Literature DB >> 30242645

A Preoperative Prognostic Scoring System to Predict Prognosis for Resectable Pancreatic Cancer: Who Will Benefit from Upfront Surgery?

Toru Nakamura1, Toshimichi Asano2, Keisuke Okamura2, Takahiro Tsuchikawa2, Soichi Murakami2, Yo Kurashima2, Yuma Ebihara2, Takehiro Noji2, Yoshitsugu Nakanishi2, Kimitaka Tanaka2, Toshiaki Shichinohe2, Satoshi Hirano2.   

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Upfront surgery is recommended in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (R-PDAC) by National Comprehensive Center Network (NCCN) guidelines. However, even among R-PDACs, there is a subset that demonstrates extremely poor prognosis. The purpose of this study was to identify preoperative prognostic factors for upfront surgical resection of R-PDACs.
METHODS: The records of 278 consecutive patients with PDAC who underwent curative resection between 2001 and 2015 in a single institution were retrospectively reviewed. Preoperative factors to predict prognosis in patients with R-PDAC according to the NCCN guidelines were analyzed.
RESULTS: Of the 278 patients who underwent resection, 153 R-PDACs received upfront surgery with a median survival time (MST) of 26.4 months. Tumor location (pancreatic head) (odds ratio [OR] 1.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.14-3.40; P = 0.015), preoperative cancer antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) > 100 U/mL (OR 1.92, 1.31-2.80; P = 0.0009), and tumor size > 20 mm (OR 1.50, 1.02-2.19; P = 0.038) were identified as preoperative independent predictive risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with R-PDACs. In the patients with R-PDAC, 5-year survival was 60.7%, 21.5%, and 0% in patients with 0, 1 or 2, and 3 risk factors, respectively. There were significant differences in overall survival between the three groups (P < .0001).
CONCLUSIONS: A preoperative prognostic scoring system using preoperative tumor location, tumor size, and CA19-9 enables preoperative prediction of prognosis and facilitates selection of appropriate treatment for resectable pancreatic cancer.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Preoperative prognostic scoring; Resectable pancreatic cancer; Upfront surgery

Year:  2018        PMID: 30242645     DOI: 10.1007/s11605-018-3972-x

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Gastrointest Surg        ISSN: 1091-255X            Impact factor:   3.452


  23 in total

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Authors:  Toru Nakamura; Satoshi Hirano; Takehiro Noji; Toshimichi Asano; Keisuke Okamura; Takahiro Tsuchikawa; Soichi Murakami; Yo Kurashima; Yuma Ebihara; Yoshitsugu Nakanishi; Kimitaka Tanaka; Toshiaki Shichinohe
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