| Literature DB >> 30866562 |
Qin Song1, Yu-Jun Zheng2, Jun Yang3.
Abstract
Morbidity prediction can be useful in improving the effectiveness and efficiency of medical services, but accurate morbidity prediction is often difficult because of the complex relationships between diseases and their influencing factors. This study investigates the effects of food contamination on gastrointestinal-disease morbidities using eight different machine-learning models, including multiple linear regression, a shallow neural network, and three deep neural networks and their improved versions trained by an evolutionary algorithm. Experiments on the datasets from ten cities/counties in central China demonstrate that deep neural networks achieve significantly higher accuracy than classical linear-regression and shallow neural-network models, and the deep denoising autoencoder model with evolutionary learning exhibits the best prediction performance. The results also indicate that the prediction accuracies on acute gastrointestinal diseases are generally higher than those on other diseases, but the models are difficult to predict the morbidities of gastrointestinal tumors. This study demonstrates that evolutionary deep-learning models can be utilized to accurately predict the morbidities of most gastrointestinal diseases from food contamination, and this approach can be extended for the morbidity prediction of many other diseases.Entities:
Keywords: deep neural networks; evolutionary learning; food contamination; gastrointestinal diseases; morbidity; public health
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30866562 PMCID: PMC6427740 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16050838
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Types of food for morbidity prediction [21].
| Class | Food |
|---|---|
| Cereals | Rice, wheat, barley, corn, millet, black rice, sticky rice |
| Beans | Soybean, mung soybean, red bean, black bean, broad bean, pea, cow pea, hyacinth bean, kidney bean, sword bead |
| Vegetables | Cabbage, pak choi cabbage, baby cabbage, celery cabbage, celery, lettuce, broccoli, Chinese broccoli, mustard leaf, leaf lettuce, okra, rape, spinach, water spinach, potherb mustard, amaranth, cauliflower, purslane, yam, carrot, celtuce, summer radish, loofah, tomato, cucumbers, lappa, radish, potato, sweet potato, pumpkin, bitter gourd, white gourd, chilli pepper, bell pepper, green pepper, sweet pepper, pod pepper, pea sprout, soybean sprout, mung bean sprout, Chinese toon sprout, shiitake, button mushroom, oyster mushroom, needle mushroom, agaric, day lily, tremella, spring onion, Chinese onion, ginger, caraway, garlic, fragrant-flowered garlic, garlic sprouts |
| Fruits | Apple, gala apple, bergamot pear, snow pear, mili pear, pineapple, orange, navel orange, vibrio mimicus, pomelo, peach, nectarine, melon, watermelon, Hami melon, apricot, plum, cherry, bayberry, grape, longan, lychee, winter jujube, red jujube, sugarcane, pitaya |
| Meals and eggs | Pork, beef, mutton, chicken, duck, egg, duck egg, quail egg |
| Aquatic | Kelp, laver, carp, grass carp, yellow croaker, perch, crucian, prawn, river prawn, crab, river crab, river snail |
All 227 contaminants used for morbidity prediction [21].
| Class | Subclass | Contaminants |
|---|---|---|
| Inorganic | Heavy metals | Pb, Cd, Hg, Cu, Ni, As, Be, Bi, Sb, Tl, Cr, Mo, Ni, Zn, F, V |
| Others | cyanide, nitrate, nitrite, sulfate, carbonate | |
| Organic | Hydrocarbons | benzene series, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, total petroleum hydrocarbon |
| Halogenated | hydrochlorofluorocarbons, chlorinated solvents, polychlorinated biphenyls, dioxin | |
| Oxygenated | alcohols, phenols, ethers, esters, phthalate | |
| Dyes | Azo, quaternary ammoniun compounds, benzidine, naphthylamine | |
| Plastics | polypropylene, polyphenyl ether, polystyrene, phthalic acid esters | |
| Pesticides | 66 commonly used pesticides [ | |
| Herbicides | 18 commonly used herbicides [ | |
| Endocrine disruptors | 68 chemicals [ | |
| Others | trichloroethylene, organochlorine pesticide | |
| Pathogenic | Bacteria | salmonella, shigella, dysentery bacillus, plague bacillus, tubercle bacillus, typhoid bacillus, diphtheria bacillus, Francisella tularensis, Brucella, vibrio parahaemolyticus, vibrio cholerae, vibrio mimicus, vibrio fluvialis, clostridium tetani, clostridium botulinum, clostridium perfringens, staphylococcus aureus, Bacillus anthraci, Escherichia coli, Yersinia, helicobcter pylori, campylobacter jejuni, aeromonas hydrophila, roundworm eggs, hookworm eggs |
| Fungi | candida albicans, aspergillus fumigatus, mucor racemosus | |
| Virus | rotavirusm, norovirus, sapovirus, astrovirus |
Figure 1Prediction root mean squared error (RMSE) of the eight models using different time lags. x-axis denotes the time lag in weeks, and y-axis denotes the RMSE. (a) Chronic gastroenteritis; (b) gastrointestinal ulcers; (c) gastrointestinal tumors. MLR: multiple linear regression; ANN: artificial neural network; DBN: deep belief network; EvoDBN: evolutionary DBN; DAE: deep autoencoder; EvoDAE: evolutionary DAE; DDAE: deep denoising autoencoder; EvoDDAE: evolutionary DDAE.
Figure 2Accuracies of the models for gastrointestinal morbidity prediction. (a) Acute gastroenteritis; (b) chronic gastroenteritis; (c) gastrointestinal ulcers; (d) gastrointestinal tumors; (e) food poisoning; (f) other gastrointestinal infections.