Literature DB >> 30377569

A reliable and feasible way to predict the benefits of Nivolumab in patients with non-small cell lung cancer: a pooled analysis of 14 retrospective studies.

Dedong Cao1, Huilin Xu2, Ximing Xu1, Tao Guo3,4, Wei Ge1.   

Abstract

Objective: Nivolumab has been used for treating non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) worldwide. Whether neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) can predict the prognosis of NSCLC treated with Nivolumab is still under debate. This meta-analysis was to assess the significance of NLR as a predictive factor in NSCLC patients receiving Nivolumab.
Methods: Databases including PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane library were searched to identify eligible studies evaluating the role of NLR in predicting prognosis of NSCLC treated with Nivolumab until March 2018 without language restrictions. The meta-analysis was performed using hazard ratio (HR) of progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in NSCLC patients with various NLR.
Results: A total of 14 retrospective studies consisting of 1225 NSCLC patients were included. The combined results showed that relatively higher baseline NLR was associated with poor PFS (HR = 1.44; 95% confidence interval (CI):1.18-1.77; p < 0.05) and OS (HR = 1.75; 95% CI: 1.33-2.30; p < 0.05) after treatment of Nivolumab. Subgroup analysis suggested that NLR ≥ 5 was more reliable for PFS (HR = 1.73; 95%CI: 1.14, 2.62; p < 0.05) and OS (HR = 1.76; 95%CI: 1.47, 2.10; p < 0.05). In addition, post-treatment NLR also had predictive roles for PFS (HR = 3.17; 95%CI: 1.48, 6.82; p < 0.05) and OS (HR = 2.26; 95%CI: 1.05, 4.86; p < 0.05).
Conclusion: Our findings suggest that NLR can be used as a prognostic biomarker for NSCLC treating with Nivolumab, and the recommended cutoff value of NLR is 5.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; Nivolumab; immunotherapy; lung cancer; meta-analysis

Year:  2018        PMID: 30377569      PMCID: PMC6205035          DOI: 10.1080/2162402X.2018.1507262

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Oncoimmunology        ISSN: 2162-4011            Impact factor:   8.110


Introduction

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) remains one of the most lethal malignant diseases worldwide.[1] The traditional therapy is mainly consisted of chemotherapy, radiotherapy, surgical resection and best supportive care.[1] In recent years, the therapeutic strategies for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have been enriched with small molecular targeted therapy and immunotherapy.[2] For targeted therapy, several positive and practical indicators of their efficacy have been identified by accumulating clinical and laboratory evidence, such as epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutation.[3] After failure of previous treatments, immunotherapy still shows favorable clinical benefits.[3] Moreover, there are evidences supporting first-line and/or second-line application of this novel treatment for NSCLC.[4] However, not of all the treated patients gain this advantage.[4] How to predict the efficacy of immunotherapy in a feasible and reliable way is important during the process of selecting regimen from multiple options for oncologists and patients. Immune checkpoint inhibitors such as Nivolumab have gained much attention in clinical practice because of their superiority in controlling cancer.[5,6] A series of factors like PD-L1 expression, tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs), and tumor mutational burden(TMB) have been tested whether they are suitable to serve as predictor of immunotherapy effectiveness.[7-9] PD-L1 expression is associated with survival with Nivolumab in NSCLC patients, especially non-squamous histology subset. However, responses to Nivolumab are also observed in patients without discernible expression of PD-L1, challenging the reliance of this factor. TILs is also reported to be associated with survival during immunotherapy. But the detection of this biomarker is not so convenient and cheap. Although TMB is also a remarkable biomarker for immunotherapy, it exhibits similar shortcomings as PD-L1 and TILs. Therefore, the searching for feasible, cheap and optimal predictive marker is still under exploring. Recently, several studies[10-12] have reported that inflammatory status is important for survival in NSCLC patients, and the most promising one is neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). NLR is a marker of systemic inflammation and suggested to be associated with clinical benefits in various cancer patients. Inflammation plays important roles in tumorigenesis, and it facilitates the progression of tumors by modulating microenvironment. Blood-based parameters, such as NLR, have been reported to predict outcomes in cancer patients. A number of meta-analyses[13-15] have suggested that NLR is a good predictive biomarker in predicting efficacy of chemotherapy and molecular targeted therapy in various cancer types. Since 2017, retrospective studies[5,16-19] evaluating the role of NLR in predicting outcomes of NSCLC patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors have been released. These studies showed that pre-treatment NLR might correlate with progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in NSCLC patients receiving Nivolumab. More recently, two meta-analyses[20,21] have addressed the question of pre-treatment NLR being the predictive biomarker in cancer patients treated with immunotherapy. However, these meta-analyses focused on various cancers with very limited data on NSCLC. Another question is about the optimal cutoff value for NLR to serve as a prognostic biomarker. Various cutoff values of NLR were reported in different studies. Most of them reported that NLR< 5 was associated with better survival in cancer patients treated with Nivolumab, and more powerful evidence is needed to prove it. In addition, whether post-treatment NLR has the same role as that of the pre-treatment NLR, it is also not well determined. Therefore, we systematically searched databases to identify retrospective studies on the topic of relationships between NLR and outcomes of NSCLC patients treated with Nivolumab, extracted data of OS, PFS and ORR, and analyzed them by RevMan 5.3. The combined results supported the application of NLR to predict outcomes of NSCLC regardless of testing time of NLR.

Methods

Search strategy

The electronic databases including Pubmed, Emabse, and the Cochrane library were systematically searched to identify studies evaluating relationship between NLR and clinical outcomes in NSCLC patients receiving Nivolumab until March 2018. There was no limitation of language and study type. The keywords used during the search were as following: immunotherapy, immune checkpoint inhibitor, immune checkpoint blockade, Nivolumab, PD-1 inhibitor, PD-L1 inhibitor, lung cancer, non-small cell lung cancer, NSCLC, NLR, and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio. The abstracts of meetings were included if they provided sufficient information of primary and secondary endpoints. For related data that was not available in the original full-text, the corresponding author was contacted for more detailed information.

Study selection

The NLR was defined as absolute neutrophil count (ANC) divided by absolute lymphocyte count (ALC). Clinical trials about assessing the predictive role of NLR in immunotherapy of NSCLC were included and analyzed. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) clinical trials of immune checkpoint inhibitor Nivolumab in treating NSCLC and the relationship between NLR and outcomes; (2) reported HRs in terms of OS, PFS, and ORR. Or the interested HRs could be calculated through survival curves; (3) no language limitation. Reviews, animal studies and comments were excluded. Two reviewers conducted the literature search process, independently.

Data extraction

The definitions of OS, PFS, ORR, DCR and NLR are the same as previously reported.[1,22] Cutoff values of NLR were reported and extracted from each included study. The primary endpoints were HRs of NLR< cutoff value (low NLR) versus NLR≥ cutoff value (high NLR) for PFS, and the secondary endpoints were HRs of low NLR versus high NLR for OS, ORR, and DCR. The baseline characteristics such as title, author, publication year, age, number of participants, number of males and females, treatment, and pathological types were extracted. Two reviewers performed data extraction, independently. When there were inconsistencies about extracted data, a third reviewer was invited to solve it.

Quality assessment

To assess the overall quality of included studies, we used the NOS (Newcastle Ottawa Scale) that was recommended by the Cochrane Non-Randomized Studies Methods Working Group.[23] According to the protocol of NOS, three main perspectives including selection, comparability, and outcome were evaluated. There are four, one and three criteria items in concerns of selection, comparability and outcome, independently. The definition of a high quality study was at least six NOS criteria stars were achieved with low risk of selection, performance and reporting bias. The process of quality assessment was performed by Dedong Cao and Huilin Xu, independently. If there was a disagreement about the result of quality evaluation, a third reviewer (Ximing Xu) was involved to solve the concern.

Statistical analysis

Meta-analysis was performed using the Cochrane software RevMan 5.3. Briefly, the pooled analysis was conducted by using the original data obtained from the eligible studies. In order to assess the role of NLR in predicting progression free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of non-small cell lung cancer patients receiving Nivolumab, hazard ratios (HRs) for PFS, OS, and overall response rate (ORR) were used. If there was only survival curve without direct information about HR, the method provided by the referred protocol[24] was applied to calculate an indirect HR of interest. The subgroup analyses were also performed in terms of study design, disease stage, cutoff value, NLR testing time, and region. The chi-squared (χ2, or Chi2) test and I2 value were used to assess the heterogeneity of the included studies, and different I2 indicated variable degree of heterogeneity according to the Cochrane Handbook 5.1.[25] According to the cited reference, a random effects model was used if the P value for heterogeneity was less than 0.1, and/or the I2 value was larger than 50%. Otherwise, the fixed effects model was used.[25] Egger’s test and Begg’s test were used to assess publication bias. For all combined analysis, a P that less than 0.05 is considered as there is a statistical significance.

Results

Search results

After systematically initial search, a total of 144 studies were collected. After removing duplication and reviewing titles and abstracts, 126 of them were discarded and the left 18 studies were included for more detailed selection. Finally, 130 of the initial studies were excluded and the left 14 retrospective studies[16-19,26-35] were considered as eligible for the combined analysis after reviewing the full text. We also planned to assess the role of NLR in predicting anti-PD-1/PD-L1 agents, including Pembrolizumab, Atezolizumab, and Durvalumab. However, there were not enough clinical studies on these agents. The detailed information about study selection process is presented in Figure 1.
Figure 1.

Flow chart of selecting eligible studies.

Flow chart of selecting eligible studies. There were 1225 NSCLC patients within these 14 studies published from 2017 to 2018. The median age of this population ranged from 47 to 71 years. The main immunotherapy agent was Nivolumab that used in all studies. The reported primary endpoints were PFS, OS and ORR. The cutoff value of NLR ranged from 2.8 to 6.5, and the value of 5 was applied in seven studies. The baseline characteristics of included studies are listed in Table 1.
Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of included studies.

StudyYearNAgeSex(M/F)TreatmentOutcomesNLR cutoff value> cut off< cutoffSquamousNon-squamousSmoking
Bagleya201717568(33–88)80/95NivolumabOS, PFS, ORR51027342133147
Bennati2017108NR68/40NivolumabOS, PFS, SR3NRNRNR8293
Aixa201752NRNRNivolumabOS, PFS, SR4.59NRNRNRNRNR
Alessandro20172366(45–82)17/6NivolumabORR3NRNR101321
Rogado20174067NRNivolumabOS, PFS51327NRNRNR
Preeshagul201779NRNRNivolumabPFS, ORR52554NRNRNR
Patil201711567(45–90)42/49NivolumabOS, ORR2.8932010105NR
Diem20175266(46–88)29/23NivolumabOS, PFS, ORR3.6, 6.5NRNR183448
Galetta20174747(40–83)41/6NivolumabPFS4NRNR182932
Shiroyama201820168(27–87)135/66NivolumabPFS, ORR47912241160157
Park201815968(41–91)82/77NivolumabOS, PFS, ORR5NRNR39120133
Suh2018546842/12Nivolumab or pembrolizumabOS, PFS5846173739
Nakaya201810169(45–84)77/24NivolumabOS, PFS, ORR3NRNR376484
Kiriu20181971(41–83)19/0NivolumabOS, PFS, ORR561361319

Abbreviation: N, number; M, male; F, female; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression free survival; ORR, overall response rate; SR, survival rate; N, not reported.

Baseline characteristics of included studies. Abbreviation: N, number; M, male; F, female; NLR, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression free survival; ORR, overall response rate; SR, survival rate; N, not reported.

Overall quality of included studies

As they were retrospective studies, we used NOS method to evaluate the quality of included studies. As illustrated by Table 2, five studies were considered as low quality because of less than 6 criteria star. The main disadvantages lowering the overall quality were selection and reporting outcomes. Six of them were meeting abstract and it was difficult to determine the quality of these studies just by limited information.
Table 2.

Quality assessment of included studies by NOS.

StudyYearSelectionComparabilityOutcome
Bagleya2017★★★★★★★
Bennati2017★★★★
Aixa2017★★★★★
Alessandro2017★★★
Rogado2017★★★★
Preeshagul2017★★★★★★
Patil2017★★★★★★★
Diem2017★★★★★
Galetta2017★★★★★★
Shiroyama2018★★★★★★★
Park2018★★★★★★★
Suh2018★★★★★★
Nakaya2018★★★★★★
Kiriu2018★★★★★★★

Note: A study can be awarded a maximum of one star for each numbered item within the Selection and Outcome categories. A maximum of two stars can be given for Comparability, according to the instruction of NOS.

Quality assessment of included studies by NOS. Note: A study can be awarded a maximum of one star for each numbered item within the Selection and Outcome categories. A maximum of two stars can be given for Comparability, according to the instruction of NOS.

Combined results

PFS and OS

We extracted data of PFS and OS from individual studies[16-19,26-35]. As shown in Supplemental Table 1, the median OS ranged from 6.5 to 17 months, while the median PFS was between 2.1 and 5.5 months. The median PFS of patients with low NLR ranged from 1.7 to 8.6 months, while it was 1.8 to 2.5 months in patients with high NLR. The median OS of low NLR were from 3.4 to 13.2, and it was 2.8 to 5.5 in high NLR (Supplemental Table 2). By combining HRs of high NLR versus low NLR with regard to PFS from 10 studies,[16-19,26,28,32,33,35,36] the pooled result using random effect model showed that the estimated effect was 1.44(95%CI: 1.18, 1.77), indicating NSCLC patients with low pre-treatment NLR had a 1.44 times of getting better PFS(Figure 2A). As shown in Figure 2B, the pooled HRs of OS from eight studies[16,18,19,28,30,33,35,36] using random effect model was 1.75(95%CI: 1.33, 2.30), favoring NSCLC patients with low pre-treatment NLR.
Figure 2.

Comparisons of PFS and OS in Nivolumab treated NSCLC patients with different baseline NLR. A, NLR < cutoff value(low NLR) versus NLR≥ cutoff value(high NLR) for PFS; B, NLR < cutoff value versus NLR≥ cutoff value for OS. Cutoff value was defined in each included study.

Comparisons of PFS and OS in Nivolumab treated NSCLC patients with different baseline NLR. A, NLR < cutoff value(low NLR) versus NLR≥ cutoff value(high NLR) for PFS; B, NLR < cutoff value versus NLR≥ cutoff value for OS. Cutoff value was defined in each included study.

ORR and DCR

Seven studies[17-19,26,29,30,33] reported number of patients achieved ORR and DCR after treatment of Nivolumab (Supplemental Table 3). In a total of 716 patients, 141 were considered as ORR and 236 as DCR, with percentages of 19.69% and 32.96%, respectively.

Subgroup analysis

The subgroup analysis was introduced to assess the impact of different cutoff value, disease stage, testing time of NLR and region. The overall results are listed in Table 3.
Table 3.

Results of subgroup analysis in terms of stage, cutoff value, timing, and region.

Outcome or SubgroupStudiesStatistical MethodEffect Estimate
OS and stage8Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.75 [1.33, 2.30]
Other1Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.09 [1.04, 1.14]
Advanced stage7Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.77 [1.50, 2.09]
PFS and stage10Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.44 [1.18, 1.77]
OS and cutoff value8Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.77 [1.35, 2.32]
< 53Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.59 [0.83, 3.07]
≥ 56Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.76 [1.47, 2.10]
PFS and cutoff value10Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.44 [1.18, 1.77]
< 54Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.19 [1.00, 1.41]
≥ 56Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.73 [1.14, 2.62]
OS and timing8Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.81 [1.42, 2.32]
Baseline8Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.75 [1.33, 2.30]
Post-treatment2Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)2.26 [1.05, 4.86]
PFS and timing10Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.69 [1.34, 2.14]
Baseline10Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.44 [1.18, 1.77]
Post-treatment3Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)3.17 [1.48, 6.82]
OS and region8Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.75 [1.33, 2.30]
Asian2Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.61 [1.41, 1.84]
Europe2Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)3.83 [1.86, 7.89]
American4Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.65 [1.07, 2.57]
PFS and region10Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.44 [1.18, 1.77]
Asian4Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.20 [0.84, 1.72]
Europe3Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)2.31 [0.95, 5.60]
American3Hazard Ratio (IV, Random, 95% CI)1.60 [1.25, 2.03]

Abbreviation: OS, overall survival; PFS, progression free survival; CI, confidence interval.

Results of subgroup analysis in terms of stage, cutoff value, timing, and region. Abbreviation: OS, overall survival; PFS, progression free survival; CI, confidence interval.

Disease stage

Most of the studies included patients with advanced NSCLC, and four studies[27,29,30,37] did not mention the disease stage. With extractable data, only one study[30] with unclear disease stage was included when assessing NLR for OS, and all were advanced stage in assessment of NLR for PFS. The results showed that low NLR favored better OS (Supplemental Figure 1A) and PFS (Figure 2A) regardless of disease stage.

Cutoff value of NLR

As there were several studies[16,18,19,28,33,35] set the cutoff value of pre-treatment NLR being 5, we used the value of 5 to find out the influence of different cutoff value on PFS and OS. The studies[16-19,26,28,32,33,35,36] included reported the HRs of high NLR versus low NLR on PFS in the treatment of advanced NSCLC. As shown in Figure 3A, the estimated effect of NLR < 5 was 1.19 (95%CI: 1.00, 1.41; p = 0.06), and it was 1.73(95%CI: 1.14, 2.62; p = 0.009) for NLR ≥ 5. A similar result was found in term of OS. The combined effect was 1.59(95%CI: 0.83, 3.07; p > 0.05) for NLR < 5 and 1.76(95%CI: 1.47, 2.10; p < 0.00001) for NLR ≥ 5 (Figure 3B). These findings suggested cutoff value of NLR ≥ 5 may be more reliable in predicting PFS and OS in NSCLC treated with Nivolumab.
Figure 3.

Subgroup analyses of PFS and OS in Nivolumab treated NSCLC patients with different NLR. A, low baseline NLR versus high baseline NLR for PFS combined from different cutoff value; B, low baseline NLR versus high baseline NLR for OS combined from different cutoff value; C, low NLR versus high NLR for PFS, subsets were baseline NLR and post-treatment NLR; D, low NLR versus high NLR for OS, subsets were baseline NLR and post-treatment NLR. Baseline NLR was defined as NLR before Nivolumab treatment, post-treatment NLR was defined as NLR after Nivolumab treatment.

Subgroup analyses of PFS and OS in Nivolumab treated NSCLC patients with different NLR. A, low baseline NLR versus high baseline NLR for PFS combined from different cutoff value; B, low baseline NLR versus high baseline NLR for OS combined from different cutoff value; C, low NLR versus high NLR for PFS, subsets were baseline NLR and post-treatment NLR; D, low NLR versus high NLR for OS, subsets were baseline NLR and post-treatment NLR. Baseline NLR was defined as NLR before Nivolumab treatment, post-treatment NLR was defined as NLR after Nivolumab treatment.

Testing time of NLR

Next, we evaluated whether post-treatment NLR still hold the promise of predicting prognosis during immunotherapy in NSCLC. As shown in Figure 3C, the pooled effect of post-treatment NLR for predicting PFS was 3.17(95%CI: 1.48, 6.82; p = 0.003), with a statistically significance. Similarly, the estimated effect of post-treatment NLR for OS was 2.26(95%CI: 1.05, 4.86; p = 0.04, Figure 3D).

Region of study

This subgroup analysis determined that patients with low baseline NLR could have beneficial PFS (Supplemental Figure 1B) and OS (Supplemental Figure 1C) from immunotherapy without limitation of regions.

Publication bias assessment and sensitivity analysis

To assess the publication bias, we introduced funnel plot, Begg’s test and Egger’s test. As shown by Figure 4, the funnel plot using data of PFS was not in a form of symmetry, indicating potential high risk of publication bias might exist. Then this was confirmed by the results of Egger’s (P = 0.031 < 0.05) and Begg’s test (P = 0.033 < 0.05), suggesting there might be unpublished or gray literature which should be included in the current analysis. The sensitivity analysis was conducted using data of PFS. As shown in Supplemental Figure 2, the study of Galetta was considered as the main source of heterogeneity for PFS analysis. The combined result of PFS was not significantly affected by excluding this study.
Figure 4.

Funnel plot based on included studies in term of PFS.

Funnel plot based on included studies in term of PFS.

Discussion

Immunotherapy has been one of the most promising anti-cancer strategies as demonstrated by accumulating beneficial evidences.[38] Meanwhile, Nivolumab and Pembrolizumab are the recently approved immune checkpoint blockades for treating advanced non-small cell lung cancer after failure of traditional chemotherapy or not.[3] Several clinical studies[17,18,20,39] assessed relationship between NLR and immunotherapy, and some of them[17,18,20] argued that NLR could serve as a predictive factor while other found negative results.[39] Could NLR be a candidate for predicating prognosis of Nivolumab in NSCLC? How to feasibly and reliably determine NSCLC population who can gain a better benefit from Nivolumab? These are still in debates. In this study, we tried to address this concern by combing NLR related data of individual studies through meta-analysis. The findings revealed that NLR before immune checkpoint inhibitor treatment might be a feasible prognostic biomarker for NSCLC. Patients with high baseline NLR was found to be associated with poor OS and PFS, whereas low baseline NLR was proved to be related with good OS and PFS. In subgroup analysis, the impact of disease stage, NLR cutoff value, NLR testing time and region on prognostic role of NLR were evaluated. The synthesized results showed that NLR remained to be effective regardless of different stage, testing time of NLR, and region, but not cutoff value. Pre-treatment NLR cutoff value ≥ 5 hold the potential to indicate worse PFS or OS. With data from 716 NSCLC, the combined ORR of Nivolumab was 19.69%, and the DCR was 32.96%. Recently, several meta-analyses[13,14] with regard to the prognostic role of NLR in cancer targeted therapy or chemotherapy were published. These studies have shown the value of NLR as a biomarker in predicting outcomes of patients with advanced lung cancer. The study of Yu et al. collected data from 18 studies involving 7219 lung cancer patients who received traditional therapies, and the results suggested that a NLR cut-off value ≥ 4 significantly predicted poor OS (HR = 1.56) and PFS (HR = 1.54), while it was suggested to be 5 in our study. More recently, two released meta-analyses[20,21] assessed prognostic utility of baseline neutrophil-tolymphocyte ratio in cancer patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors. Jiang et al[21] included 24 retrospective studies with 4647 cancer patients who treated with anti-VEGF/VEGFR therapy or immunotherapy. Their results found that high pretreatment blood NLR was correlated with significant shorter OS (HR  =  1.98) and PFS (HR  =  1.78). However, they only included one study related to immunotherapy in treating NSCLC patients. Another meta-analysis performed by Sacdalan et al. also showed a favorable result confirming the prognostic role of pre-treatment NLR in cancer patients. They included three retrospective studies that assessed the relationship between NLR and immunotherapy in NSCLC patients. Compared to the limited number of included NSCLC studies on topic of NLR and immunotherapy, we included 14 retrospective studies. There might be gray literature as indicated by the significant risk of publication bias. Our results also found that not only increased pre-treatment NLR but also high post-treatment NLR were significantly associated with poor OS and PFS. There are other predictive biomarkers with potential roles for immunotherapy, including tumor mutational burden(TMB), programmed cell death receptor 1(PD-1), gene expression profiles (GEP) and mismatch repair status. Compared to these factors, NLR has been used as a prognostic biomarker in several cancers, such as lung cancer and colorectal cancer. It is convenient to calculate NLR without additional harm and economy cost. However, the application of immunotherapy should not be determined by sole predictive factor. The optimal combination of these biomarkers should be recommended. There were some limitations within our meta-analysis. Firstly, all the included studies were retrospective studies with limited number of participants, weakening the strength of our findings. Secondly, the baseline characteristics of included studies varied, introducing a high risk of heterogeneity across studies and affecting the reliability of our results. The characteristics of patients were different across studies, which may also contribute to heterogeneity. Third, six of them were meeting abstracts providing few available data, and this could be improved by updating with the latest data. Nevertheless, this was the latest evidence with plenty of studies to prove the prognostic role of NLR in NSCLC treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Conclusion

Our study found baseline NLR that larger than cutoff value was associated with poor PFS and OS, suggesting NLR could be a feasible biomarker to predict NSCLC patients who could benefit better from Nivolumab. However, due to the limited strength of included studies, it should be cautious to use this evidence and large sample, multiple center, randomized controlled clinical trials are urgently needed to validate our findings.
  26 in total

1.  Extracting summary statistics to perform meta-analyses of the published literature for survival endpoints.

Authors:  M K Parmar; V Torri; L Stewart
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  1998-12-30       Impact factor: 2.373

2.  Platelet-related indices in patients with lung cancer with nivolumab.

Authors:  Shosaku Nomura; Takashi Yokoi; Takayasu Kurata
Journal:  Platelets       Date:  2017-11-09       Impact factor: 3.862

3.  Pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is associated with outcome of advanced-stage cancer patients treated with immunotherapy: a meta-analysis.

Authors:  Tao Jiang; Meng Qiao; Chao Zhao; Xuefei Li; Guanghui Gao; Chunxia Su; Shengxiang Ren; Caicun Zhou
Journal:  Cancer Immunol Immunother       Date:  2018-02-08       Impact factor: 6.968

4.  Baseline neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio combined with serum lactate dehydrogenase level associated with outcome of nivolumab immunotherapy in a Japanese advanced melanoma population.

Authors:  Y Fujisawa; K Yoshino; A Otsuka; T Funakoshi; T Fujimura; Y Yamamoto; H Hata; R Tanaka; K Yamaguchi; Y Nonomura; I Hirai; S Furudate; H Okuhira; K Imafuku; M Aoki; S Matsushita
Journal:  Br J Dermatol       Date:  2018-04-24       Impact factor: 9.302

5.  Developing a Predictive Model for Clinical Outcomes of Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Treated With Nivolumab.

Authors:  Wungki Park; Deukwoo Kwon; Diana Saravia; Amrita Desai; Fernando Vargas; Mohamed El Dinali; Jessica Warsch; Roy Elias; Young Kwang Chae; Dae Won Kim; Sean Warsch; Adrian Ishkanian; Chukwuemeka Ikpeazu; Raja Mudad; Gilberto Lopes; Mohammad Jahanzeb
Journal:  Clin Lung Cancer       Date:  2017-12-21       Impact factor: 4.785

6.  PD-L1 expression in tumour-infiltrating lymphocytes is a poor prognostic factor for primary acral melanoma patients.

Authors:  Min Ren; Bo Dai; Yun-Yi Kong; Jiao-Jie Lv; Xu Cai
Journal:  Histopathology       Date:  2018-06-08       Impact factor: 5.087

7.  Similarity and difference in tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes in original tumor tissues and those of in vitro expanded populations in head and neck cancer.

Authors:  Lili Ren; Tatsuo Matsuda; Boya Deng; Kazuma Kiyotani; Taigo Kato; Jae-Hyun Park; Tanguy Y Seiwert; Everett E Vokes; Nishant Agrawal; Yusuke Nakamura
Journal:  Oncotarget       Date:  2017-12-19

8.  Change in Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in response to immune checkpoint blockade for metastatic renal cell carcinoma.

Authors:  Aly-Khan A Lalani; Wanling Xie; Dylan J Martini; John A Steinharter; Craig K Norton; Katherine M Krajewski; Audrey Duquette; Dominick Bossé; Joaquim Bellmunt; Eliezer M Van Allen; Bradley A McGregor; Chad J Creighton; Lauren C Harshman; Toni K Choueiri
Journal:  J Immunother Cancer       Date:  2018-01-22       Impact factor: 13.751

Review 9.  The time-series behavior of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio is useful as a predictive marker in non-small cell lung cancer.

Authors:  Tatsunori Kiriu; Masatsugu Yamamoto; Tatsuya Nagano; Daisuke Hazama; Reina Sekiya; Masahiro Katsurada; Daisuke Tamura; Motoko Tachihara; Kazuyuki Kobayashi; Yoshihiro Nishimura
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2018-02-15       Impact factor: 3.240

10.  Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as an early marker of outcomes in patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer treated with nivolumab.

Authors:  Aya Nakaya; Takayasu Kurata; Hiroshige Yoshioka; Yuki Takeyasu; Maiko Niki; Kayoko Kibata; Naoko Satsutani; Makoto Ogata; Takayuki Miyara; Shosaku Nomura
Journal:  Int J Clin Oncol       Date:  2018-02-13       Impact factor: 3.402

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  25 in total

1.  High tumor mutation burden predicts better efficacy of immunotherapy: a pooled analysis of 103078 cancer patients.

Authors:  Dedong Cao; Huilin Xu; Ximing Xu; Tao Guo; Wei Ge
Journal:  Oncoimmunology       Date:  2019-06-16       Impact factor: 8.110

Review 2.  Exploring immunotherapy in colorectal cancer.

Authors:  Junyong Weng; Shanbao Li; Zhonglin Zhu; Qi Liu; Ruoxin Zhang; Yufei Yang; Xinxiang Li
Journal:  J Hematol Oncol       Date:  2022-07-16       Impact factor: 23.168

3.  Prognostic values of inflammatory indexes in bevacizumab-treated patients with advanced non-small-cell lung cancer.

Authors:  Jingru Yang; Mingliang Deng; Minghong Bi; Yaping Wang; Xuxu Qiao; Shanshan Zhang
Journal:  Future Sci OA       Date:  2022-04-14

4.  Baseline metabolic tumor burden on FDG PET/CT scans predicts outcome in advanced NSCLC patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.

Authors:  Romain-David Seban; Laura Mezquita; Arnaud Berenbaum; Laurent Dercle; Angela Botticella; Cécile Le Pechoux; Caroline Caramella; Eric Deutsch; Serena Grimaldi; Julien Adam; Samy Ammari; David Planchard; Sophie Leboulleux; Benjamin Besse
Journal:  Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging       Date:  2019-11-21       Impact factor: 9.236

5.  Prognostic role of pretreatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with systemic therapy: a meta-analysis.

Authors:  Zimu Wang; Ping Zhan; Yanling Lv; Kaikai Shen; Yuqing Wei; Hongbing Liu; Yong Song
Journal:  Transl Lung Cancer Res       Date:  2019-06

6.  Simple parameters to solve a complex issue: predicting response to checkpoint inhibitor therapy in lung cancer.

Authors:  James Newman; Isabel Preeshagul; Nina Kohn; Craig Devoe; Nagashree Seetharamu
Journal:  Lung Cancer Manag       Date:  2020-11-23

7.  PIOS (Patras Immunotherapy Score) Score Is Associated with Best Overall Response, Progression-Free Survival, and Post-Immunotherapy Overall Survival in Patients with Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC) Treated with Anti-Program Cell Death-1 (PD-1) Inhibitors.

Authors:  Foteinos-Ioannis Dimitrakopoulos; Achilleas Nikolakopoulos; Anastasia Kottorou; Fotini Kalofonou; Elias Liolis; Theodora Frantzi; Ioannis Pyrousis; Angelos Koutras; Thomas Makatsoris; Haralabos Kalofonos
Journal:  Cancers (Basel)       Date:  2020-05-16       Impact factor: 6.639

Review 8.  Biomarkers for Predicting Efficacies of Anti-PD1 Antibodies.

Authors:  Yumi Kambayashi; Taku Fujimura; Takanori Hidaka; Setsuya Aiba
Journal:  Front Med (Lausanne)       Date:  2019-07-31

9.  Prognostic significance of the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio in patients undergoing treatment with nivolumab for recurrent non-small-cell lung cancer.

Authors:  Bernardo L Rapoport; Annette J Theron; Daniel A Vorobiof; Lizanne Langenhoven; Jacqueline M Hall; Ronwyn I Van Eeden; Teresa Smit; Sze-Wai Chan; Michael C Botha; Johann I Raats; Margriet De Necker; Ronald Anderson
Journal:  Lung Cancer Manag       Date:  2020-07-20

Review 10.  The Impact of Javanica Oil Emulsion Injection on Chemotherapy Efficacy and Cellular Immune Indicators in Patients with Advanced NSCLC: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Authors:  Huilin Xu; Zhucheng Yin; Anbing He; Dedong Cao
Journal:  Evid Based Complement Alternat Med       Date:  2019-10-22       Impact factor: 2.629

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