| Literature DB >> 31019548 |
Tienan Feng1,2, Yan Cheng3, Suwen Yu3, Feng Jiang4, Min Su5, Jin Chen6,7.
Abstract
The gold standard for diagnosing pulmonary Mycobacterium tuberculosis (TB) is the detection of tubercle bacillus in patient sputum samples. However, current methods either require long waiting times to culture the bacteria or have a risk of getting false-positive results due to cross-contamination. In this study, a method to detect tubercle bacillus based on the molecular typing technique is presented. This method can detect genetic units, variable number of tandem repeat (VNTR), which are the characteristic of tuberculosis (TB), and performs quality control using a mathematical model, ensuring the reliability of the results. Compared to other methods, the proposed method was able to process and diagnose a large volume of samples in a run time of six hours, with high sensitivity and specificity. Our method is also in the pipeline for implementation in clinical testing. Reliable and confirmed results are stored into a database, and these data are used to further refine the model. As the volume of data processed from reliable samples increases, the diagnostic power of the model improves. In addition to improving the quality control scheme, the collected data can be also used to support other TB research, such as that regarding the evolution of the tubercle bacillus.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31019548 PMCID: PMC6452539 DOI: 10.1155/2019/9872425
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Comput Math Methods Med ISSN: 1748-670X Impact factor: 2.238
Calculation of the prior probability of each array.
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| MTUB21 | MTUB04 | QUB-18 | QUB-26 | QUB-11b | MIRU31 | MIRU10 | MIRU26 | |
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Prior distribution of two test results.
| Repeated number | MTUB21 | MTUB04 | QUB-18 | QUB-26 | QUB-11b | MIRU31 | MIRU10 | MIRU26 | |
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| 0 | 1st month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2nd month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
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| 1 | 1st month | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 2nd month | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | |
| Difference | −0.02 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.01 | −0.01 | −0.01 | 0.00 | |
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| 2 | 1st month | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 0.01 |
| 2nd month | 0.04 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.02 | |
| Difference | −0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | −0.02 | 0.01 | −0.01 | |
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| 3 | 1st month | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.76 | 0.04 |
| 2nd month | 0.08 | 0.18 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.74 | 0.03 | |
| Difference | −0.02 | −0.09 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
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| 4 | 1st month | 0.18 | 0.70 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| 2nd month | 0.20 | 0.63 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.06 | |
| Difference | −0.01 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.05 | −0.02 | −0.03 | −0.01 | 0.02 | |
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| 5 | 1st month | 0.52 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 0.67 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| 2nd month | 0.49 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.07 | |
| Difference | 0.03 | 0.01 | −0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 | 0.02 | |
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| 6 | 1st month | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.49 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| 2nd month | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.41 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.07 | |
| Difference | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.00 | −0.02 | |
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| 7 | 1st month | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2nd month | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.08 | |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 | −0.02 | −0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
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| 8 | 1st month | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.41 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| 2nd month | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.50 | |
| Difference | 0.01 | 0.00 | −0.03 | −0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
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| 9 | 1st month | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| 2nd month | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | |
| Difference | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
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| 10 | 1st month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| 2nd month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.02 | |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | −0.01 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00 | −0.01 | |
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| 11 | 1st month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2nd month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
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| 12 | 1st month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 2nd month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| Difference | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
The minus sign means the result of the sample collected in first month minus the result of the sample collected in the second.
Figure 1Distribution of VNTR assays. (a) The occurrence of high-frequency array: the higher the occurrence of the arrays, the rarer they are. (b) The reasonable repetition for batches of different sample numbers: repetition in a single batch is highly improbable for most TB subtypes. (c) The change of expected occurrence along with positive sample number in one batch: the occurrence rate of a given array may be very low, but the likelihood of it occurring twice or more increases as the number of positive samples rises.
Figure 2Simulating process using Monte Carlo.
Figure 3Results of simulation. (a) The result of the maximal difference between the distribution of all collected data and the distribution of data collected in each week in each week: these differences are small. (b) The result of the sum of absolute different values: the sum of absolute different values decreased as the accumulation of sample counts increased. (c) The rate of unreasonable repetition: the unreasonable repeated sample rate per week ranged from 0.05 to 0.25. (d) The accuracy of detection of contaminated samples: the accuracy ranged from 0.88 to 1.0.
Figure 4Scheme flowchart based on our model.