| Literature DB >> 30629192 |
Ramon Martinez1, Patricia Soliz2, Roberta Caixeta1, Pedro Ordunez1.
Abstract
The analysis of causes impacting on premature mortality is an essential function of public health surveillance. Diverse methods have been used for accurately assessing and reporting the level and trends of premature mortality; however, many have important limitations, particularly in capturing actual early deaths. We argue that the framework of years of life lost (YLL), as conceptualized in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), is a robust and comprehensive measure of premature mortality. Global Burden of Disease study is systematically providing estimates of YLL; however, it is not widely adopted at country level, among other reasons because its conceptual and methodological bases seem to be not sufficiently known and understood. In this paper, we provide the concepts and the methodology of the YLL framework, including the selection of the loss of function that defines the time lost due to premature deaths, and detailed methods for calculating YLL metrics. We also illustrate how to use YLL to quantify the level and trends of premature non-communicable disease (NCD) mortality in the Americas. The tutorial style of the illustrative example is intended to educate the public health community and stimulate the use of YLL in disease prevention and control programmes at different levels.Entities:
Keywords: Mortality; epidemiological method; non-communicable diseases; premature; public health surveillance
Mesh:
Year: 2019 PMID: 30629192 PMCID: PMC6693813 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyy254
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Epidemiol ISSN: 0300-5771 Impact factor: 7.196
Premature mortality from four major non-communicable diseases, in both sexes, combined populations in the Region of the Americas, 2015
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 10 109 | 7006 | 13 351 | 89.41 | 903 870 | 626 432 | 1 193 730 | 74 910 767 | 1206.6 | 836.2 | 1593.5 | 0.0886 | 106.9 | 74.1 | 141.2 |
| 5–9 | 4844 | 3812 | 6160 | 84.52 | 409 448 | 322 219 | 520 654 | 75 955 736 | 539.1 | 424.2 | 685.5 | 0.0869 | 46.8 | 36.9 | 59.6 |
| 10–14 | 4925 | 4012 | 6073 | 79.53 | 391 663 | 319 040 | 482 998 | 77 055 947 | 508.3 | 414.0 | 626.8 | 0.0860 | 43.7 | 35.6 | 53.9 |
| 15–19 | 8965 | 7388 | 10 972 | 74.54 | 668 288 | 550 709 | 817 827 | 78 750 920 | 848.6 | 699.3 | 1038.5 | 0.0847 | 71.9 | 59.2 | 88.0 |
| 20–24 | 12 334 | 10 275 | 14 987 | 69.57 | 858 048 | 714 823 | 1 042 649 | 79 725 807 | 1076.2 | 896.6 | 1307.8 | 0.0822 | 88.5 | 73.7 | 107.5 |
| 25–29 | 17 215 | 14 484 | 20 710 | 64.60 | 1 112 097 | 935 689 | 1 337 884 | 77 478 740 | 1435.4 | 1207.7 | 1726.8 | 0.0793 | 113.8 | 95.8 | 136.9 |
| 30–34 | 26 836 | 23 009 | 31 628 | 59.63 | 1 600 214 | 1 372 043 | 1 885 955 | 73 714 765 | 2170.8 | 1861.3 | 2558.4 | 0.0761 | 165.2 | 141.6 | 194.7 |
| 35–39 | 39 472 | 34 312 | 45 869 | 54.67 | 2 157 925 | 1 875 858 | 2 507 676 | 68 415 366 | 3154.2 | 2741.9 | 3665.4 | 0.0715 | 225.5 | 196.0 | 262.1 |
| 40–44 | 64 154 | 56 615 | 73 399 | 49.73 | 3 190 381 | 2 815 472 | 3 650 140 | 63 794 631 | 5001.0 | 4413.3 | 5721.7 | 0.0659 | 329.6 | 290.8 | 377.1 |
| 45–49 | 105 182 | 93 614 | 119 276 | 44.81 | 4 713 227 | 4 194 851 | 5 344 778 | 60 369 057 | 7807.4 | 6948.7 | 8853.5 | 0.0604 | 471.6 | 419.7 | 534.8 |
| 50–54 | 181 543 | 163 157 | 203 752 | 39.92 | 7 247 186 | 6 513 220 | 8 133 772 | 57 785 174 | 12 541.6 | 11 271.4 | 14 075.9 | 0.0537 | 673.5 | 605.3 | 755.9 |
| 55–59 | 266 676 | 241 132 | 297 057 | 35.07 | 9 352 322 | 8 456 516 | 10 417 776 | 51 389 071 | 18 199.0 | 16 455.9 | 20 272.4 | 0.0455 | 828.1 | 748.7 | 922.4 |
| 60–64 | 342 106 | 310 038 | 379 983 | 30.25 | 10 348 705 | 9 378 656 | 11 494 482 | 43 427 629 | 23 829.8 | 21 596.1 | 26 468.1 | 0.0372 | 886.5 | 803.4 | 984.6 |
| 65–69 | 414 043 | 376 015 | 458 633 | 25.49 | 10 553 962 | 9 584 628 | 11 690 557 | 34 099 240 | 30 950.7 | 28 108.0 | 34 283.9 | 0.0296 | 916.1 | 832.0 | 1014.8 |
| 70–74 | 464 968 | 422 132 | 515 202 | 20.77 | 9 657 395 | 8 767 677 | 10 700 745 | 24 645 889 | 39 184.6 | 35 574.6 | 43 418.0 | 0.0221 | 866.0 | 786.2 | 959.5 |
| 75–79 | 497 750 | 451 521 | 551 734 | 16.43 | 8 178 032 | 7 418 496 | 9 064 997 | 17 733 596 | 46 116.0 | 41 833.0 | 51 117.6 | 0.0152 | 701.0 | 635.9 | 777.0 |
| 80–84 | 527 106 | 479 244 | 582 163 | 12.51 | 6 594 092 | 5 995 339 | 7 282 855 | 12 003 732 | 54 933.7 | 49 945.6 | 60 671.6 | 0.0091 | 499.9 | 454.5 | 552.1 |
| 85+ | 944 280 | 859 498 | 1 041 327 | 7.60 | 7 176 528 | 6 532 184 | 7 914 089 | 11 519 802 | 62 297.3 | 56 704.0 | 68 699.9 | 0.0063 | 392.5 | 357.2 | 432.8 |
| Total | 3 932 508 | 3 557 264 | 4 372 276 | 85 113 383 | 76 373 852 | 95 483 564 | 982 775 869 | 8660.5 | 7771.2 | 9715.7 | 7426.9 | 6646.7 | 8354.8 |
Figure 1.Absolute number of YLL by age in both sexes combined, males and females, in the Region of the Americas, 2015.
Figure 2.Age-specific YLL rates per 100 000 population (in natural logarithm scale) by sex, Region of the Americas, 2015.
Leading 25 non-communicable disease causes for age-standardized YLL rates (ASYR) per 100 000 population for both sexes combined in 2000 and 2015, and percent change in ASYR from 2000 to 2015, Region of the Americas
| 2000 | 2015 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Leading NCD causes | ASYR | Rank | Leading NCD causes | ASYR | Percent change 2000–15 |
| 1 | Ischaemic heart disease | 2548.20 | 1 | Ischaemic heart disease | 1720.20 | −32.5% |
| 2 | Stroke | 1126.20 | 2 | Stroke | 723.7 | −35.7% |
| 3 | Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers | 711.9 | 3 | Diabetes mellitus | 668.4 | −2.7% |
| 4 | Diabetes mellitus | 686.8 | 4 | Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers | 513.9 | −27.8% |
| 5 | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 626.2 | 5 | Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease | 503.3 | −19.6% |
| 6 | Cirrhosis of the liver | 523.1 | 6 | Cirrhosis of the liver | 448.3 | −14.3% |
| 7 | Congenital heart anomalies | 345 | 7 | Kidney diseases | 325.5 | −4.2% |
| 8 | Kidney diseases | 339.7 | 8 | Alzheimer disease and other dementias | 270.5 | 66.8% |
| 9 | Breast cancer | 304.4 | 9 | Congenital heart anomalies | 255.2 | −26.0% |
| 10 | Colon and rectum cancers | 296 | 10 | Colon and rectum cancers | 253.1 | −14.5% |
| 11 | Cardiomyopathy, myocarditis, endocarditis | 258.8 | 11 | Breast cancer | 253 | −16.9% |
| 12 | Stomach cancer | 209.9 | 12 | Drug use disorders | 202.7 | 67.7% |
| 13 | Lymphomas, multiple myeloma | 206.6 | 13 | Cardiomyopathy, myocarditis, endocarditis | 173.3 | −33.0% |
| 14 | Leukaemia | 193.9 | 14 | Hypertensive heart disease | 168.6 | 1.8% |
| 15 | Hypertensive heart disease | 165.6 | 15 | Leukaemia | 166.5 | −14.1% |
| 16 | Alzheimer disease and other dementias | 162.2 | 16 | Stomach cancer | 161.4 | −23.1% |
| 17 | Pancreas cancer | 150 | 17 | Lymphomas, multiple myeloma | 157 | −24.0% |
| 18 | Prostate cancer | 147.5 | 18 | Pancreas cancer | 145.1 | −3.3% |
| 19 | Alcohol use disorders | 146.5 | 19 | Liver cancer | 132.6 | 7.7% |
| 20 | Cervical cancer | 141.2 | 20 | Brain and nervous system cancers | 132.3 | −4.5% |
| 21 | Brain and nervous system cancers | 138.6 | 21 | Prostate cancer | 122 | −17.3% |
| 22 | Liver cancer | 123.1 | 22 | Cervical cancer | 112 | −20.7% |
| 23 | Drug use disorders | 120.9 | 23 | Alcohol use disorders | 110.5 | −24.6% |
| 24 | Oesophagus cancer | 99.4 | 24 | Oesophagus cancer | 82.3 | −17.2% |
| 25 | Ovary cancer | 80.1 | 25 | Ovary cancer | 68.2 | −14.9% |
Causes were rated based on age-standardized YLL rates (ASYR). List of causes included level 3 causes and those causes from level 2 with no cause category al level 3.
Figure 3.Age-standardized YLL rates (ASYR) per 100 000 population and 95% UIs in both sexes combined. in countries of the Americas, 2015. Dot (•) represents ASYR estimates, and line (—) represents the 95% uncertainty intervals. Dashed line represents the ASYR per 100 000 population in the Region of the Americas, and the light blue band represents its 95% UI.
Figure 4.Trends of ASYR per 100 000 population from the four major NCDs in both sexes, males and females, annual percent change (APC) per segment and average annual percent change (AAPC), Region of the Americas, 2000–15. APC refers to annual percent change in each trend segment. AAPC refers to average annual percent change in the whole time series from 2000 to 2015; 95% uncertainty intervals (95% UIs) for APC and AAPC are provided between parentheses. Dot (•) represents age-standardized YLL rates (ASYR), and line (—) represent the regression model values, both per 100 000 population. Estimates of APC and AAPC and their 95% UIs, and the regression model, were obtained from Joinpoint regression analysis.