| Literature DB >> 30026516 |
Shen Yang1, Siyu Cai2, Xiaoli Ma3, Qi Zeng4, Hong Qin1, Wei Han1, Xiaoxia Peng5, Huanmin Wang6.
Abstract
The aim of this study was to discriminate the children malignant peripheral neuroblastic tumors (PNTs) from those with benign histotype ganglioneuroma (GN) based on clinical and biological characteristics in all PNTs. Four hundred and seventy-six patients were included in this study, containing 345 patients for model development and 131 patients for external validation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to select potentially useful characteristics for discrimination of histopathology. External validation was performed for model evaluation. Compared with the main characteristics of GN (85/345, 24.6%), those of malignant PNTs (260/345, 75.4%) showed significant differences. Multivariate analysis was performed to further find the characteristics linked to histopathology. The results indicated that for the patients younger than 49 months, the primary site of adrenal and thoracic, the level of serum neuron-specific enolase (NSE) > 33 ng/mL, and tumor encasing blood vessels were the extremely important discrimination factors of malignant PNTs. The area under the receiver-operating-characteristic of the discrimination model was 0.96. The accuracy rate, sensitivity and specificity were 93.4%, 96.3% and 83.8%, respectively. Meanwhile, the accuracy rate of the external validation from the 131 patients was 97.0%. Overall, histopathologic type of childhood malignant PNTs can be discriminated based on age, primary site, NSE level and the relationship between primary tumor and blood vessels.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2018 PMID: 30026516 PMCID: PMC6053409 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-29382-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.379
Characteristics of patients with malignant PNTs and GN.
| Variables | Malignant PNTsa,b | GN | Results |
| |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | 260 | 85 | |||
| Gender | Male | 141 (54.2%) | 34 (40.0%) | 5.190 | 0.022 |
| Female | 119 (45.8%) | 51 (60.0%) | |||
| Primary site | Adrenal | 147 (56.5%) | 15 (17.6%) | 43.941 | <0.001 |
| Retroperitoneal | 31 (11.9%) | 24 (28.2%) | |||
| Thoracic | 76 (29.2%) | 41 (48.2%) | |||
| Pelvic | 5 (1.9%) | 5 (5.9%) | |||
| The relationship between primary tumor and blood vessels | Encasement | 188 (72.3%) | 21 (24.7%) | 63.916 | <0.001 |
| Displacement | 34 (13.1%) | 31 (36.5%) | |||
| None | 34 (13.1%) | 33 (38.8%) | |||
| Unknown | 4 (1.5%) | 0 (0.0%) | |||
| Age (months) | 33.00 (18.00, 50.00) | 72.00 (53.50, 97.50) | 9.985 | <0.001 | |
| Maximum diameter of primary tumor (cm) | 8.50 (6.00, 12.23) | 6.71(4.80, 8.80) | −3.779 | <0.001 | |
| NSE (ng/mL)c | 269.00 (63.10, 370.00) | 21.25 (18.70, 24.90) | −11.473 | <0.001 | |
| Ferritin (ng/mL) | 208.70 (60.10, 453.40) | 44.80 (21.98, 81.93) | −3.030 | 0.002 | |
| LDH (U/L) | 572.50 (333.00, 1203.75) | 222.00 (199.00, 255.00) | −11.470 | <0.001 | |
| VMA (mg/24 h) | 13.92 (5.45, 37.53) | 4.99 (3.60, 7.58) | −3.320 | <0.001 | |
aContinuous variables were presented as median and interquartile range;
bClassification variables were presented as numbers (percent);
cReference ranges of tumor markers: serum NSE ≤ 25 ng/mL; serum ferritin 6 ng/mL – 159 ng/mL; serum LDH 110 U/L – 295 U/L; urinary VMA ≤ 13.6 mg/24 h
PNTs: peripheral neuroblastic tumors; GN: ganglioneuroma; NSE: neuron-specific enolase; VMA: vanillylmandelic acid; LDH: lactate dehydrogenase.
Results of the ROC analysis.
| Variables | AUC-ROC | Cut-off value |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 0.86 | 49.00 (months) |
| Serum NSE | 0.93 | 33.00 (ng/mL) |
| Maximum diameter of primary tumor | 0.67 | 7.97 (cm) |
AUC-ROC: area under the receiver-operating-characteristic; NSE: neuron-specific enolase.
Figure 1ROC curve analyses. Stratification value of (A) age; (B) serum NSE; (C) maximum diameter of primary tumor were calculated by ROC curve analyses.
Multivariate logistic regression analysis of prediction of malignant PNTs.
| Characteristics | Estimate | Standard Error | Wald |
| OR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intercept | −10.73 | ||||
| Age > 49 (months) | Ref | ||||
| Age ≤ 49 (months) | 2.95 | 0.55 | 28.61 | <0.001 | 19.049 (6.470, 56.088) |
| Primary site of retroperitoneal | Ref | ||||
| Primary site of adrenal | 2.47 | 0.85 | 8.48 | 0.004 | 11.806 (2.242, 62.179) |
| Primary site of thoracic | 1.99 | 0.74 | 7.25 | 0.007 | 7.280 (1.717, 30.869) |
| Primary site of pelvic | 1.55 | 1.35 | 1.31 | 0.253 | 4.695 (0.331, 66.507) |
| Serum NSE ≤ 33 (ng/mL) | Ref | ||||
| Serum NSE > 33 (ng/mL) | 3.59 | 0.62 | 33.26 | <0.001 | 36.154 (10.681, 122.379) |
| None relationship between primary tumor and blood vessels | Ref | ||||
| Tumor encasing blood vessels | 1.82 | 0.60 | 9.49 | 0.002 | 6.163 (1.937, 19.608) |
| Tumor displacing blood vessels | −0.21 | 0.65 | 0.10 | 0.751 | 0.813 (0.227, 2.916) |
PNTs: peripheral neuroblastic tumors; OR, odds ratio; NSE, neuron-specific enolase.
Figure 2ROC for discrimination of malignant PNTs. Combined age ≤ 49 months, primary site of adrenal and thoracic, level of serum NSE > 33 ng/mL, and tumor encasing blood vessels to discriminate of malignant PNTs and the AUC of the discrimination model was 0.96.
Comparison between results using the model produced and the actual diagnosis produced by pathology.
| Practicea | Discriminationb | |
|---|---|---|
| Malignant PNTs | GN | |
| Malignant PNTs | 234 | 9 |
| GN | 12 | 62 |
aPractice represents the truth observed by pathology.
bDiscrimination represents the predicted value from the model.
PNTs: peripheral neuroblastic tumors; GN: ganglioneuroma.
Discrimination results of model in patients with inconsistent pathological results of biopsy and surgery.
| Patient | Age (months) | Serum NSE (ng/mL) | Primary site | Relationship between primary tumor and blood vessels | Biopsy method | Surgical pathology result | Predicted |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37 | 159.0 | Adrenal | Encasing | Surgery (skin metastasis) | NB | 0.99868 |
| 2 | 45 | 21.4 | Thoracic | Encasing | Core needlea | GNBi | 0.92828 |
| 3 | 40 | 70.4 | Adrenal | Encasing | Core needle | GNBi | 0.99868 |
| 4 | 15 | 43.2 | Adrenal | None | Surgery (cervical lymph node metastasis) | NB | 0.99194 |
| 5 | 41 | 146.4 | Adrenal | None | Core needle | NB | 0.99194 |
| 6 | 75 | 28.0 | Adrenal | None | Core needle | GNBi | 0.15166 |
| 7 | 11 | 98.0 | Thoracic | Encasing | Core needle | GNBn | 0.99787 |
| 8 | 18 | 63.2 | Retroperitoneal | Encasing | Core needle | NB | 0.98468 |
| 9 | 78 | 320.1 | Adrenal | Encasing | Core needle | NB | 0.97551 |
| 10 | 39 | 52.5 | Retroperitoneal | Encasing | Core needle | GNBi | 0.98468 |
| 11 | 28 | 370.0 | Adrenal | Encasing | Core needle | NB | 0.99868 |
| 12 | 77 | 63.3 | Adrenal | Encasing | Core needle | GNBn | 0.97551 |
aCore needle represented the core needle biopsy to primary tumor.
PNTs: peripheral neuroblastic tumors; GN: ganglioneuroma; NSE: neuron-specific enolase; NB: neuroblastoma; GNBn: ganglioneuroblastoma nodular; GNBi: ganglioneuroblastoma intermixed.