| Literature DB >> 31017966 |
Eun Roh1, Hye Soo Chung2, Ji Sung Lee3, Jung A Kim1, You-Bin Lee1, So-Hyeon Hong1, Nam Hoon Kim1, Hye Jin Yoo1, Ji A Seo1, Sin Gon Kim1, Nan Hee Kim1, Sei Hyun Baik1, Kyung Mook Choi1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Long-term variability of cardiometabolic risk factors have been suggested as the risk factors for cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, the effect of long-term variability of total cholesterol (TC) on incident atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been examined. METHODS ANDEntities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2019 PMID: 31017966 PMCID: PMC6481829 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0215687
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Flowchart of the study population.
Baseline characteristics of subjects according to the total cholesterol variability.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | P-value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N | 40041 | 40041 | 40042 | 40041 | |
| Age (years) | 55.9±8.8 | 54.9±8.3 | 55.4±8.5 | 57.4±9.1 | < .0001 |
| Sex (male) (n, %) | 23251 (58.1) | 25107 (62.7) | 24164 (60.3) | 21790 (54.4) | < .0001 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 23.9±2.9 | 23.9±2.8 | 23.9±2.8 | 24.1±2.9 | < .0001 |
| Systolic BP (mmHg) | 125.2±15.6 | 125.4±15.5 | 125.7±15.7 | 126.6±16.1 | < .0001 |
| Diastolic BP (mmHg) | 78.0±10.2 | 78.4±10.2 | 78.5±10.2 | 78.5±10.3 | < .0001 |
| Aspartate transaminase (IU/L) | 25.5±12.3 | 25.7±13.9 | 26.2±15.6 | 27.6±20.4 | < .0001 |
| Alanine transaminase (IU/L) | 24.4±16.4 | 24.9±19.3 | 25.3±19.0 | 26.5±22.3 | < .0001 |
| γ-glutamyl transferase (IU/L) | 35.2±41.1 | 37.4±44.2 | 38.8±49.5 | 42.7±63.5 | < .0001 |
| Fasting plasma glucose (mmol/L) | 97.9±23.6 | 97.9±23.9 | 98.8±25.9 | 101.3±29.5 | < .0001 |
| Mean TC (mg/dL) | 199.3±30.0 | 198.6±29.8 | 197.7±30.1 | 199.6±31.9 | < .0001 |
| TC variability | |||||
| TC-CV (%) | 4.36±1.43 | 7.77±0.82 | 10.94±1.08 | 18.17±5.49 | < .0001 |
| TC-SD (IU/L) | 8.68±3.15 | 15.44±2.85 | 21.63±3.94 | 36.36±13.72 | < .0001 |
| TC-VIM (%) | 8.65±2.89 | 15.41±1.91 | 21.64±2.56 | 36.11±11.59 | < .0001 |
| Current smoker (n, %) | 7788 (19.5) | 8728 (21.8) | 8488 (21.2) | 7534 (18.8) | < .0001 |
| Alcohol consumption (n, %) | 17194 (42.9) | 18288 (45.7) | 17646 (44.1) | 15656 (39.1) | < .0001 |
| Regular exercise (n, %) | 4252 (10.6) | 3924 (9.8) | 3949 (9.9) | 4325 (10.8) | < .0001 |
| Income (lower 10%) (n, %) | 2934 (7.3) | 2995 (7.5) | 3278 (8.2) | 3593 (9.0) | < .0001 |
| Hypertension (n, %) | 22560 (56.3) | 23345 (58.3) | 23985 (59.9) | 26165 (65.3) | < .0001 |
| Dyslipidemia (n, %) | 8717 (21.8) | 11140 (27.8) | 13895 (34.7) | 22017 (55.0) | < .0001 |
| Diabetes (n, %) | 5772 (14.4) | 6278 (15.7) | 7068 (17.7) | 9318 (23.3) | < .0001 |
| Heart failure (n, %) | 804 (2.0) | 775 (1.9) | 835 (2.1) | 1422 (3.6) | < .0001 |
| Ischemic heart disease (n, %) | 4807 (12.0) | 4583 (11.4) | 4934 (12.3) | 7497 (18.7) | < .0001 |
| Cerebrovascular disease (n, %) | 3418 (8.5) | 3191 (8.0) | 3649 (9.1) | 5221 (13.0) | < .0001 |
| Chronic kidney disease (n, %) | 156 (0.4) | 151 (0.4) | 150 (0.4) | 315 (0.8) | < .0001 |
| Thyroid disorder (n, %) | 2750 (6.9) | 2662 (6.6) | 3018 (7.5) | 4107 (10.3) | < .0001 |
| Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (n, %) | 2446 (6.1) | 2087 (5.2) | 2424 (6.1) | 3137 (7.8) | < .0001 |
| Obstructive sleep apnea (n, %) | 106 (0.3) | 135 (0.3) | 136 (0.3) | 148 (0.4) | 0.0630 |
P value derived using ANOVA and χ2 tests. Data are expressed as mean ± SD, or n (%). Abbreviations: BP, blood pressure; CV, coefficients of variance; SD, standard deviation; TC, total cholesterol; VIM, variability independent of the mean.
Fig 2Kaplan–Meier estimates of disease-free probability of AF by quartiles of TC variability.
(A) TC-CV, (B) TC-SD, (C) TC-VIM Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; CV, coefficients of variance; SD, standard deviation; TC, total cholesterol; VIM, variability independent of the mean.
Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of atrial fibrillation by quartiles of total cholesterol variability.
| Events (n) | Follow-up | Incidence rate (per 1000 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TC variability (CV) | |||||
| Q1 | 893 | 333703 | 2.68 | 1 (ref) | |
| Q2 | 863 | 333423 | 2.59 | 1.03 (0.94–1.13) | 0.4972 |
| Q3 | 885 | 333459 | 2.65 | 1.00 (0.91–1.10) | 0.9257 |
| Q4 | 1243 | 332745 | 3.74 | 1.15 (1.05–1.25) | 0.0035 |
| | 0.0076 | ||||
| TC variability (SD) | |||||
| Q1 | 936 | 333524 | 2.81 | 1 (ref) | |
| Q2 | 843 | 333606 | 2.53 | 0.97 (0.88–1.06) | 0.4726 |
| Q3 | 915 | 333167 | 2.75 | 1.01 (0.92–1.11) | 0.7882 |
| Q4 | 1190 | 333033 | 3.57 | 1.11 (1.01–1.22) | 0.0235 |
| | 0.0158 | ||||
| TC variability (VIM) | |||||
| Q1 | 907 | 333662 | 2.72 | 1 (ref) | |
| Q2 | 862 | 333456 | 2.59 | 1.02 (0.93–1.12) | 0.7318 |
| Q3 | 886 | 333415 | 2.66 | 1.00 (0.91–1.09) | 0.9426 |
| Q4 | 1229 | 332798 | 3.69 | 1.14 (1.04–1.25) | 0.0044 |
| | 0.0084 |
†Adjusted for age, sex, income, BMI, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, smoking, alcohol intake, exercise, heart failure, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, thyroid disorder, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, obstructive sleep apnea, and mean total cholesterol.
Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; CV, coefficients of variance; HR, hazard ratio; SD, standard deviation; TC, total cholesterol; VIM, variability independent of the mean.
Fig 3Increase in the risk of AF for every 1-SD increase in TC variability in the unadjusted model and models adjusted for risk factors including mean TC level.
Model 1: Adjusted for age, sex Model 2: model 1 + income, BMI, hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, smoking, alcohol intake, exercise Model 3: model 2 + heart failure, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, thyroid disorder, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, obstructive sleep apnea Model 4: model 3 + mean total cholesterol Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; CI, confidence interval; CV, coefficients of variance; HR, hazard ratios; SD, standard deviation; TC, total cholesterol; VIM, variability independent of the mean.
Fig 4Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the risk of AF in the highest quartile vs. lower three quartiles of TC variability (TC-CV) in subgroups.
Abbreviations: AF, atrial fibrillation; BMI, body mass index; CKD, chronic kidney disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CV, coefficients of variance; HTN, hypertension; TC, total cholesterol.