| Literature DB >> 29949618 |
Yunpeng Shi1, Chang Su2, Haixia Hu3, He Yan3, Wei Li3, Guohui Chen4, Dahai Xu3, Xiaohong Du1, Ping Zhang1.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: The prevalence of papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) is rising rapidly. However, there are no reliable serum biomarkers for PTC. This study aimed to investigate the validity of preoperative serum matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2) as a biomarker for predicting prognosis of PTC after total or partial thyroidectomy.Entities:
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Year: 2018 PMID: 29949618 PMCID: PMC6021053 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0198896
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Clinicopathological characteristics of the study groups, n (%).
| Characteristics | PTC | BTN | HC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | |||
| <45 years | 118 (61.1) | 21 (39.6) | 39 (56.5) |
| ≥45 years | 75 (38.9) | 32 (60.4) | 30 (43.5) |
| Tumor size | |||
| ≤1 cm | 116 (60.1) | ||
| >1 cm | 77 (39.9) | ||
| Capsule invasion | |||
| No | 67 (34.7) | ||
| Yes | 126 (65.3) | ||
| Multifocality | |||
| Unifocal | 89 (46.1) | ||
| Multifocal | 104 (53.9) | ||
| Nodal status | |||
| N0 | 75 (38.9) | ||
| N1a | 109 (56.5) | ||
| N1b | 52 (26.9) | ||
| Extrathyroidal invasion | |||
| Negative | 153 (79.3) | ||
| Microscopic | 30 (15.5) | ||
| Macroscopic | 10 (5.2) | ||
| Vascular invasion | |||
| No | 176 (91.2) | ||
| Yes | 17 (8.8) | ||
| Distant metastasis | |||
| No | 183 (94.8) | ||
| Yes | 10 (5.2) | ||
| TNM stage | |||
| I+II | 149 (77.2) | ||
| III+IV | 44 (22.8) |
PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; BTN, benign thyroid nodule; HC, healthy control; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis.
Fig 1Serum MMP-2 concentrations of subjects.
A Preoperative serum MMP-2 concentration in patients with PTC or BTH and in HCs. B preoperative versus postoperative serum MMP-2 concentration in the same patients with PTC. PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; BTN, benign thyroid nodule; HC, healthy control. The middle black horizontal lines indicate the median value of measurements, and the error bars indicate interquartile ranges. *p<0.001.
Performance of preoperative serum MMP-2 in differentially diagnosing PTC and predicting LNM.
| AUC (95% CI) | Optimum cut-off value | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | LR+ | LR- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PTC diagnosis | ||||||||
| PTC | 0.905 (0.851–0.958) | 86.30 | 86.0 | 86.8 | 96.0 | 63.0 | 6.515 | 0.161 |
| PTC | 0.908 (0.861–0.956) | 77.03 | 90.7 | 87.0 | 95.1 | 76.9 | 6.977 | 0.107 |
| PTC | 0.907 (0.869–0.944) | 70.16 | 93.3 | 73.8 | 84.9 | 87.4 | 3.561 | 0.091 |
| LNM | ||||||||
| CLNM | 0.711 (0.638–0.784) | 101.55 | 75.2 | 61.9 | 71.9 | 65.8 | 1.974 | 0.407 |
| LLNM | 0.685 (0.602–0.769) | 112.67 | 69.2 | 67.4 | 43.9 | 85.6 | 2.123 | 0.457 |
PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; BTN, benign thyroid nodule; HC, healthy control; LNM, lymph node metastasis; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; AUC, area under the ROC curve; CI, confidence interval; PPV, positive predictive value; NPV, negative predictive value; LR+, positive likelihood ratio; LR-, negative likelihood ratio.
Fig 2ROC curves for preoperative serum MMP-2 in the differential diagnosis for PTC (A‒C) and predicting LNM (D and E).
A, Differential diagnosis of PTC from BTN; B, Differential diagnosis of PTC from HC; C, Differential diagnosis of PTC from BTN+HC; D, Prediction of CLNM. E, Prediction of LLNM. PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; BTN, benign thyroid nodule; HC, healthy control.
Comparison of clinicopathological variables in PTC patients based on stratified preoperative serum MMP-2 concentration.
| Serum MMP-2 (ng/mL) | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Low level (<86.30), | High level (≥86.30), (n = 166) | ||
| Age | 0.525 | ||
| <45 years | 18 (66.7) | 100 (60.2) | |
| ≥45 years | 9 (33.) | 66 (39.8) | |
| Tumor size | |||
| ≤1cm | 25 (92.6) | 91 (54.8) | |
| >1 cm | 2 (7.4) | 75 (45.2) | |
| Capsule invasion | 0.478 | ||
| No | 11 (40.7) | 56 (33.7) | |
| Yes | 16 (59.3) | 110 (66.3) | |
| Multifocality | 0.819 | ||
| No | 13 (48.1) | 76 (45.8) | |
| Yes | 14 (51.9) | 90 (54.2) | |
| CLNM | |||
| No | 19 (70.4) | 65 (39.2) | |
| Yes | 8 (29.6) | 101 (60.8) | |
| LLNM | |||
| No | 24 (88.9) | 117 (70.5) | |
| Yes | 3 (11.1) | 49 (29.5) | |
| Extrathyroidal invasion | |||
| No | 27 (100.0) | 126 (75.9) | |
| Yes | 0 (0.0) | 40 (24.1) | |
| Vascular invasion | 0.169 | ||
| No | 27 (100.0) | 149 (89.8) | |
| Yes | 0 (0.0) | 17 (10.2) | |
| Distant metastasis | 0.352 | ||
| No | 27 (100.0) | 155 (93.4) | |
| Yes | 0 (0.00) | 11 (6.6) | |
| TNM stage | |||
| I+II | 26 (96.3) | 123 (74.1) | |
| III+IV | 1 (3.7) | 43 (25.9) | |
PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis.
p-values were determined by Chi-square test.
Risk factors for LNM by multivariate logistic regression.
| CLNM | LLNM | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||
| Age (≥45 years | 10.989 (2.886–41.887) | 2.977 (0.452–5.174) | 0.998 | |
| BMI (≥25 kg/m2
| 1.160 (0.532–2.529) | 0.710 | 2.210 (0.853–5.727) | 0.103 |
| Preoperative serum MMP-2 (≥101.55 ng/ml | 3.627 (1.665–7.901) | |||
| Preoperative serum MMP-2 (≥112.67 ng/ml | 2.318 (0.954–5.633) | 0.063 | ||
| Tumor size (>1 cm | 0.890 (0.365–2.171) | 0.798 | 1.106 (0.405–3.021) | 0.844 |
| Capsule invasion (yes | 1.375 (0.626–3.021) | 0.427 | 0.537 (0.223–1.294) | 0.166 |
| Multifocality (yes | 1.091 (0.524–2.273) | 0.816 | 1.749 (0.782–3.913) | 0.174 |
| Extrathyroidal invasion (yes | 1.695 (0.537–5.347) | 0.368 | 0.784 (0.248–2.480) | 0.679 |
| Vascular invasion (yes | 1.138 (0.237–5.472) | 0.872 | 2.043 (0.553–7.540) | 0.284 |
| Distant metastasis (yes | 0.411 (0.081–2.080) | 0.282 | 3.603 (0.701–18.510) | 0.125 |
| TNM stage (III+IV | 13.591 (2.896–63.790) | 3.799 (0.873–10.258) | 0.612 | |
BMI, body mass index; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis.
Fig 3ROC curve for the ability of preoperative serum MMP-2 to predict SPRD.
Comparison of clinicopathological variables in PTC patients with or without SPRD, n (%).
| Features | Without SPRD | SPRD | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age | |||
| <45 years | 113 (64.9) | 5 (26.3) | |
| ≥45 years | 61 (35.1) | 14 (73.7) | |
| Tumor size | |||
| ≤1 cm | 111 (63.8) | 5 (26.3) | |
| >1 cm | 63 (36.2) | 14 (73.7) | |
| Capsule invasion | |||
| No | 66 (37.9) | 1 (5.3) | |
| Yes | 108 (62.1) | 18 (94.7) | |
| Multifocality | 0.181 | ||
| No | 83 (47.7) | 6 (31.6) | |
| Yes | 91 (52.3) | 13 (68.4) | |
| CLNM | |||
| No | 81 (46.6) | 3 (15.8) | |
| Yes | 93 (53.4) | 16 (84.2) | |
| LLNM | 0.306 | ||
| No | 129 (74.1) | 12 (63.2) | |
| Yes | 45 (25.9) | 7 (36.8) | |
| Extrathyroidal invasion | |||
| No | 145 (83.3) | 8 (42.1) | |
| Yes | 29 (16.7) | 11 (57.9) | |
| Vascular invasion | |||
| No | 165 (94.8) | 11 (57.9) | |
| Yes | 9 (5.2) | 8 (42.1) | |
| Distant metastasis | |||
| No | 167 (96.0) | 15 (78.9) | |
| Yes | 7 (4.0) | 4 (21.1) | |
| TNM stage | |||
| I+II | 145 (83.3) | 4 (21.1) | |
| III+IV | 29 (16.7) | 15 (78.9) |
PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis.
p values were determined by Chi-square.
Fig 4Survival without SPRD in PTC patients stratified by preoperative serum MMP-2 level (low level <144.04 ng/ml; high level ≥144.04 ng/ml).
Prognostic factors for SPRD in PTC patients by Cox regression model.
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||
| Age (≥45 years | 4.734 (1.705–13.45) | 0.118 (0.007–1.938) | 0.135 | |
| BMI (≥25 kg/m2
| 0.920 (0.362–2.337) | 0.861 | ||
| Tumor size (>1 cm | 4.394 (1.582–12.202) | 0.814 (0.185–3.573) | 0.785 | |
| Capsule invasion (yes | 10.278 (1.372–77.000) | 7.969 (0.957–66.381) | 0.055 | |
| Multifocality (yes | 1.892 (0.719–4.978) | 0.267 | ||
| CLNM (yes | 4.273 (1.245–14.668) | 0.894 (0.173–4.607) | 0.893 | |
| LLNM (yes | 1.619 (0.637–4.112) | 0.311 | ||
| Extrathyroidal invasion (yes | 5.655 (2.273–14.069) | 1.053 (0.265–4.186) | 0.941 | |
| Vascular invasion (yes | 8.452 (3.395–21.046) | 2.177 (0.585–8.101) | 0.246 | |
| Distant metastasis (yes | 5.209 (1.726–15.721) | 0.258 (0.049–1352) | 0.109 | |
| TNM stage (III+IV | 15.177 (5.030–45.791) | 42.255 (2.324–768.286) | ||
| Preoperative serum MMP-2 (≥144.04 ng/ml | 29.064 (10.932–77.268) | 15.231 (4.101–56.568) | ||
PTC, papillary thyroid carcinoma; BMI, body mass index; CLNM, central lymph node metastasis; LLNM, lateral lymph node metastasis; TNM, tumor-node-metastasis.