BACKGROUND: This study explores the predictive capabilities of sociodemographic characteristics and risk and protective factors for youth recidivism while comparing two analytical methodologies; logistic prediction models and qualitative comparative analysis models. METHODS: information from the judicial files of 389 young offenders (14-19.03 years) were gathered from the Juvenile Court and risk and protective factors were extracted from the administration of the Youth Level Service/Case Management Inventory. Recidivism data was also obtained for a follow-up period of two years for each young person. RESULTS: the results showed two different profiles of reoffenders. Most were young boys with high risk scores and low protective factors, but a minority were young foreign girls with crimes against persons and low protective factors. CONCLUSIONS: being able to detect the different variables that contribute to recidivism can help implement prevention programs tailored to the criminogenic needs of each specific profile.
BACKGROUND: This study explores the predictive capabilities of sociodemographic characteristics and risk and protective factors for youth recidivism while comparing two analytical methodologies; logistic prediction models and qualitative comparative analysis models. METHODS: information from the judicial files of 389 young offenders (14-19.03 years) were gathered from the Juvenile Court and risk and protective factors were extracted from the administration of the Youth Level Service/Case Management Inventory. Recidivism data was also obtained for a follow-up period of two years for each young person. RESULTS: the results showed two different profiles of reoffenders. Most were young boys with high risk scores and low protective factors, but a minority were young foreign girls with crimes against persons and low protective factors. CONCLUSIONS: being able to detect the different variables that contribute to recidivism can help implement prevention programs tailored to the criminogenic needs of each specific profile.
Authors: Elena Ortega-Campos; Juan García-García; Leticia De la Fuente-Sánchez; Flor Zaldívar-Basurto Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health Date: 2020-03-23 Impact factor: 3.390
Authors: Paula Alarcón; Ricardo Pérez-Luco; Sergio Chesta; Lorena Wenger; Andrés Concha-Salgado; Eduardo García-Cueto Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health Date: 2022-01-11 Impact factor: 3.390
Authors: Juan Sebastián Herrera; Laura Lacomba-Trejo; Selene Valero-Moreno; Inmaculada Montoya-Castilla; Marián Pérez-Marín Journal: Children (Basel) Date: 2022-03-21