting to EDs within a large healthcare system comprised of 11 adult hospitals were retrospectively analyzed. Logistic and linear regression determined the individual contribution of SPECT-MPI, ETT, and ECHO on repeat cardiovascular (CV) testing, inpatient visits, outpatient visits, and cardiac-related costs within 12 months of the index visit.
RESULTS: The majority of patients received SPECT-MPI for the index-testing event (56.5%), followed by ETT (29.2%) and ECHO (14.3%). Patients who had SPECT-MPI at the index visit were less likely to have a repeat CV testing visit (odds ratio [OR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.62‒0.96; p = 0.020) or an inpatient visit (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.49‒0.98; p = 0.039) than those who underwent ETT or ECHO. ETT and ECHO were not predictive of any outcome.
CONCLUSIONS: SPECT-MPI does not result in more downstream HCRU than ETT or ECHO and is associated with a lower likelihood of repeat non-invasive CV testing and inpatient visits.

Key Points for Decision Makers

Introduction

Cardiovascular (CV) disease continues to represent a significant and increasing cost burden in the US. Total direct costs (based on annual medical spending, in the form of insurer and out-of-pocket payments) were estimated at $273 billion for 2010 and are expected to triple by 2030, to $818 billion [1]. Physicians can choose from a number of strategies for cardiac stress testing, a noninvasive diagnostic tool in the evaluation and management of patients with known or suspected coronary heart disease. Testing strategies include exercise treadmill testing (ETT) and several non-invasive CV imaging techniques, including echocardiography (ECHO), computed tomography angiography (CTA), and single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) [2].

Although diagnostic workup decisions for patients presenting with CV symptoms such as chest pain are primarily based on physician assessment and consideration of evidence-based clinical practice guidelines [3], growing cost-containment pressure may limit availability and access to certain higher-cost testing procedures. High initial testing costs may be offset by reductions in retesting procedures and emergency department (ED) visits. Overall, while many studies have addressed the diagnostic capabilities and subsequent clinical outcomes associated with CV diagnostic procedures [4-8], less is known about downstream healthcare resource utilization (HCRU, related to repeated testing and ED visits as well as inpatient and outpatient care) and costs related to the various non-invasive testing modalities, with few studies and inconsistent results for any given procedure (e.g. SPECT-MPI [9-12]).

The primary objectives of this study were to examine the downstream cardiac-related HCRU and costs associated with non-invasive testing utilization in the evaluation of patients with probable type I myocardial infarction (MI). Type I MI is distinguished from type II MI based on a variety of clinical factors, including the cause of ischemia/injury; type I is cardiac injury-related to atherosclerotic plaque rupture, ulceration, fissuring, erosion or dissection, while type II is cardiac injury due to an imbalance between myocardial oxygen supply and/or demand [13]. HCRU outcomes included repeat non-invasive testing, repeat ED visit, inpatient visits, outpatient visits, and cardiac-related costs within 12 months of the index visit.

Methods

In this retrospective, observational study, an electronic medical records (EMR) database was queried for a set of prespecified variables to assess the clinical and economic outcomes associated with non-invasive testing. Patient-level clinical data, CV testing modality, and HCRU data were abstracted from the EMR database of a large healthcare system comprised of 11 adult hospitals with a designated Heart Institute including over 100 outpatient facilities and 350 heart specialists. The healthcare system is a not-for-profit entity with an approximate payer mix as follows: 45% managed care, 32% Medicare, 15% Medicaid, and 8% workers compensation, self-pay or other. Data were initially identified during the abstraction (to match files) and then de-identified. Institutional Review Board (IRB) approval from the hospitals was obtained prior to data collection (#6290; Advocate Health Care IRB); patient informed consent was not required.

All aspects of the study design were developed by a steering committee comprised of cardiology physicians and physician leadership, a cardiology nurse, pharmacists, cardiology coding and billing experts, and research department leadership. Working groups were established within the committee to advise on specific protocol items, such as the research questions, endpoints, and measurement of endpoints. Working groups presented their recommendations to the steering committee for discussion and revision as appropriate.

Study Sample and Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria

The study sample included adult patients (≥ 18 years of age) presenting to the ED for CV-related issues between 1 January 2009 and 31 July 2014 who had not had a previous ED visit, hospitalization, or non-invasive CV testing event within the prior 30 days of the initial (index) non-invasive CV testing event. Using Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes associated with SPECT-MPI, ECHO, ETT, and CTA, 91,769 patients were initially identified. Only patients presenting with probable type I MI with no evidence of type II MI based on primary and secondary admission diagnosis codes were included in the analysis, resulting in a potential sample of 15,772 patients (Fig. 1). After removing ineligible patients, 12,130 patients were included in the final study sample (Fig. 1).

Fig. 1

Sample selection. CV cardiovascular, ED emergency department. Subjects with the following procedures (primary or secondary admission diagnosis) were excluded on the basis of being surgical or medical emergencies where imaging would not be undertaken preoperatively: aortic dissection, pulmonary embolism, gastrointestinal ulcer with hemorrhage and/or perforation, and acute myocardial infarction

Variable Definition and Measurement

Variable identification was via specific International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) or CPT codes (see electronic supplementary index for codes) and linked hospital data (downstream visits, procedures, and diagnostic information associated with the codes identified). The ED admission and index date was defined as the first ED admission seen within the study timeframe meeting the inclusion/exclusion criteria, including the first non-invasive CV testing seen within 7 days after the index date. Downstream HCRU outcome variables were defined as repeat non-invasive CV testing, inpatient visits, outpatient visits, and cardiac-related costs. Repeat non-invasive CV testing (not restricted to the same testing as at index), ED visit, and inpatient and outpatient visit outcomes were defined as subsequent cardiac-related visits to the respective location post index date. ICD-9 codes were first used to identify cases of MI, followed by the use of CPT codes to identify testing modalities. Utilization was counted as the number of visits within the 12 months post index visit, but was dichotomized to yes (at least one visit)/no (zero visits) after data collection due to the majority of patients having either zero or one visit. Cardiac-related costs and visits were broadly defined as any cardiac imaging and cardiac-related intervention within 12 months from the index event. An internal audit report was reviewed by the working group including cardiologists, cardiology coding, and billing experts to verify appropriate codes for cardiac procedures.

Additional variables included in the analysis were demographic, clinical, and provider-related. Demographic variables were age at index visit (analyzed as a continuous variable), sex, and race (Caucasian vs. non-Caucasian), while clinical variables were diabetes diagnosis, current smoker, and length of stay (LOS; analyzed as a continuous variable) at index visit and risk group as defined by the index visit discharge status. Provider-related variables included insurance/payer (private, government, or none), admission source (clinic, transfer, or directly to the ED), hospital type (academic or non-academic), and physician type (cardiologist or other). Although all patients were initially seen in the ED, the admission source could have been recorded as clinic (arrived at the ED from an outpatient clinic), ED (arrived at the ED independently), or transfer (transfer from another facility, such as a long-term-care nursing facility).

Academic hospitals were defined as those that have residency and fellowship training programs at the respective institution, which included 3 of the 11 hospitals. Physician type was based on the physician who ordered the non-invasive CV testing procedure at the index visit. Estimated costs were calculated by averaging per-unit costs in US dollars across the system and applying those per-unit costs to each procedure and encounter. Costs were estimated by the institution’s Finance Department and represented an average per-unit cost across the system for procedures by factoring in personnel time, maintenance, depreciation, and overheads. This approach was chosen over reimbursement rates (charges), which can vary widely based on the population served and hospital location.

Comparative Groups

Data stratification occurred for two variables—risk and testing modality. Risk groups were identified as a potential covariate and were defined as low risk (outpatient) and high risk (inpatient), depending on the patient’s discharge status from the index ED visit. More specifically, patients who were either managed in observation status and discharged, or were discharged from the ED with follow-up visits as outpatients, were defined as low risk, while patients admitted to the hospital directly from the ED, or managed in the observation unit and then admitted, were defined as high risk.

Non-invasive CV testing groups for analysis were planned as follows: ETT—treadmill test with no additional testing (including no concurrent imaging modality) during the index visit; SPECT-MPI test—nuclear stress test; stress ECHO—stress echocardiogram; and CTA.

Data Validation and Analysis

Data validation was performed prior to any analysis. Code and cross-reference data validation occurred whenever possible. For example, modality imaging data were abstracted by CPT code and by modality name to compare abstraction. Data were abstracted from multiple sources (data warehouse and quality department data abstraction) and compared for accuracy. Range and constraint validation occurred for all downstream HCRU variables.

Prior to analysis for the primary outcomes, descriptive and between-group analyses were performed, with non-invasive CV testing modalities as the grouping variable. Between-group differences were determined using Pearson’s Chi square analysis for categorical variables and analysis of variance (ANOVA) for continuous variables.

To evaluate the association between downstream HCRU and the specified non-invasive CV testing modalities, multivariate linear and logistic regression was performed. Repeat non-invasive CV testing, repeat ED visit, and inpatient and outpatient visit outcomes were evaluated using logistic regression, while the cardiac-related cost outcome was evaluated using linear regression. Covariates to be included in the multivariate linear or logistic regression models were selected based on the results of univariate regression analyses performed to determine the independent contribution of each potential covariate. Results of linear regression are presented as beta coefficients (β) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and logistic regression is presented as odds ratios (OR) with 95% CIs. Covariates were included in the multivariate model if the univariate evaluation resulted in a p value ≤ 0.05. All multivariate regression models included the same potential covariates (defined in Sect. 2.2): age (continuous), sex, race, diabetes diagnosis, current smoker, LOS at index visit (continuous), risk group, insurance, admission source, hospital type, and physician type. Age and LOS coefficients are interpreted as each unit increase above the mean for the predictors (i.e. 1 year older or 1 day longer in LOS) corresponds to an increase in the outcome by the coefficient while holding all other covariates constant.

Statistical significance was determined at p ≤ 0.05, and all hypothesis testing was two-tailed. Analyses were performed using SPSS 22.0® for Windows (IBM Corporation, Armonk, NY, USA).

Results

Demographic, Clinical, and Provider-Related Variable Distributions

Overall, 12,130 patients were identified as meeting the inclusion/exclusion criteria (after excluding five patients who were identified as having CTA as their initial non-invasive CV testing, given the small sample size). Demographic clinical and provider-related variables are presented in Table 1, including the distribution across the non-invasive CV testing groups. The majority of patients received SPECT-MPI for the index non-invasive CV testing event (56.5%), followed by ETT (29.2%) and ECHO (14.3%). The mean age of the sample was 64.9 ± 13.79 years. Half of the sample (50.5%) was Caucasian and 40.4% were male. Diabetes diagnosis was reported by 36.2% of the sample, while current smoker was reported by 16.3%. Admission to the ED from a clinic setting was the most frequent admission source (70.6%), and academic hospitals were the site of care for 44.8% of the sample. Approximately half of the patients (52.0%) were admitted to the hospital (academic or non-academic) from the ED and were therefore categorized as high risk. Non-invasive procedures were ordered by a cardiologist for 50.8% of patients. Mean LOS for the index visit was 2.2 ± 2.53 days, with 12.1% of patients referred to the catheterization laboratory and only 0.3% of patients readmitted within 30 days.

Table 1

Between-group analyses of demographic, clinical, and provider-related variables

	Total sample [n = 12,130]	ECHO [n = 1733]	ETT [n = 3545]	SPECT-MPI [n = 6852]	p value
Age at index, years (mean ± SD)	64.9 ± 13.79	61.2 ± 13.60	66.5 ± 13.43	64.9 ± 13.85	< 0.001
Sex [male]	4904 (40.4)	588 (33.9)	1432 (40.4)	2884 (42.1)	< 0.001
Race [Caucasian]	6124 (50.5)	602 (34.8)	1481 (41.8)	4041 (59.1)	< 0.001
Diabetes diagnosis	4386 (36.2)	597 (34.4)	1393 (39.3)	2396 (35.0)	< 0.001
Current smoker	1978 (16.3)	350 (20.2)	562 (15.9)	1066 (15.6)	< 0.001
Admit source [clinic]	8562 (70.6)	1270 (73.3)	2419 (68.2)	4873 (71.1)	0.004
Academic hospital	5439 (44.8)	1052 (60.7)	2532 (71.4)	1855 (27.1)	< 0.001
Risk [high risk]	6302 (52.0)	691 (39.9)	2238 (63.1)	3373 (49.2)	< 0.001
Physician [cardiologist]	6156 (50.8)	685 (39.5)	1950 (55.0)	3521 (51.4)	< 0.001
Private insurance	3938 (32.5)	631 (40.0)	1068 (31.9)	2239 (35.1)	< 0.001
Government insurance	7261 (59.9)	919 (58.3)	2226 (66.5)	4116 (64.5)	< 0.001
LOS at index visit (mean ± SD)	2.2 ± 2.53	1.9 ± 2.05	2.6 ± 2.88	2.1 ± 2.42	< 0.001
Catheter laboratory referral	1473 (12.1)	133 (7.7)	501 (14.1)	839 (12.2)	< 0.001
Readmit within 30 days	40 (0.3)	8 (0.5)	11 (0.3)	21 (0.3)	0.585
Repeat CV testing	1277 (10.5)	199 (11.5)	504 (14.2)	574 (8.4)	< 0.001
ED revisit	78 (0.2)	7 (0.4)	8 (0.2)	13 (0.2)	0.251
Inpatient visit	601 (5.0)	85 (4.9)	290 (8.2)	226 (3.3)	< 0.001
Outpatient visit	647 (5.3)	112 (6.5)	208 (5.9)	327 (4.8)	0.005
Costa (mean ± SD)	965.2 ± 2092.3	659.7 ± 1855.1	927.3 ± 1987.9	1104.5 ± 2244.5	0.031

Data are expressed as n (%) unless otherwise specified

CV cardiovascular, ED Emergency Department, ECHO echocardiography, ETT exercise treadmill testing, LOS length of stay, SD standard deviation, SPECT-MPI single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging

aCost = downstream costs (in US$) for cases with an ED, outpatient, and/or inpatient revisit

While statistically significant differences were found between the non-invasive CV testing groups for all of the demographic, clinical, and provider-related variables, the between-group differences were < 10% for most variables. Differences > 10% between groups were found for race, risk group, hospital type and physician type, and are detailed in Table 1.

Downstream Healthcare Resource Utilization Outcomes with Univariate Predictors

Occurrence rates for the outcomes of interest are displayed in Table 1, with the corresponding distribution across the non-invasive CV testing groups. Repeat non-invasive CV testing within 12 months of the index visit occurred for 10.5% of patients, irrespective of the testing modality at index visit. While 5.0% and 5.3% of patients had an inpatient and outpatient visit post index visit, respectively, very few patients (0.2%) had a return visit to the ED within 12 months. The mean downstream cost for patients who had any return visit within 12 months of the index visit was $965.2 ± 2092.3. ETT had the most repeat non-invasive CV testing (14.2%) and inpatient visits (8.2%), while ECHO had the most outpatient visits (6.5%) and MPI had the highest mean cost ($1104.5 ± 2244.5). Between-group differences for repeat ED visits were not statistically significant. Furthermore, none of the potential covariates were associated with repeat ED visits at a statistically significant level (data not shown), therefore further analysis was not performed for this outcome.

ETT, ECHO, and SPECT-MPI, as well as potential covariates, were assessed via univariate regression (Table 2). ECHO was not associated with repeat non-invasive CV testing within 12 months of the index visit, while ETT was associated with increased repeat testing (OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.49–1.89) and SPECT-MPI was less likely to have repeat testing (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.53–0.67). SPECT-MPI also was less likely to have an inpatient visit within 12 months of the index visit (OR 0.45, 95% CI 0.38–0.53), while ETT was associated with an increased risk of inpatient visit (OR 2.37, 95% CI 2.01–2.80) and no association was observed for ECHO. ECHO was associated with an increased risk of an outpatient visit (OR 1.27, 95% CI 1.03–1.57) but SPECT-MPI was less likely to have an outpatient visit (OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.66–0.91) and ETT was not associated with outpatient visits. Finally, ETT was associated with higher downstream cardiac-related costs (β = 42.70, 95% CI 13.73–71.67), while SPECT-MPI and ECHO were not associated at a statistically significant level (β = − 20.89, 95% CI − 47.48 to 5.69; β = − 30.18, 95% CI − 67.84 to 7.48, respectively).

Table 2

Univariate logistic and linear regression parameters for downstream healthcare utilization and costs

	Repeat CV testing [OR (95% CI)]	Inpatient visit [OR (95% CI)]	Outpatient visit [OR (95% CI)]	Cardiac-related cost [β coefficient (95% CI)]
ETT at index	1.68 (1.49–1.89)**	2.37 (2.01–2.80)**	1.16 (0.98–1.37)	42.70 (13.73–71.67)**
MPI at index	0.60 (0.53–0.67)**	0.45 (0.38–0.53)**	0.78 (0.66–0.91)**	− 20.89 (−47.48 to 5.69)
ECHO at index	1.12 (0.96–1.32)	0.99 (0.78–1.25)	1.27 (1.03–1.57)*	− 30.18 (−67.84 to 7.48)
Age at index	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	1.01 (1.00–1.02)**	0.99 (0.99–1.00)**	− 0.18 (−1.13 to 0.78)
Sex [male]	1.16 (1.03–1.31)*	1.31 (1.11–1.55)**	1.03 (0.88–1.21)	47.25 (20.41–74.10)**
Caucasian	1.14 (1.02–1.28)*	1.19 (1.01–1.40)*	1.07 (0.91–1.25)	51.19 (24.78–77.59)**
Clinic admit	0.89 (0.70–1.13)	0.59 (0.44–0.79)**	1.48 (1.01–2.15)*	− 22.07 (−73.98 to 29.84)
ED admit	1.35 (0.98–1.84)	2.40 (1.67–3.45)**	0.53 (0.29–0.97)*	17.60 (−56.21 to 91.40)
Transfer admit	0.92 (0.65–1.29)	1.05 (0.66–1.68)	0.84 (0.52–1.34)	24.26 (−45.68 to 94.20)
High risk	1.20 (1.07–1.35)**	2.67 (2.22–3.21)**	0.57 (0.49–0.67)**	48.50 (22.13–74.86)**
Diabetes diagnosis	1.52 (1.35–1.71)**	1.72 (1.46–2.02)**	1.23 (1.05–1.45)*	54.92 (27.50–82.33)**
Current smoker	0.92 (0.79–1.08)	0.99 (0.79–1.23)	0.88 (0.70–1.10)	− 3.68 (−39.36 to 31.99)
Academic site	1.60 (1.43–1.80)**	1.95 (1.65–2.31)**	1.32 (1.12–1.54)**	39.39 (12.90–65.88)**
Physician (cardiologist)	0.85 (0.76–0.96)**	1.04 (0.89–1.23)	0.76 (0.65–0.89)**	7.54 (−18.82 to 33.90)
LOS at index visit	1.04 (1.02–1.06)**	1.09 (1.06–1.11)**	0.94 (0.90–0.98)**	29.64 (24.45–34.82)**
Private insurance	0.78 (0.68–0.89)**	0.54 (0.45–0.66)**	1.07 (0.90–1.27)	− 13.36 (−41.88 to 15.16)
Government insurance	1.27 (1.12–1.45)**	1.79 (1.47–2.17)**	0.93 (0.79–1.11)	16.32 (−12.02 to 44.67)
No insurance	1.19 (0.67–2.14)	1.36 (0.63–2.95)	1.07 (0.47–2.46)	− 78.00 (−219.64 to 63.64)

OR odds ratio, CI confidence interval, CV cardiovascular, ED emergency department, ECHO echocardiography, ETT exercise treadmill testing, LOS length of stay, MPI myocardial perfusion imaging

*p ≤ 0.05, **p ≤ 0.01

Multivariate Predictors

The covariates identified as relevant to the multivariate models were similar across the tested models but were not identical (Table 2; statistically significant variables, indicated by ‘*’ and ‘**’, were included in the corresponding multivariate analysis.). Male sex and Caucasian race were associated with repeat non-invasive CV testing, inpatient visits, and increased cardiac-related cost; increasing age was associated with fewer inpatient and outpatient visits. Diabetes diagnosis, admission to an academic hospital, and longer LOS at index visit were associated with increased risk for all outcomes, and longer LOS at index visit was associated with less likelihood of an outpatient visit. High-risk patients were more likely to have repeat non-invasive CV testing and inpatient visits, and less likely to have outpatient visits. Increased risk for repeat non-invasive CV testing and inpatient visits was associated with government insurance. Testing procedure ordered by a cardiologist was associated with a decreased likelihood of repeat non-invasive CV testing and outpatient visits.

Similar variables were predictive of the four outcomes assessed in the multivariate model as in the univariate analysis. All predictors of the outcomes, as ORs or β with 95% CIs, are displayed in Table 3. SPECT-MPI was the only non-invasive CV testing that remained predictive in the multivariate models. Patients who had SPECT-MPI at the index visit were less likely to have repeat non-invasive CV testing (OR 0.77, 95% CI 0.62–0.96; p = 0.020) and less likely to have an inpatient visit (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.49–0.98; p = 0.039). ETT and ECHO were not predictive of any outcome and none of the non-invasive procedures were associated with outpatient revisits or with costs in the multivariate model.

Table 3

Multivariate logistic and linear regression parameters for downstream healthcare utilization and costs

	Repeat CV testing [OR (95% CI)], p value	Inpatient visit [OR (95% CI)], p value	Outpatient visit [OR (95% CI)], p value	Cardiac-related cost [β coefficient (95% CI)], p value
ETT at index	1.09 (0.87–1.36), 0.441	1.36 (0.98–1.88), 0.066	–(–)–	28.86 (−2.34 to 60.05), 0.070
MPI at index	0.77 (0.62–0.96), 0.020	0.70 (0.49–0.98), 0.039	1.03 (0.82–1.29), 0.824	–(–)–
ECHO at index	–(–)–	–(–)–	1.19 (0.90–1.57), 0.223	–(–)–
Age at index	–(–)–	0.99 (0.99–1.00), 0.186	0.99 (0.99–1.00), 0.024	–(–)–
Sex [male]	1.14 (0.99–1.32), 0.076	1.19 (0.96–1.47), 0.107	–(–)–	35.45 (8.53–62.37), 0.010
Caucasian	1.25 (1.08–1.46), 0.003	1.28 (1.02–1.59), 0.031	–(–)–	54.21 (27.53–80.88), < 0.001
Clinic admit	–(–)–	0.95 (0.58–1.56), 0.853	1.24 (0.77–1.99), 0.372	–(–)–
ED admit	1.01 (0.73–1.39), 0.971	1.35 (0.74–2.47), 0.333	0.67 (0.31–1.44), 0.307	–(–)–
Transfer admit	–(–)–	–(–)–	–(–)–	–(–)–
High risk	1.07 (0.92–1.25), 0.392	1.78 (1.40–2.25), < 0.001	0.72 (0.59–0.88), 0.001	−7.91 (−36.04 to 20.23), 0.582
Diabetes diagnosis	1.50 (1.29–1.73), 0.000	1.56 (1.26–1.93), < 0.001	1.37 (1.139–1.648), 0.001	43.15 (15.38–70.93), 0.002
Current smoker	–(–)–	–(–)–	–(–)–	–(–)–
Academic site	1.23 (1.05–1.44), 0.012	1.33 (1.05–1.68), 0.020	1.25 (1.03–1.53), 0.028	14.52 (−13.71 to 42.74), 0.313
Physician (cardiologist)	0.77 (0.66–0.89), 0.001	–(–)–	0.89 (0.73–1.07), 0.218	–(–)–
LOS at index visit	1.04 (1.02–1.07), 0.002	1.06 (1.03–1.09), < 0.001	1.00 (0.95–1.04), 0.941	28.10 (22.59–33.62), < 0.001
Private insurance	0.78 (0.40–1.54), 0.482	0.50 (0.21–1.19), 0.117	–(–)–	–(–)–
Government insurance	0.94 (0.48–1.85), 0.863	0.82 (0.34–1.93), 0.642	–(–)–	–(–)–
No insurance	–(–)–	–(–)–	–(–)–	–(–)–

Variables included in the univariate analysis that were not statistically significant are not included in the corresponding multivariate model and are indicated by –(–)–

Model R2: Repeat CV Testing = 0.01, Inpatient Visit = 0.03, Outpatient Visit = 0.02, Cardiac-Related Cost = 0.07

OR odds ratio, CI confidence interval, CV cardiovascular, ED emergency department, ECHO echocardiography, ETT exercise treadmill testing, LOS length of stay, MPI myocardial perfusion imaging

In addition to SPECT-MPI, cardiologist as the ordering physician was associated with a decreased likelihood of repeat non-invasive CV testing. An increased likelihood of repeat non-invasive CV testing was associated with Caucasian race, diabetes diagnosis, academic hospital, and LOS at index visit. MPI was the only protective factor, indicating a reduced risk, for inpatient visits. However, similar predictors for inpatient visits were found as for repeat noninvasive CV testing, i.e. Caucasian race, high risk, diabetes diagnosis, academic hospital, and LOS at index visit.

In general, variables that indicated patients are at risk for repeat non-invasive testing were also indicators that patients are at risk for more inpatient visits. Statistically significant covariates for outpatient visits and cardiac-related costs were similar to the predictors previously listed. All of the statistically significant predictors of cost were associated with increased costs as follows: male sex, Caucasian race, diabetes diagnosis, and LOS at index visit.

Discussion

In this analysis of 12,130 probable type I MI patients who visited an ED with subsequent CV testing procedures performed, four outcomes were assessed within 12 months of the index event: repeat non-invasive CV testing, repeat ED visits, and inpatient and outpatient visits. SPECT-MPI at the index visit was associated with a lower likelihood of having an outpatient visit or repeat non-invasive CV testing. ETT and ECHO were not predictive of any outcome. While SPECT-MPI was associated with fewer inpatient visits and a lower likelihood of repeat non-invasive CV testing, and was not predictive of higher cardiac-related costs (any subsequent cardiac charge after the index visit), the mean cardiac-related cost was higher for this testing group than ETT and ECHO (approximate difference was $180 and $445, respectively).

Many of the demographic, clinical, and provider-related variables were associated with increased downstream HCRU. As expected, clinical factors played a large role. As patients with dual diagnosis are, in general, more likely to have exacerbated healthcare needs compared with patients with a single medical complication, it is not surprising that patients with diabetes are more likely to have an inpatient and/or outpatient visit, repeat non-invasive CV testing, and more cardiac-related costs. Similarly, longer LOS at index visit was associated with repeat non-invasive CV testing, inpatient visits and increased costs, but the relationship was weak for all three outcomes. This may be an artifact of sicker patients requiring longer care and more follow-up care than patients who were quickly discharged from the ED or index inpatient visit. Patients with a longer LOS at index visit are likely to be sicker patients requiring longer care and more follow-up care than patients who were quickly discharged from the ED or index inpatient visit.

In this study, the subjects tended to be a similar age to other published studies [4-6] and approximately 10% more females were included in the sample than in other studies. In this study, almost twice the rate of diabetes and less than half the rate of smokers were reported compared with other studies, although most studies examined current and former smokers. In addition, this study targeted current smokers, as previous smokers represent a wide range of smoking behaviors that are difficult to interpret in analysis. LOS was 0.5 days longer for the diabetic subjects versus non-diabetic subjects, and 0.3 days longer for males than females, but did not differ for smokers versus non-smokers (data not shown). Additionally, downstream costs differed by < $60 between the diabetic/nondiabetic groups, smoking/non-smoking groups, and sexes.

Low-risk patients were more likely to have an outpatient visit, while high-risk patients were more likely to have an inpatient visit; however, neither group was more likely to have repeat non-invasive CV testing. Many studies use risk categories as inclusion or stratification techniques, but this study suggests that it may be more useful to look at this variable as a covariate rather than inclusion or stratification. However, a larger issue might be the lack of a standardized risk measurement for CV studies.

While standardized coronary risk scores, such as the Framingham Coronary Heart Disease Risk Score [14], and coronary risk for patients with comorbidities, such as the Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) Risk Assessment Tool [15], exist for clinical care, there are issues with their use in research. In addition to the possible lack of availability in EMRs, which limits use in retrospective studies, risk scores often include key variables within their computation that prohibits the use of the variable in analysis. For example, many risk scores include age in the risk score computation; therefore, if age is included as an independent variable in the analysis, it is counted twice, thus presenting issues for analysis. Factors such as age and comorbidities often play an important role in health outcomes, and their contribution to the outcome of interest might need to be assessed as a variable rather than as part of an index variable or composite score.

Finally, many risk scores calculate the risk of a cardiac event 10 or more years after the index event, which may not be a useful timeframe when considering immediate outcomes. We sought to address these issues by using a risk stratification that is not dependent on any other potential covariate and is more temporally related to the outcome of interest.

The purpose of this study was not to build a predictive model but rather to assess the contribution of testing modalities to downstream HCRU while controlling for potential covariates. However, the R2 (coefficient of determination) for the regression models, which measures the overall fit of the model and ranges from 0.0 to 1.0, with 1.0 indicating a perfect fit, ranged from 0.01 to 0.07, indicating that key covariates may not be included in these models.

As with all retrospective studies, we were limited by the quality of the available data. It is well known that use of retrospective data has several limitations, such as inconsistent measuring and reporting in the source material. In this study, we systematically abstracted data via a database query to reduce errors at this phase, sought to validate data from two sources wherever possible, and thoroughly examined the data for inconsistencies prior to analysis to reduce these issues. However, we were examining downstream costs and revisits and cannot be certain that the patients in our study did not seek additional healthcare outside of the study’s healthcare system. In this case, our reporting would underrepresent downstream costs. In this study, omitted variable bias is a potential limitation as there are many clinical presentation variables not accounted for. Additional variables that have yet to be identified could also influence the model fit and ultimately influence the individual contribution of the testing modality on the outcome. In this study, we added a selection of covariates deemed appropriate by a panel of cardiology physicians and nurses, as well as researchers with cardiology experience, in order to reduce the effect of this potential bias.

Conclusions

Although the selection of which non-invasive CV testing is the best fit for a particular patient ultimately relies on clinical decision making and physician discretion, this study provides evidence that SPECT-MPI does not result in more downstream HCRU than ETT or ECHO. While initial costs may be higher, SPECT-MPI may present an advantage as it was associated with a lower likelihood of repeat non-invasive CV testing and inpatient visits.

Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.

Supplementary material 1 (DOCX 15 kb)

Single-photon emission computed tomography myocardial perfusion imaging (SPECT-MPI) may initially cost more than exercise treadmill testing or echocardiography, but is associated with fewer downstream healthcare resource utilization visits.

SPECT-MPI was associated with fewer inpatient visits.

SPECT-MPI was associated with less repeat cardiovascular testing.