| Literature DB >> 30372481 |
Jae Kyung Suh1, Jayoun Lee1, Jeong-Hoon Lee1,2, Sangjin Shin1, Ha Jin Tchoe1, Jin-Won Kwon1,3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The National Liver Cancer Surveillance Program (NLCSP) targets patients with liver diseases that lead to liver cancer in South Korea. This study aimed to investigate the risk of liver disease leading to liver cancer using nationally representative data to establish an efficient NLCSP.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30372481 PMCID: PMC6205612 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0206374
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Fig 1Patient flow chart representing the selection procedure based on the National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) dataset.
Demographics of the study population.
| Patients with liver disease | Patients without liver disease | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N = 66,192 | N = 66,192 | ||||
| n | (%) | n | (%) | ||
| Men | 42,061 | (63.54) | 42,061 | (63.54) | |
| Women | 24,131 | (36.46) | 24,131 | (36.46) | |
| 0–19 | 2,922 | (4.41) | 2,922 | (4.41) | |
| 20–29 | 7,141 | (10.79) | 7,141 | (10.79) | |
| 30–39 | 12,406 | (18.74) | 12,406 | (18.74) | |
| 40–49 | 16,647 | (25.15) | 16,647 | (25.15) | |
| 50–59 | 13,165 | (19.89) | 13,165 | (19.89) | |
| 60–69 | 8,993 | (13.59) | 8,993 | (13.59) | |
| 4,918 | (7.43) | 4,918 | (7.43) | ||
| NHI district subscriber | 28,620 | (43.24) | 28,620 | (43.24) | |
| <50% | 10,782 | (16.29) | 10,782 | (16.29) | |
| 17,838 | (26.95) | 17,838 | (26.95) | ||
| NHI employee subscriber | 36,621 | (55.33) | 36,621 | (55.33) | |
| <50% | 14,412 | (21.77) | 14,412 | (21.77) | |
| 22,209 | (33.55) | 22,209 | (33.55) | ||
| Medicaid | 951 | (1.44) | 951 | (1.44) | |
| Peptic ulcer disease | 14,499 | (21.90) | 6,125 | (9.25) | |
| Cancer | 4,925 | (7.44) | 2,554 | (3.86) | |
| Diabetes without complications | 4,541 | (6.86) | 1,253 | (1.89) | |
| Diabetes with complications | 2,764 | (4.18) | 1,001 | (1.51) | |
| Cerebrovascular disease | 2,461 | (3.72) | 1,204 | (1.82) | |
| Connective tissue disease-rheumatic disease | 1,697 | (2.56) | 884 | (1.34) | |
| Peripheral vascular disease | 1,685 | (2.55) | 392 | (0.59) | |
| Congestive heart failure | 1,450 | (2.19) | 637 | (0.96) | |
| Moderate or severe liver disease | 561 | (0.85) | 25 | (0.04) | |
| Renal disease | 502 | (0.76) | 160 | (0.24) | |
| Myocardial infarction | 456 | (0.69) | 214 | (0.32) | |
| Metastatic carcinoma | 385 | (0.58) | 169 | (0.26) | |
| Dementia | 313 | (0.47) | 126 | (0.19) | |
| Paraplegia and hemiplegia | 202 | (0.31) | 123 | (0.19) | |
| Chronic pulmonary disease | 44 | (0.07) | 18 | (0.03) | |
| AIDS/HIV | 24 | (0.04) | 4 | (0.01) | |
NHI: National health insurance; CCI: Charlson Comorbidity Index.
Fig 2KM curve for liver cancer development and mortality in patients with and without liver disease.
Incidence of liver cancer among patients with liver disease.
| Patients with liver disease | ≥40 years old | Follow-up | Incidence of liver cancer | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | (%) | n | (%) | Median | (IQR) | n | (%) | ||
| Total | 66,192 | 43,723 | (66.05) | 7.9 | (5.8, 9.6) | 1,772 | (2.68) | ||
| Hepatitis | 33,153 | (58.40) | 24,322 | (62.91) | 8.1 | (6.0, 9.7) | 826 | (2.49) | |
| Hepatitis B | 19,952 | (29.35) | 10,947 | (56.36) | 8.0 | (5.9, 9.7) | 543 | (2.72) | |
| Hepatitis C | 6,566 | (9.74) | 4,446 | (68.97) | 6.6 | (4.9, 8.8) | 148 | (2.25) | |
| Hepatitis B and C | 519 | (0.76) | 288 | (57.14) | 6.7 | (5.0, 8.5) | 5 | (0.96) | |
| Non-specified | 6,116 | (9.17) | 3,471 | (57.21) | 9.1 | (8.0, 10.2) | 130 | (2.13) | |
| Cirrhosis | 5,506 | (9.39) | 5,170 | (83.16) | 7.3 | (4.8, 9.5) | 307 | (5.58) | |
| Others | 27,533 | 19,401 | (70.46) | 7.8 | (5.8, 9.5) | 468 | (1.70) | ||
| Alcoholic | 25,106 | (37.93) | 18,316 | (72.95) | 7.8 | (5.8, 9.4) | 416 | (1.66) | |
| Non-alcoholic | 2,427 | (3.67) | 1,085 | (44.71) | 8.0 | (6.0, 9.6) | 41 | (1.69) | |
IQR: interquartile range
Cox proportional hazard regression for liver cancer with competing risk of death*.
| Model 1 | Model 2 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HR | 95% CI | p-value | HR | 95% CI | |||||
| 8.04 | 7.01 | 9.22 | <0.0001 | ||||||
| Hepatitis | 6.36 | 5.13 | 7.88 | <0.0001 | |||||
| Hepatitis B | 9.32 | 8.00 | 10.85 | <0.0001 | |||||
| Hepatitis C | 8.21 | 6.65 | 10.13 | <0.0001 | |||||
| Hepatitis B and C | 3.70 | 1.52 | 8.97 | 0.0004 | |||||
| Cirrhosis | 18.13 | 15.24 | 21.58 | <0.0001 | |||||
| Others | 5.64 | 4.82 | 6.59 | <0.0001 | |||||
*Adjusted for the comorbidities
: hepatocellular carcinoma; HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval.
Hazard ratio for liver cancer in patients with and without liver disease after stratification of age and income level.
| Patients with liver disease | Matched patients without liver disease | HR | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n (liver cancer cases) | (%) | n (liver cancer cases) | (%) | |||||
| 1,772 | (2.68) | 210 | (0.34) | 8.04 | (7.01, 9.22) | |||
| 0–19 | 6 | (0.21) | 1 | (0.03) | 5.16 | (0.63, 42.33) | ||
| 20–29 | 40 | (0.56) | 5 | (0.07) | 11.14 | (4.26, 29.13) | ||
| 30–39 | 140 | (1.13) | 11 | (0.09) | 18.98 | (10.02, 35.97) | ||
| 40–49 | 417 | (2.50) | 28 | (0.17) | 20.08 | (13.67, 29.51) | ||
| 50–59 | 448 | (3.40) | 58 | (0.44) | 11.26 | (8.52, 14.89) | ||
| 60–69 | 352 | (3.91) | 82 | (0.91) | 5.7 | (4.44, 7.33) | ||
| 187 | (3.80) | 67 | (1.36) | 3.53 | (2.65, 4.70) | |||
| NHI district subscriber | <50% | 336 | (3.12) | 45 | (0.42) | 9.55 | (6.96, 13.11) | |
| 457 | (2.56) | 58 | (0.33) | 9.76 | (7.39, 12.88) | |||
| NHI employee subscriber | <50% | 319 | (2.21) | 54 | (0.37) | 7.62 | (5.62, 10.32) | |
| 443 | (1.99) | 94 | (0.42) | 5.95 | (4.73, 7.49) | |||
| Medicaid | 35 | (3.68) | 1 | (0.11) | 37.43 | (5.16, 271.45) | ||
*HR in matched patients with and without liver disease.
1) HR was estimated using a Cox proportional hazard model with competing risk of death adjusted for sex, income level, and comorbidities.
2) HR was estimated using a Cox proportional hazard model with competing risk of death adjusted for sex, age, and comorbidities.
HR: hazard ratio; CI: confidence interval; NHI, National Health Insurance.
Fig 3Incidence of liver cancer in patients with and without liver cancer risk stratified by age.