Onyebuchi E Okosieme1, Peter N Taylor2, Carol Evans3, Dan Thayer4, Aaron Chai2, Ishrat Khan2, Mohd S Draman2, Brian Tennant5, John Geen6, Adrian Sayers7, Robert French2, John H Lazarus2, Lakdasa D Premawardhana8, Colin M Dayan2. 1. Thyroid Research Group, School of Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK; Diabetes Department, Prince Charles Hospital, Cwm Taf University Health Board, Merthyr Tydfil, UK. Electronic address: okosiemeoe@cardiff.ac.uk. 2. Thyroid Research Group, School of Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK. 3. Department of Medical Biochemistry and Immunology, University Hospital of Wales, Cardiff, UK. 4. Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank, School of Medicine, Swansea University, Swansea, UK. 5. Clinical Biochemistry Department, Prince Charles Hospital, Cwm Taf University Health Board, Merthyr Tydfil, UK. 6. Clinical Biochemistry Department, Prince Charles Hospital, Cwm Taf University Health Board, Merthyr Tydfil, UK; Faculty of Life Sciences and Education, University of South Wales, Pontypridd, UK. 7. Department of Social and Community Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. 8. Thyroid Research Group, School of Medicine, Cardiff University, Cardiff, UK; Section of Endocrinology, Department of Medicine, Ysbyty Ystrad Fawr Hospital, Aneurin Bevan University Health Board, Ystrad Mynach, UK.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Graves' disease is routinely treated with antithyroid drugs, radioiodine, or surgery, but whether the choice of initial therapy influences long-term outcomes is uncertain. We evaluated cardiovascular morbidity and mortality according to the method and effectiveness of primary therapy in Graves' disease. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we identified patients with hyperthyroidism, diagnosed between Jan 1, 1998, and Dec 31, 2013, from a thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH)-receptor antibody (TRAb) test register in south Wales, UK, and imported their clinical data into the All-Wales Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank (Swansea University, Swansea, UK). Patients with Graves' disease, defined by positive TRAb tests, were selected for the study, and their clinical data were linked with outcomes in SAIL. We had no exclusion criteria. Patients were matched by age and sex to a control population (1:4) in the SAIL database. Patients were grouped by treatment within 1 year of diagnosis into the antithyroid drug group, radioiodine with resolved hyperthyroidism group (radioiodine group A), or radioiodine with unresolved hyperthyroidism group (radioiodine group B). We used landmark Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models to analyse the association of treatment with the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death) with the landmark set at 1 year after diagnosis. We analysed the association between outcomes and concentration of TSH using Cox regression and outcomes and free thyroxine (FT4) concentration using restricted cubic-spline regression models. FINDINGS: We extracted patient-level data on 4189 patients (3414 [81·5%] females and 775 [18·5%] males) with Graves' disease and 16 756 controls (13 656 [81·5%] females and 3100 [18·5%] males). In landmark analyses, 3587 patients were in the antithyroid drug group, 250 were in radioiodine group A, 182 were in radioiodine group B. Patients had increased all-cause mortality compared with controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1·22, 95% CI 1·05-1·42). Compared with patients in the antithyroid drug group, mortality was lower among those in radioiodine group A (HR 0·50, 95% CI 0·29-0·85), but not for those in radioiodine group B (HR 1·51, 95% CI 0·96-2·37). Persistently low TSH concentrations at 1 year after diagnosis were associated with increased mortality independent of treatment method (HR 1·55, 95% CI 1·08-2·24). Spline regressions showed a positive non-linear relationship between FT4 concentrations at 1 year and all-cause mortality. INTERPRETATION: Regardless of the method of treatment, early and effective control of hyperthyroidism among patients with Graves' disease is associated with improved survival compared with less effective control. Rapid and sustained control of hyperthyroidism should be prioritised in the management of Graves' disease and early definitive treatment with radioiodine should be offered to patients who are unlikely to achieve remission with antithyroid drugs alone. FUNDING: National Institute for Social Care and Health Research, Wales.
BACKGROUND:Graves' disease is routinely treated with antithyroid drugs, radioiodine, or surgery, but whether the choice of initial therapy influences long-term outcomes is uncertain. We evaluated cardiovascular morbidity and mortality according to the method and effectiveness of primary therapy in Graves' disease. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we identified patients with hyperthyroidism, diagnosed between Jan 1, 1998, and Dec 31, 2013, from a thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH)-receptor antibody (TRAb) test register in south Wales, UK, and imported their clinical data into the All-Wales Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank (Swansea University, Swansea, UK). Patients with Graves' disease, defined by positive TRAb tests, were selected for the study, and their clinical data were linked with outcomes in SAIL. We had no exclusion criteria. Patients were matched by age and sex to a control population (1:4) in the SAIL database. Patients were grouped by treatment within 1 year of diagnosis into the antithyroid drug group, radioiodine with resolved hyperthyroidism group (radioiodine group A), or radioiodine with unresolved hyperthyroidism group (radioiodine group B). We used landmark Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models to analyse the association of treatment with the primary outcome of all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome of major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, heart failure, ischaemic stroke, or death) with the landmark set at 1 year after diagnosis. We analysed the association between outcomes and concentration of TSH using Cox regression and outcomes and free thyroxine (FT4) concentration using restricted cubic-spline regression models. FINDINGS: We extracted patient-level data on 4189 patients (3414 [81·5%] females and 775 [18·5%] males) with Graves' disease and 16 756 controls (13 656 [81·5%] females and 3100 [18·5%] males). In landmark analyses, 3587 patients were in the antithyroid drug group, 250 were in radioiodine group A, 182 were in radioiodine group B. Patients had increased all-cause mortality compared with controls (hazard ratio [HR] 1·22, 95% CI 1·05-1·42). Compared with patients in the antithyroid drug group, mortality was lower among those in radioiodine group A (HR 0·50, 95% CI 0·29-0·85), but not for those in radioiodine group B (HR 1·51, 95% CI 0·96-2·37). Persistently low TSH concentrations at 1 year after diagnosis were associated with increased mortality independent of treatment method (HR 1·55, 95% CI 1·08-2·24). Spline regressions showed a positive non-linear relationship between FT4 concentrations at 1 year and all-cause mortality. INTERPRETATION: Regardless of the method of treatment, early and effective control of hyperthyroidism among patients with Graves' disease is associated with improved survival compared with less effective control. Rapid and sustained control of hyperthyroidism should be prioritised in the management of Graves' disease and early definitive treatment with radioiodine should be offered to patients who are unlikely to achieve remission with antithyroid drugs alone. FUNDING: National Institute for Social Care and Health Research, Wales.
Authors: So Young Park; Bo Hyun Kim; Mijin Kim; A Ram Hong; Jun Park; Hyunju Park; Min Sun Choi; Tae Hyuk Kim; Sun Wook Kim; Ho-Cheol Kang; Jae Hoon Chung Journal: Endocrine Date: 2021-04-15 Impact factor: 3.633