| Literature DB >> 30563234 |
Vladimir M Cvetković1, Giulia Roder2, Adem Öcal3, Paolo Tarolli4, Slavoljub Dragićević5.
Abstract
Adverse outcomes from 2014 flooding in Serbia indicated problematic response phase management accentuated by a gender imbalance. For this reason, we investigated the risk perceptions and preparedness of women and men regarding these types of events in Serbia. Face-to-face interviews, administered to 2500 participants, were conducted across 19 of 191 municipalities. In light of the current findings, men seemed to be more confident in their abilities to cope with flooding, perceiving greater individual and household preparedness. By contrast, women displayed a deeper understanding of these events. Perhaps owing to a deeper level of understanding, women demonstrated more household-caring attitudes and behaviors and were more prone to report a willingness to help flood victims at reception centers. Emergency management agencies and land planners should account for these differences in gender awareness and preparedness. Based on these findings, doing so may increase citizen participation and shared responsibility under flood hazard scenarios.Entities:
Keywords: Serbia; flood risk; gender; perception; preparedness
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30563234 PMCID: PMC6313390 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15122761
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Figure 1(a) Location of Serbia; (b) counties of Serbia; (c) flood prone areas with 100-year return period.
Figure 2The most critical flood event occurred in 2014 in Serbia. (a) flooded hotel in Obrenovac; (b) flooded streets in Obrenovac; (c) citizen evacuation in Obrenovac; (d) rescue helicopter in Obrenovac.
Name and ID code of the municipalities involved in the survey. The number of interviews is also shown. The location of the municipalities involved and the complete table of all Serbian municipalities (with ID) are shown in the Supplementary Material (Figure S1; Table S1).
| ID | Municipality | Interviews |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kraljevo | 141 |
| 27 | Šabac | 140 |
| 34 | Novi Sad | 150 |
| 47 | Obrenovac | 178 |
| 57 | Kragujevac | 191 |
| 60 | Smederevska Palanka | 205 |
| 70 | Smederevo | 145 |
| 100 | Rekovac | 50 |
| 102 | Kruševac | 180 |
| 115 | Paraćin | 147 |
| 125 | Batočina | 80 |
| 126 | Lapovo | 39 |
| 128 | Svilajnac | 115 |
| 147 | Sremska Mitrovica | 174 |
| 149 | Loznica | 149 |
| 151 | Bajina Bašta | 50 |
| 152 | Užice | 147 |
| 154 | Priboj | 122 |
| 182 | Sečanj | 97 |
Basic socio-economic and demographic information of respondents (n = 2500) in a gendered classification. In brackets there are percentages. Missing values in the sums correspond to people that did not complete the questionnaire entirely.
| Variable | Category | Total | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | Young (18–38) | 1265 (50.6) | 594 (46.96) | 671 (53.04) |
| Adult (39–68) | 1182 (47.28) | 623 (52.71) | 559 (47.29) | |
| Old (>68) | 53 (2.12) | 27 (50.94) | 26 (49.06) | |
| Education level | Compulsory education 1 | 1987 (79.08) | 1025 (51.58) | 962 (48.42) |
| University and higher 2 | 513 (20.92) | 219 (42.69) | 294 (57.31) | |
| Marital status | Single-headed household 3 | 644 (45.36) | 317 (49.22) | 327 (50.78) |
| Two-headed household 4 | 1856 (54.64) | 927 (49.95) | 929 (50.05) | |
| Income 5 | Low income | 1663 (66.5) | 834 (50.15) | 829 (49.85) |
| High income | 666 (33.5) | 343 (51.50) | 323 (48.50) |
1 Primary school degree (n = 180); Secondary degree—3 years (n = 520); Secondary degree—4 years (n = 1042); High school diploma (n = 245). 2 Bachelor degree (n = 439); Master degree (n = 65); PhD or equivalent (n = 9). 3 Single (n = 470); Divorced (n = 99); Widow/Widower (n = 75). 4 Married (n = 1856). 5 Considered below and above the national monthly average net salary. Retrieved from: http://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2018/PdfE/G20181260.pdf.
Set of questionnaire variables and units of measurement.
| Variable | Units of Measurement |
|---|---|
|
| |
| Flood knowledge | Dummy variable (yes/no/not sure) |
| Flood risk map knowledge | Dummy variable (yes/no/not sure) |
| Flood-related health risks | Dummy variable (yes/no/not sure) |
| 1-year flood likelihood scenario | 5-Point Likert scale |
| 5-year flood likelihood scenario | 5-Point Likert scale |
| Feeling of danger | 5-Point Likert scale |
|
| |
| Preparedness | Transtheoretical model (Citizens Corps 2006) |
| Individual preparedness | 5-Point Likert scale |
| Household preparedness | 5-Point Likert scale |
| Community preparedness | 5-Point Likert scale |
| National preparedness | 5-Point Likert scale |
| Unwillingness to protect | Multiple choice question: (1) Expectation from others, (2) Not being at risk, (3) Not having time, (4) Expensive, (5) Fail to provide safety, (6) Not prevent the consequences |
| Preparation usefulness for the future | 5-Point Likert scale |
| Confidence in the positioning of house furniture | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) Water valves, (2) Gas valves, (3) Electricity |
| Confidence in handling house furniture | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) Water valves. (2) Gas valves, (3) Electricity |
| Inventory of essentials | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) radio-transistor, (2) shovel, (3) hack, (4) hoe, spade, (5) water storage, (6) food |
| Confidence in the location of financial documents | Dummy variable (yes/no) |
|
| |
| Escape route | Multiple choice question: (1) Home- Higher floors, (2) Friends’ house, (3) Neighbors, (4) Reception centers, (6) Empty/Safer apartments |
| Consent to evacuate | Dummy variable (yes/no) |
| Family dialogue on evacuation plan | Dummy variable (yes/no) |
| Evacuation plan for vulnerable family members | Dummy variable (yes/no) |
| Rescue management efficiency | 5-Point Likert scale: (1) Police, (2) Fire Department, (3) Ambulance service, (4) Army, (5) Headquarters emergency situations |
| Confidence and trust | 5-Point Likert scale: (1) Family member, (2) Neighbors, (3) International humanitarian organization, (4) Non-governmental organization, (5) Religious community, (6) Police, (7) Fire department, (8) Emergency head, (9) Army, (10) Self-organized |
|
| |
| Willingness to assist community recovery | Dummy variable (yes/no) |
| Type of assistance | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) Personal assistance of flood victims, (2) Economic support (3) Reception Centers |
| Unwillingness to become engaged | Level of agreement on a 5-point Likert scale: (1) Any difference, (2) Expected from others, (3) State body task, (4) Expected from peers, (5) Lack of time, (6) High cost |
|
| |
| Flood occurrence information | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) Family members, (2) Neighbors, (3) Friends, (4) Relatives, (5) School, (6) College, (7) Work, (8) Religious community, (9) Television, (10) TV, (11) Radio, (12) Press, (13) Internet |
| Flood risk education | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) School, (2) Family, (3) Work |
| Desire to be trained | Dummy variable (yes/no) |
| Preferable training source | Dummy variable (yes/no): (1) Television, (2) Radio, (3) Video games, (4) Internet, (5) Lecture |
Results of a multivariate regression analysis concerning individual and household preparedness and flood risk map knowledge (n = 2500).
| Predictor Variable | Individual Preparedness | Household Preparedness | Flood Risk Map Knowledge | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | SE | β | B | SE | β | B | SE | β | |
| Gender | −0.304 | 0.044 | −0.143 ** | −0.097 | 0.040 | −0.049 * | −0.030 | 0.050 | −0.012 |
| Age | 0.003 | 0.002 | 0.038 | 0.045 | 0.046 | −0.021 | 0.214 | 0.058 | 0.077 ** |
| Education | 0.050 | 0.019 | 0.059 * | 0.005 | 0.018 | −0.007 | 0.212 | 0.056 | −0.078 ** |
| Marital status | −0.072 | 0.020 | −0.092 ** | −0.032 | 0.041 | −0.016 | −0.128 | 0.052 | −0.051 * |
| Income | 0.020 | 0.026 | 0.017 | −0.043 | 0.043 | −0.021 | 0.105 | 0.030 | 0.067 ** |
* p = 0.05. ** p ≤ 0.01. B: unstandardized (B) coefficients; SE: std. error; β: standardized (β) coefficients.
Multivariate binary logistic regression analyses used to assess the explanatory power of four chosen predicting variables.
| Predictor Variable | Preventive Measures | Evacuation Consent | Personal Assistance of Flood Victims | Supplies | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B | SE | B | SE | B | SE | B | SE | |
| Gender | 0.287 * | 0.116 | 0.045 | 0.119 | 0.945 ** | 0.116 | 0.197 * | 0.094 |
| Age | 0.113 | 0.132 | −0.088 | 0.141 | 0.625 ** | 0.140 | −0.167 | 0.107 |
| Education | −1.49 * | 0.163 | −0.329 * | 0.137 | −0.061 | 0.124 | 0.047 | 0.104 |
| Marital status | −0.518 ** | 0.124 | −0.123 | 0.123 | 0.096 | 0.114 | 0.129 | 0.097 |
| Income | −0.229 | 0.123 | 0.371 ** | 0.125 | 0.127 | 0.121 | −0.093 | 0.101 |
* p = 0.05. ** p ≤ 0.01. B: estimated logit coefficient; SE: std. error.
Pearson correlation and Chi-square test results between risk awareness and gender. Standard deviations are shown in parentheses.
| Variable | Sig. (2-Tailed) | Pearson Correlation | Men | Women |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Awareness of flood probability in 1 year | 0.387 | −0.017 | 2.58 (1.36) | 2.53 (1.34) |
| Awareness of flood probability in 5-year | 0.856 | 0.004 | 2.84 (1.38) | 2.85 (1.37) |
| Awareness on flood risk locally | 0.020 | 0.330 * | 2.78 (1.25) | 2.83 (1.25) |
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| Having flood knowledge | 0.167 | 1.90 | 76.8 | 79.1 |
| Awareness of flood risk map | 0.014 * | 6.06 | 84.3 | 87.7 |
| Awareness of health risk from flood | 0.064 | 3.42 | 41.2 | 44.9 |
* Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
Preparedness level from a gender perspective (n = 2297) based on the transtheoretical model. N stands for a number of respondents.
| Preparedness Level | Description | Male | Female | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
| % |
| % | ||
| Pre-contemplation | An individual does not intend to change or does not consider changes in the short term (in the next six months) | 649 | 56.3 | 735 | 64.2 |
| Contemplation | An individual is not prepared at present but intends to undertake certain activities in the next six months | 144 | 12.5 | 147 | 12.8 |
| Preparation | An individual has considered changing his/her behavior in the next month | 141 | 12.2 | 100 | 8.7 |
| Action | An individual has changed behavior in the recent past, but the changes did not come to fruition | 101 | 8.8 | 75 | 6.6 |
| Maintenance | An individual has changed his/her behavior, and these changes were initialized | 45 | 3.9 | 37 | 3.2 |
| Total: | 1153 | 100 | 1144 | 100 | |
Pearson correlation and Chi-square test results between flood preparedness and gender. Likert scales means are shown and standard deviations are presented in parenthesis for the first two set of variables.
| Category | Variable | Male | Female | Sig. (2-Tailed) | Pearson Correlation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perception of preparedness | Individual preparedness | 3.13 (1.06) | 2.83 (1.01) | 0.000 | −0.142 ** |
| Household preparedness | 3.08 (0.995) | 2.99 (0.968) | 0.019 | −0.047 * | |
| Community preparedness | 2.96 (1.16) | 2.94 (1.15) | 0.568 | −0.012 | |
| National preparedness | 2.84 (1.10) | 2.88 (1.11) | 0.310 | 0.020 | |
| The reason for not taking precautions | Expectation from others | 2.63 (1.36) | 2.68 (1.29) | 0.378 | 0.018 |
| Not being at risk | 2.93 (1.48) | 2.91 (1.41) | 0.736 | −0.007 | |
| Not having time | 2.57 (1.32) | 2.70 (1.35) | 0.020 | 0.047 * | |
| Expensive | 2.74 (1.27) | 2.77 (1.36) | 0.638 | 0.010 | |
| Fail to provide safety | 2.88 (1.36) | 2.91 (1.25) | 0.077 | 0.036 | |
| Not prevent the consequences | 2.86 (1.36) | 2.92 (1.35) | 0.401 | 0.017 | |
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| Inventory of essentials | Radio-transistor | 19.5 | 15 | 0.044 * | 4.04 |
| Shovel | 46.6 | 32.9 | 0.000 ** | 24.30 | |
| Hack | 32.4 | 18.5 | 0.000 ** | 31.41 | |
| Hoe, spade | 37 | 28.9 | 0.003 ** | 9.13 | |
| Water storage | 41.3 | 51.7 | 0.016 * | 8.240 | |
| Food | 59.8 | 65.3 | 0.298 | 0.350 | |
| Confidence in the positioning of house furniture | Water valves | 86.5 | 73.4 | 0.000 ** | 77.85 |
| Gas valves | 65.3 | 42.2 | 0.000 ** | 112.1 | |
| Electricity | 87.8 | 69.9 | 0.000 ** | 110.2 |
* Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed), ** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Pearson correlation and Chi-square test results between gender and evacuation and rescue management. Likert scales means are shown, and standard deviations are presented in parenthesis for the first two set of variables.
| Category | Variable | Men | Women | Sig. (2-Tailed) | Pearson Correlation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rescue management efficiency | Police efficiency | 3.30 (1.29) | 3.27 (1.27) | −0.013 | 0.528 |
| Fire Department efficiency | 3.56 (1.27) | 3.44 (1.31) | 0.021 | −0.045 * | |
| Ambulance service efficiency | 3.55 (1.17) | 3.44 (1.27) | 0.019 | −0.44 * | |
| Army efficiency | 3.75 (1.30) | 3.69 (1.36) | 0.245 | −0.024 | |
| Headquarters emergency situations efficiency | 3.35 (1.32) | 3.36 (1.40) | 0.005 | 0.790 ** | |
| Confidence and trust | Family member | 4.20 (1.27) | 4.31 (1.18) | 0.037 | 0.042 * |
| Neighbors | 3.56 (1.28) | 3.63 (1.21) | 0.148 | 0.029 | |
| International humanitarian organization | 2.39 (1.18) | 2.43 (1.11) | 0.419 | 0.016 | |
| Non-governmental organization | 2.46 (1.21) | 2.50 (1.13) | 0.379 | 0.018 | |
| Religious community | 2.31 (1.25) | 2.47 (1.19) | 0.002 | 0.064 ** | |
| Police | 3.25 (1.37) | 3.36 (1.25) | 0.043 | 0.041 * | |
| Fire department | 3.63 (2.27) | 3.61 (1.19) | 0.726 | −0.007 | |
| Emergency head | 3.48 (1.23) | 3.40 (1.24) | 0.122 | −0.031 | |
| Army | 3.56 (1.36) | 3.58 (1.32) | 0.768 | 0.006 | |
| Self-organized | 3.14 (1.33) | 3.06 (1.34) | 0.166 | −0.028 | |
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| Escape route | Consent to evacuate | 52.6 | 47.4 | 0.023 * | 0.880 |
| Home—higher floors | 52.6 | 39.9 | 0.000 ** | 22.24 | |
| Friends’ house | 39.9 | 32.2 | |||
| Neighbors | 9.4 | 52.6 | |||
| Reception centers | 10.7 | 16 | |||
| Empty/Safer apartments | 2.9 | 96.3 | |||
| Evacuation plan | Evacuation plan for vulnerable family members | 3.5 | 4 | 0.005 ** | −0.06 |
| Family dialogue on evacuation plan | 16.6 | 14 | 0.117 | 4.28 |
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed), * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
Pearson correlation and Chi-square test results between assistance and gender. Likert scales mean are shown and standard deviations are presented in parenthesis for the first set of variables.
| Category | Variable | Men | Women | Sig. (2-Tailed) | Pearson Correlation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unwillingness to become engaged | Any difference | 2.65 (1.24) | 2.58 (1.25) | 0.217 | −0.026 |
| Expected from others | 2.76 (1.21) | 2.70 (1.22) | 0.294 | −0.22 | |
| State body tasks | 2.98 (1.21) | 2.93 (1.22) | 0.316 | −0.021 | |
| Expected from peers | 2.98 (1.21) | 2.93 (1.27) | 0.041 | −0.043 * | |
| Lack of time | 2.42 (1.19) | 2.29 (1.20) | 0.338 | −0.020 | |
| High cost | 2.65 (1.27) | 2.42 (1.20) | 0.007 | −0.056 ** | |
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| Type of assistance | Personal assistance of flood victims | 23.5 | 11.1 | 0.000 ** | 63.6 |
| Economic support | 28.1 | 33.6 | 0.004 ** | 8.38 | |
| Reception Centers | 3.7 | 6.1 | 0.000 ** | 6.32 |
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed), * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
Chi-square test results between gender and information and education-predicting variables.
| Category | Variable | Male | Female | χ2 | Sig. (2-Tailed) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flood occurrence information | Family members | 29.3 | 33.1 | 3.87 | 0.015 * |
| Neighbors | 18.3 | 13.8 | 8.46 | 0.049 * | |
| Friends | 12.3 | 9.5 | 4.47 | 0.004 ** | |
| Relatives | 12.7 | 11.3 | 0.995 | 0.034 * | |
| School | 12.8 | 15.4 | 3.23 | 0.319 | |
| College | 6.9 | 4.5 | 5.72 | 0.072 | |
| Work | 16.8 | 11.8 | 11.80 | 0.017 * | |
| Religious community | 2.8 | 2.4 | 0.199 | 0.001 ** | |
| Television | 54.8 | 63 | 16.27 | 0.655 | |
| Radio | 16.3 | 15.2 | 0.403 | 0.000 ** | |
| Press | 29.5 | 33.9 | 5.11 | 0.526 | |
| Internet | 24.4 | 33 | 20.74 | 0.024 * | |
| The place of flood risk education | School | 36.5 | 28.7 | 2.11 | 0.347 |
| Family | 41.4 | 44.1 | 4.92 | 0.000 ** | |
| Work | 36.5 | 28.7 | 16.88 | 0.000 ** | |
| Source of training | Television | 62.3 | 62.4 | 0.000 | 1.00 |
| Radio | 13.3 | 11.8 | 1.20 | 0.273 | |
| Video games | 3.1 | 0.5 | 20.11 | 0.000 ** | |
| Internet | 20.6 | 28 | 10.01 | 0.000 ** | |
| Lecture | 30.3 | 31.4 | 0.318 | 0.573 |
** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed), * Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).