Ammar Nassri1,2, Hong Zhu3, David H Wang4,5, Zeeshan Ramzan1,6. 1. a Gastrointestinal Section, Department of Internal Medicine , VA North Texas Healthcare System , Dallas , Texas , USA. 2. b Department of Gastroenterology , University of Florida at Jacksonville , Jacksonville , Florida , USA. 3. c Department of Clinical Science, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center , University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center , Dallas , Texas , USA. 4. d Division of Hematology-Oncology, Simmons Comprehensive Cancer Center , University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center , Dallas , Texas , USA. 5. e Medical Service, VA North Texas Health Care System , Dallas , Texas , USA. 6. f Division of Gastroenterology, University Of Texas Southwestern Medical Center , Dallas , Texas , USA.
Abstract
AIMS: To identify independent factors that could predict mortality within 6 months in a cohort of patients with esophageal cancer. METHODS: Esophageal cancer patients were grouped into early (≤6 months, n = 41) and late (>6 months, n = 81) mortality groups. 52 variables were analyzed by univariable analysis (UA). A multivariable (MVA) regression model was created to identify predictors of early mortality. RESULTS: When comparing early and late mortality groups, there was no difference in age, BMI, race, histology, or anatomic location between the two groups. UA demonstrated that the early mortality group had a lower mean albumin level (3.3 ± 0.1 g/dl vs. 3.8 ± 0.1 g/dl; P < 0.001), poorer ECOG performance status (1.9 ± 0.2 vs. 1.1 ± 0.1, P = 0.02), higher WBC count (9.6 ± 0.7 K/µL vs. 8.2 ± 0.3 K/µL, P = 0.04), and were less likely to receive surgery (2.4% vs. 22.2%; P = 0.003), neoadjuvant treatment (4.9% vs. 28.4%; P = 0.009) and definitive chemoradiation (7.3% vs. 27.2%; P = 0.01). MVA revealed that only low albumin at diagnosis was an independent predictor of survival (P = 0.016). CONCLUSION: Albumin level at diagnosis is an independent predictor of early mortality and might be used with other variables to provide prognostic information for patients and to guide treatment.
AIMS: To identify independent factors that could predict mortality within 6 months in a cohort of patients with esophageal cancer. METHODS:Esophageal cancerpatients were grouped into early (≤6 months, n = 41) and late (>6 months, n = 81) mortality groups. 52 variables were analyzed by univariable analysis (UA). A multivariable (MVA) regression model was created to identify predictors of early mortality. RESULTS: When comparing early and late mortality groups, there was no difference in age, BMI, race, histology, or anatomic location between the two groups. UA demonstrated that the early mortality group had a lower mean albumin level (3.3 ± 0.1 g/dl vs. 3.8 ± 0.1 g/dl; P < 0.001), poorer ECOG performance status (1.9 ± 0.2 vs. 1.1 ± 0.1, P = 0.02), higher WBC count (9.6 ± 0.7 K/µL vs. 8.2 ± 0.3 K/µL, P = 0.04), and were less likely to receive surgery (2.4% vs. 22.2%; P = 0.003), neoadjuvant treatment (4.9% vs. 28.4%; P = 0.009) and definitive chemoradiation (7.3% vs. 27.2%; P = 0.01). MVA revealed that only low albumin at diagnosis was an independent predictor of survival (P = 0.016). CONCLUSION:Albumin level at diagnosis is an independent predictor of early mortality and might be used with other variables to provide prognostic information for patients and to guide treatment.