| Literature DB >> 30497418 |
Wenwu Liu1,2, Yun Zheng1,2, Ruhai Zou1,3, Jingxian Shen1,4, Wei He1,2, Zhiwen Yang1,2, Yuanping Zhang1,2, Binkui Li5,6, Yunfei Yuan7,8.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The optimal follow-up strategy after curative thermal ablation of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains unclear.Entities:
Keywords: Liver cancer; Milan criteria; Overall survival; Recurrence-free survival; Surveillance; Thermal ablation
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30497418 PMCID: PMC6267022 DOI: 10.1186/s12885-018-5069-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Cancer ISSN: 1471-2407 Impact factor: 4.430
Baseline characteristics of all HCC patients
| Characteristics | Value |
|---|---|
| Patients | 616 |
| Pre-TACE | 145 (23.5) |
| Age (yrs.) | 56.0 (18.0) |
| Male | 556 (90.3) |
| Ablation | |
| Radiofrequency | 469 (76.1) |
| Microwave | 147 (23.9) |
| Tumor number | |
| Single | 499 (81.0) |
| Multiple | 117 (19.0) |
| Tumor size (cm) | |
| ≤ 3 | 473 (76.8) |
| > 3 | 143 (23.2) |
| Risk area | 159 (25.8) |
| AFP ≥200 ng/ml | 187 (30.4) |
| Hb (109/L) | 142.0 (22.3) |
| PLT (109/L) | 121.0 (90.0) |
| RBC (109/L) | 4.6 (0.8) |
| WBC (109/L) | 5.2 (2.5) |
| ALB (g/L) | 41.5 (6.0) |
| ALT (U/L) | 35.2 (26.8) |
| AST (U/L) | 33.6 22.57) |
| TBIL (μmol/L) | 15.0 (20.4) |
| Child-Pugh grade | |
| A | 594 (96.4) |
| B | 22 (3.6) |
| PT (seconds) | 12.3 (1.8) |
| Viral hepatitis | 574 (93.2) |
| Cirrhosis | 503 (81.7) |
Abbreviations: TACE Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, AFP alpha-fetoprotein, Hb Hemoglobin, PLT platelet, RBC red blood cell, WBC white blood cell, ALB albumin, ALT alanine aminotransferase, AST aspartate aminotransferase, TBIL total bilirubin, PT prothrombin time
Values are presented as the median (IQR) or n (%)
Fig. 1The OS and RFS curves with 95% CIs and risk tables and the recurrence patterns for all HCC patients treated with ablation. a The RFS of 616 patients. The 1, 2- and 5-year RFS rates were 68.9, 46.9 and 19.3%, respectively. b The OS of 616 patients. The1-, 2- and 5-year OS rates were 98.2, 91.8 and 72.7%, respectively. c The probability density plot of recurrence showed that relapse cases centered in the first 2 years after ablation. d The hazard rate of recurrence curve showed that the recurrence hazard peaked during the first 2 years after ablation
Recurrence-free survival prognostic factors
| Variable | Recurrence-free survival | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate | Multivariate | |||
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Age | 1.24 (0.98, 1.56) | 0.068 | 1.19 (0.94, 1.51) | 0.142 |
| Male | 0.94 (0.64, 1.36) | 0.732 | ||
| Tumor number | 1.47 (1.13, 1.91) | < 0.001 | 1.32 (1.00, 1.73) | 0.048 |
| Tumor size | 1.32 (1.18, 1.49) | < 0.001 | 1.26 (1.11, 1.43) | < 0.001 |
| Risk area | 1.20 (0.94, 1.53) | 0.138 | ||
| AFP ≥200 ng/mL | 1.25 (0.99, 1.57) | 0.067 | 1.25 (0.98, 1.58) | 0.067 |
| Pre-TACE | 1.23 (0.96, 1.58) | 0.097 | 1.07 (0.82, 1.40) | 0.606 |
| PLT < 100 × 109/L | 1.28 (1.02, 1.60) | 0.032 | 1.18 (0.93, 1.84) | 0.169 |
| RBC < 4.3 × 109/L | 1.00 (0.79, 1.26) | 0.975 | ||
| WBC < 4.0 × 109/L | 1.20 (0.93, 1.56) | 0.161 | ||
| ALB < 35 g/L | 1.48 (1.07, 2.06) | 0.019 | 1.30 (0.92, 1.84) | 0.133 |
| ALT < 50 U/L | 1.00 (0.78, 1.28) | 0.990 | ||
| AST < 40 U/L | 1.07 (0.85, 1.35) | 0.578 | ||
| TBIL > 17.1 μmol/L | 1.01 (0.96, 1.07) | 0.695 | ||
| PT > 16.5 s | 0.80 (0.40, 1.63) | 0.545 | ||
| Cirrhosis | 1.12 (0.88, 1.57) | 0.263 | ||
Abbreviations: AFP alpha-fetoprotein, TACE transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, PLT platelet, RBC red blood cell, WBC white blood cell, ALB albumin, ALT alanine aminotransferase, AST aspartate aminotransferase, TBIL total bilirubin, PT prothrombin time
Variables with P value < 0.10 at univariate analysis were retained for multivariate analysis
Fig. 2The recurrence risk classification of entire patients. The RFS curve of high- and low-risk patients (HR = 1.98; 95% CI, 1.56 to 2.51; P < 0.001)
Baseline characteristics of HCC patients with regular surveillance
| Characteristics | Low risk group | High risk group | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short interval | Long interval |
| Short interval | Long interval |
| |
| Patients | 199 (75.7) | 64 (24.3) | 145 (79.7) | 37 (20.3) | ||
| Pre-TACE | 22 (11.1) | 11 (17.2) | 0.284 | 71 (49.0) | 12 (32.4) | 0.106 |
| Age (yrs.) | 55.0 (17.5) | 54.0 (19.5) | 0.962 | 56.0 (14) | 61.0 (21) | 0.058 |
| Male | 177 (88.9) | 61 (95.3) | 0.206 | 135 (93.1) | 35 (94.6) | 1.000 |
| Tumor number | 1.000 | 0.971 | ||||
| Singular | 199 (100.0) | 64 (100.0) | 69 (47.6) | 18 (48.6) | ||
| Multiple | – | – | 76 (52.4) | 19 (51.4) | ||
| Tumor size | 0.631 | |||||
| ≤ 3 cm | 199 (100.0) | 64 (100.0) | 34 (37.2) | 16 (43.2) | ||
| > 3 cm | – | – | 91 (62.8) | 21 (56.8) | ||
| Risk area | 50 (25.1) | 14 (21.9) | 0.719 | 39 (26.9) | 9 (24.3) | 0.914 |
| AFP ≥200 ng/ml | 67 (33.7) | 10 (15.6) | 0.009 | 86 (59.3) | 20 (54.1) | 0.695 |
| Hb (109/L) | 143.0 (2.80) | 145.5 (19.2) | 0.331 | 142.0 (21.2) | 142.0 (22.1) | 0.367 |
| PLT (109/L) | 131.0 (96.0) | 129.5 (95.9) | 0.896 | 105.1 (85.0) | 132.0 (98.0) | 0.452 |
| RBC (109/L) | 4.5 (0.8) | 4.8 (0.8) | 0.013 | 4.6 (0.8) | 4.5 (0.9) | 0.556 |
| WBC (109/L) | 5.3 (2.5) | 5.4 (2.5) | 0.579 | 5.2 (2.5) | 5.80 (0.9) | 0.357 |
| ALB (g/L) | 41.9 (7.9) | 42.5 (5.6) | 0.671 | 41.2 (5.8) | 40.3 (6.7) | 0.804 |
| ALT (U/L) | 34.1 (23.4) | 37.2 (29.5) | 0.229 | 37.1 (29.1) | 36.0 (25.3) | 0.773 |
| AST (U/L) | 32.3 (20.0) | 33.5 (20.0) | 0.802 | 35.7 (22.3) | 35.5 (28.6) | 0.868 |
| TBIL (μmol/L) | 14.4 (9.0) | 15.2 (6.8) | 0.678 | 16.0 (11.8) | 14.3 (5.2) | 0.137 |
| Child-Pugh grade | 0.732 | 0.348 | ||||
| A | 191 (96.0) | 44 (95.3) | 138 (95.2) | 44 (100.0) | ||
| B | 8 (4.0) | 3 (4.7) | 7 (4.80) | 0 (0.00) | ||
| PT (seconds) | 12.3 (1.7) | 12.1 (1.6) | 0.135 | 12.3 (1.8) | 12.4 (1.8) | 0.837 |
| Viral hepatitis | 184 (92.5) | 59 (92.2) | 1.000 | 137 (94.5) | 34 (91.9) | 0.838 |
| Cirrhosis | 159 (79.9) | 51 (79.7) | 1.000 | 125 (86.2) | 26 (70.3) | 0.040 |
Abbreviations: TACE Transcatheter arterial chemoembolization, AFP alpha-fetoprotein, Hb Hemoglobin, PLT platelet, RBC red blood cell, WBC white blood cell, ALB albumin, ALT alanine aminotransferase, AST aspartate aminotransferase, TBIL total bilirubin, PT prothrombin time
Values are presented as the median (IQR) or n (%)
Clinical characteristics of early recurrence
| Characteristics | Low risk group | High risk group | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Short interval | Long interval |
| Short interval | Long interval |
| |
| Patients | 65 | 25 | 79 | 21 | ||
| Relapse location (%) | 0.868 | 0.383 | ||||
| Local | 26 (40.6) | 11 (44.0) | 29 (37.2) | 5 (23.8) | ||
| Intrahepatic distant | 37 (57.8) | 14 (56.0) | 47 (60.3) | 15 (71.4) | ||
| Extrahepatic | 1.0 (1.6) | 0.0 (0.0) | 2 (2.6) | 1 (4.8) | ||
| Intrahepatic tumor number | 1.0 (1.0) | 1.5 (1.0) | 0.811 | 1.0 (1.0) | 2.0 (1.0) | 0.229 |
| Intrahepatic tumor size (cm) | 1.7 (1.5) | 1.9 (1.9) | 0.718 | 1.9 (1.5) | 1.6 (1.3) | 0.797 |
| Curative intent (%) | 44.0 (77.2) | 18.0 (81.8) | 0.886 | 43 (64.2) | 6 (37.5) | 0.087 |
| BCLC (%) | 0.172 | 0.028 | ||||
| 0 | 19 (29.2) | 6 (24.0) | 15 (19.0) | 2 (9.5) | ||
| A | 35 (53.8) | 12 (48.0) | 46 (58.2) | 10 (47.6) | ||
| B | 7 (10.8) | 5 (20.0) | 8 (10.1) | 3 (14.3) | ||
| C & D | 4 (6.2) | 2 (8.0) | 10 (12.7) | 6 (28.6) | ||
Abbreviations: BCLC Barcelona clinic liver cancer stage
Values are presented as the median (IQR), or n (%)
Fig. 3Overall survival curves with risk tables of patients in low- or high-risk group with short or long surveillance interval. a The OS of 263 low-risk patients with short or long surveillance. b The OS of 182 high-risk patients with short or long surveillance. c The OS of the 190 patients with early relapse with short or long interval