Matteo Tacelli1, Ciro Celsa1, Bianca Magro1, Luca Barresi2, Salvatore Guastella1, Gabriele Capurso3, Luca Frulloni4, Giuseppe Cabibbo1, Calogero Cammà5. 1. Section of Gastroenterology, Biomedical Department of Internal and Specialized Medicine, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy. 2. Endoscopy Service, Department of Diagnostic and Therapeutic Services, Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico-Istituto Mediterraneo per i Trapianti e Terapie ad alta Specializzazione (Mediterranean Institute for Transplantation and Highly Specialized Therapies), Palermo, Italy. 3. PancreatoBiliary Endoscopy and Endoscopic Ultrasonography Division, Pancreas Translational and Clinical Research Center, San Raffaele Scientific Institute (Istituto di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico), Vita Salute San Raffaele University, Milan, Italy. 4. Department of Medicine, Pancreas Institute, University of Verona, Verona, Italy. 5. Section of Gastroenterology, Biomedical Department of Internal and Specialized Medicine, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy. Electronic address: calogero.camma@unipa.it.
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Risk for relapse after induction of remission with steroid therapy has been studied extensively in patients with autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP), but findings have been equivocal. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the relapse rate of AIP after initial remission after steroid treatment and to identify factors associated with relapse. METHODS: Three reviewers searched MEDLINE, SCOPUS, and EMBASE until July 2018 to identify studies on rate of relapse of AIP after induction of remission with steroid therapy. A pooled estimate was calculated using the DerSimonian and Laird method for a random-effects model. This study was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. RESULTS: Thirty-six studies met the inclusion criteria for meta-analysis. The median follow-up time was 40.8 months. Fifty-two percent of patients were classified as having type 1 AIP. The pooled estimate of relapse rate was 33% (95% CI, 30%-37%). A higher proportion of patients with type 1 AIP had a relapse compared with patients with type 2 AIP (37.5% vs 15.9%; P < .001). We found significant heterogeneity among studies (P < .01). Long-term maintenance therapy with steroids and study quality were associated independently with AIP relapse, after we adjusted for year of publication by multivariate meta-regression. CONCLUSIONS: In a systematic review and meta-analysis, we found that a large proportion of patients with AIP treated successfully with steroid induction therapy had a relapse (33%)-particularly patients with type 1 AIP (37%). Maintenance steroid therapy lasting longer than 1 year could reduce risk of relapse. However, the data characterizing relapse rates are of limited quality, indicating the need for randomized controlled trials and new immunosuppressive drugs.
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Risk for relapse after induction of remission with steroid therapy has been studied extensively in patients with autoimmune pancreatitis (AIP), but findings have been equivocal. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the relapse rate of AIP after initial remission after steroid treatment and to identify factors associated with relapse. METHODS: Three reviewers searched MEDLINE, SCOPUS, and EMBASE until July 2018 to identify studies on rate of relapse of AIP after induction of remission with steroid therapy. A pooled estimate was calculated using the DerSimonian and Laird method for a random-effects model. This study was conducted in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. RESULTS: Thirty-six studies met the inclusion criteria for meta-analysis. The median follow-up time was 40.8 months. Fifty-two percent of patients were classified as having type 1 AIP. The pooled estimate of relapse rate was 33% (95% CI, 30%-37%). A higher proportion of patients with type 1 AIP had a relapse compared with patients with type 2 AIP (37.5% vs 15.9%; P < .001). We found significant heterogeneity among studies (P < .01). Long-term maintenance therapy with steroids and study quality were associated independently with AIP relapse, after we adjusted for year of publication by multivariate meta-regression. CONCLUSIONS: In a systematic review and meta-analysis, we found that a large proportion of patients with AIP treated successfully with steroid induction therapy had a relapse (33%)-particularly patients with type 1 AIP (37%). Maintenance steroid therapy lasting longer than 1 year could reduce risk of relapse. However, the data characterizing relapse rates are of limited quality, indicating the need for randomized controlled trials and new immunosuppressive drugs.
Authors: J-Matthias Löhr; Ulrich Beuers; Miroslav Vujasinovic; Domenico Alvaro; Jens Brøndum Frøkjær; Frank Buttgereit; Gabriele Capurso; Emma L Culver; Enrique de-Madaria; Emanuel Della-Torre; Sönke Detlefsen; Enrique Dominguez-Muñoz; Piotr Czubkowski; Nils Ewald; Luca Frulloni; Natalya Gubergrits; Deniz Guney Duman; Thilo Hackert; Julio Iglesias-Garcia; Nikolaos Kartalis; Andrea Laghi; Frank Lammert; Fredrik Lindgren; Alexey Okhlobystin; Grzegorz Oracz; Andrea Parniczky; Raffaella Maria Pozzi Mucelli; Vinciane Rebours; Jonas Rosendahl; Nicolas Schleinitz; Alexander Schneider; Eric Fh van Bommel; Caroline Sophie Verbeke; Marie Pierre Vullierme; Heiko Witt Journal: United European Gastroenterol J Date: 2020-06-18 Impact factor: 4.623