Eyal Fisher1, Rafael Y Brzezinski2, Michal Ehrenwald2, Itzhak Shapira2, David Zeltser2, Shlomo Berliner2, Yonit Marcus3, Gabi Shefer3, Naftali Stern3, Ori Rogowski2, Eran Halperin4, Saharon Rosset5, Shani Shenhar-Tsarfaty2. 1. Department of Statistics, School of Mathematical Science, Tel-Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. ef388@cam.ac.uk. 2. Internal Medicine Department "C", "D" &"E", The Tel Aviv-Sourasky Medical Center Affiliated to the Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. 3. Institute of Endocrinology, Metabolism and Hypertension, Tel Aviv-Sourasky Medical Center and Sackler Faculty of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel. 4. Departments of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. 5. Department of Statistics, School of Mathematical Science, Tel-Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with overweight and abdominal obesity. Our aim was to use longitudinal measurements to provide clinically relevant information on the relative influence of changes in body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and weekly physical exercise duration on the development of each of the MetS components. METHODS: We analyzed data collected at the Tel-Aviv Medical Center Inflammation Survey (TAMCIS). Apparently healthy individuals with two consecutive visits that were not treated for any metabolic criteria were included in this study. We analyzed the influence of changes in BMI, WC, and time engaged in physical exercise on the change in each of the components of the metabolic syndrome using linear regressions. RESULTS: Included were 7532 individuals (5431 men, 2101 women) with 2 years follow-up. Participants who gained two BMI points, had the mean number of criteria increase from 1.07 to 1.52, while participants who lost two BMI points, decreased from 1.64 to 1.16. A long-term analysis over 5 years showed similar results. Furthermore, an increase in WC was independently associated with increased severity of each of the other components, when controlling for increase in BMI. Increase in weekly exercise duration had a small but statistically significant favorable effect on blood triglycerides and HDL levels, but not on blood pressure or HbA1C. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in BMI and WC are highly associative with the likelihood and severity of the MetS independently of the baseline levels, suggesting that obese individuals can substantially improve their MetS prognosis by losing both body weight and abdominal fat.
BACKGROUND: The metabolic syndrome (MetS) is associated with overweight and abdominal obesity. Our aim was to use longitudinal measurements to provide clinically relevant information on the relative influence of changes in body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), and weekly physical exercise duration on the development of each of the MetS components. METHODS: We analyzed data collected at the Tel-Aviv Medical Center Inflammation Survey (TAMCIS). Apparently healthy individuals with two consecutive visits that were not treated for any metabolic criteria were included in this study. We analyzed the influence of changes in BMI, WC, and time engaged in physical exercise on the change in each of the components of the metabolic syndrome using linear regressions. RESULTS: Included were 7532 individuals (5431 men, 2101 women) with 2 years follow-up. Participants who gained two BMI points, had the mean number of criteria increase from 1.07 to 1.52, while participants who lost two BMI points, decreased from 1.64 to 1.16. A long-term analysis over 5 years showed similar results. Furthermore, an increase in WC was independently associated with increased severity of each of the other components, when controlling for increase in BMI. Increase in weekly exercise duration had a small but statistically significant favorable effect on blood triglycerides and HDL levels, but not on blood pressure or HbA1C. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in BMI and WC are highly associative with the likelihood and severity of the MetS independently of the baseline levels, suggesting that obese individuals can substantially improve their MetS prognosis by losing both body weight and abdominal fat.