J'Neka S Claxton1, Pamela L Lutsey2, Richard F MacLehose2, Lin Y Chen3, Tené T Lewis4, Alvaro Alonso4. 1. Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia. Electronic address: j'neka.claxton@emory.edu. 2. Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota. 3. Cardiovascular Division, Department of Medicine, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota. 4. Department of Epidemiology, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Abstract
AIM: To determine whether regional variation in stroke incidence exists among individuals with AF. METHODS: Using healthcare utilization claims from 2 large US databases, MarketScan (2007-2014) and Optum Clinformatics (2009-2015), and the 2010 US population as the standard, we estimated age-, sex-, race- (only in Optum) standardized stroke incidence rates by the 9 US census divisions. We also used Poisson regression to examine incidence rate ratios (IRR) of stroke and the probability of anticoagulation prescription fills across divisions. RESULTS: Both databases combined included 970,683 patients with AF who experienced 15,543 strokes, with a mean follow-up of 23 months. In MarketScan, the age- and sex-standardized stroke incidence rate was highest in the Middle Atlantic and East South Central divisions at 3.8/1000 person-years (PY) and lowest in the West North Central at 3.2/1000 PY. The IRR of stroke and the probability of anticoagulation fills were similar across divisions. In Optum Clinformatics, the age-, sex-, and race-standardized stroke incidence rate was highest in the East North Central division at 5.0/1000 PY and lowest in the New England division at 3.3/1000 PY. IRR of stroke and the probability of anticoagulation fills differed across divisions when compared to New England. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest regional differences in stroke incidence among AF patients follow a pattern that differs from the hypothesized trend found in the general population and that other factors may be responsible for this new pattern. Cross-database differences provide a cautionary tale for the identification of regional variation using health claims data.
AIM: To determine whether regional variation in stroke incidence exists among individuals with AF. METHODS: Using healthcare utilization claims from 2 large US databases, MarketScan (2007-2014) and Optum Clinformatics (2009-2015), and the 2010 US population as the standard, we estimated age-, sex-, race- (only in Optum) standardized stroke incidence rates by the 9 US census divisions. We also used Poisson regression to examine incidence rate ratios (IRR) of stroke and the probability of anticoagulation prescription fills across divisions. RESULTS: Both databases combined included 970,683 patients with AF who experienced 15,543 strokes, with a mean follow-up of 23 months. In MarketScan, the age- and sex-standardized stroke incidence rate was highest in the Middle Atlantic and East South Central divisions at 3.8/1000 person-years (PY) and lowest in the West North Central at 3.2/1000 PY. The IRR of stroke and the probability of anticoagulation fills were similar across divisions. In Optum Clinformatics, the age-, sex-, and race-standardized stroke incidence rate was highest in the East North Central division at 5.0/1000 PY and lowest in the New England division at 3.3/1000 PY. IRR of stroke and the probability of anticoagulation fills differed across divisions when compared to New England. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest regional differences in stroke incidence among AF patients follow a pattern that differs from the hypothesized trend found in the general population and that other factors may be responsible for this new pattern. Cross-database differences provide a cautionary tale for the identification of regional variation using health claims data.
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