Yang Cui1,2, Evelyn L Forget3,4, Yunfa Zhu5, Mahmoud Torabi3, Umut Oguzoglu4. 1. Department of Community Health Sciences, Max Rady College of Medicine, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, R3E 0T6, Canada. umcui@myumanitoba.ca. 2. George & Fay Yee Centre for Healthcare Innovation, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada. umcui@myumanitoba.ca. 3. Department of Community Health Sciences, Max Rady College of Medicine, Rady Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, R3E 0T6, Canada. 4. Department of Economics, Faculty of Arts, University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, MB, Canada. 5. Statistics Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To investigate the price and income elasticities of adolescent smoking initiation and intensity to determine the extent to which increased pocket money leads to greater smoking among youth, and whether higher taxes can mitigate this effect. METHODS: We used the 2012/2013 Canadian Youth Smoking Survey including students in grades 7-12. The multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the probability of smoking initiation, and a linear regression to examine the smoking intensity determined by province-level prices of cigarettes, pocket money, and a vector of individual characteristics, including age, sex, race, and school-related and psychosocial factors. RESULTS: Of respondents, 28.8% have tried cigarette smoking. More than 90% of these initiated smoking between age 9 and 17. Male smokers consumed a higher average number of whole cigarettes daily than did females. The price elasticity of smoking initiation and intensity for youth in the full sample were - 1.13 and - 1.02, respectively, which means that a 10% increase in price leads to an 11.3% reduction in initiation and a 10.2% reduction in intensity. The income elasticity of smoking initiation and intensity for youth in the full sample were 0.07 and 0.06, respectively, which means that a 10% increase in income leads to a 0.7% increase in initiation and a 0.6% increase in intensity. CONCLUSION: Economic measures such as taxation that raise the price of cigarettes may be a useful policy tool to limit smoking initiation and intensity.
OBJECTIVES: To investigate the price and income elasticities of adolescent smoking initiation and intensity to determine the extent to which increased pocket money leads to greater smoking among youth, and whether higher taxes can mitigate this effect. METHODS: We used the 2012/2013 Canadian Youth Smoking Survey including students in grades 7-12. The multivariable logistic regression was used to examine the probability of smoking initiation, and a linear regression to examine the smoking intensity determined by province-level prices of cigarettes, pocket money, and a vector of individual characteristics, including age, sex, race, and school-related and psychosocial factors. RESULTS: Of respondents, 28.8% have tried cigarette smoking. More than 90% of these initiated smoking between age 9 and 17. Male smokers consumed a higher average number of whole cigarettes daily than did females. The price elasticity of smoking initiation and intensity for youth in the full sample were - 1.13 and - 1.02, respectively, which means that a 10% increase in price leads to an 11.3% reduction in initiation and a 10.2% reduction in intensity. The income elasticity of smoking initiation and intensity for youth in the full sample were 0.07 and 0.06, respectively, which means that a 10% increase in income leads to a 0.7% increase in initiation and a 0.6% increase in intensity. CONCLUSION: Economic measures such as taxation that raise the price of cigarettes may be a useful policy tool to limit smoking initiation and intensity.
Authors: Yan Zhao; Xinbo Di; Sixuan Li; Xinying Zeng; Xiaofeng Wang; Yi Nan; Lin Xiao; Jeffrey Koplan; Zhuo Chen; Shiwei Liu Journal: Lancet Reg Health West Pac Date: 2022-07-28