| Literature DB >> 31060297 |
Ming-Hsun Lin1, Chien-Hsing Lee2, Chin Lin3,4, Yi-Fen Zou5, Chieh-Hua Lu6,7, Chang-Hsun Hsieh8, Cho-Hao Lee9.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Evidence of low-dose aspirin as the primary prevention strategy for cardiovascular disease (CVD) in diabetes are unclear. This study was designed to evaluate the effect of low-dose aspirin use for the primary prevention of CVD in diabetes.Entities:
Keywords: aspirin; diabetes mellitus; meta-analysis; primary prevention; trial sequential analysis
Year: 2019 PMID: 31060297 PMCID: PMC6572181 DOI: 10.3390/jcm8050609
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Clin Med ISSN: 2077-0383 Impact factor: 4.241
Figure 1PRISMA flowchart of study selection. Flow diagram of the identification process for eligible studies.
Characteristics of the included randomized control trials.
| Source | Trial Design | Country (Study Name) | Population (DM) | Case (Mean Age) | Males | Aspirin Dosage | Mean Follow up (Completion Rate) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRC 1998 [ | PC, RCT | UK (TPT) | Patients at high risk of IHD (type 1 and 2) | 68 (57.3 years *) | 100.0 | 75 mg/daily | 6.7 years/98.9 |
| Hansson et al. 1998 [ | DB, RCT | Globally (HOT) | Participants with hypertension (type 1 and 2) | 1501 (61.5 years) | NR | 75 mg/daily | 3.8 years/97.4 |
| Sacco et al. 2003 [ | MC, OP, RCT, 2 × 2 factorial design | Italy (PPP) | Participants > 50 years with > one cardiovascular risk factor (type 2) | 1031 (64.2 years) | 48.2 | 100 mg/daily | 3.6 years/99.3 |
| Ridker et al. 2005 [ | MC, DB, RCT, 2 × 2 factorial design | USA (WHS) | Healthy women (NA) | 1027 (54.6 years *) | 0 | 100 mg/every other day | 10.1 years/99.4 |
| Belch et al. 2008 [ | DB, RCT, 2 × 2 factorial design | UK (POPADAD) | Patients aged ≥ 40 years plus ABP ≤ 0.99 (type 1 and 2) | 1276 (60 years) | 44.1 | 100 mg/daily | 6.7 years/99.5 |
| Ikeda et al. 2014 [ | OP, RCT | Japan (JPPP) | Elderly with multiple atherosclerotic risk factors (NR) | 4903 (70.6 years *) | NR | 100 mg/daily | 5.0 years/98.7 |
| Saito et al. 2017 [ | MC, OP, RCT | Japan (JPAD2) | Patients with Type 2 Diabetes (type 2) | 2160 (64.4 years) | 55.5 | 81 or 100 mg/daily | 10.3 years/63.8 |
| ASCEND group 2018 [ | DB, RCT | UK (ASCEND) | Patients with diabetes (type 1 and 2) | 15,800 (63.3 years) | 62.6 | 100 mg/daily | 7.4 years/99.1 |
| McNeil et al. 2018 [ | DB, RCT | USA/Australia (ASPREE) | Health older (NR) | 2057 (74 years *) | 44 | 100 mg/daily | 4.7 years/97.2 |
DM: diabetes mellitus; MC: multi-center; DB: double blind; OP: open label; RCT: randomized control trial; NR: Not reported; ABP: Ankle brachial pressure; TPT: thrombosis prevention trial; HOT: hypertension optimal treatment; PPP: primary prevention project; WHS: women’s health study; WHS: women’s health study; POPADAD: prevention of progression of arterial disease and diabetes; JPAD2: Japanese primary prevention of atherosclerosis with aspirin for diabetes 2, followed up study from JPAD [33]; JPPP: Japanese primary prevention project; ASCEND: a study of cardiovascular events in diabetes; ASPREE: Aspirin in reducing events in the elderly. *: data extracted from specific diabetes patients.
Figure 2Meta-analysis result, (A) Forest plot of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in aspirin compared with control, (B) Trial sequential analysis (TSA) of MACE, heterogeneity adjustment required an information size of 37,337 participants calculated on the basis of the proportion of MACE incidence of 8.7% in the placebo group, as well as α = 5%, β = 20%, power = 0.80, and I2 = 0.00%. Cumulative Z-curve (solid blue line) crosses the trial sequential monitoring boundary, which shows sufficient evidence of a statistically significant reduction in MACE risk with low-dose aspirin administration after involving large trials such as ASCEND [8] and ASPREE [9]. Horizontal dark red lines illustrate the traditional level of statistical significance (p = 0.05), (C) forest plot of major hemorrhage in aspirin compared with control. Main outcomes of low-dose aspirin in the primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD). Risk ratio and 95% CI were used as a measure of effect for dichotomous variables. (Trial abbreviations are listed in the footnote of Table 1).
Effects of low-dose aspirin use as the primary prevention strategy on clinical outcomes in diabetic patients.
| Outcome Assessment | No. of Trials (Patients) | Anticipated Absolute Effects (95% CI) | Risk Ratio (95% CI) Random-Effect Estimate | Heterogeneity | Certainty of Evidence (GRADE) † | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk with Placebo | Risk with Aspirin | ||||||
| MACE | 8 (29,814) | 87 per 1000 | 80 per 1000 |
|
| 0.0% | ⨁⨁⨁◯ |
| MACE with age ≥ 60 years | 5 (18,664) | 111 per 1000 | 101 per 1000 |
|
| 0.0% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| MACE with age < 60 years | 3 (7212) | 90 per 1000 | 91 per 1000 | 1.00 (0.73–1.39) | 0.973 | 67.2% | ⨁◯◯◯ |
| Myocardial infarction | 6 (22,854) | 31 per 1000 | 32 per 1000 | 1.01 (0.84–1.22) | 0.891 | 21.1% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| Fatal myocardial infarction | 3 (19,295) | 15 per 1000 | 14 per 1000 | 0.98 (0.60–1.60) | 0.942 | 44.1% | ⨁◯◯◯ |
| Stroke | 7 (22,922) | 36 per 1000 | 31 per 1000 |
|
| 0.0% | ⨁⨁⨁◯ |
| Fatal stroke | 3 (19,025) | 5 per 1000 | 6 per 1000 | 1.20 (0.82–1.77) | 0.349 | 0.0% | ⨁◯◯◯ |
| Coronary heart disease | 6 (22,923) | 48 per 1000 | 45 per 1000 | 0.94 (0.84–0.1.06) | 0.323 | 0.0% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| Major hemorrhage | 5 (22,383) | 34 per 1000 | 42 per 1000 |
|
| 22.9% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| Major intracranial hemorrhage | 5 (21,353) | 6 per 1000 | 7 per 1000 | 1.08 (0.77–1.50) | 0.654 | 0.0% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| Major Gl bleeding | 4 (20,326) | 14 per 1000 | 20 per 1000 | 1.43 (0.92–2.22) | 0.117 | 56.7% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| All-cause death | 6 (23,884) | 87 per 1000 | 84 per 1000 | 0.97 (0.90–1.06) | 0.537 | 0.0% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
| Cardiovascular death | 5 (21,827) | 18 per 1000 | 17 per 1000 | 0.94 (0.77–1.14) | 0.517 | 0.0% | ⨁⨁◯◯ |
MACE: major adverse cardiovascular event; GI: gastrointestinal; CI: confidence interval; I2: index for assessing heterogeneity; value > 50% indicates a moderate to high heterogeneity. *: The significance level in the classical model was set as <0.05; †: Certainty of effect estimates: ⊕⊕⊕⊕, high; ⊕⊕⊕, moderate; ⊕⊕, low; ⊕, very low.