| Literature DB >> 30759274 |
Kazuo Miyazawa1, Daniele Pastori2, Yan-Guang Li1,3, Orsolya Székely1, Farhan Shahid1, Giuseppe Boriani4, Gregory Y H Lip5,6,7.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Atrial high rate episodes (AHREs) detected by cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) are associated with an increased risk of stroke. However, the impact of AHRE on improving stroke risk stratification scheme remains uncertain.Entities:
Keywords: Atrial fibrillation; Atrial high rate episode; Cardiac implanted electronic device; Risk stratification scheme
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30759274 PMCID: PMC6694071 DOI: 10.1007/s00392-019-01432-y
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Res Cardiol ISSN: 1861-0684 Impact factor: 5.460
Baseline characteristics of patients with and without AHRE
| Overall ( | AHRE ( | No AHRE ( | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demographics | ||||
| Age, median (IQR) | 72.0 (62.0–80.0) | 74 (63.0–81.0) | 71.0 (62.0–79.0) | 0.03 |
| Age 65–74 y | 232 (27.1) | 29 (23.2) | 203 (27.8) | 0.29 |
| Age > 75 y | 383 (44.7) | 66 (52.8) | 317 (43.4) | 0.05 |
| Female gender [no., (%)] | 336 (39.3) | 342 (33.6) | 294 (40.2) | 0.16 |
| BMI, median (IQR) | 27.9 (24.6–31.7) | 27.4 (23.5–31.8) | 28.0 (24.6–31.5) | 0.41 |
| Medical history [no., (%)] | ||||
| Hypertension | 603 (70.4) | 91 (72.8) | 512 (70.0) | 0.53 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 241 (28.2) | 36 (28.8) | 205 (28.0) | 0.86 |
| Dyslipidemia | 554 (68.6) | 81 (68.6) | 473 (68.7) | 1.00 |
| Heart failure | 214 (25.0) | 39 (31.2) | 175 (23.9) | 0.08 |
| Prior stroke/TIA | 92 (10.7) | 15 (12.0) | 77 (10.5) | 0.63 |
| Vascular disease | 317 (37.0) | 48 (38.4) | 269 (36.8) | 0.73 |
| Prior history of AF | 212 (24.8) | 75 (60.0) | 137 (18.7) | < 0.001 |
| Thromboembolic risk, mean ± SD | ||||
| CHADS2 score | 1.9 ± 1.2 | 2.0 ± 1.3 | 1.9 ± 1.2 | 0.07 |
| CHA2DS2-VASc score | 3.4 ± 1.6 | 3.5 ± 1.7 | 3.3 ± 1.6 | 0.22 |
| Medications [no., (%)] | ||||
| Beta-blocker | 270 (35.5) | 47 (40.9) | 223 (34.5) | 0.19 |
| ACE-I/ARB | 436 (56.7) | 66 (57.4) | 370 (56.6) | 0.87 |
| Diuretics | 276 (35.8) | 42 (36.5) | 234 (35.7) | 0.87 |
| Statin | 509 (66.0) | 74 (64.3) | 435 (66.3) | 0.68 |
| OAC | 151 (19.7) | 54 (47.0) | 97 (14.9) | < 0.001 |
| Antiplatelet | 396 (51.4) | 49 (42.2) | 347 (53.0) | 0.03 |
| Digoxin | 38 (4.9) | 12 (10.4) | 26 (4.0) | 0.003 |
ACE-I angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, AF atrial fibrillation, AHRE atrial high rate episode, ARB angiotensin II receptor blocker, BMI body mass index, IQR interquartile range, OAC oral anticoagulant, TIA transient ischemic attack
Clinical outcomes after first 6 months in patients with and without AHRE
| Clinical outcomes | Overall ( | Patients with AHRE ( | Patients without AHRE ( | Unadjusted HR (95% CI) | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. of events | %/year | No. of events | %/year | ||||
| Thromboembolism | 36 (4.2) | 9 | 2.6 | 27 | 0.9 | 2.703 (1.52–4.81) | < 0.001 |
| All-cause death | 46 (5.4) | 11 | 3.0 | 35 | 1.1 | 3.845 (1.90–7.80) | < 0.001 |
AHRE atrial high rate episode, CI confidence intervals, HR hazard ratio
Fig. 1Kaplan–Meier curve analysis for thromboembolism (a), all-cause death (b), and composite outcome (c)
Multivariable Cox regression analysis for clinical outcomes
| Outcomes and variables | Thromboembolism | All-cause death | Composite outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | ||||
| Age | 1.01 (0.98–1.04) | 0.54 | 1.13 (1.08–1.18) | < 0.001 | 1.06 (1.03–1.09) | < 0.001 |
| Female gender | 1.01 (0.48–2.13) | 0.97 | 1.16 (0.60–2.25) | 0.65 | 1.17 (0.71–1.93) | 0.54 |
| Hypertension | 1.28 (0.50–3.26) | 0.61 | 0.80 (0.36–1.79) | 0.59 | 0.97 (0.53–1.77) | 0.91 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 1.50 (0.73–3.08) | 0.27 | 1.68 (0.86–3.28) | 0.13 | 1.56 (0.96–2.54) | 0.07 |
| Heart failure | 0.60 (0.24–1.53) | 0.29 | 2.20 (1.03–4.74) | 0.04 | 1.31 (0.73–2.35) | 0.37 |
| Prior stroke/TIA | 2.64 (1.16–5.99) | 0.02 | 2.17 (0.99–4.73) | 0.05 | 2.23 (1.25–3.96) | 0.01 |
| Vascular disease | 1.64 (0.78–3.42) | 0.19 | 1.03 (0.50–2.10) | 0.94 | 1.28 (0.77–2.14) | 0.34 |
| Prior history of AF | 1.08 (0.43–2.71) | 0.88 | 0.95 (0.42–2.18) | 0.91 | 0.97 (0.52–1.80) | 0.92 |
| OAC use | 0.66 (0.24–1.81) | 0.42 | 0.50 (0.19–1.32) | 0.16 | 0.51 (0.25–1.03) | 0.06 |
| AHRE | 3.40 (1.38–8.37) | 0.01 | 3.47 (1.51–7.95) | 0.003 | 3.52 (1.89–6.55) | < 0.001 |
Adjusted covariates including components of the CHA2DS2-VASc score (age assessed as a continuous variable), prior AF documentation, OAC use, and AHRE lasting at least 5 min
AF atrial fibrillation, AHRE atrial high rate episode, CI confidence intervals, HR hazard ratio, OAC oral anticoagulant, TIA transient ischemic attack
Comparison of the ROC curve, IDI and NRI of the CHADS2 vs. CHADS2 + AHRE and CHA2DS2-VASc vs. CHA2DS2-VASc + AHRE in predicting outcomes
| Clinical outcomes and risk scores | C-statistic | 95% CI | IDI | NRI | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thromboembolism | |||||||
| CHADS2 | 0.56 | 0.50–0.69 | 0.29 | 0.002 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.12 |
| CHADS2 + AHRE | 0.61 | 0.52–0.70 | |||||
| CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.60 | 0.52–0.68 | 0.35 | 0.002 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| CHA2DS2-VASc + AHRE | 0.61 | 0.53–0.69 | |||||
| All-cause death | |||||||
| CHADS2 | 0.65 | 0.58–0.72 | 0.73 | 0.004 | 0.100 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| CHADS2 + AHRE | 0.65 | 0.58–0.72 | |||||
| CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.68 | 0.60–0.75 | 0.68 | 0.004 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| CHA2DS2-VASc + AHRE | 0.68 | 0.61–0.75 | |||||
| Composite outcome | |||||||
| CHADS2 | 0.63 | 0.57–0.69 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| CHADS2 + AHRE | 0.64 | 0.58–0.70 | |||||
| CHA2DS2-VASc | 0.65 | 0.59–0.70 | 0.33 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| CHA2DS2-VASc + AHRE | 0.65 | 0.60–0.71 | |||||
AHRE atrial high rate episode, CI confidence interval, IDI integrated discriminatory improvement, NRI net reclassification improvement, ROC receiver-operating characteristic
*For C-statistic comparison
Fig. 2Decision curve analysis for predicting cardiovascular events (a thromboembolism, b all-cause death, and c composite outcome)