| Literature DB >> 30003015 |
Stacy Sterling1, Felicia Chi1, Constance Weisner1,2, Richard Grant1, Alix Pruzansky3, Sandy Bui3, Philip Madvig3, Robert Pearl3.
Abstract
A high proportion of U.S. health care costs are attributable to a relatively small proportion of patients. Understanding behavioral and social factors that predict initial and persistent high costs for these "high utilizers" is critical for health policy-makers. This prospective observational study was conducted at Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC), an integrated healthcare delivery system with 4.1 million members. A stratified random sample of high-cost vs. non-high-cost adult KPNC members matched by age, gender, race/ethnicity, type of health insurance, and medical severity (N = 378) was interviewed between 3/14/2013 and 3/20/2014. Data on health care costs and clinical diagnoses between 1/1/2008 and 12/31/2012 were derived from the electronic health record (EHR). Social-economic status, depression symptoms, adverse childhood experiences (ACEs), interpersonal violence, financial stressors, neighborhood environment, transportation access, and patient activation and engagement were obtained through telephone interviews. Initial and subsequent high-cost status were defined as being classified in top 20% cost levels over 1/1/2009-12/31/2011 and 1/1/2012-12/31/2012, respectively. Psychiatric diagnosis (OR 2.55, 95% CI 1.52-4.29, p < 0.001), financial stressors (OR 1.97, 95% CI 1.19-3.26, p = 0.009), and ACEs (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.00-1.20, p = 0.051) predicted initial high-cost status. ACEs alone predicted persistent high-cost status in the subsequent year (OR 1.12, 95% CI 1.00-1.25, p = 0.050). Non-medical factors such as psychiatric problems, financial stressors and adverse childhood experiences contribute significantly to the likelihood of high medical utilization and cost. Efforts to predict and reduce high utilization must include measuring and potentially addressing these factors.Entities:
Keywords: ACEs; Behavioral health; Cost; High utilizer; Social determinants of health
Year: 2018 PMID: 30003015 PMCID: PMC6039851 DOI: 10.1016/j.pmedr.2018.06.017
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Prev Med Rep ISSN: 2211-3355
Comparisons of behavioral health conditions, behavioral and social factors, high-cost patients versus non-high-cost patients.
| High-cost patients ( | Non-high-cost patients ( | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Behavioral health conditions derived from electronic health record (EHR) | |||
| Psychiatric diagnoses in EHR, 2008–2011 | |||
| Anxiety disorders, | 99 (52.4%) | 57 (30.2%) | <0.001 |
| Depression, | 104 (55.0%) | 73 (38.6%) | 0.001 |
| Major psychosis, | 37 (19.6%) | 15 (7.9%) | 0.001 |
| Personality disorders, | 16 (8.5%) | 2 (1.1%) | <0.001 |
| Other psychiatric conditions, | 61 (32.3%) | 22 (11.6%) | <0.001 |
| Any psychiatric conditions, | 137 (72.5%) | 99 (52.4%) | <0.001 |
| Substance use diagnoses in EHR, 2008–2011 | |||
| Alcohol psychosis, | 2 (1.1%) | 3 (1.6%) | NS |
| Alcohol abuse, | 9 (4.8%) | 9 (4.8%) | NS |
| Alcohol dependence, | 10 (5.3%) | 8 (4.2%) | NS |
| Drug psychosis, | 8 (4.2%) | 2 (1.1%) | 0.055 |
| Drug abuse, | 22 (11.6%) | 14 (7.4%) | NS |
| Drug dependence, | 18 (9.5%) | 11 (5.8%) | NS |
| Any substance use disorders (excluding tobacco dependence), | 36 (19.1%) | 27 (14.3%) | NS |
| Behavioral and social factors derived from telephone interviews | |||
| PHQ-9 (past 2 weeks) | |||
| Mean (SD) | 6.7 (6.3) | 4.9 (5.3) | 0.004 |
| Severity/treatment need, | |||
| PHQ-9 ≤ 4 (no treatment need) | 91 (48.2%) | 106 (56.1%) | 0.043 |
| 5 ≤ PHQ-9 ≤ 14 (physician judgement) | 72 (38.1%) | 71 (37.6%) | |
| PHQ-9 ≥ 15 (warrant treatment) | 26 (13.8%) | 12 (6.4%) | |
| Major depression syndrome, | 28 (14.8%) | 15 (7.9%) | 0.035 |
| Minor depression syndrome, | 27 (14.3%) | 8 (4.2%) | 0.001 |
| Function impaired, | 35 (18.5%) | 18 (9.5%) | 0.012 |
| Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACEs) | |||
| Total ACE score, mean (SD) | 2.8 (2.8) | 1.9 (2.4) | 0.001 |
| Childhood abuse by category | |||
| Emotional, | 70 (37.4%) | 41 (21.9%) | 0.001 |
| Physical, | 60 (32.3%) | 33 (17.6%) | 0.001 |
| Sexual, | 40 (21.7%) | 31 (16.6%) | NS |
| Neglect by category | |||
| Emotional, | 67 (36.0%) | 50 (26.6%) | 0.049 |
| Physical, | 25 (13.4%) | 18 (9.6%) | NS |
| Household dysfunction by category | |||
| Substance abuse, | 66 (35.3%) | 49 (26.1%) | 0.053 |
| Mental illness, | 46 (25.0%) | 36 (19.3%) | NS |
| Mother treated violently, | 44 (23.9%) | 20 (10.9%) | 0.001 |
| Incarcerated household member, | 27 (14.4%) | 15 (8.1%) | 0.052 |
| Parental separation or divorce, | 77 (42.1%) | 68 (36.6%) | NS |
| Interpersonal violence (IPV) | |||
| Have been abused emotionally, physically or financially, | 88 (46.6%) | 67 (35.5%) | 0.028 |
| Financial stressors: had to do the following because of the amount that you had to pay for medical care, | |||
| Borrow money | 35 (18.5%) | 13 (6.9%) | <0.001 |
| Cut back on/go without some necessity | 37 (19.6%) | 22 (11.6%) | 0.034 |
| Delay/avoid ER/office visits | 32 (16.9%) | 19 (10.1%) | 0.050 |
| Use medication less often than prescribed | 23 (12.7%) | 10 (5.7%) | 0.023 |
| Switch to A cheaper medication | 31 (17.2%) | 18 (10.3%) | 0.061 |
| Patient activation | |||
| Total PAM score, mean (SD) | 65.0 (17.4) | 66.5 (17.4) | NS |
| Patient activation level, | 0.006 | ||
| Level 1: starting to take a role (PAM ≤ 45.2) | 31 (16.4%) | 14 (7.4%) | |
| Level 2: building confidence/knowledge (47.4 ≤ PAM ≤ 52.9) | 24 (12.7%) | 44 (23.3%) | |
| Level 3: taking action (56.4 ≤ PAM ≤ 66.0) | 53 (28.0%) | 50 (26.5%) | |
| Level 4: maintaining behaviors (PAM ≥ 68.5) | 81 (42.9%) | 81 (42.9%) | |
Notes: PHQ-9 = patient health questionnaire. PAM = patient activation measures. SD = standard deviation. NS = non-significant. p Values from Chi-square or Fisher's Exact Tests.
Logistic regression models with stepwise selection of behavioral health and social factors independently associated with high cost status in 2009–2011 and 2012.
| Set 1. Outcome = high cost status in 2009–2011 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Step 1 | Step 2 | Step 3 | ||||
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | ||||
| Any psychiatric diagnosis (yes vs. no) | 2.60 (1.56, 4.31) | <0.001 | 2.65 (1.58, 4.44) | <0.001 | 2.55 (1.52, 4.29) | <0.001 |
| Any financial burden (yes vs. no) | – | – | 2.21 (1.35, 3.61) | 0.002 | 1.97 (1.19, 3.26) | 0.009 |
| ACE (per 1 unit increase) | – | – | – | – | 1.10 (1.00, 1.20) | 0.051 |
| Set 2. Outcome = high cost status in 2012 | ||||||
| Step 0 | Step 1 | |||||
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||||
| High cost status in 2009–2011 (yes vs. no) | 4.46 (2.61, 7.60) | <0.001 | 4.19 (2.45, 7.19) | <0.001 | ||
| ACE (per 1 unit increase) | – | – | 1.12 (1.00, 1.25) | 0.050 | ||
Models adjusted for age, gender, white race, product line, segment, DxCG quartile, having a diagnosis of asthma, arthritis, COPD, and chronic pain in 2008–2011. Potential behavioral health and social factors to select from include having any psychiatric diagnosis in 2008–2011, patient activation measures (PAM) level (level 2–4 vs level 1), adverse childhood experiences (ACE), any interpersonal violence (IPV), and any financial burden. We did not include Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) in the model because the measure was highly correlated with having any psychiatric diagnosis. NS = Non-significant. OR = Odds Ratio. 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval.
Models adjusted for age, gender, white race, product line, segment, DxCG quartile, having a diagnosis of asthma, arthritis, COPD, and chronic pain in 2008–2011. High cost status in 2009–2011 was forced entered in the modeling steps. Potential behavioral health and social factors to select from include having any psychiatric diagnosis in 2008–2011, patient activation measures (PAM) level (level 2–4 vs level 1), adverse childhood experiences (ACE), any interpersonal violence (IPV), and any financial burden. We did not include Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-9) in the model because the measure was highly correlated with having any psychiatric diagnosis. Step 0: Initial model with only high cost status in 2009–2011 and control variables. Step 1: Behavioral health and social factors were added to the model, among them only ACE was entered and retained. NS = Non-significant. OR = Odds Ratio. 95% CI = 95% Confidence Interval.