Literature DB >> 30507844

Prediction of ICU Delirium: Validation of Current Delirium Predictive Models in Routine Clinical Practice.

Cameron Green1, William Bonavia1, Candice Toh2, Ravindranath Tiruvoipati1,3.   

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the ability of available delirium risk assessment tools to identify patients at risk of delirium in an Australian tertiary ICU.
DESIGN: Prospective observational study.
SETTING: An Australian tertiary ICU. PATIENTS: All patients admitted to the study ICU between May 8, 2017, and December 31, 2017, were assessed bid for delirium throughout their ICU stay using the Confusion Assessment Method for ICU. Patients were included in this study if they remained in ICU for over 24 hours and were excluded if they were delirious on ICU admission, or if they were unable to be assessed using the Confusion Assessment Method for ICU during their ICU stay. Delirium risk was calculated for each patient using the prediction of delirium in ICU patients, early prediction of delirium in ICU patients, and Lanzhou models. Data required for delirium predictor models were obtained retrospectively from patients medical records.
INTERVENTIONS: None.
MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: There were 803 ICU admissions during the study period, of which 455 met inclusion criteria. 35.2% (n = 160) were Confusion Assessment Method for ICU positive during their ICU admission. Delirious patients had significantly higher Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III scores (median, 72 vs 54; p < 0.001), longer ICU (median, 4.8 vs 1.8 d; p < 0.001) and hospital stay (16.0 vs 8.16 d; p < 0.001), greater requirement of invasive mechanical ventilation (70% vs 21.4%; p < 0.001), and increased ICU mortality (6.3% vs 2.4%; p = 0.037). All models included in this study displayed moderate to good discriminative ability. Area under the receiver operating curve for the prediction of delirium in ICU patients was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75-0.83); recalibrated prediction of delirium in ICU patients was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.75-0.83); early prediction of delirium in ICU patients was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.67-0.77); and the Lanzhou model was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.72-0.81).
CONCLUSIONS: The predictive models evaluated in this study demonstrated moderate to good discriminative ability to predict ICU patients' risk of developing delirium. Models calculated at 24-hours post-ICU admission appear to be more accurate but may have limited utility in practice.

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Year:  2019        PMID: 30507844     DOI: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000003577

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Crit Care Med        ISSN: 0090-3493            Impact factor:   7.598


  6 in total

1.  Predicting brain function status changes in critically ill patients via Machine learning.

Authors:  Chao Yan; Cheng Gao; Ziqi Zhang; Wencong Chen; Bradley A Malin; E Wesley Ely; Mayur B Patel; You Chen
Journal:  J Am Med Inform Assoc       Date:  2021-10-12       Impact factor: 7.942

Review 2.  Delirium in Intensive Care.

Authors:  Lone Musaeus Poulsen; Stine Estrup; Camilla Bekker Mortensen; Nina Christine Andersen-Ranberg
Journal:  Curr Anesthesiol Rep       Date:  2021-09-03

3.  ICU Delirium-Prediction Models: A Systematic Review.

Authors:  Matthew M Ruppert; Jessica Lipori; Sandip Patel; Elizabeth Ingersent; Julie Cupka; Tezcan Ozrazgat-Baslanti; Tyler Loftus; Parisa Rashidi; Azra Bihorac
Journal:  Crit Care Explor       Date:  2020-12-16

Review 4.  Delirium and Associated Length of Stay and Costs in Critically Ill Patients.

Authors:  Claudia Dziegielewski; Charlenn Skead; Toros Canturk; Colleen Webber; Shannon M Fernando; Laura H Thompson; Madison Foster; Vanja Ristovic; Peter G Lawlor; Dipayan Chaudhuri; Chintan Dave; Brent Herritt; Shirley H Bush; Salmaan Kanji; Peter Tanuseputro; Kednapa Thavorn; Erin Rosenberg; Kwadwo Kyeremanteng
Journal:  Crit Care Res Pract       Date:  2021-04-24

5.  External validation and comparison of two delirium prediction models in patients admitted to the cardiac intensive care unit.

Authors:  Sung Eun Kim; Ryoung-Eun Ko; Soo Jin Na; Chi Ryang Chung; Ki Hong Choi; Darae Kim; Taek Kyu Park; Joo Myung Lee; Young Bin Song; Jin-Oh Choi; Joo-Yong Hahn; Seung-Hyuk Choi; Hyeon-Cheol Gwon; Jeong Hoon Yang
Journal:  Front Cardiovasc Med       Date:  2022-08-03

6.  Utility of a prediction model for delirium in intensive care unit patients (PRE-DELIRIC) in mechanically ventilated patients with sepsis.

Authors:  Kyohei Miyamoto; Tsuyoshi Nakashima; Nozomu Shima; Seiya Kato; Yu Kawazoe; Takeshi Morimoto; Yoshinori Ohta; Hitoshi Yamamura
Journal:  Acute Med Surg       Date:  2020-11-04
  6 in total

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