| Literature DB >> 30891047 |
MinJie Li1, DengFeng Xie1, Chuan Xie1, YiQi Deng1, Yan Zhong1, Yan Yu1, XingJin He1.
Abstract
The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) has been biogeographically divided into the eastern monsoonal and the western continental climatic zones along the 500 mm isohyet. However, this biogeographic hypothesis has been rarely tested using a phylogeographic approach. The members of the genus Allium subgenus Cyathophora coincidentally distribute across this biogeographical divide. Intriguingly, Allium fasciculatum of subgenus Amerallium co-occurs in the distribution range of subgenus Cyathophora. To illuminate the role of this biogeographic divide on the genetic divergence, we genotyped 466 individuals of 52 populations of subgenus Cyathophora and 110 individuals of 19 populations of A. fasciculatum using three chloroplast DNA fragments, whole nrITS and nine nuclear microsatellite loci, supplemented with the present environmental space and paleo-distribution modeling. Our phylogeographical evidence recovered the concordant east-west genetic breaks both for subgenus Cyathophora and A. fasciculatum along the 500 mm isohyet. The divergence time estimations and environmental niche differentiations suggested this east-west genetic breaks could have been triggered by the climatic-induced vicariance during the early Pleistocene. Noticeably, this split within subgenus Cyathophora could have been deepened by the morphological vicariance from the eastern umbel to the western spicate, while that within A. fasciculatum could have been obscured due to the pollen flows from the east to west caused by the postglacial expansion. The genetic structures and ecological niche modelings (ENMs) recovered the distinct responses to the Quaternary climatic oscillations for species constricted to different climatic zones, further highlighting the profound effect of the climatic differences and tectonic uplifts on the genetic diversification. Overall, our findings offer strong evidence for the existence of a biogeographic divide between the eastern monsoonal and the west continental climatic zones of the QTP nearly along the 500 mm isohyet.Entities:
Keywords: Allium; Pleistocene; Qinghai-Tibet Plateau; genetic breaks; phytogeographic divide
Year: 2019 PMID: 30891047 PMCID: PMC6412145 DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2019.00149
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Plant Sci ISSN: 1664-462X Impact factor: 5.753
FIGURE 1The spatial variation of the equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs) during the LGM in the QTP [referred from Shi (2002) to in honor of his contributions] and localities of sampled populations (p1–71) for subgenus Cyathophora species (p1–52) and A. fasciculatum (p53–71) across the 500 mm isohyet (blue line), which separates the QTP into the eastern monsoonal (humid–semihumid) and western continental (arid–semiarid) climatic zones [referred from Sun and Wang (2005)]. The species abbreviation holds same in the present paper: AFS, A. fasciculatum; AMA, A. mairei; ACY, A. cyathophorum; AFR, A. farreri; ATE, A. tetraploidum; ASP, A. spicatum.
Geographic and genetic characteristics of 52 populations of subgenus Cyathophora species (AMA, ACY, AFR, ATE, ASP) and 19 populations of A. fasciculatum (AFS) based on the variability of DNA sequences (cpDNA and nrITS) and nuclear microsatellites (nSSRs).
| Species | Code | Microsatellite | cpDNA | nrITS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AO | HO (SE) | HS | RS | Fis | Chlorotypes | Ribotypes | ||
| LH1 | 14 | 1.000 (0.000) | 0.067 | 2.2 | -0.355 | C4(7) | R1(7) | |
| BM2 | 25 | 0.936 (0.064) | 0.310 | 1.9 | 0.207 | C1(10) | R1(10) | |
| MR3 | 22 | 0.927 (0.073) | 0.256 | 2.0 | -0.138 | C1(10) | R1(5), R2(5) | |
| JR4 | 24 | 0.927 (0.063) | 0.296 | 1.6 | 0.109 | C1(9), C2(1) | R1(7), R3(3) | |
| LJ5 | 19 | 0.918 (0.082) | 0.179 | 1.5 | 0.189 | C1(9), C3(1) | R1(10) | |
| HB6 | 18 | 0.927 (0.073) | 0.148 | 1.3 | -0.102 | C1(10) | R1(10) | |
| XSM7 | 19 | 0.211 (0.087) | 0.248 | 1.7 | 0.149 | C5(10) | R4(7), R5(3) | |
| JXF8 | 16 | 0.111 (0.056) | 0.181 | 1.5 | 0.388 | C5(3), C6(6), C7(1) | R4(5), R5(5) | |
| NQ9 | 16 | 0.144 (0.073) | 0.176 | 1.5 | 0.182 | C7(2), C8(3), C9(1), C10(2), C11(2) | R4(10) | |
| MZ10 | 18 | 0.178 (0.097) | 0.232 | 1.4 | -0.056 | C5(10) | R4(5), R5(5) | |
| KD11 | 14 | 0.333 (0.150) | 0.141 | 1.6 | -0.579 | C5(10) | R4(8), R5(2) | |
| XL12 | 19 | 0.222 (0.138) | 0.240 | 1.6 | 0.211 | C12(9), C13(1) | R6(10) | |
| LW13 | 16 | 0.178 (0.060) | 0.248 | 1.6 | 0.284 | C13(8), C14(2) | R5(1), R6(7), R7(1), R8(1), R9(2) | |
| KM14 | 16 | 0.178 (0.060) | 0.246 | 1.5 | -0.173 | C6(10) | R4(2), R5(17), R9(2), R10(1), R11(1) | |
| DQ15 | 16 | 0.289 (0.116) | 0.190 | 1.6 | -0.055 | C13(10) | R5(10) | |
| SX16 | 18 | 0.211 (0.099) | 0.230 | 2.1 | -0.110 | C13(10) | R5(10) | |
| XP17 | 26 | 0.267 (0.104) | 0.400 | 2.4 | -0.028 | C6(2), C15(8) | R5(1), R6(7), R12(1) | |
| GJ18 | 30 | 0.400 (0.107) | 0.497 | 1.9 | -0.006 | C15(10) | R6(4), R13(2), R14(2), R15(1) | |
| CD19 | 22 | 0.456 (0.119) | 0.359 | 1.9 | -0.146 | C5(10) | R5(10) | |
| JY20 | 24 | 0.444 (0.129) | 0.331 | 1.8 | -0.209 | C5(8), C8(1), C14(1) | R5(3), R6(1), R12(6), R13(1), R16(2), R17(1), R18(1), R19(1) | |
| GT21 | 23 | 0.411 (0.121) | 0.294 | 2.1 | -0.396 | C13(10) | R1(9), R20(1) | |
| ZB22 | 25 | 0.378 (0.124) | 0.397 | 2.0 | 0.104 | C6(1), C16(9) | R6(10) | |
| MK23 | 30 | 0.383 (0.103) | 0.400 | 1.9 | -0.041 | C6(6), C17(14) | R6(20) | |
| ZG24 | 26 | 0.434 (0.117) | 0.354 | 1.9 | 0.173 | C2(1), C6(1), C13(6), C17(2) | R6(8), R13(2), R21(1) | |
| WF25 | 20 | 0.315 (0.081) | 0.357 | 1.9 | -0.140 | C6(1), C17(6) | R6(1), R22(4), R23(1) | |
| YZ26 | 15 | 0.296 (0.103) | 0.259 | 1.7 | 0.429 | C17(3) | R6(1), R22(2) | |
| ZQ27 | 20 | 0.244 (0.104) | 0.290 | 1.7 | 0.156 | C18(9) | R24(7) | |
| DB28 | 13 | 0.370 (0.161) | 0.204 | 1.7 | -0.818 | C22(1) | R24(1) | |
| KL29 | 19 | 0.284 (0.128) | 0.220 | 1.6 | -0.291 | C19(6), C21(4) | R29(10) | |
| ZN30 | 15 | 0.256 (0.117) | 0.223 | 1.6 | -0.144 | C23(7), C24(2) | R24(5), R25(1), R29(1) | |
| XH31 | 15 | 0.352 (0.129) | 0.233 | 1.5 | -0.508 | C19(4), C21(2) | R24(1), R25(1), R29(3), R30(1) | |
| LQ32 | 19 | 0.367 (0.126) | 0.341 | 1.5 | -0.076 | C19(7), C20(3) | R24(4), R25(5) | |
| MQ33 | 16 | 0.300 (0.151) | 0.284 | 1.4 | -0.057 | C19(9), C20(1) | R25(6), R26(1), R27(1), R28(1) | |
| LS34 | 25 | 0.289 (0.102) | 0.483 | 2.2 | 0.402 | C27(1), C28(8), C30(1) | R31(8), R32(1), R33(2), R34(1) | |
| ND35 | 22 | 0.333 (0.118) | 0.403 | 2.0 | 0.172 | C25(2), C26(1), C27(2), C28(3), C33(1) | R31(5), R32(5) | |
| LZX36 | 14 | 0.222 (0.097) | 0.283 | 1.6 | 0.216 | C26(2), C28(1), C35(1), C36(1) | R31(2), R32(1) | |
| LZ37 | 13 | 0.404 (0.122) | 0.222 | 2.4 | -1.000 | C34(1) | R32(1) | |
| NM38 | 32 | 0.444 (0.176) | 0.491 | 1.4 | 0.177 | C25(10), C26(2), C27(1) | R31(1), R32(12) | |
| RK39 | 15 | 0.325 (0.089) | 0.272 | 2.0 | 0.184 | C25(2), C26(1), C27(3) | R31(3), R32(5), R36(1) | |
| CQ40 | 29 | 0.289 (0.087) | 0.492 | 1.5 | 0.413 | C25(5), C26(1), C27(1), C28(1), C31(1), C32(1) | R31(2), R32(11), R35(3) | |
| GE41 | 24 | 0.389 (0.123) | 0.408 | 2.2 | 0.045 | C25(10) | R31(1), R32(2), R35(1) | |
| PL42 | 27 | 0.433 (0.114) | 0.471 | 2.3 | 0.081 | C25(8), C26(2) | R31(2), R32(2), R35(1) | |
| ZB43 | 30 | 0.389 (0.092) | 0.488 | 2.3 | 0.204 | C25(2), C26(4), C27(4), C28(1) | R31(3), R32(7) | |
| LKZ44 | 21 | 0.344 (0.113) | 0.362 | 1.9 | 0.048 | C25(2), C26(2), C27(2), C28(5), C29(1) | R31(3), R32(8) | |
| ML45 | 26 | 0.344 (0.093) | 0.407 | 2.1 | 0.153 | C25(7), C26(2), C28(1) | R32(10) | |
| CY46 | 19 | 0.389 (0.100) | 0.093 | 1.2 | -0.066 | C46(5) | R38(5) | |
| LJ47 | 11 | 0.148 (0.113) | 0.324 | 1.7 | -0.0600 | C43(3) | R37(3) | |
| HB48 | 15 | 0.306 (0.137) | 0.378 | 1.8 | 0.057 | C37(4) | R45(4) | |
| JC49 | 17 | 0.244 (0.099) | 0.370 | 1.8 | 0.353 | C44(4), C45(1) | R39(4), R44(1) | |
| CS50 | 17 | 0.278 (0.106) | 0.275 | 1.7 | 0.250 | C42(4) | R46(4) | |
| ZD51 | 20 | 0.189 (0.081) | 0.504 | 2.4 | 0.312 | C40(1), C41(9) | R39(6), R40(4) | |
| DQ52 | 29 | 0.389 (0.103) | 0.365 | 1.9 | 0.228 | C38(8), C39(2) | R41(4), R42(5), R43(1) | |
| GT53 | 21 | 0.432 (0.153) | 0.342 | 1.8 | -0.264 | C56(4) | R47(3), R49(1) | |
| ZB54 | 20 | 0.370 (0.132) | 0.323 | 1.8 | -0.146 | C56(6), C58(2), C59(1) | R47(9) | |
| ZG55 | 21 | 0.398 (0.146) | 0.327 | 1.8 | -0.218 | C56(8), C67(2) | R47(10) | |
| DQ56 | 20 | 0.400 (0.135) | 0.327 | 1.8 | -0.223 | C56(6), C57(1), C58(3) | R47(8), R49(2) | |
| SX57 | 15 | 0.417 (0.144) | 0.296 | 1.7 | -0.406 | C56(3), C57(1) | R47(3), R49(1) | |
| CY58 | 12 | 0.333 (0.167) | 0.167 | 1.3 | -1.000 | C56(3) | R47(3) | |
| LWQ59 | 12 | 0.333 (0.167) | 0.167 | 1.3 | -1.000 | C68(3) | R51(3) | |
| LS60 | 13 | 0.333 (0.167) | 0.185 | 1.4 | -0.800 | C69(3) | R52(3) | |
| NML61 | 12 | 0.306 (0.155) | 0.167 | 1.3 | -0.833 | C48(1), C50(1), C51(2) | R47(2), R48(2) | |
| CQ62 | 20 | 0.556 (0.149) | 0.426 | 2.0 | -0.304 | C48(3), C52(1) | R48(4) | |
| RK63 | 15 | 0.593 (0.165) | 0.315 | 1.7 | -0.882 | C70(3) | R47(3) | |
| LZ64 | 22 | 0.556 (0.126) | 0.439 | 2.0 | -0.266 | C48(2), C60(6), C61(1), C62(1) | R48(10) | |
| ND65 | 17 | 0.422 (0.122) | 0.303 | 1.7 | -0.394 | C48(2), C64(1), C65(2) | R47(5) | |
| LKZ66 | 30 | 0.519 (0.120) | 0.437 | 2.2 | -0.187 | C48(5), C50(1), C52(1), C53(1), C54(2) | R47(10) | |
| CM67 | 28 | 0.511 (0.120) | 0.474 | 2.3 | -0.078 | C52(5), C55(6) | R47(11) | |
| JL68 | 16 | 0.444 (0.136) | 0.352 | 1.8 | -0.263 | C50(2), C66(1) | R48(3) | |
| NLM69 | 19 | 0.460 (0.125) | 0.380 | 1.9 | -0.213 | C63(7) | R48(7) | |
| QM70 | 15 | 0.417 (0.150) | 0.329 | 1.7 | -0.268 | C48(4) | R48(4) | |
| PL71 | 15 | 0.333 (0.167) | 0.167 | 1.3 | -1.000 | C47(1), C48(1), C49(1) | R48(2), R50(1) | |
Estimates of the nucleotide diversity (π), average genetic diversity within populations (HS), total genetic diversity (HT), interpopulation differentiation (GST), and the number of population subdivision (NST) (mean ± SE in parentheses) on cpDNA and nrITS datasets for subgenus Cyathophora species and A. fasciculatum.
| Taxon | π × 10-3 (± | HS (± | HT (± | GST (± | NST (± |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFS | 0.64 (±0.99) | 0.408 (±0.080) | 0.913 (±0.034) | 0.553 (±0.088) | 0.756 (±0.060)∗ |
| West-AFS | 0.93 (±1.16) | 0.479 (±0.109) | 0.921 (±0.040) | 0.480 (±0.126) | 0.714 (±0.137)∗ |
| East-AFS | 0.14 (±0.14) | 0.287 (±0.106) | 0.539 (±0.140) | 0.467 (±0.258) | 0.788 (±0.166)∗ |
| AMA | 0.09 (±0.13) | 0.137 (±0.068) | 1.000 (±0.017) | 0.863 (±0.068) | 0.985 (±0.011)∗ |
| ACY | 0.24 (±0.39) | 0.381 (±0.070) | 0.826 (±0.035) | 0.539 (±0.076) | 0.344 (±0.058) |
| AFR | 0.14 (±0.11) | 0.303 (±0.089) | 0.847 (±0.081) | 0.642 (±0.140) | 0.821 (±0.100)∗ |
| ATE | 0.03 (±0.05) | 0.170 (±0.108) | 0.257 (±0.134) | 0.336 (NC) | 0.393 (NC)ns |
| ASP | 0.50 (±0.31) | 0.541 (±0.092) | 0.798 (±0.057) | 0.322 (±0.120) | 0.411 (±0.117)ns |
| AFS | 0.30 (±0.55) | 0.175 (±0.069) | 0.668 (±0.062) | 0.737 (±0.105) | 0.777 (±0.097)ns |
| West-AFS | – | – | – | – | – |
| East-AFS | – | – | – | – | – |
| AMA | 0.29 (±0.37) | 0.225 (±0.110) | 0.997 (±0.026) | 0.769 (±0.117) | 0.960 (±0.032)∗ |
| ACY | 1.82 (±2.53) | 0.182 (±0.058) | 0.863 (±0.035) | 0.789 (±0.066) | 0.787 (±0.072) |
| AFR | 0.83 (±0.92) | 0.352 (±0.129) | 0.731 (±0.096) | 0.519 (±0.169) | 0.506 (±0.156) |
| ATE | 0.41 (±0.70) | 0.067 (±0.042) | 0.386 (±0.203) | 0.827 (±0.164) | 0.833 (±0.157)ns |
| ASP | 1.40 (±0.85) | 0.468 (±0.081) | 0.538 (±0.063) | 0.129 (±0.096) | 0.099 (±0.085) |
FIGURE 2The divergence time estimation and network pattern for subgenus Cyathophora species based on the DNA haplotypes. (A) Beast-derived divergence time based on cpDNA dataset. Numbers under the branches indicate PP values and ones above the line show the mean divergence dates and 95% HPD for node ages (in Myr ago, Ma). The light blue bars indicate the 95% HPD credibility intervals. Scale bar indicating branch length of 0.6 Ma. The east–west split across 500 mm isohyet in subgenus Cyathophora indicates in 2.11 Ma (95% HPD, 1.35–3.05 Ma). (B,C) The intraspecific networks for subgenus Cyathophora species, respectively, based on cpDNA and nrITS haplotypes. The size of circles indicates the frequency of each haplotypes. Small solid black circles represent unsampled or extinct haplotypes. Each solid line indicates one mutational step that interconnects two haplotypes, the numbers in the solid line indicate those over one. The dotted lines indicate the intraspecific clades.
FIGURE 3The phylogeny and divergence time estimation and network pattern for A. fasciculatum (AFS) based on DNA haplotypes. (A) Beast-based divergence time based on cpDNA sequences. Numbers under the branches indicate PP values and ones above the line show the mean divergence dates and 95% HPD for node ages (Ma). The light blue bars indicate the 95% HPD credibility interval. Scale bar indicating branch length of 1 Ma. The east–west split across 500 mm isohyet in A. fasciculatum indicates in 1.37 Ma (95% HPD, 0.54–2.92). (B,C) The intraspecific networks for A. fasciculatum, respectively, based on cpDNA and nrITS haplotypes. The size of circles indicates the frequency of each haplotypes. Small solid black circles represent unsampled or extinct haplotypes. Each solid line indicates one mutational step that interconnects two haplotypes, the numbers in the solid line indicate those over one. The dotted lines indicate the east and west clades.
FIGURE 4Geographical distribution of 70 chlorotypes (A) and 52 ribotypes (B) for subgenus Cyathophora species and A. fasciculatum.
Analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA) based on cpDNA, nrITS, and nSSR datasets for each subgenus Cyathophora species and A. fasciculatum subdivided into west and east groups.
| Species/groups | cpDNA | ITS | SSR | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| df. | SS | VC | PV | Φ–statistics | df. | SS | VC | PV | Φ–statistics | df. | SS | VC | PV | R–statistics | |
| Among populations | 18 | 233.633 | 2.117 | 70.0 | ΦST = 0.70∗∗ | 18 | 21.684 | 0.336 | 77.69 | ΦST = 0.78∗∗ | 18 | 56767.66 | 249.95 | 59.2 | RST = 0.59∗∗ |
| Within populations | 91 | 82.622 | 0.908 | 30.0 | 38 | 4 | 0.105 | 22.31 | 211 | 36340.53 | 172.23 | 40.8 | |||
| Among populations | 11 | 163.471 | 2.481 | 64.6 | ΦST = 0.65∗∗ | 11 | 18.571 | 0.324 | 89.1 | ΦST = 0.89∗∗ | 11 | 38992.11 | 313.91 | 58.8 | RST = 0.59∗∗ |
| Within populations | 55 | 74.827 | 1.361 | 35.4 | 51 | 2 | 0.039 | 10.18 | 118 | 26005.02 | 220.38 | 41.2 | |||
| Among populations | 6 | 12.299 | 0.312 | 59.0 | ΦST = 0.59∗∗ | 6 | 4.857 | 0.244 | 64.71 | ΦST = 0.65∗ | 6 | 1759.72 | 13.26 | 10.7 | RST = 0.11∗ |
| Within populations | 36 | 7.794 | 0.217 | 41.0 | 14 | 2 | 0.133 | 35.29 | 93 | 10335.51 | 111.13 | 89.3 | |||
| Among groups | 1 | 57.863 | 0.847 | 24.6 | ΦCT = 0.25∗∗ | 1 | 5.5 | 0.134 | 29.11 | ΦCT = 0.29∗ | 1 | 16015.83 | 113.54 | 23.9 | RCT = 0.24∗ |
| Among populations | |||||||||||||||
| Within group | 17 | 175.77 | 1.685 | 49.0 | ΦSC = 0.65∗∗ | 17 | 23.429 | 0.302 | 51.88 | ΦSC = 0.83∗∗ | 17 | 40751.83 | 190.17 | 40.0 | RSC = 0.52∗∗ |
| Within populations | 91 | 82.622 | 0.908 | 26.4 | 65 | 4 | 0.062 | 19.01 | 211 | 36340.53 | 172.23 | 36.2 | |||
| Among populations | 6 | 202.954 | 5.961 | 97.6 | ΦST = 0.98∗∗ | 6 | 251.28 | 7.32 | 93.36 | ΦST = 0.93∗∗ | 6 | 10917.38 | 140.97 | 43.4 | RST = 0.43∗∗ |
| Within populations | 34 | 4.9 | 0.144 | 2.4 | 34 | 17.7 | 0.521 | 6.64 | 77 | 14160.13 | 183.91 | 56.6 | |||
| Among populations | 19 | 162.613 | 0.832 | 75.3 | ΦST = 0.75∗∗ | 14 | 221.91 | 1.362 | 69.01 | ΦST = 0.69∗∗ | 19 | 36976.63 | 87.14 | 29.2 | RST = 0.29∗∗ |
| Within populations | 180 | 49.157 | 0.273 | 24.7 | 154 | 94.196 | 0.612 | 30.99 | 380 | 80188.79 | 211.02 | 70.8 | |||
| Among populations | 5 | 6.305 | 0.129 | 78.6 | ΦST = 0.79∗∗ | 5 | 4.865 | 0.088 | 39.73 | ΦST = 0.39∗∗ | 5 | 20303.85 | 179.33 | 21.3 | RST = 0.21∗∗ |
| Within populations | 51 | 1.8 | 0.035 | 21.4 | 51 | 7.1 | 0.139 | 61.27 | 108 | 71595.01 | 662.92 | 78.7 | |||
| Among populations | 6 | 27.493 | 0.576 | 76.9 | ΦST = 0.77∗∗ | 6 | 15.485 | 0.336 | 53.47 | ΦST = 0.53∗∗ | 6 | 6179.05 | 47.54 | 15.7 | RST = 0.16∗∗ |
| Within populations | 48 | 8.289 | 0.173 | 23.1 | 42 | 12.27 | 0.292 | 46.53 | 109 | 27732.45 | 254.43 | 84.3 | |||
| Among populations | 11 | 31.37 | 0.26 | 31.7 | ΦST = 0.32∗∗ | 11 | 12.487 | 0.077 | 13.91 | ΦST = 0.14∗∗ | 11 | 76064.13 | 375.72 | 49.3 | RST = 0.49∗∗ |
| Within populations | 95 | 53.228 | 0.56 | 68.3 | 92 | 44.09 | 0.479 | 86.09 | 198 | 76577.68 | 386.76 | 50.7 | |||
FIGURE 5Geographic origin and color-grouping of the 52 populations of subgenus Cyathophora at K = 7, and that of 19 populations of A. fasciculatum at K = 3 (A), and histogram of the STRUCTURE assignment test (B,C) and principal coordinate analysis (PCoA) for A. fasciculatum (D) based on nine nuclear microsatellite loci.
FIGURE 6Scatter plots of PC1 and PC2 (A–D) showing ecological differentiation between the east and west groups, respectively, for all species, subgenus Cyathophora and A. fasciculatum, as well as (E–G) the niche differentiation among all east species and all west species based on the bioclimatic variables exhibiting pairwise Pearson correlation coefficients r < 0.7 (Supplementary Table S5). ∗∗P < 0.001, ∗P < 0.05 indicating significant difference of the bioclimatic variables between the east and west groups estimated by PERMANOVA and Tukey’s HSD tests (Supplementary Table S12).
FIGURE 7Results of ecological niche modeling of A. fasciculatum and subgenus Cyathophora (A. spicatum; the eastern species set including A. mairei, A. cyathophorum, A. farreri and A. tetraploidum). (A,D,G) Predicted distribution probability (as a logistic value) for current climatic conditions. The dark spots indicate the georeferenced localities (Supplementary Table S3). (B,E,H) Average projections of the model to the last glacial maximum (c. 21 kyr BP) using the Model for Interdisciplinary Research on Climate (MIROC) general circulation model simulations. (C,F,I) Average projection of the model to the last interglacial (c. 120–140 kyr BP). The dots signifying the species’ present georeferenced localities, and the dash line dividing the eastern species of subgenus Cyathophora into the northern species A. tetraploidum and A. farreri, and the southern species A. cyathophorum and A. mairei.