| Literature DB >> 30957066 |
A Cucchetti1, N Russolillo2, P Johnson3, P Tarchi4, A Ferrero2, M Cucchi1, M Serenari1, M Ravaioli1, N de Manzini4, M Cescon1, G Ercolani1.
Abstract
Background: Markers of tumour biology may be valuable prognostic indicators after hepatic resection of colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLMs). Identification of the aggressiveness of these metastases might inform the appropriateness of hepatic surgery.Entities:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30957066 PMCID: PMC6433312 DOI: 10.1002/bjs5.100
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BJS Open ISSN: 2474-9842
Characteristics of patients with metachronous colorectal liver metastases
| No. of patients ( | |
|---|---|
| Age (years) | 68 (60–74) |
| Age ≥ 70 years | 152 (42·1) |
| Sex ratio (M : F) | 246 : 115 |
| Primary tumour location | |
| Right colon | 136 (37·7) |
| Left colon | 137 (40·0) |
| Rectum | 88 (24·4) |
| Primary tumour T category | |
| T1 | 12 (3·3) |
| T2 | 49 (13·6) |
| T3 | 253 (70·1) |
| T4 | 47 (13·0) |
| Primary tumour N category | |
| N0 | 156 (43·2) |
| N1 | 131 (36·3) |
| N2 | 74 (20·5) |
| AJCC tumour stage (7th edition) | |
| I | 37 (10·2) |
| II | 119 (33·0) |
| III | 205 (56·8) |
| Primary tumour | |
| Wild‐type | 63 (17·5) |
| Mutant | 59 (16·3) |
| n.d. | 239 (66·2) |
| Chemotherapy between surgery for CRC and CRLM | 212 (58·7) |
| Disease‐free interval ≥ 24 months | 207 (57·3) |
| Largest CRLM size (cm) | 3·0 (2·0–4·5) |
| No. of CRLMs | 2 (1–3) |
| R0 resection | 309 (85·6) |
| Extension of hepatectomy | |
| Single or multiple wedges | 160 (44·3) |
| Segmentectomy ± wedges | 42 (11·6) |
| Bisegmentectomy ± wedges | 58 (16·1) |
| Major hepatectomy ± wedges | 101 (28·0) |
| Adjuvant chemotherapy after liver resection | 226 of 329 (68·7) |
Values in parentheses are percentages unless indicated otherwise;
values are median (i.q.r.).
Includes 17 patients with R1Vasc resection margin. n.d., Not determined; CRC, colorectal cancer; CRLM, colorectal liver metastasis.
Figure 1Distribution of doubling time values estimated in patients without and with chemotherapy. The mean doubling time in patients with no chemotherapy between colorectal cancer surgery and metastasis resection was of 71·4 (95 per cent c.i. 62·8 to 79·9) days and that in patients receiving chemotherapy was 78·0 (71·4 to 84·8) days. Corresponding median values are reported in Table 2
Univariable regression analysis of primary colorectal cancer features in relation to estimated doubling time
| Doubling time (days) | Regression results | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Coefficient |
| ||
| Age (years) | |||
| < 70 | 63·6 (44·3–95·4) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| ≥ 70 | 56·4 (31·1–93·3) | −0·09 (−0·22, 0·04) | 0·184 |
| Sex | |||
| F | 61·3 (37·6–94·1) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| M | 63·1 (41·3–94·7) | 0·05 (−0·10, 0·19) | 0·526 |
| CRC location | |||
| Right colon | 57·0 (35·4–88·9) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| Left colon | 66·7 (39·8–93·4) | 0·15 (0·00, 0·29) | 0·044 |
| Rectum | 67·8 (40·4–97·1) | 0·12 (−0·06, 0·30) | 0·189 |
| Primary CRC T category | |||
| T1 | 125·9 (65·2–154·8) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| T2 | 65·2 (45·6–103·6) | −0·54 (−0·85, −0·23) | 0·001 |
| T3 | 61·7 (38·3–94·0) | −0·61 (−0·89, −0·32) | 0·001 |
| T4 | 52·4 (31·9–72·0) | −0·79 (−1·11, −0·48) | 0·001 |
| Primary CRC nodal status | |||
| N0 | 65·2 (44·2–103·3) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| N1 | 64·3 (39·9–93·5) | −0·04 (−0·18, 0·10) | 0·579 |
| N2 | 52·8 (31·4–82·4) | −0·28 (−0·46, −0·09) | 0·003 |
| AJCC tumour stage (7th edition) | |||
| I | 72·5 (52·7–122·2) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| II | 61·3 (39·6–91·6) | −0·27 (−0·51, 0·04) | 0·024 |
| III | 60·2 (37·2–95·6) | −0·34 (−0·54, −0·13) | 0·001 |
|
| |||
| Wild‐type | 70·8 (40·2–122·7) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| n.d. | 63·0 (44·1–95·6) | −0·11 (−0·29, 0·08) | 0·247 |
| Mutant | 49·5 (28·3–88·5) | −0·33 (−0·58, −0·14) | 0·001 |
| No. of CRLMs | |||
| 1 | 68·4 (44·2–103·6) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| 2–3 | 58·1 (39·2–91·8) | −0·05 (−0·19, 0·09) | 0·448 |
| > 3 | 52·4 (33·6–82·0) | −0·15 (−0·32, 0·02) | 0·079 |
| Chemotherapy between surgery for CRC and CRLM | |||
| Yes | 65·6 (45·0–100·9) | 1·00 (reference) | |
| No | 52·1 (35·9–94·7) | −0·14 (−0·25, −0·03) | 0·013 |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals unless indicated otherwise;
values are median (i.q.r.).
Coefficients relate to logistic transformation of doubling time. Time from primary colonic resection and colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) size were not analysed as they are already included in the calculation of doubling time. n.d., Not determined; CRC, colorectal cancer.
Figure 2Nomogram of the relationships between primary colorectal cancer features and estimated colorectal liver metastasis doubling times. Slow, intermediate and fast growth were based on the following tertiles for doubling time: fast, less than 48 days (120 patients); intermediate, 48–82 days (120 patients); slow, more than 82 days (121 patients). The score was obtained through the least common denominator of regression coefficients. Coefficients were as follows: T2, −0·53 (95 per cent c.i. −0·83 to −0·24; P = 0·001); T3, −0·56 (−0·83 to −0·29; P = 0·001); T4, −0·71 (−0·988 to −0·42; P = 0·001); N2, −0·14 (−0·29 to −0·99; P = 0·042); KRAS undetermined, −0·06 (−0·25 to 0·13; P = 0·519); KRAS mutant, −0·32 (−0·57 to −0·07; P = 0·013); no chemotherapy, −0·17 (−0·30 to −0·04; P = 0·010). WT, wild‐type
Figure 3Kernel‐smoothed estimates of hazard rates over time for death and recurrence
Figure 4Kernel‐smoothed estimates of hazard rates for a recurrence and b death in relation to colorectal liver metastasis doubling time: fast growth, less than 48 days (120 patients); intermediate growth, 48–82 days (120 patients); slow growth, more than 82 days (121 patients)
Kernel‐smoothed estimator of the monthly hazard rate of development of tumour recurrence after colorectal cancer liver metastasis resection in relation to characteristics at liver surgery and postoperative time interval
| Estimate of monthly hazard rate (%) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–6 months | 7–12 months | 13–24 months | 25–36 months | |
| CRLM doubling time | ||||
| Slow growth | 2·1 (1·8–2·5) | 3·0 (2·7–3·2) | 3·3 (3·0–3·4) | 2·2 (1·7–2·9) |
| Intermediate growth | 3·1 (2·8–3·5) | 3·8 (3·6–3·9) | 2·8 (2·5–3·5) | 2·2 (1·8–2·5) |
| Fast growth | 4·9 (4·0–5·9) | 7·0 (6·6–7·2) | 5·4 (3·1–6·7) | 1·9 (1·4–2·5) |
| No. of CRLMs | ||||
| 1 | 3·3 (3·1–3·8) | 4·5 (4·0–4·7) | 3·5 (2·6–4·4) | 2·3 (2·0–2·5) |
| 2–3 | 3·2 (3·0–3·4) | 3·9 (3·7–4·0) | 3·2 (2·8–3·8) | 1·8 (1·0–2·6) |
| > 3 | 4·5 (4·3–4·7) | 5·1 (4·8–5·3) | 5·6 (5·0–5·9) | 2·8 (0·8–4·7) |
| Resection margin | ||||
| R0Par/R1Vasc | 3·2 (2·9–3·5) | 4·1 (3·8–4·3) | 3·4 (2·6–4·0) | 1·8 (1·5–2·5) |
| R1Par | 5·0 (4·6–5·4) | 5·8 (5·6–6·0) | 5·1 (4·5–5·9) | 4·8 (4·2–5·3) |
| Chemotherapy after CRLM surgery | ||||
| Yes | 2·8 (2·4–3·3) | 4·3 (3·7–4·6) | 3·7 (2·9–4·4) | 1·9 (1·4–2·7) |
| No | 5·8 (5·6–6·0) | 5·4 (4·5–6·1) | 3·4 (2·9–4·2) | 2·4 (2·2–2·6) |
Values are mean (range). Each estimate was adjusted for the remaining variables. Slow, intermediate and fast growth of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) were based on the following identified tertiles for doubling time: fast, less than 48 days (120 patients); intermediate, 48–82 days (120 patients); slow, more than 82 days (121 patients). R0Par, resection margin greater than 1 mm; R1Vasc, CRLM detached from major vessel structure; R1Par, resection margin 1 mm or less.