| Literature DB >> 31040779 |
Zornitsa Mitkova1, Konstantin Mitov1, Vasil Valov1, Manoela Manova1, Alexandra Savova1, Maria Kamusheva1, Dimitar Tcharaktchiev2, Zhivko Angelov3, Galia Angelova4, Guenka Petrova1.
Abstract
AIM: Incretins [dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4i) and glucagon-like peptide 1 RA (GLP-1 RA)] and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors (SGLT-2i) groups are now routinely used for type 2 diabetes therapy and comprise a large number of medicinal products. The long term therapeutic and economic effect of the incretins' and SGLT-2i in real life setting is not well documented. The goal of the current study is to analyze the cost and results of incretins and SGLT-2i based therapy for type 2 diabetes in Bulgaria.Entities:
Keywords: HbA1c level; SGLT-inhibitors; cost study; diabetic incidents; incretins
Year: 2019 PMID: 31040779 PMCID: PMC6477021 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2019.00364
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Pharmacol ISSN: 1663-9812 Impact factor: 5.810
Decrease in the RR and number of diabetic incidents with 1% decrease in HbA1c (Siratton et al., 2000; Gale, 2014).
| Diabetic incidents | RR decrease for 1% decrease in HbA1 (95% CI) | Expected number of incidents for 1000 persons per different HbA1c levels | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <6 | 6 to <7 | 7 to <8 | 8 to <9 | 9 to <10 | >10 | ||
| Any end point related to diabetes | 21 (17–24) | 35.9 | 48.7 | 65.5 | 74.5 | 62.5 | 65.9 |
| Death related to diabetes | 21 (15–27) | 8.9 | 12.0 | 19.9 | 23.5 | 29.5 | 33.0 |
| All cause mortality | 14 | 17.0 | 23.3 | 30.0 | 31.8 | 37.0 | 40.7 |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction | 14 (8–21) | 16.0 | 20.8 | 29.2 | 30.0 | 39.6 | 38.6 |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke | 12 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 8.3 | 7.4 | 6.7 | 12.0 |
| Microvascular end points | 37 (33–41) | 6.1 | 9.3 | 14.2 | 22.8 | 40.4 | 57.8 |
| Cataract extraction | 19 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 6.9 | 6.6 | 14.4 |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 43 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2.6 | 4.0 | 10.9 | 12.2 |
| Heart failure | 16 | 2.3 | 3.4 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 11.9 |
Hospital and ambulatory cost of health care services.
| Incident | NHIF tariff cost [BGN] | NHIF clinical path tariff | Yearly ambulatory cost of therapy [BGN; 17] |
|---|---|---|---|
| Any end point related to diabetes | 600 | N | 427.92 |
| Death related to diabetes | 600 | N | 0 |
| All cause mortality | 2134 | N | 0 |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction∗ | 200 | N | 51.22 |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke∗ | 650.56 | N | 43.13 |
| Microvascular end points∗∗ | 744 | N | 36.38 |
| Cataract extraction | 360 | N | 10.08 |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 2050 | N | 20.68 |
| Heart failure | 420 | N | 112.72 |
FIGURE 1Changes in number patients per HbA1c level before and after the therapy with incretins and SGLT-2i.
Reduction in HbA1c according to therapeutic group.
| HbA1c decrease in % | DPP-4i | DPP-4i + MET | GLP-1 RA | SGLT-2i | SGLT-2i + MET | Total average reduction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average decrease for 6122 patients with positive clinical result | −1.43 ( | −1.71 ( | −1.76 ( | −1.71 ( | −1.46 ( | −1.67 ( |
Glycated hemoglobin level per therapeutic groups in the beginning and end of the observed period (%).
| In the beginning | <6% | 6–7% | 7–8% | 8–9% | 9–10% | >10% | Total per group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPP-4i | 114 (20.1%) | 263 (17.1%) | 264 (16.4%) | 165 (14.8%) | 141 (10.9%) | ||
| DPP-4i + MET | 351 (61.9%) | 900 (58.5%) | 916 (56.8%) | 683 (61.2%) | 866 (67.2%) | ||
| GLP-1 RA | 83 (14.6%) | 303 (19.7%) | 373 (23.1%) | 229 (20.5%) | 230 (17.9%) | ||
| SGLT-2i | 10 (1.8%) | 44 (2.9%) | 37 (2.3%) | 29 (2.6%) | 35 (2.7%) | ||
| SGLT-2i + MET | 9 (1.6%) | 28 (1.8%) | 22 (1.4%) | 11 (0.9%) | 16 (1.2%) | ||
| Total per HbA1c level | 567 | 1538 | 1612 | 1117 | 1288 | 6122 | |
| DPP-4i | 117 (14.7%) | 394 (16.7%) | 242 (15.9%) | 115 (13.8%) | 48 (11.7%) | 31 (15.1%) | |
| DPP-4i + MET | 484 (60.9%) | 1365 (57.9%) | 939 (61.8%) | 517 (61.8%) | 272 (66%) | 139 (67.8%) | |
| GLP-1 RA | 165 (20.8%) | 505 (21.4%) | 276 (18.2%) | 163 (19.5%) | 77 (18.7%) | 32 (15.6%) | |
| SGLT-2i | 16 (2%) | 59 (2.5%) | 42 (2.8%) | 26 (3.1%) | 10 (2.4%) | 2 (0.9%) | |
| SGLT-2i + MET | 12 (1.5%) | 33 (1.4%) | 20 (1.3%) | 15 (1.8%) | 5 (1.2%) | 1 (0.5%) | |
| Total per HbA1c level | 794 | 2356 | 1519 | 836 | 412 | 205 | 6122 |
FIGURE 2Glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) at the beginning and end of observation per therapeutic groups.
Reduction in diabetic incidents.
| DPP-4i | DPP-4i + MET | GLP-1 RA | SGLT-2i | SGLT-2i + MET | Total average RR reduction per incident (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any end point related to diabetes | 30 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 31 | 35 (30–38) |
| Death related to diabetes | 30 | 36 | 37 | 36 | 31 | 35 (30–38) |
| All cause mortality | 20 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 23 (20–26) |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction | 20 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 20 | 23 (20–26) |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke | 17 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 20 (17–22) |
| Microvascular end points | 53 | 63 | 65 | 63 | 54 | 60 (53–67) |
| Cataract extraction | 27 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 28 | 31 (27–34) |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 61 | 74 | 76 | 74 | 63 | 70 (61–79) |
| Heart failure | 23 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 23 | 26 (23–29) |
| Total average RR reduction per therapeutic group | 282 | 337 | 347 | 337 | 288 | 329 |
Expected number of incidents before the treatment.
| Diabetic incidents | HbA1c level in % | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <6 | 6 to <7 | 7 to <8 | 8 to <9 | 9 to <10 | >10 | Total number of expected incidents for all patients before the therapy | |
| Any end point related to diabetes | 0.0 | 27.6 | 100.7 | 120.1 | 69.8 | 84.9 | 403 |
| Death related to diabetes | 0.0 | 6.8 | 30.6 | 37.9 | 33.0 | 42.5 | 151 |
| All cause mortality | 0.0 | 13.2 | 46.1 | 51.3 | 41.3 | 52.4 | 204 |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction | 0.0 | 11.8 | 44.9 | 48.4 | 44.2 | 49.7 | 199 |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke | 0.0 | 3.7 | 12.8 | 11.9 | 7.5 | 15.5 | 51 |
| Microvascular end points | 0.0 | 5.3 | 21.8 | 36.8 | 45.1 | 74.4 | 183 |
| Cataract extraction | 0.0 | 2.6 | 7.5 | 11.1 | 7.4 | 18.5 | 47 |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 0.0 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 6.4 | 12.2 | 15.7 | 39 |
| Heart failure | 0.0 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 15.3 | 38 |
| Total number of expected incidents | |||||||
Expected number of incidents after the treatment.
| Diabetes incidents | Hba1c | Total number of expected incidents after the therapy | Difference in incidents number “before and after the therapy | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <6 | 6 to <7 | 7 to <8 | 8 to <9 | 9 to <10 | >10 | |||
| Any end point related to diabetes | 28.5 | 114.7 | 99.5 | 62.3 | 25.8 | 13.5 | 344 | 59 ( |
| Death related to diabetes | 7.1 | 28.3 | 30.2 | 19.6 | 12.2 | 6.8 | 104 | 47 ( |
| All cause mortality | 13.5 | 54.9 | 45.6 | 26.6 | 15.2 | 8.3 | 164 | 40 ( |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction | 12.7 | 49.0 | 44.4 | 25.1 | 16.3 | 7.9 | 155 | 44 ( |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke | 3.4 | 15.5 | 12.6 | 6.2 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 43 | 8 ( |
| Microvascular end points | 4.8 | 21.9 | 21.6 | 19.1 | 16.6 | 11.8 | 96 | 88 ( |
| Cataract extraction | 3.3 | 10.6 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 33 | 14 ( |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 1.0 | 2.8 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 18 | 21 ( |
| Heart failure | 1.8 | 8.0 | 7.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 26 | 12 ( |
| Total/difference | 983 | 333 | ||||||
Expected average number of avoided incidents.
| Diabetic incidents | Average RR for treated patients in %/ | Avoided incidents for treated patients on average (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Any end point related to diabetes | 35 (30–38) | 141 (121–153) |
| Death related to diabetes | 35 (30–38) | 53 (45–57) |
| All cause mortality | 23 (20–26) | 47 (41–53) |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction | 23 (20–26) | 46 (40–52) |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke | 20 (17–22) | 10 (9–11) |
| Microvascular end points | 60 (53–67) | 110 (97–123) |
| Cataract extraction | 31 (27–34) | 15 (13–16) |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 70 (61–79) | 27 (24–31) |
| Heart failure | 26 (23–29) | 10 (9–11) |
| 458 (398–507) |
Reimbursed cost for incretins and SGLT-2i.
| Average reimbursed cost for 2018 | Number of patients | Reimbursement expenditures per year per therapeutic group | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DPP-4i + MET | 41.75 | 3716 | 1,861,716 |
| DPP-4i | 59.57 | 947 | 56,413 |
| GLP-1 RA | 172.04 | 1218 | 2,514,537 |
| SGLT-2i + MET | 47.73 | 155 | 88,778 |
| SGLT-2i | 83.37 | 86 | 86,038 |
| Total per year | 5,247,325 |
Cost of diabetic incidents.
| Diabetes incident | Hospital cost | Yearly ambulatory cost | Difference in the number of incidents | Cost for 10 years therapy | Cost for 10 years therapy of incidents according to level of HbA1c | Cost for 10 years therapy of incidents on average |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any end point related to diabetes | 600 | 427.92 | 58.9 | 141 | 287384.88 | 687967.2 |
| Death related to diabetes | 600 | 0 | 46.6 | 53 | 27960 | 31800 |
| All cause mortality | 2134 | 0 | 40.2 | 48 | 85786.8 | 102432 |
| Fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction | 200 | 51.22 | 43.6 | 47 | 31051.92 | 33473.4 |
| Fatal and non-fatal stroke | 650.56 | 43.13 | 8.4 | 10 | 9087.62 | 10818.6 |
| Microvascular end points | 744 | 36.38 | 87.6 | 113 | 97043.28 | 125181.4 |
| Cataract extraction | 360 | 10.08 | 14.4 | 15 | 6635.52 | 6912 |
| Amputation or death from peripheral vascular disease | 2050 | 20.68 | 21.0 | 28 | 47392.8 | 63190.4 |
| Heart failure | 420 | 112.72 | 12.0 | 10 | 18566.4 | 15472 |
| Total cost for 10 years ambulatory therapy and only 1 hospital incident for the period | 332.7 | 465 | 610,909.22 | 1,077.247 |