| Literature DB >> 31063258 |
Shu-Chen Wei1, Po-Nien Tsao2,3, Yu-Ting Wang4, Been-Ren Lin5, Deng-Chyang Wu6, Wen-Sy Tsai7,8, Jinn-Shiun Chen7, Jau-Min Wong1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide. Screening for CRC using the fecal occult blood test (FOBT) is feasible and useful for decreasing disease-related mortality; however, its sensitivity and compliance are unsatisfactory.Entities:
Keywords: FOBT; colorectal cancer; serum PlGF
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31063258 PMCID: PMC6601572 DOI: 10.1002/cam4.2216
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cancer Med ISSN: 2045-7634 Impact factor: 4.452
Characteristics of study population with FOBT results, Cohort 1
| Variable |
CRC patients |
Healthy control |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | 63.7 ± 12.7 | 55.3 ± 14.7 | <0.0001 |
| Male | 264 (59.33) | 269 (58.73) | 0.8564 |
| BMI | 23.6 ± 3.7 | 23.6 ± 3.2 | 0.9639 |
| Stool occult blood | <0.0001 | ||
| Negative | 269 (60.59) | 442 (96.72) | |
| Positive | 175 (39.41) | 15 (3.28) | |
| CRC Stage | |||
| Stage 0 | 1 (0.23) | – | |
| Stage 1 | 102 (22.97) | – | |
| Stage 2 | 114 (25.68) | – | |
| Stage 3 | 166 (37.39) | – | |
| Stage 4 | 61 (13.74) | – | |
| Location | |||
| Distal | 324 (72.97) | – | |
| Proximal | 120 (27.03) | – | |
| PlGF (pg/mL) | 16.8 ± 11.4 | 12.0 ± 11.2 | <0.0001 |
Mean ± SD for continuous variables; N (%) for categorical variables
Association between markers and the risk of CRC
| AOR | 95% CI |
| ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cohort 1 (N = 903, CRC patients/healthy control = 445/458) | ||||
| Stool occult blood | 16.465 | 9.422 | 28.772 | <0.0001 |
| PlGF (10 pg/mL) | 1.586 | 1.364 | 1.843 | <0.0001 |
Multivariate logistic regressions were adjusted for age, sex, and BMI.
CRC prediction model from Cohort 1 (N = 903, CRC patients/healthy control = 445/458)
| AUC | 95% CI |
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden's index | PPV | NPV | FPR | FNR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Model 1 | 0.681 | 0.657‐0.705 | – | 0.3941 | 0.9672 | 0.3613 | 0.921 | 0.622 | 0.033 | 0.606 |
| Model 2 | 0.678 | 0.643‐0.712 | 0.891 | 0.8131 | 0.4814 | 0.2945 | 0.603 | 0.726 | 0.52 | 0.187 |
| Model 3 | 0.793 | 0.764‐0.821 | <0.0001 | 0.7072 | 0.709 | 0.4162 | 0.703 | 0.714 | 0.291 | 0.293 |
| Model 1 | 0.756 | 0.724‐0.787 | – | 0.4247 | 0.9561 | 0.3808 | 0.907 | 0.626 | 0.044 | 0.575 |
| Model 2 | 0.711 | 0.677‐0.745 | 0.0047 | 0.8219 | 0.4919 | 0.3138 | 0.650 | 0.667 | 0.378 | 0.308 |
| Model 3 | 0.797 | 0.768‐0.825 | <0.0001 | 0.5708 | 0.8614 | 0.4322 | 0.807 | 0.665 | 0.139 | 0.429 |
Model 1 includes FOBT. Model 2 includes PlGF. Model 3 includes FOBT and PlGF.
Abbreviations: PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; FPR, false positive rate; FNR, false negative rate
Multivariate logistic regressions were adjusted for age, sex, and BMI.
P‐value of the Model compared with Model 1
CRC prediction model stratified by CRC stage, Cohort 1
| AUC | 95% CI |
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden's index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early stage (N = 675, early stage CRC/healthy control = 217/458) | ||||||
| Model 1 | 0.670 | 0.637‐0.704 | – | 0.3733 | 0.9672 | 0.3404 |
| Model 2 | 0.669 | 0.627‐0.710 | 0.9514 | 0.8341 | 0.4464 | 0.2805 |
| Model 3 | 0.780 | 0.743‐0.817 | <0.0001 | 0.5668 | 0.8337 | 0.4005 |
| Model 1 | 0.766 | 0.728‐0.804 | – | 0.4630 | 0.9169 | 0.3798 |
| Model 2 | 0.718 | 0.679‐0.757 | 0.0053 | 0.9259 | 0.4388 | 0.3647 |
| Model 3 | 0.797 | 0.762‐0.832 | 0.0005 | 0.8009 | 0.6051 | 0.4060 |
| Advanced stage (N = 685, advanced stage CRC/healthy control = 227/458) | ||||||
| Model 1 | 0.692 | 0.658‐0.725 | – | 0.4159 | 0.9672 | 0.3831 |
| Model 2 | 0.686 | 0.645‐0.726 | 0.8249 | 0.8142 | 0.5033 | 0.3174 |
| Model 3 | 0.805 | 0.770‐0.840 | <0.0001 | 0.5752 | 0.8621 | 0.4374 |
| Model 1 | 0.752 | 0.712‐0.792 | – | 0.4595 | 0.9284 | 0.3879 |
| Model 2 | 0.705 | 0.665‐0.746 | 0.0190 | 0.7568 | 0.5497 | 0.3064 |
| Model 3 | 0.794 | 0.757‐0.831 | <0.0001 | 0.6802 | 0.7460 | 0.4261 |
Model 1 includes FOBT. Model 2 includes PlGF. Model 3 includes FOBT and PlGF.
Multivariate logistic regressions were adjusted for age, sex, and BMI.
P‐value of the Model compared with Model 1.
CRC prediction model stratified by CRC location, Cohort 1
| AUC | 95% CI |
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden's index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Distal (N = 782, CRC patients/healthy control = 324/458) | ||||||
| Model 1 | 0.677 | 0.649‐0.705 | – | 0.3870 | 0.9672 | 0.3542 |
| Model 2 | 0.670 | 0.633‐0.707 | 0.7717 | 0.8142 | 0.4814 | 0.2956 |
| Model 3 | 0.789 | 0.757‐0.821 | <0.0001 | 0.5449 | 0.8621 | 0.4070 |
| Model 1 | 0.750 | 0.715‐0.785 | – | 0.4201 | 0.9492 | 0.3693 |
| Model 2 | 0.700 | 0.663‐0.737 | 0.0037 | 0.8213 | 0.4988 | 0.3202 |
| Model 3 | 0.792 | 0.760‐0.824 | <0.0001 | 0.8025 | 0.6166 | 0.4191 |
| Proximal (N = 578, CRC patients/healthy control = 120/458) | ||||||
| Model 1 | 0.692 | 0.647‐0.737 | – | 0.4167 | 0.9672 | 0.3838 |
| Model 2 | 0.697 | 0.648‐0.746 | 0.8890 | 0.6250 | 0.7002 | 0.3252 |
| Model 3 | 0.803 | 0.758‐0.849 | <0.0001 | 0.7417 | 0.7155 | 0.4572 |
| Model 1 | 0.780 | 0.730‐0.830 | – | 0.4874 | 0.9584 | 0.4458 |
| Model 2 | 0.730 | 0.681‐0.779 | 0.0194 | 0.5462 | 0.7829 | 0.3291 |
| Model 3 | 0.809 | 0.762‐0.856 | 0.0019 | 0.6134 | 0.8868 | 0.5003 |
Model 1 includes FOBT. Model 2 includes PlGF. Model 3 includes FOBT and PlGF
The multivariate logistic regressions were adjusted by age, sex, and BMI.
P‐value of the Model compared with Model 1.
CRC prediction value of using serum PlGF level in FOBT negative individuals (N = 711, CRC patients/healthy control = 269/442)
| AUC | 95% CI |
| Sensitivity | Specificity | Youden's index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PlGF | 0.6848 | 0.6460‐0.7237 | <0.0001 | 0.8327 | 0.4751 | 0.3078 |
| PlGF | 0.6941 | 0.6550‐0.7332 | <0.0001 | 0.8195 | 0.4856 | 0.3052 |
The multivariate logistic regressions were adjusted by age, sex, and BMI
Training and validation tests in cohort 2
| Training set (n = 260, CRC/healthy = 128/132) | Validation set (n = 260, CRC/healthy = 132/128) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | Formula of probability | Cutoff | Sen | Spe | PPV | NPV | FPR | FNR | |
| FOBT | 0.6791 | p = exp(−0.6371 + 1.5953*Stool OB) | 0.7228 | 0.5833 | 0.7891 | 0.7404 | 0.6474 | 0.2109 | 0.4167 |
| PlGF | 0.6713 | p = exp(−1.2150 + 0.0953*PlGF) | 0.4553 | 0.6591 | 0.4844 | 0.5686 | 0.5794 | 0.5156 | 0.3409 |
| Combined | 0.7729 | p = exp(−1.9485 + 1.6879*Stool OB + 0.1020*PlGF) | 0.5263 | 0.5985 | 0.7344 | 0.6991 | 0.6395 | 0.2656 | 0.4015 |