| Literature DB >> 31038630 |
Eduardo Rocha Covre1, Willian Augusto de Melo2, Maria Fernanda do Prado Tostes2, Carlos Alexandre Molena Fernandes1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: to analyze the time trend of surgical admissions by the Unified Health System according to hospital stay, costs and mortality by subgroups of surgical procedures in Brazil.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31038630 PMCID: PMC6528636 DOI: 10.1590/1518-8345.2618-3136
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Rev Lat Am Enfermagem ISSN: 0104-1169
Temporal trend of surgical admissions according to subgroup of procedures. Brazil, 2008 to 2016*
| Subgroup† | Number of admissions | Model | R2‡ |
| Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor surgeries | 968,366 | y=55.144+0.112x-0.140x2-0.035x3 | 0.235 | 0.185 | Constant |
| Endocrine glands | 115,413 | y=6.669-0.042x-0.029x2-0.006x3 | 0.575 | 0.017 | Decreasing |
| Nervous system | 761,324 | y=44.532-0.036x-0.288x2-0.015x3 | 0.090 | 0.432 | Constant |
| Head and neck | 1,181,851 | y=70.534+2.545x-0.666x2-0.182x3 | 0.038 | 0.614 | Constant |
| Eye | 713,150 | y=43.690+2.087x-0.595x2 | 0.701 | 0.004 | Increasing |
| Circulatory system | 2,354,977 | y=138.002+1.719x-0.969x2 | 0.359 | 0.088 | Constant |
| Digestive system | 6,426,105 | y=367.87-4.134x-1.203x2 | 0.576 | 0.017 | Decreasing |
| Musculoskeletal system | 6,289,449 | y=360.956+1.452x-1.439x2 | 0.104 | 0.396 | Constant |
| Genitourinary system | 4,536,609 | y=254.882-9.823x | 0.934 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Breast | 356,194 | y=20.869-0.958x-0.124x2 | 0.812 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Obstetric | 8,583,315 | y=499.090-0.903x-2.914x2 | 0.014 | 0.756 | Constant |
| Thoracic | 449,447 | y=25.808+0.676x-0.116x2 | 0.789 | 0.001 | Increasing |
| Reconstructive | 597,136 | y=34.945-1.442x-0.210x2 | 0.890 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Buco-maxillofacial | 156,488 | y=6.864-1.72x+0.307x2 | 0.696 | 0.005 | Decreasing |
| Other surgeries | 3,145,864 | y=173.918+18.738x | 0.938 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Oncology surgery | 930,097 | y=50.171+2.74x+0.227x2 | 0.798 | 0.001 | Increasing |
| Total|| | 37,565,785 | y=21.69+0.081x-0.104x2 | 0.084 | 0.449 | Constant |
*Source: Ministry of Health, Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System, 2017; †Constant 1000; ‡R2= Coefficient of determination; §p-value<0.05= Significant trend; ||Constant 100,000.
Temporal trend of the average hospital stay according to subgroup of surgical procedures. Brazil, 2008 to 2016*
| Subgroup | Length of stay | Model | R2† |
| Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor surgeries | 2 | y=2.011-0.088x | 0.957 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Endocrine glands | 3 | y=2.988-0.051x | 0.847 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Nervous system | 8.9 | y=8.911-0.116x | 0.918 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Head and neck | 3.4 | y=3.394+0.051x-0.002x2-0.00x3 | 0.768 | 0.001 | Increasing |
| Eye | 0.6 | y=0.578-0.055+0.009x2 | 0.816 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Circulatory system | 4.9 | y=4.944-0.055x | 0.897 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Digestive system | 3.7 | y=3.692-0.033x-0.002x2 | 0.882 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Musculoskeletal system | 4.5 | y=4.589+0.046x-0.006x2-0.001x3 | 0.656 | 0.008 | Increasing |
| Genitourinary system | 2.4 | y=2.386-0.028x-0.002x2 | 0.802 | 0.001 | Decreasing |
| Breast | 1.7 | y=1.720+0.005x+0.001x2-0.001x3 | 0.300 | 0.126 | Constant |
| Obstetric | 2.6 | y=2.597+0.004x+0.003x2+0.000x3 | 0.525 | 0.027 | Increasing |
| Thoracic | 9.5 | y=9.544-0121x | 0.942 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Reconstructive | 4.9 | y=4.714-0.084x+0.024x2+0.006x3 | 0.036 | 0.624 | Constant |
| Buco-maxillofacial | 2.2 | y=1.440-0.475x+0.045x2+0.015x3 | 0.757 | 0.002 | Decreasing |
| Other surgeries | 6 | y=6.1-0.065x | 0.905 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Oncology surgery | 4.4 | y=4.466-0.18x | 0.981 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Total | 3.8 | y=4.034-0.064x | 0.956 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
*Source: Ministry of Health, Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System, 2017; †R2= Coefficient of determination; ‡p-value<0.05= Significant trend.
Temporal trend of the average cost according to the subgroup of surgical procedures. Brazil, 2008 to 2016*
| Subgroup | Average cost† | Model | R2‡ |
| Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor surgeries | 101.28 | y=369.257+0.201x-1.635x2+0.181x3 | 0.212 | 0.211 | Constant |
| Endocrine glands | 168.07 | y=603.980+16.404x-1.328x2 | 0.800 | 0.001 | Increasing |
| Nervous system | 979.42 | y=3540.228-31.566x-11.661x2+4.857x3 | 0.184 | 0.248 | Constant |
| Head and neck | 404.12 | y=1473.314+66.095x-9.402x2 | 0.777 | 0.001 | Increasing |
| Eye | 256.05 | y=920.373+29.912x-4.377x2 | 0.837 | 0.01 | Increasing |
| Circulatory system | 1.506.26 | y=5474.047+142.94x-26.032x2 | 0.824 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Digestive system | 256.03 | y=930.164+30.516-3.733x2 | 0.834 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Musculoskeletal system | 285.41 | y=1005.951+29.640x | 0.932 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Genitourinary system | 146.95 | y=538.102+18.049x-2.241x2 | 0.811 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Breast | 132.16 | y=471.092+14.789x | 0.950 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Obstetric | 186.85 | Y=660.197+11.637 | 0.902 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Thoracic | 729.74 | y=2666.978+112.691x-17.654x2 | 0.843 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Reconstructive | 364.14 | y=1351.301+43.013x-8.355x2 | 0.746 | 0.002 | Increasing |
| Buco-maxillofacial | 167.34 | y=474.504-92.479x+5.493x2+4.101x3 | 0.600 | 0.014 | Decreasing |
| Other surgeries | 791.29 | y=2637.426+194.139x | 0.950 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Oncology surgery | 788.56 | y=2582.467+245.370x+10.593x2 | 0.752 | 0.002 | Increasing |
| Total | 389.16 | y=1367.276+72.986x | 0.960 | <0.01 | Increasing |
*Source: Ministry of Health, Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System, 2017; †US Dollar quotation on 05/10/2018 = 3.54 reais; ‡R2= Coefficient of determination; §p-value<0.05= Significant trend.
Temporal trend of mortality according to subgroups of surgical procedures. Brazil, 2008 to 2016*
| Subgroup | Mortality rate | Model | R2† |
| Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minor surgeries | 0.18 | y=0.154-0.017x+0.003x2 | 0.828 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Endocrine glands | 0.19 | y=0.222-0.001x-0.004x2+0.000x3 | 0.008 | 0.809 | Constant |
| Nervous system | 9.63 | y=9.643-0.186x | 0975 | <0.01 | Decreasing |
| Head and neck | 3.98 | y=4.070-0.070x-0.012x2+0.004x3 | 0.043 | 0.588 | Constant |
| Eye | 0.02 | y=0.017-0.003x+0.001x2 | 0.366 | 0.084 | Constant |
| Circulatory system | 3.08 | y=3.0440.022x+0.006x2+0.000x3 | 0.346 | 0.095 | Decreasing |
| Digestive system | 2.13 | y=2.134-0.016x-0.000x2+0.000x3 | 0.655 | 0.007 | Decreasing |
| Musculoskeletal system | 0.89 | y=0.896+0.016x-0.001x2 | 0.850 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Genitourinary system | 0.28 | y=0.277+0.013x | 0.942 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Breast | 0.04 | y=0.035+0004x+0.000x2-0.000x3 | 0.003 | 0.888 | Constant |
| Obstetric | 0.06 | y=0.040-0.008x+0.003x2-7.575x3 | 0.549 | 0.022 | Decreasing |
| Thoracic | 11.87 | y=11.793+0.242x | 0.974 | <0.01 | Increasing |
| Reconstructive | 1.47 | y=1.456-0.029x+0.002x2+0.001x3 | 0.289 | 0.135 | Constant |
| Buco-maxillofacial | 0.1 | y=0.081-0.003x+0.002x2+0.000x3 | 0.188 | 0.242 | Constant |
| Other surgeries | 3.98 | y=4.036-0.045x-0.003x2 | 0.701 | 0.004 | Decreasing |
| Oncology surgery | 1.96 | y=1.980-0.055x-0.001x2+0.002x3 | 0.380 | 0.077 | Constant |
| Total | 1.63 | y=1.62+0.024x | 0.919 | <0.01 | Increasing |
*Source: Ministry of Health, Department of Informatics of the Unified Health System, 2017; †R2= Coefficient of determination; ‡p-value<0.05= Significant trend.
Figure 1Dispersion diagram of surgical admissions, length of stay, cost and mortality. Brazil, 2008 to 2016