| Literature DB >> 31093146 |
Eline L Korenromp1, Cielo Ríos2, Amparo Liliana Sabogal Apolinar3, Sidia Caicedo2, Diego Cuellar2, Iván Cárdenas2, Ricardo Luque Nuñez2, Norma Constanza Cuéllar3, Martha Ruíz2, Adriana Cruz4, Hernando Gaitan-Duarte5, Carolina Duarte Valderrama3, María Isabel Bermúdez Forero3, Melanie Taylor6, Jane Rowley7, Bertha Gómez8, Mónica Alonso9.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To estimate adult (15-49 years old) prevalence and incidence of active syphilis, gonorrhea, and chlamydia, and incidence of congenital syphilis (CS) and adverse birth outcomes (ABOs) in Colombia, over 1995-2016.Entities:
Keywords: Colombia; Sexually transmitted infection; chlamydia; gonorrhea; surveillance; syphilis
Year: 2018 PMID: 31093146 PMCID: PMC6385794 DOI: 10.26633/RPSP.2018.118
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Rev Panam Salud Publica ISSN: 1020-4989
FIGURE 1Trends in the prevalence of gonorrhea, chlamydia, and active syphilis in women 15-49 years old in Colombia, 1990-2016a
a The prevalence data are shown after adjustments for diagnostic test performance, geography, and high-risk populations (Annex 1 and Annex 2), as described in the Methods section of this article. The solid lines are best estimates; the dotted lines are 95% confidence intervals. The World Health Organization (WHO) 2012 estimates for the Central America region (for gonorrhea and chlamydia) and the Andean region (for syphilis) (both from Newman et al. (9)) are shown for reference, but were not used in the estimations for Colombia. For gonorrhea and chlamydia, the “surveys Colombia, nonrepresentative” data were not used in the best estimates but were included in the sensitivity analysis (which is presented in Table 2 of this article). For syphilis, “blood donor screening, men and women” data were not used in the best estimates but were included in the sensitivity analysis (Table 2).
Sensitivity analysis showing the effect of varying assumptions on the estimated prevalence (with 95% confidence intervals) of gonorrhea, chlamydia, and syphilis in adult women (15-49 years) and on new cases of congenital syphilis (CS) and of syphilis-associated adverse birth outcomes in Colombia in 2016
| Parameter altered | Gonorrhea prevalence, women | Chlamydia prevalence, women | Syphilis prevalence, women | Congenital syphilis cases | Adverse birth outcomes (subset of CS) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None (default estimate) | 0.70% (0.15% to 1.9%) | 9.2% (4.4% to 15.4%) | 1.25% (1.21% to 1.29%) | 3 851 | 2 245 |
| Gonorrhea and chlamydia: add less-representative prevalence studies from Colombia into the estimation (see | 0.50% (0.09% to 1.5%) | 8.8% (4.4% to 14.7%) | Not applicable/as default | Not applicable/as default | Not applicable/as default |
| Syphilis: add blood donor screening data (using weights as shown in | Not applicable/as default | Not applicable/as default | 1.04% (0.96% to 1.19%) | 3 204 | 1 868 |
Spectrum-estimated sexually transmitted infection (STI) prevalence, incidence rate (per 100 000 person-years), and incident case numbers, with the 95% confidence interval (CI), in women and men 15-49 years old, Colombia, 2016
| STI/Metric | Women | Men | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Point estimate | 95% CI | Point estimate | 95% CI | ||
| Gonorrhea | |||||
| Prevalence | 0.70% | 0.15%-1.9% | 0.60% | 0.12%-1.9% | |
| Incidence rate | 1 560 | 290 to 5 500 | 1 950 | 400 to 7 150 | |
| New incident cases | 204 000 | 44 000 to 670 000 | 252 000 | 54 000 to 912 000 | |
| Chlamydia | |||||
| Prevalence | 9.2% | 4.4%-15.4% | 7.4% | 3.5%-14.7% | |
| Incidence rate | 8 400 | 3 200 to 21 500 | 8 800 | 3 800 to 26 800 | |
| New incident cases | 1 000 000 | 390 000 to 2 400 000 | 1 140 000 | 456 000 to 2 700 000 | |
| Active syphilis | |||||
| Prevalence | 1.25% | 1.22%-1.29% | 1.25% | 1.1%-1.4% | |
| Incidence rate | 300 | 180 to 670 | 300 | 150-700 | |
| New incident cases | 39 000 | 23 000 to 88 000 | 39 000 | 21 000 to 90 000 | |
FIGURE 2Estimated number of cases of congenital syphilis (CS) in Colombia, 2008-2016, by: (a) birth outcome, compared to the reported number of cases of CS, and (b) antenatal care (ANC) history and prevented adverse birth outcome