The likelihood of improving physical activity after pulmonary rehabilitation is increased in patients with COPD who have better exercise tolerance.

PURPOSE: Pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) enhances exercise tolerance in patients with COPD; however, improvements in physical activity (PA) are not guaranteed. This study explored the relationship between baseline exercise tolerance and changes in PA after PR.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: Patient data from prospective clinical trials in the PR settings of Athens and Leuven (2008-2016) were analyzed. Validated PA monitors were worn for 1 week before and after a 12-week program. The proportion of patients who improved PA levels ≥1,000 steps/day ("PA responders") after PR was compared between those with initial 6-minute walk distance [6MWDi] <350 m and ≥350 m. Baseline predictors of PA change were evaluated via univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.
RESULTS: Two hundred thirty-six patients with COPD (median [IQR] FEV1 44 [33-59] % predicted, age 65±8 years, 6MWDi 416 [332-486] m) were included. The proportion of "PA responders" after PR was significantly greater in those with higher vs lower 6MWDi (37.9% vs 16.4%, respectively; P<0.001). 6MWDi group classification was the strongest baseline independent predictor of PA improvement (univariate OR 3.10, 95% CI 1.51-6.36).
CONCLUSION: The likelihood of improving PA after PR is increased with greater 6MWDi. Baseline exercise tolerance appears as an important stratification metric for future research in this field.

Plain language summary

Why was the study done? Some people with COPD improve physical activity (PA) levels after pulmonary rehabilitation while others do not. We wanted to test whether we could better identify who would or would not respond in terms of their PA levels by looking at their baseline exercise tolerance levels.

What did the researchers do and find? We used a common threshold (350 m) for a 6-minute walk test to classify people as having low or high exercise tolerance and explored how well this related to PA responses. Those in the low group were very unlikely to improve PA, while some of those in the high group improved PA. Classifying patients according to this threshold proved a useful way to predict PA responses, especially when applied as a “rule-out” test.

What do these results mean? The 350 m threshold is a useful way to identify people who are not likely to improve PA after pulmonary rehabilitation. Attempts to improve PA levels should be targeted toward those with high baseline exercise tolerance, but additional factors are likely to influence the likelihood of achieving such gains.

Introduction

Deficits in exercise tolerance and physical activity (PA) are common features of COPD associated with increased risk of morbidity and mortality.1–3 Enhancement of exercise tolerance and PA is the primary goal of pulmonary rehabilitation (PR).4 While comprehensive PR is one of the most effective interventions to improve exercise tolerance in COPD,5 its impact on PA is less clear. Considerable interest surrounds the potential for PR to improve PA; however, clinical data demonstrate large heterogeneity regarding the magnitude and consistency of its effects in this patient group.6–9

Changes in PA may be underpinned by different mechanisms8,10 and may or may not occur in conjunction with improvements in exercise tolerance.9 For example, changes in PA levels have been previously shown to only weakly correlate with changes in exercise tolerance,9,11 while a recent systematic review demonstrated only small (effect size 0.12, n=7 studies) mean improvements in PA levels after exercise training.7 There is therefore a need to more closely examine the effects of PR on PA in specific COPD patient subgroups. Recent findings from a large international telecoaching program in patients with COPD suggest that larger changes in PA occur in those with more preserved baseline functional exercise tolerance.10 This is consistent with the concept of “functional reserve”:12,13 that those with high tolerance to exercise may have greater opportunity to be physically active within their tolerance limits (ie, high functional reserve), whereas those with low tolerance to exercise may be less capable of increasing PA levels due to an inhibitory ceiling limitation (ie, low functional reserve). Concurrent improvements in exercise tolerance would appear essential in this latter instance, while an absence of PA improvement in the former group could signify the presence of challenging behaviors potentially inhibiting PA adaptations, as has been previously suggested.14

Identification of patients with greater potential to improve PA is an important step to tailor future personalized PR approaches to the right individuals and optimize its potential modulating effects on PA. If exercise tolerance is to be a clinically useful stratification parameter for this purpose, it is important to explore the utility of an ideal “cutoff.” The 6-minute walk test (6MWT) is one of the most commonly used clinical tests for assessing exercise tolerance in the field of PR.15 The most widely used threshold for this test in patients with COPD is 350 m due to its well-recognized prognostic importance via the BODE index – a multidimensional composite index used to evaluate mortality risk in this patient group.16,17 The importance of this stratification metric for determining changes in PA after PR has not been determined. This study aimed to determine whether the likelihood of improving PA levels following PR is related to underlying exercise tolerance. We hypothesized that, in line with the functional reserve concept, patients with poorer initial exercise tolerance would be less likely to improve PA levels after PR than those with better initial exercise tolerance.

Materials and methods

Design

This study was a secondary, pooled analysis of data from five prospective, registered clinical trials conducted across University Hospital Gasthuisberg (Leuven, Belgium) and Sotiria and Evangelismos Hospitals (Athens, Greece) between December 2008 and June 2016. All patients provided written informed consent for their respective studies, and the present study was approved by the human ethics committee of University Hospital, Leuven (S60558). All patients with a confirmed clinical and spirometric diagnosis of COPD18 who completed PR and had available baseline and 3 month PA data were eligible for inclusion in this pooled analysis.

Procedure

Participants underwent detailed clinical assessments before and after PR, including lung function (spirometry, gas transfer, lung volumes), maximal respiratory pressures (maximal inspiratory pressure, maximal expiratory pressure), quadriceps muscle force (maximal voluntary contraction via Biodex [Leuven] and strain gauge [Athens]), quality of life (Chronic Respiratory Disease Questionnaire [CRDQ]), dyspnea (Medical Research Council [MRC] dyspnea scale), and exercise tolerance (6MWT and cycle ergometer cardiopulmonary exercise test [CPET]). The 6MWT was performed according to ATS/ERS standards15 on a quiet indoor walking track; however, the length differed between sites (50 m for Leuven, 30 m for Sotiria Hospital, and 18 m for Evangelismos Hospital). Participants were encouraged to walk as far as possible with close therapist supervision. The test was performed twice at the same site with best distance recorded. PA levels were monitored for 1 week before and after PR with one of the following activity monitors validated for patients with COPD (same monitor used pre- nd post-PR for each individual): DynaPort MoveMonitor (DAM, McRoberts BV, The Hague, the Netherlands; n=57 at Leuven), Actigraph (ACT, ActiGraph LLC Pensacola, FL, USA; n=123 across Athens and Leuven), or SenseWear Pro Armband (BodyMedia version 6.0, Inc., Pittsburgh, PA, USA; n=56 at Leuven). Choice of monitor was determined by study protocol at each center. PA data were validated in accordance with the criteria proposed by Demeyer et al19 (≥4 week/days, ≥8 hours/day) and used to derive a weekly average steps/day. Hours of daylight were used as a proxy to account for seasonality effects that may alter opportunities to be physically active.20

The programs at each center comprised comprehensive, interdisciplinary PR that has been previously described.21–23 In brief, this comprises high-intensity whole body exercise training, strength training, lower and upper limb endurance training, and education. No specific cointerventions were provided to explicitly target improvements in PA levels. One included study (NCT00948623) had a PA counseling intervention arm; however, PA outcome data did not differ between groups. Another study (NCT02618746) had a home-based telerehabilitation intervention arm; however, randomization for this study commenced after the initial hospital-based PR. The site at Leuven conducted both cycle ergometry and treadmill walking training, while the sites in Athens implemented cycle ergometry only. Patients attended three sessions per week for 3 months (primary study endpoint), however were also invited to continue 2 days per week for three additional months (usual clinical care at these sites).

Analysis

Full clinical data to characterize the samples and evaluate responses to PR were collected using standardized extraction templates and inspected for normality via frequency histograms and Shapiro–Wilk statistic. Continuous variables were expressed as means with standard deviation (SD) when normally distributed or as medians [25th to 75th percentile] when non-normally distributed, unless stated otherwise. Demographic data and PR responses were compared between sites and mean initial 6-minute walk distance (6MWDi) was compared between both Athens centers to explore variability related to differing corridor lengths. The principal study analyses were conducted as one pooled cohort.

For the primary analysis, participants were categorized according to 6MWDi as having low (<350 m) or high (≥350 m) exercise tolerance. The proportion of patients who improved PA after PR was compared across the 6MWDi groups via chi-squared test according to two separate analyses defined according to the attainment or not of common clinical targets: (primary definition) ≥1,000 steps/day improvement (defined as the minimally important difference [MID])24 and (secondary definition) attainment of a “fairly active” level of PA (≥7,000 steps/day)25 after PR.

Pearson correlation coefficients were calculated to assess the association between changes in PA and both 6MWDi and 6MWD change. The magnitude of change in PA (mean steps/day) was compared between groups (6MWDi <350 m vs 6MWDi ≥350 m) via unpaired t-tests and represented via dot plot and XY coordinate arrow plot.

A “responder analysis” was conducted to identify differences in patient characteristics between PA “responders” and “nonresponders” after PR, based on the 1,000 steps/day PA change cutoff via unpaired t-tests or Mann–Whitney tests (for parametric or nonparametric data). Logistic regression analysis was performed to explore the usefulness of 6MWDi category as a predictor of “PA responder” status (yes/no). Baseline demographic factor variables hypothesized to potentially contribute to change in PA following PR (FEV1% predicted, functional residual capacity % predicted, quality of life, dyspnea level, quadriceps force, body mass index, and baseline PA level) were examined as potential covariates for this analysis in addition to fixed variables of PR site, PA monitor type, and change in hours of daylight from baseline to 3 months. Each factor was first entered into a univariate model, and in the absence of collinearity (comparable eigenvalues, variance inflation factor <10) those found to be significant (P≤0.20) were entered into a multivariate model. Receiver operator curve (ROC) analysis was conducted to ascertain the sensitivity and specificity of the 350 m 6MWDi cutoff to detect “PA responders” and estimate the area under the curve (AUC).

Sensitivity analyses were conducted to explore the robustness of findings related to the proportion of “PA responders.” This comprises repeat chi-squared analyses using a) the same 1,000 steps/day definition of a “PA responder” but CPET-derived measures of relative, weight-adjusted peak oxygen consumption; b) the lower and upper limits of the MID for PA change after PR (cutoffs of 600 and 1,100 steps/day, respectively); and c) exclusion of the top 5% extreme PA values (further details in Supplementary material). Mean change in PA was also compared across 6MWDi groups defined according to 6MWDi quartiles and evaluated via one-way ANOVA. Findings were compared between data expressed in “absolute” native units (steps/day) vs “relative” percent change from baseline due to uncertainty regarding the clinical importance of the latter approach. Statistical significance was denoted by P-values <0.05 for all analyses unless otherwise stated.

Results

Data were available from 241 patients upon completion of PR (152 Leuven, 89 Athens; Figure 1). Five patients were excluded (three from Leuven, two from Athens) due to PA data failing to meet validation criteria. Baseline characteristics of the 236 included participants are listed in Table 1. Small, but statistically significant differences were observed between participants of Leuven and Athens in terms of gender, body mass index, quality of life, lung function, and 6MWD. Participants were generally inactive at the start of PR (median [IQR] 3,920 [2,295-5,804] steps/day). No differences were observed in mean 6MWDi between participants of the Athens sites that used the 30 m (n=69) or 18 m (n=18) corridor lengths (P=0.740). PR was highly effective across a range of clinical outcomes (Table S1).

Figure 1

CONSORT diagram of patient flow through the study.

Abbreviations: n, number of participants; PA, physical activity; PR, pulmonary rehabilitation.

Table 1

Baseline demographic characteristics of participants with valid PA assessments (by site)

Participant characteristics	N	Total (n=236)	N	Leuven (n=149)	N	Athens (n=87)	P-value
Age, years	236	65±8	149	65±7	87	65±9	0.66
Gender (male/female), n	236	178/58	149	103/46	87	75/12	0.003
BMI, kg/m2	236	25 [22–29]	149	25 [21–29]	87	27 [24–30]	<0.001
BMI ≥30, n (%)	236	56 (23.7)	149	34 (22.8)	87	22 (25.3)	0.67
FEV1, L	236	1.21 [0.89–1.65]	149	1.10 [0.88–1.48]	87	1.45 [0.98–1.89]	0.002
FEV1, % predicted	236	44.3 [33.0–59.0]	149	41.5 [32.6–54.0]	87	51 [33–64]	0.06
GOLD stage (I/II/III/IV), n	236	10/83/100/43	149	7/43/70/29	87	3/40/30/14	0.07
TLCO, % predicted	220	50.0 [39.0–65.2]	133	45.5 [37.1–58.9]	87	57 [43–73]	<0.001
MRC score	185	3 [2–4]	98	3 [2–4]	87	3 [2–4]	0.12
CRDQtotal	216	81 [69–94]	129	78 [67–88]	87	88 [76–108]	<0.001
6MWDi group ≥350 m, n (%)	236	169 (71%)	149	110 (74%)	87	59 (68%)	0.32
6MWD, m	236	416 [332–486]	149	426 [333–500]	87	392 [332–454]	0.04
VO2 peak, mL/kg/min	235	15.1 [12.6–17.9]	148	15.5 [12.1–19.8]	87	15.0 [13.8–17.6]	0.45
Physical activity, steps/day	236	3,920 [2,295–5,804]	149	3,902 [2,326–5,493]	87	4,014 [2,287–6,260]	0.70
Physical activity >7,000 m (n, %)	236	32 (13.6%)	149	21 (14.1%)	87	11 (12.6%)	0.75
Quadriceps force, Nm	228	116.2±40.6	141	110.0±33.9	87	126.2±48.2	0.05

Notes: Data are median [IQR] or mean ± SD unless otherwise stated. P-values refer to comparisons between Leuven and Athens sites. Bold values denote statistical significance.

Abbreviations: 6MWD, Six-minute walk distance; 6MWDi, initial six-minute walk distance; BMI, body mass index; CRDQ, Chronic Respiratory Disease Questionnaire; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in the first second; GOLD, Global burden Of Lung Disease; MRC, Medical Research Council dyspnea scale (score range 1–5); Nm, newton-meters; PA, physical activity; TLCO, transfer factor for carbon monoxide.

Table S1

Pulmonary rehabilitation responses

Participant characteristics	Total (n=236)	Leuven (n=149)	Athens (n=87)	P-value
Δ FEV1, % predicted	0 [−1.6–1.36]	0.0 [−4.0–4.0]	0.0 [0.0–0.0]	0.82
Δ CRDQ total	13 [7–21]	18 [10–25]	10 [6–14]	<0.001
Δ 6MWD, m	41 [23–72]	48 [20–83]	38 [25–52]	0.15
6MWD responders (Δ>30 m), n (%)	150 (65)*	92 (64)*	58 (67)	0.67
Δ VO2peak, mL/kg/min	1.23 [0.19–2.38]	0.92 [−0.83–2.77]	1.33 [0.93–1.89]	0.03
Δ Quadriceps force, Nm	14.4±18.4	13.3±21.1	16.3±12.9	0.09
Δ Physical activity, mean steps/day	551±1,770	592±1,861	480±1,612	0.64
PA responders (Δ>1,000 steps/day), n (%)	75 (32)	46 (31)	29 (33)	0.70

Notes: Data are median [IQR] or mean ± SD. Bold font denotes statistical significance between the two sites.

3-month 6MWD data unavailable for five participants at Leuven site.

Abbreviations: Δ, change; 6MWD, six-minute walk test distance; BMI, body mass index; CRDQ, Chronic Respiratory Disease Questionnaire; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in the first second; m, meters; Nm, newton-meters; PA, physical activity.

The proportion of “PA responders” (>1,000 steps/day change after PR) was significantly greater in those with 6MWDi ≥350 m compared with those with 6MWDi <350 m (37.9% vs 16.4%, respectively; P=0.001; Table 2; Figure 2). The proportion of patients deemed “fairly active (mean ≥7,000 steps/day)” at 3 months was also greater in patients with better 6MWDi (23.7% vs 4.5%, respectively; P=0.001). This represented a modest positive shift from baseline (17.2% vs 4.5%, respectively), with 58.1% of patients maintaining a “fairly active” status from baseline. The vast majority (91.2%) of the 204 patients deemed “fairly inactive (<7,000 steps/day)” at baseline remained “fairly inactive” at 3 months.

Table 2

Characteristics of “PA responders” (>1,000 steps/day) vs “nonresponders”

Participant characteristics	N	“PA responder”	N	“PA nonresponder”	P-value
Age	75	64.4±7.3	161	65.5±8.0	0.29
BMI	75	25 [22–28]	161	25 [22–30]	0.73
FEV1, % predicted	75	50.8±15.9	160	44.8±17.6	0.012
TLC, % predicted	75	112.4±16.9	157	119.8±22.7	0.013
FRC, % predicted	75	150.9±39.1	155	164.8±41.9	0.017
TLCO, % predicted	74	54.8±19.2	146	52.3±18.0	0.35
MRC score	59	3 [2–3]	126	3 [3–4]	0.024
CRDQtotal	72	87.6±21.4	151	79.5±18.5	0.004
Physical activity, steps/day	75	4,210±2,488	161	4,222±2,526	0.97
6MWDi group (<350 m/≥350 m), n	75	11/64	161	56/105	0.001
6MWDi, m	75	444±103	161	382±115	<0.001
VO2 peak (mL/kg/min)	75	16.8±3.9	160	14.8±3.9	<0.001
Wmax	75	70.7±27.2	160	58.2±23.6	<0.001
Quadriceps force, Nm	71	126.1±40.1	157	111.7±40.1	0.012
Δ FEV1, % predicted	75	-0.02±5.94	156	0.21±5.55	0.78
Δ CRDQdyspnea	72	5.7±5.2	142	4.9±5.1	0.27
Δ CRDQtotal	65	15.9±11.5	135	14.3±11.9	0.37
Δ 6MWD, m	75	57.2±67.6	156	41.4±47.7	0.042
6MWD responders >30 m (n, %)	75	52 (69.3%)	156	98 (62.8%)	0.33
Δ VO2peak (mL/kg/min)	74	1.13±3.00	146	1.37±2.75	0.55
Δ Quadriceps force (Nm)	71	16.5±23.9	153	13.5±15.1	0.27

Notes: Data are median [IQR] or mean ± SD. Bold font denotes statistical significance; Dashed line separates baseline and change (Δ) variables.

Abbreviations: 6MWD, six-minute walk distance; 6MWDi, initial six-minute walk distance; BMI, body mass index; CRDQ, Chronic Respiratory Disease Questionnaire; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in the first second; FRC, functional residual capacity; MRC, Medical Research Council dyspnea scale (score range 1–5); Nm, newton-meters; PA, physical activity; TLC, total lung capacity; TLCO, transfer factor of carbon monoxide.

Figure 2

Changes in PA levels and six-minute walk distance, according to group.

Notes: Green arrows denote improvement in PA ≥1,000 steps/day; red arrows denote change in PA <1,000 steps/day. Arrow tails reflect baseline function; arrow heads reflect function at 3 months. Vertical dashed line denotes 350 m cutoff for groups defined according to 6MWDi.

Abbreviations: PA, physical activity; 6MWDi, initial six-minute walk distance.

Both 6MWDi and change in 6MWD correlated significantly but weakly with change in PA (r=0.205 and 0.217, respectively; Figures S1 and S2). Mean (SD) changes in PA levels from baseline to 3 months were small overall (551±1,770 steps/day; P<0.001). Mean (SD) magnitude of change in PA levels (mean steps/day) according to the low and high 6MWDi groups was 157 (1,694) and 707 (1,780), respectively (P=0.031 between-groups; Figure 3).

Figure 3

Change in physical activity (mean steps/day) over initial six-minute walk distance groups.

Note: Horizontal bars denote mean group values.

“PA responders” were found to have slightly better lung function, less dyspnea, better quality of life and more preserved exercise capacity (VO2peak), quadriceps muscle force, and 6MWT at baseline compared with “PA nonresponders” (P<0.05 for all; Table 2). The sole factor related to PR training responses that differed between these two groups was magnitude of improvement in 6MWD. While both groups experienced clinically relevant improvements in 6MWD, “PA responders” experienced 15.8 m more mean improvement than nonresponders (P=0.042).

Table 3 lists the findings of the logistic regression analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed 6MWDi group classification to be the only significant independent baseline predictor of PA improvement after PR, adjusted for change in daylight.

Table 3

Logistic regression analysis to predict physical activity “responders” (Δ1,000 steps/day) at 3 months

Predictors	Univariate		Multivariate
	OR (95% CI)	P-value	OR (95% CI)	P-value
6MWDi <350 m (reference)	–	–	–	–
6MWDi ≥350 m	3.10 (1.51–6.36)	0.002	3.25 (1.12–9.40)	0.030
CRDQtotal	1.02 (1.01–1.04)	0.005	1.02 (1.00–1.03)	0.080
FEV1, % predicted	1.02 (1.00–1.04)	0.013	1.02 (0.99–1.04)	0.198
MRC dyspnea	0.67 (0.49–0.93)	0.015	1.00 (0.66–1.51)	0.990
Quadriceps force, Nm	1.01 (1.00–1.02)	0.015	1.01 (1.00–1.01)	0.189
FRC, % predicted	0.99 (0.98–1.00)	0.019	0.99 (0.98–1.00)	0.218
Body mass index	0.97 (0.93–1.03)	0.388
Baseline physical activity (steps/day)	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	0.973
Δ daylight hours	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	0.009	1.00 (1.00–1.00)	0.018
Site: Leuven (reference)	–	–
Athens	1.12 (0.64–1.97)	0.695
PA monitor: DynaPort (reference)	–	–
Actigraph	0.97 (0.48–1.96)	0.928
SenseWear	1.35 (0.61–3.00)	0.462

Notes: Bold font denotes statistical significance; – denotes reference group.

Abbreviations: 6MWDi, initial six-minute walk distance; BMI, body mass index; CRDQtotal, Chronic Respiratory Disease Questionnaire Total score; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in the first second; FRC, functional residual capacity; MRC, Medical Research Council dyspnea scale (score range 1–5); PA, physical activity.

ROC analysis confirmed 350 m was a useful 6MWDi cutoff of high negative predictive value. Those with 6MWDi <350 m were highly unlikely to achieve gains in PA ≥1,000 steps/day (85.3% sensitivity). Specificity was, however, relatively low (34.8%), resulting in an AUC of 0.662 (Figure S3). Sensitivity analyses revealed similar findings to the principal analysis across the three exploratory comparisons. By contrast, findings were not replicable when data were expressed as percent change from baseline (Figures S4 and S5). Further details of the sensitivity analyses are given in the Supplementary material.

Discussion

Findings from this multicenter study conducted in two countries highlight that clinically important improvements in PA after PR are much (three-fold [OR {95% CI}=3.10 {1.51–6.36}]) more likely to occur in COPD patients with better preserved baseline exercise tolerance (6MWDi ≥350 m). The result appears consistent with CPET-derived measures of VO2peak (Supplementary material), and sensitivity analyses suggest that the phenomenon is quite robust across different PA change thresholds. Our data affirm the clinical relevance of the 350 m cutoff threshold, previously demonstrated for the outcome of mortality by work of our group17 and others,16 by highlighting its novel application as a useful “rule out” test to identify patients unlikely to experience meaningful increases in PA after PR (6MWDi <350 m, sensitivity 85%; Figure S3). It is interesting to observe that the small proportion of patients (13%) who improved PA after PR from this subgroup did so only in conjunction with quite dramatic changes in 6MWD (mean [SD] change in 6MWD in the 11 responders with low 6MWDi 128.4 [98.3] m). Attempts to enhance PA do not therefore appear to be the best focus of rehabilitation for these patients but may be considered a more appropriate long-term goal after exercise tolerance has been regained.

The higher likelihood of PA improvement in patients who entered PR with a more preserved exercise tolerance suggests this COPD subgroup may be a good target for tailored PA cointerventions during PR. The best adjunct therapy to achieve this aim is not yet clear, due in part to uncertainty regarding the precise factors that likely influence PA participation. For example, in addition to baseline exercise tolerance, it is reasonable to expect PA responses to be mediated by personal motivations, self-efficacy, and willingness to change. If patients are properly selected on the basis of preserved functional and/or peak exercise tolerance, one might speculate that interventions grounded in behavioral therapies could be appropriate.26 The provision of coaching-based interventions founded upon motivational principles but without self-monitoring and feedback has been shown to be insufficient to improve PA after PR.27 The addition of self-monitoring and goal setting with feedback, however, has been shown to be somewhat more effective, with one small study demonstrating mean improvements in the magnitude of 3,278 steps/day.28 Interestingly, this strategy was recently found to be unsuccessful in more symptomatic patients with poor exercise tolerance,29 which might be anticipated from our findings.

Our data concur with that of a recent large, multicenter international study from the PROactive consortium10 that found a 3-month semiautomated telecoaching intervention to be effective at changing PA. This study did not run concurrently with PR; however, exploratory post hoc analyses revealed patients with higher 6MWD, lower symptom score (mMRC), and those in Global burden Of Lung Disease (GOLD) A-B (vs C-D) at baseline achieved gains of a greater magnitude than those observed in the present rehabilitation study. Considered together, this suggests hidden potential for PR to positively influence PA in COPD subgroups defined according to baseline exercise tolerance. Comparisons of treatment effectiveness according to such parameters are currently rare. It is therefore plausible that potentially useful data regarding adjunct strategies applied during PR exist but remain concealed by a lack of stratification. The interaction between exercise tolerance and its ability to modulate PA responses during PR may shed new light on some of the early hypotheses that proposed such coexistent aims posed inherent “competing agendas.”30 As significant interest surrounds the identification of the best candidates for interventions targeting improvements in PA levels, we expect consideration of baseline exercise tolerance to feature prominently in future studies of this nature.

Limitations

The three PA monitors used in this pooled analysis have known differing accuracy to detect step counts in patients with COPD.31 Their combined use, however, was controlled for in the regression models without evident systematic bias (Table 3). Exploratory analysis of the principal outcome within individual PA monitor subgroups revealed a consistently lower proportion of responders to PR in patients with 6MWDi <350 m compared with those with 6MWDi ≥350 m; however, significance was only reached for the Actigraph, which had the most available data (n=123) compared with the DynaPort (n=52) and SenseWear (n=56). Our study also included sites where the 6MWT was performed on tracks of differing lengths. While site did not emerge as a significant predictor in the univariate logistic regression analysis, we do not advocate for the 6MWT to be conducted on shorter (<30 m) track lengths nor confirm that our findings should be expected to occur reliably if testing were conducted in such environments. Finally, the extent to which the factors investigated in this study relate to the maintenance phase following PR completion was not explored, meaning their relevance beyond the point of PR completion should be inferred with caution.

Conclusion

The likelihood of improving PA following PR is significantly higher in patients with COPD who have greater baseline functional exercise tolerance (≥350 m on 6MWT) compared with those with lower levels. Baseline 6MWDi status is a strong, independent predictor of change in PA after 3 months of PR. Enhancing PA may be an unrealistic goal in patients with poor exercise tolerance. Future studies seeking to improve PA in patients with COPD may benefit from targeting those with higher baseline exercise tolerance or stratifying analyses according to this important parameter.

Ethics

Ethics approval for the pooled analysis:

University Hospital Leuven: S60558.

Ethics approval/clinical trial registrations for individual included studies:

Physical Activity Counseling During Pulmonary Rehabilitation: S51491/NCT00948623

Downhill Walking Training in COPD: S56364/NCT02113748

Effects of Inspiratory Muscle Training in COPD: S52852/NCT01397396

Pulmonary Rehabilitation Program and PROactive Tool: 18367/NCT02437994

Home Rehabilitation Via Telemonitoring in Patients With COPD: 22964/NCT02618746.

Supplementary materials

Sensitivity analyses

For the purpose of sensitivity analysis, chi-squared analyses were repeated for the primary outcome using 1) the same 1,000 steps/day definition of a physical activity (PA) responder but cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET)-derived measures of relative peak oxygen consumption (VO2peak adjusted for weight) instead of initial 6-minute walk distance (6MWDi) (groups defined by cutoff at the 28th percentile – corresponding to the proportions obtained via 6MWDi); 2) the lower and upper limits of the minimally important difference [MID] for PA change after pulmonary rehabilitation (PR) (cutoffs of 600 and 1,100 steps/day, respectively); and 3) exclusion of the top 5% extreme PA values. Mean change in PA was also compared across groups defined according to 6MWDi quartiles and evaluated via one-way ANOVA.

In line with findings of the 6MWDi, 16.7% of patients with a low baseline weight-adjusted VO2peak (<13.042 mL/min/kg, derived from maximal incremental cycle CPET [corresponding to the 28th percentile of 6MWDi]), achieved an improvement of ≥1,000 steps/day compared with 37.9% of patients who had a more preserved baseline VO2peak (P=0.002). This pattern was weaker when VO2peak was expressed in absolute units (28th percentile corresponding to <0.930 L/min), with the proportion of responders being 27.3% vs 33.7% for the low and high groups, respectively (P=0.34).

The proportion of patients who improved PA by the suggested lower (600 steps/day) and upper limit (1,100 steps/day) of the MID in PA at 3 months increased significantly with increased 6MWDi (respectively, 25.4% vs 50.9% for 6MWDi <350 m; P<0.001 and 4.9% vs 36.1% for 6MWDi ≥350 m; P=0.001).

The sensitivity analysis relating to the exclusion of the top 5% outlying PA data resulted in proportions of responders in the 6MWDi <350 m vs 6MWDi ≥350 m of 16% and 35%, respectively (P=0.005).

The mean [SD] magnitude of change in PA (steps/day) across the groups defined according to 6MWDi quartiles increased significantly with increasing 6MWDi (99 [1,750], 336 [1,468], 525 [1,444], 1,245 [2,152] for Q1–4, respectively; P=0.003). In contrast to the principal analysis, when PA change was expressed as a percentage change from baseline, no significant differences were observed in the magnitude of PA change across either the two 6MWDi groups (18.3 [109], 31.4 [78.7] for <350 m and ≥350 m groups; P=0.306) or the groups defined according to 6MWDi quartiles (17.9 [114.8], 37.2 [104.7], 23.7 [58.6], 32.2 [61.1] for Q1–4, respectively; P=0.642; Figures S4 and S5). All chi-squared analyses conducted using different thresholds of relative PA improvement (10%, 15%, 20% change from baseline) for the two 6MWDi groups were nonsignificant.

Pearson correlation between 6MWDi and change in PA (steps/day).

Notes: Proportion of PA responders, according to 6MWDi groups (vertical dashed line), denoted by the ratio of dots above vs below the horizontal dashed line. The horizontal dashed line represents a change in PA of more than 1,000 steps/day.

Abbreviations: 6MWDi, initial 6-minute walk distance; PA, physical activity.

Pearson correlation between changes in PA levels and changes in exercise tolerance at 3 months.

Notes: Closed circles represent patients with 6MWDi of <350 m; open circles represent patients with 6MWDi of at least 350 m. Horizontal dashed line represents the proposed minimally important difference threshold for improvement in PA after PR (1,000 steps/day).

Abbreviations: 6MWDi, initial 6-minute walk distance; PA, physical activity; PR, pulmonary rehabilitation.

ROC curve of 6MWDi cutoff to identify PA responder.

Notes: Arrow denotes 350 m cutoff reference value corresponding with 85.33% sensitivity; 34.78% specificity; 50.85% correctly classified; +ve likelihood ratio 1.308; -ve likelihood ratio 0.422.

Abbreviations: 6MWDi, initial 6-minute walk distance; PA, physical activity; ROC, receiver operator curve.

Changes in physical activity across the two 6MWDi groups, expressed as percent change from baseline.

Notes: Horizontal bars denote group means. Percentage change derived from mean steps/day weekly count. Horizontal dashed lines represent the point of zero change.

Abbreviation: 6MWDi, initial 6-minute walk distance.

Changes in physical activity across 6MWDi quartiles.

Notes: (A) Change in physical activity expressed as steps/day. (B) Change in physical activity expressed as percent change from baseline, derived from mean steps/day weekly count. Horizontal dashed lines represent the point of zero change. P-value denotes result from one-way ANOVA test.

Abbreviation: 6MWDi, initial 6-minute walk distance.