Shomron Ben-Horin1, Adi Lahat2, Marianne M Amitai2, Eyal Klang2, Doron Yablecovitch2, Sandra Neuman2, Nina Levhar2, Limor Selinger2, Noa Rozendorn2, Dan Turner3, Yehuda Chowers4, Shmuel Odes5, Doron Schwartz5, Henit Yanai6, Iris Dotan6, Tzipi Braun2, Yael Haberman7, Uri Kopylov2, Rami Eliakim2. 1. Sheba Medical Center, Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel; First Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China. Electronic address: shomron.benhorin@gmail.com. 2. Sheba Medical Center, Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel. 3. Shaare Zedek Medical Center, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel. 4. Rambam Health Care Campus & Bruce Rappaport School of Medicine, Technion Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel. 5. Soroka Medical Center, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer Sheva, Israel. 6. Rabin Medical center, Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel. 7. Sheba Medical Center, Sackler School of Medicine, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel; Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, OH, USA; University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, USA.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The optimal monitoring strategy for predicting disease course in Crohn's disease remains undefined. We aimed to evaluate the accuracy, safety, and tolerability of an intensive monitoring strategy designed to predict the future course of Crohn's disease in patients with quiescent disease. METHODS: In a prospective observational cohort study, we recruited patients older than 18 years with quiescent (for 3-24 months) Crohn's disease involving the small bowel with confirmed small bowel patency from three tertiary medical centres in Israel. Enrolled patients underwent baseline magnetic resonance enterography (MRE) and patency capsule, clinical or biomarker assessment every 3 months, and video capsule endoscopy (VCE) at baseline and every 6 months for 2 years or until a clinical flare (the primary outcome, defined as an increase in the Crohn's disease activity index score by 70 points or more) or disease worsening necessitating treatment intensification. We assessed the ability of the different Crohn's disease monitoring methods used to predict the occurrence of a flare during the 24-month follow-up period. FINDINGS: Of 90 screened patients, 29 were excluded (17 because of non-patent small bowel). Of the 61 patients enrolled between July 3, 2013, and Feb 1, 2015, 17 (28%) had a flare during the 24-month follow-up. No clinicodemographic parameter predicted future flare. A baseline VCE Lewis score of 350 or more identified patients with future flare (area under the curve [AUC] 0·79, 95% CI 0·66-0·88; p<0·0001; hazard ratio 10·7, 3·8-30·3). C-reactive protein at baseline had an AUC of 0·73 (0·6-0·84; p=0·0013) for predicting flare. The AUC of baseline faecal calprotectin for the prediction of flare occurring within 2 years was 0·62 (0·49-0·74; p=0·17), but progressively improved for shorter timespans and reached an AUC of 0·81 (0·76-0·85) for the prediction of flare occurring within 3 months. Of four MRE-based indices, only MRE global score correlated with 2-year flare risk (AUC 0·71, 0·58-0·82; p=0·024). During follow-up, a Lewis score increase of 383 points or more from baseline predicted imminent disease exacerbation within 6 months (AUC 0·79, 0·65-0·89; p=0·011). The safety and tolerability of the 231 VCEs ingested was excellent, with none being retained. INTERPRETATION: In patients with quiescent Crohn's disease involving the small bowel, faecal calprotectin predicts short-term flare risk, whereas VCE predicts both short-term and long-term risk of disease exacerbation. If corroborated by additional studies, protocols incorporating VCE could expand the scope of available methods for monitoring disease activity and predicting outcomes in small bowel Crohn's disease. FUNDING: The Leona M & Harry B Helmsley Charitable Trust.
BACKGROUND: The optimal monitoring strategy for predicting disease course in Crohn's disease remains undefined. We aimed to evaluate the accuracy, safety, and tolerability of an intensive monitoring strategy designed to predict the future course of Crohn's disease in patients with quiescent disease. METHODS: In a prospective observational cohort study, we recruited patients older than 18 years with quiescent (for 3-24 months) Crohn's disease involving the small bowel with confirmed small bowel patency from three tertiary medical centres in Israel. Enrolled patients underwent baseline magnetic resonance enterography (MRE) and patency capsule, clinical or biomarker assessment every 3 months, and video capsule endoscopy (VCE) at baseline and every 6 months for 2 years or until a clinical flare (the primary outcome, defined as an increase in the Crohn's disease activity index score by 70 points or more) or disease worsening necessitating treatment intensification. We assessed the ability of the different Crohn's disease monitoring methods used to predict the occurrence of a flare during the 24-month follow-up period. FINDINGS: Of 90 screened patients, 29 were excluded (17 because of non-patent small bowel). Of the 61 patients enrolled between July 3, 2013, and Feb 1, 2015, 17 (28%) had a flare during the 24-month follow-up. No clinicodemographic parameter predicted future flare. A baseline VCE Lewis score of 350 or more identified patients with future flare (area under the curve [AUC] 0·79, 95% CI 0·66-0·88; p<0·0001; hazard ratio 10·7, 3·8-30·3). C-reactive protein at baseline had an AUC of 0·73 (0·6-0·84; p=0·0013) for predicting flare. The AUC of baseline faecal calprotectin for the prediction of flare occurring within 2 years was 0·62 (0·49-0·74; p=0·17), but progressively improved for shorter timespans and reached an AUC of 0·81 (0·76-0·85) for the prediction of flare occurring within 3 months. Of four MRE-based indices, only MRE global score correlated with 2-year flare risk (AUC 0·71, 0·58-0·82; p=0·024). During follow-up, a Lewis score increase of 383 points or more from baseline predicted imminent disease exacerbation within 6 months (AUC 0·79, 0·65-0·89; p=0·011). The safety and tolerability of the 231 VCEs ingested was excellent, with none being retained. INTERPRETATION: In patients with quiescent Crohn's disease involving the small bowel, faecal calprotectin predicts short-term flare risk, whereas VCE predicts both short-term and long-term risk of disease exacerbation. If corroborated by additional studies, protocols incorporating VCE could expand the scope of available methods for monitoring disease activity and predicting outcomes in small bowel Crohn's disease. FUNDING: The Leona M & Harry B Helmsley Charitable Trust.
Authors: Olga Maria Nardone; Giulio Calabrese; Anna Testa; Anna Caiazzo; Giuseppe Fierro; Antonio Rispo; Fabiana Castiglione Journal: Front Med (Lausanne) Date: 2022-05-23
Authors: Bruno Rosa; Reuma Margalit-Yehuda; Kelly Gatt; Martina Sciberras; Carlo Girelli; Jean-Christophe Saurin; Pablo Cortegoso Valdivia; Jose Cotter; Rami Eliakim; Flavio Caprioli; Gunnar Baatrup; Martin Keuchel; Pierre Ellul; Ervin Toth; Anastasios Koulaouzidis Journal: Endosc Int Open Date: 2021-05-27
Authors: Foong Way D Tai; Pierre Ellul; Alfonso Elosua; Ignacio Fernandez-Urien; Gian E Tontini; Luca Elli; Rami Eliakim; Uri Kopylov; Sara Koo; Clare Parker; Simon Panter; Reena Sidhu; Mark McAlindon Journal: United European Gastroenterol J Date: 2021-03-19 Impact factor: 4.623