| Literature DB >> 30405516 |
Miguel A Barboza1,2, Erwin Chiquete3, Antonio Arauz1, Marlon Merlos-Benitez1, Alejandro Quiroz-Compeán1, Fernando Barinagarrementería4, Carlos Cantú-Brito3.
Abstract
Background: Most patients with cerebral venous thrombosis (CVT) have independent survival in the short term. However, identification of high-risk individuals with an unfavorable outcome is a challenging task. We aimed to develop a CVT grading scale (CVT-GS) to aid in the short-term clinical decision-making.Entities:
Keywords: cerebral venous thrombosis; mortality; outcome; scale; stroke
Year: 2018 PMID: 30405516 PMCID: PMC6204492 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2018.00882
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Neurol ISSN: 1664-2295 Impact factor: 4.003
Clinical and demographic characteristics of the 467 patients included in this study.
| Age, mean (SD), y | 31.3 (12.4) | 30.9 (12.3) | 34.2 (13.6) | 0.14 |
| Women, | 380 (81.4) | 347 (81.6) | 33 (78.6) | 0.62 |
| Men, | 87 (18.6) | 78 (18.4) | 9 (21.4) | 0.62 |
| Diagnosis delay, mean (SD), days | 17.9 (35.4) | 18.6 (36.8) | 10.2 (10.7) | 0.11 |
| Smoking | 61 (13.1) | 57 (13.4) | 4 (9.5) | 0.47 |
| Malignancy | 12 (2.6) | 8 (1.9) | 4 (9.5) | 0.003 |
| Thrombophilia | 25 (5.4) | 24 (5.6) | 1 (4.0) | 0.37 |
| Pregnancy and puerperium | 216 (46.4) | 198 (46.7) | 18 (42.9) | 0.63 |
| Headache | 396 (84.8) | 363 (85.4) | 33 (78.6) | 0.23 |
| Level of consciousness | < 0.001 | |||
| Awake and alert | 293 (62.7) | 289 (68.0) | 4 (9.5) | |
| Somnolence | 133 (28.5) | 114 (26.8) | 19 (45.2) | |
| Stupor/coma | 41 (8.8) | 22 (5.2) | 19 (45.2) | |
| Focal seizures | 60 (12.8) | 54 (12.7) | 6 (14.3) | 0.77 |
| Bilateral Babinski signs | 93 (19.9) | 64 (15.1) | 29 (69.0) | < 0.001 |
| Papilledema | 183 (39.2) | 167 (39.3) | 16 (38.1) | 0.88 |
| Venous infarction | 167 (35.8) | 161 (37.9) | 168 (36.0) | 0.006 |
| Bilateral parenchymal hemorrhage | 129 (27.6) | 109 (25.6) | 20 (47.6) | 0.002 |
| Parenchymal hemorrhage | 184 (39.4) | 152 (35.8) | 32 (76.2) | < 0.001 |
| Parenchymal lesion size >6 cm | 84 (18.0) | 55 (12.9) | 29 (69.0) | < 0.001 |
| Cerebral venous system involvement | 0.002 | |||
| Superficial | 365 (78.2) | 340 (80.0) | 25 (59.5) | |
| Deep (isolated) | 17 (3.6) | 16 (3.8) | 1 (2.4) | |
| Mixed (superficial and deep location) | 85 (18.2) | 69 (16.2) | 16 (38.1) | |
| Anticoagulant therapy | 222 (47.5) | 205 (48.2) | 17 (40.5) | 0.34 |
| Surgery (hemicraniectomy) | 15 (3.2) | 10 (2.4) | 5 (11.9) | 0.001 |
SD, standard deviation.
P-value for differences between men and women; Pearson chi-square, Fisher exact test, Student t-test or Mann-Whitney U-test, as appropriate.
Cox proportional hazards models for prediction of mortality and mRS >2 at 30 days after CVT.
| Parenchymal lesion size > 6 cm | 3.144 | 1.493–6.622 | 0.003 |
| Bilateral Babinski signs | 2.677 | 1.184–6.057 | 0.018 |
| Male gender | 2.277 | 1.030–5.036 | 0.042 |
| Parenchymal hemorrhage | 2.161 | 1.027–4.548 | 0.043 |
| Level of consciousness | 1.923 | 1.334–2.773 | < 0.001 |
| Parenchymal lesion size > 6 cm | 1.278 | 1.109–1.471 | 0.001 |
| Bilateral Babinski signs | 1.287 | 1.099–1.508 | 0.002 |
| Male gender | 1.366 | 1.076–1.734 | 0.010 |
| Parenchymal hemorrhage | 1.449 | 1.193–1.760 | 0.030 |
| Level of consciousness | 1.618 | 1.260–2.079 | < 0.001 |
CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.
Models adjusted for patients' age, diagnosis delay, etiology, clinical features, venous system localization (superficial, deep or mixed), and treatment (anticoagulation, surgery). Hazard ratios for each of the following consciousness levels: awake and alert, somnolence, stupor, and coma. Only variables significantly associated with the two study outcomes are included in the final steps of the models.
Critical appraisal on the prediction performance of ISCVT-RS (reference system) and CVT-GS (proposed system).
| Malignancy | 2 | – |
| Coma | 2 | – |
| Thrombosis of the deep venous system | 2 | – |
| Mental status disturbance | 1 | – |
| Male gender | 1 | – |
| Parenchymal hemorrhage | 1 | – |
| Parenchymal lesion size > 6 cm | – | 3 |
| Bilateral Babinski signs | – | 3 |
| Male gender | – | 2 |
| Parenchymal hemorrhage | – | 2 |
| Level of consciousness | ||
| Awake and alert | – | 0 |
| Somnolence | – | 1 |
| Stupor | – | 2 |
| Coma | – | 3 |
| Sensitivity (95% CI) | 0.476 (0.334–0.623) | 0.714 (0.564–0.828) |
| Specificity (95% CI) | 0.887 (0.853–0.914) | 0.929 (0.901–0.95) |
| c-statistic (95% CI) | 0.913 (0.866–0.959) | 0.786 (0.715–0.856) |
| J-statistic (95% CI) | 0.501 (0.359–0.624) | 0.620 (0.481–0.727) |
| PPV (95% CI) | 0.294 (0.199–0.411) | 0.500 (0.377–0.623) |
| NPV (95% CI) | 0.945 (0.918–0.963) | 0.971 (0.949–0.983) |
| LR+ (95% CI) | 4.216 (2.786–6.38) | 10.119 (6.821–15.012) |
| LR– (95% CI) | 0.591 (0.442–0.789) | 0.307 (0.19–0.496) |
| Sensitivity (95% CI) | 0.667 (0.564–0.755) | 0.700 (0.599–0.785) |
| Specificity (95% CI) | 0.814 (0.757–0.860) | 0.867 (0.817–0.905) |
| c-statistic (95% CI) | 0.828 (0.778–0.877) | 0.707 (0.651–0.763) |
| J-statistic (95% CI) | 0.498 (0.319–0.744) | 0.590 (0.461–0.701) |
| PPV (95% CI) | 0.594 (0.497–0.685) | 0.677 (0.577–0.764) |
| NPV (95% CI) | 0.856 (0.802–0.898) | 0.879 (0.830–0.915) |
| LR+ (95% CI) | 3.580 (2.620–4.890) | 5.270 (3.680–7.560) |
| LR– (95% CI) | 0.410 (0.300–0.550) | 0.350 (0.250–0.480) |
CI, confidence interval; CVT, cerebral venous thrombosis; HR, hazard ratio.
Prognostic performance with the actual median cut-off of 3 points for ISCVT-RS and of 6 points for CVT-GS. ISCVT-RS has a possible scoring range from 0 to 9 points; however, neither in the derivation and validation cohorts nor in the present study did a single patient score > 6 points, and hence, the actual median cut-off score for ISCVT-RS is 3 instead of 5, as can be expected by the 0 to 9 score range.
Figure 1mRS at 30 days after CVT according to CVT-GS severity category (A). Thirty-day case fatality rate and mRS > 2 according to the CVT-GS severity category (B).
Figure 2Actuarial analyses with the Kaplan-Meier method for the survival probability (A) and the probability of attaining a mRS > 2 (B) at 30 days after CVT, according to the CVT-GS categories.
Figure 3ROC curves for CVT-GS and ISCVT-RS accuracy analysis for the prediction of death (A) and mRS > 2 (B) at 30 days after CVT.
Figure 4Positive (blue lines) and negative (red lines) post-test probability of mRS > 2 at 30 days according to different CVT-GS cut-off (A-F).