Literature DB >> 3036054

A method for predicting Murray Valley encephalitis in southeast Australia using the Southern Oscillation.

N Nicholls.   

Abstract

Clinical cases of Murray Valley Encephalitis in southeast Australia have tended to occur in summer and autumn following extended periods of above average rainfall over most of eastern and northern Australia. The Southern Oscillation, an important mode of climatic fluctuations over the Indian and Pacific Oceans, is closely related to eastern and northern Australian rainfall. The Southern Oscillation has been used previously to develop methods for predicting rainfall fluctuations over Australia and their biological and economic impacts. The relationship, therefore, between the Southern Oscillation and Murray Valley Encephalitis in southeast Australia was examined. Darwin atmospheric pressure, an index of the Southern Oscillation, was found to be well below average during the autumn, winter and spring preceding the occurrence of Murray Valley Encephalitis. It is suggested that this relationship can be used to provide a simple, objective early warning system.

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Year:  1986        PMID: 3036054     DOI: 10.1038/icb.1986.62

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Aust J Exp Biol Med Sci        ISSN: 0004-945X


  21 in total

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Journal:  Arch Virol       Date:  1994       Impact factor: 2.574

Review 4.  Global change and human vulnerability to vector-borne diseases.

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5.  Genetic and phenotypic differences between isolates of Murray Valley encephalitis virus in Western Australia, 1972-2003.

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6.  Predictive modelling of Ross River virus notifications in southeastern Australia.

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Review 9.  An integrated assessment framework for climate change and infectious diseases.

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10.  Climate variability and outbreaks of infectious diseases in Europe.

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