| Literature DB >> 30770746 |
Oyunchimeg Orsoo1,2, Yu Mon Saw3,4, Enkhbold Sereenen1,5, Buyanjargal Yadamsuren2, Ariunsanaa Byambaa6, Tetsuyoshi Kariya1,7, Eiko Yamamoto1, Nobuyuki Hamajima1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Mongolia was one of the four countries that received a measles-elimination certificate from the World Health Organization Regional Office for the Western Pacific in 2014. Following the outbreaks in many countries including China, a large measles outbreak occurred in Mongolia in 2015. This study reports 2015-2016 measles outbreak incidence, mortality, and complications, according to time, geographical distribution, and host characteristics.Entities:
Keywords: Elimination; Measles; Mongolia; Outbreak; Reported cases; Vaccination
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30770746 PMCID: PMC6377723 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-019-6511-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Public Health ISSN: 1471-2458 Impact factor: 3.295
Fig. 1Map of Mongolia. Mongolia consists of 21 aimags and Ulaanbaatar city
Complications of measles
| Category | ICD-10 code |
|---|---|
| Measles complicated by encephalitis | B05.0 |
| Measles complicated by meningitis | B05.1 |
| Measles complicated by pneumonia | B05.2 |
| Measles complicated by otitis media | B05.3 |
| Measles with intestinal complications | B05.4 |
| Measles with other complications | B05.8 |
| Measles without complication | B05.9 |
Demographic characteristics of measles outbreak in Mongolia, March 2015–December 2016 (N = 53,737)
| Total | Attack rate a | Hospitalized | Death | Death rate a | Vaccinated c | Nosocomial infection | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gender | |||||||
| Male | 26,853 (50.0) | 182 | 8843 (32.9) | 80 (57.1) | 0.54 | 1773 (6.6) | 572 (2.1) |
| Female | 26,884 (50.0) | 177 | 8893 (33.1) | 60 (42.9) | 0.40 | 1699 (6.3) | 530 (2.0) |
| Age | |||||||
| 0–8 months | 8384 (15.6) | 1278 b | 4881 (58.2) e | 105 (75.0) f | 15.7 b | 0 (0) | 625 (7.5) g |
| 9–11 months | 1769 (3.3) | 966 (54.6) e | 20 (14.3) f | 313 (17.7) | 151 (8.5) g | ||
| 1–4 years | 3440 (6.4) | 113 | 1385 (40.3) | 9 (6.4) | 0.29 | 897 (26.1) | 110 (3.2) |
| 5–9 years | 2265 (4.2) | 76 | 665 (29.4) | 0 (0.0) | 0 | 489 (21.6) | 11 (0.49) |
| 10–14 years | 3323 (6.2) | 153 | 531 (16.0) | 0 (0.0) | 0 | 546 (16.4) | 7 (0.21) |
| 15–19 years | 11,383 (21.2) | 482 | 2402 (21.1) | 1 (0.7) | 0.042 | 583 (5.1) | 28 (0.25) |
| 20–24 years | 9763 (18.2) | 379 | 2374 (24.3) | 0 (0.0) | 0 | 284 (2.9) | 65 (0.67) |
| ≥ 25 years | 13,410 (25.0) | 84 | 4532 (33.8) | 5 (3.6) | 0.031 | 360 (2.7) | 105 (0.78) |
| All age | 53,737 (100) | 180 | 17,736 (33.0) | 140 (100) | 0.47 | 3472 (6.5) | 1102 (2.1) |
aPer 10,000 population of corresponding gender or age group as of 31st December, 2015
bRate in under-one children
cVaccination of one or two doses
dPercentage to total number of corresponding gender or age group
e, f, gThe number of hospitalized cases, death cases, and nosocomial infection in under-one age were significantly higher than all the other age groups (P < 0.001). OR and 95% CI were 3.6 (3.5–3.8), 28.8 (17.0–48.8) and 10.8 (9.5–12.4), respectively
Fig. 2The incidence of measles in Mongolia, from March 2015 to December 2016. The incidence of all reported measles cases in the crude number is shown according to the date of rash onset, from March 2015 to December 2016. The number of death cases is shown on the right axis according to the date of death. SIA: Supplementary immunization activity
Fig. 3Geographical distribution of measles in Mongolia, from March 2015 to December 2016, The attack rate per 10,000 population in each aimag is categorized into 0, 0.1–10, 10–20, 20–40, 40–80, > 80, from March 2015 to December 2016
Fig. 4Age distribution of measles in Mongolia, from March 2015 to December 2016
Characteristics of measles-related death cases and risk factors for death in Mongolia, March 2015–December 2016 (N = 53,737)
| Death | Survival | Unadjusted | Adjusted e | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| n or Median (IQR) | n or Median (IQR) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |
| Total | 120 | 53,617 | ||
| Gender | ||||
| Male | 70 | 26,783 | 1.4 (0.98–2.0) | |
| Female | 50 | 26,834 | Ref | |
| Age (years) | 0.56 (0.39–0.75) | 19.0 (4.8–25.0) d | ||
| < 1 | 104 | 9872 | 28.8 (17.0–48.8)*** | 25.0 (14.7–42.6)*** |
| ≥ 1 | 16 | 43,745 | Ref | Ref |
| Residence | ||||
| Ulaanbaatar | 43 | 35,354 | 0.29 (0.20–0.42)*** | 0.34 (0.23–0.51)*** |
| Other Aimags | 77 | 18,263 | Ref | Ref |
| Complication a | ||||
| Complications b | 13 | 996 | 6.4 (3.6–11.5)*** | 2.2 (1.2–4.0)** |
| No complications c | 107 | 52,621 | Ref | Ref |
| Route of transmission | ||||
| Nosocomial infection | 11 | 1091 | 4.9 (2.6–9.1)*** | 2.1 (1.1–3.9)** |
| Others | 109 | 52,526 | Ref | Ref |
** P < 0.01, *** P < 0.001; IQR, interquartile range; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval
aComplications at the time of incident report
bB05.0, B05.1, B05.2, B05.3, B05.4, B05.8
cB05.9
dP < 0.001 (Mann-Whitney U test)
eAdjusted by age, region, complication, and route of transmission
Fig. 5Geographical distribution of death cases due to measles in Mongolia, from March 2015 to December 2016. The mortality rate per 10,000 population in each aimag is shown, from March 2015 to December 2016
Geographical characteristics of measles outbreak in Mongolia, March 2015–December 2016 (N = 53,737)
| Residence | Total cases | Attack rate a | Death cases | Death rate a |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaanbaatar | 35,397 | 263 | 54 | 0.40 |
| Arkhangai | 1087 | 119 | 10 | 1.1 |
| Baynkhongor | 1058 | 127 | 10 | 1.2 |
| Bayn-Ulgii | 669 | 68 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Bulgan | 273 | 46 | 1 | 0.17 |
| Darkhan-Uul | 2357 | 241 | 8 | 0.82 |
| Dornod | 433 | 57 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Dornogovi | 1176 | 186 | 5 | 0.79 |
| Dundgovi | 473 | 107 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Govi-Altai | 673 | 120 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Govi-Sumber | 184 | 113 | 1 | 0.61 |
| Khentii | 1004 | 139 | 8 | 1.1 |
| Khovd | 878 | 106 | 5 | 0.60 |
| Khuvsgul | 1025 | 80 | 11 | 0.86 |
| Orkhon | 1029 | 104 | 4 | 0.41 |
| Selenge | 1289 | 123 | 11 | 1.1 |
| Sukhbaatar | 526 | 90 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Tuv | 865 | 96 | 6 | 0.67 |
| Umnugovi | 808 | 132 | 1 | 0.16 |
| Uvs | 689 | 86 | 0 | 0.0 |
| Uvurkhangai | 1608 | 144 | 4 | 0.36 |
| Zavkhan | 236 | 34 | 1 | 0.14 |
| Total | 53,737 | 180 | 140 | 0.47 |
aPer 10,000 population in each Aimag as of 31st December, 2015
Complications of reported measles cases according to age, March 2015–December 2016 (N = 53,737)
| Encephalitis | Meningitis | Pneumonia | Otis media | Intestinal complications | Other complications | Without complications | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| ||||||||
| Gender | ||||||||
| Male | 15 (42.0) | 1 (50.0) | 171 (51.0) | 1 (25.0) | 19 (56.0) | 271 (45.0) | 26,375 (50.0) | 26,853 |
| Female | 21 (58.0) | 1 (50.0) | 163 (49.0) | 3 (75.0) | 15 (44.0) | 328 (55.0) | 26,353 (50.0) | 26,884 |
| Age | ||||||||
| 0–8 months | 7 (19.4) | 0 (0) | 153 (45.8) | 2 (50.0) | 5 (14.7) | 147 (24.5) | 8070 (15.3) | 8384 |
| 9–11 months | 2 (5.6) | 0 (0) | 22 (6.6) | 0 (0) | 1 (2.9) | 24 (4.0) | 1720 (3.3) | 1769 |
| 1–4 years | 1 (2.8) | 0 (0) | 19 (5.7) | 0 (0) | 3 (8.8) | 33 (5.5) | 3384 (6.4) | 3440 |
| 5–9 years | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 11 (3.3) | 0 (0) | 1 (2.9) | 26 (4.3) | 2227 (4.2) | 2265 |
| 10–14 years | 3 (8.3) | 0 (0) | 11 (3.3) | 0 (0) | 0 (0) | 26 (4.3) | 3283 (6.2) | 3323 |
| 15–19 years | 5 (13.9) | 0 (0) | 16 (4.8) | 0 (0) | 2 (5.9) | 42 (7.0) | 11,318 (21.5) | 11,383 |
| 20–24 years | 2 (5.6) | 0 (0) | 16 (4.8) | 1 (25.0) | 4 (11.8) | 71 (11.9) | 9669 (18.3) | 9763 |
| ≥ 25 years | 16 (44.4) | 2 (100) | 86 (25.7) | 1 (25.0) | 18 (52.9) | 230 (38.4) | 13,057 (24.8) | 13,410 |
| All age | 36 (100) | 2 (100) | 334 (100) | 4 (100) | 34 (100) | 599 (100) | 52,728 (100) | 53,737 |
Fig. 6Complications of death cases (n = 140). Complications of measles-related death cases are categorized into five groups: encephalitis, B05.0; encephalitis + pneumonia, B05.0 and B05.2, J18.0 or J18.8; pneumonia, B05.2; meningitis, B05.8; and others, B05.8. The number of death cases with pneumonia (encephalitis + pneumonia, pneumonia) are significantly higher in children aged 0–6 months than those in the other age groups (P < 0.05; OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.9–5.3)