Literature DB >> 30966925

Three gaps and what they may mean for risk preference.

Ralph Hertwig1, Dirk U Wulff1,2, Rui Mata1,2.   

Abstract

Risk preference is one of the most important building blocks of choice theories in the behavioural sciences. In economics, it is often conceptualized as preferences concerning the variance of monetary payoffs, whereas in psychology, risk preference is often thought to capture the propensity to engage in behaviour with the potential for loss or harm. Both concepts are associated with distinct measurement traditions: economics has traditionally relied on behavioural measures, while psychology has often relied on self-reports. We review three important gaps that have emerged from work stemming from these two measurement traditions: first, a description-experience gap which suggests that behavioural measures do not speak with one voice and can give very different views on an individual's appetite for risk; second, a behaviour-self-report gap which suggests that different self-report measures, but not behavioural measures, show a high degree of convergent validity; and, third, a temporal stability gap which suggests that self-reports, but not behavioural measures, show considerable temporal stability across periods of years. Risk preference, when measured through self-reports-but not behavioural tests-appears as a moderately stable psychological trait with both general and domain-specific components. We argue that future work needs to address the gaps that have emerged from the two measurement traditions and test their differential predictive validity for important economic, health and well-being outcomes. This article is part of the theme issue 'Risk taking and impulsive behaviour: fundamental discoveries, theoretical perspectives and clinical implications'.

Entities:  

Keywords:  convergent validity; description–experience gap; revealed preferences; risk preference; stated preference; temporal stability

Mesh:

Year:  2019        PMID: 30966925      PMCID: PMC6335455          DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2018.0140

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci        ISSN: 0962-8436            Impact factor:   6.237


  41 in total

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Authors:  Gerd Gigerenzer; Ralph Hertwig; Eva van den Broek; Barbara Fasolo; Konstantinos V Katsikopoulos
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Authors:  John Beshears; James J Choi; David Laibson; Brigitte C Madrian
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Authors:  Michel Regenwetter; Maria M Robinson
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7.  A gradient of childhood self-control predicts health, wealth, and public safety.

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Review 8.  The description-experience gap in risky choice.

Authors:  Ralph Hertwig; Ido Erev
Journal:  Trends Cogn Sci       Date:  2009-10-14       Impact factor: 20.229

9.  Of black swans and tossed coins: is the description-experience gap in risky choice limited to rare events?

Authors:  Elliot A Ludvig; Marcia L Spetch
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2011-06-01       Impact factor: 3.240

10.  Adolescents display distinctive tolerance to ambiguity and to uncertainty during risky decision making.

Authors:  Wouter van den Bos; Ralph Hertwig
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  6 in total

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3.  Brain-Behavior Associations for Risk Taking Depend on the Measures Used to Capture Individual Differences.

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4.  A Description-Experience Framework of the Psychology of Risk.

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5.  Testing the factor structure underlying behavior using joint cognitive models: Impulsivity in delay discounting and Cambridge gambling tasks.

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6.  How people know their risk preference.

Authors:  Ruben C Arslan; Martin Brümmer; Thomas Dohmen; Johanna Drewelies; Ralph Hertwig; Gert G Wagner
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2020-09-21       Impact factor: 4.379

  6 in total

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