| Literature DB >> 29941803 |
Ya-Qing Yang1, Lih-Ming Yiin2.
Abstract
We estimated the daily intakes of chlorpyrifos and cypermethrin via ingestion of indoor dust and outdoor soils using the Stochastic Human Exposure and Dose Simulation Model on a probabilistic approach for Taiwanese young children. Variables for the estimation, such as concentration, ingestion rate, and body weight, were adopted from previous studies. Monte Carlo simulation was performed with 1,000,000 iterations to simulate a single daily intake, which was shown in terms of percentage of the Acceptable Daily Intake (ADI) of either insecticide. The daily intakes are minimal with a 99% probability, but go up steeply at the 99.9th percentile (13.1% and 20.0% of the ADIs of chlorpyrifos and cypermethrin, respectively). The sensitivity analysis indicates that concentration is the most determinant variable for daily intake estimation, suggesting that high intakes may occur when insecticide concentrations are elevated. Compared to the data of daily intakes via dietary ingestion of vegetables derived from a previous study, the estimated non-dietary intakes are negligible until reaching the highest percentile. Consequently, the non-dietary ingestion exposure to either insecticide is commonly low for young children in Taiwan’s homes, unless high contamination (e.g., indoor insecticide application) occurs in the environment. Care has to be taken to avoid high contamination indoors.Entities:
Keywords: Monte Carlo simulation; SHEDS model; Taiwan; chlorpyrifos; cypermethrin; daily intake; home environment; non-dietary ingestion
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Year: 2018 PMID: 29941803 PMCID: PMC6069238 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph15071327
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Environ Res Public Health ISSN: 1660-4601 Impact factor: 3.390
Distributions of variables used in daily intake estimation for ingestion of dust and soils.
| Variable |
| Mean | SD | P5 | P25 | P50 | P75 | P95 | Maximum | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ingestion rate of dust (mg/day) a | 1000 | 26.65 | 36.54 | 0.66 | 4.06 | 10.80 | 28.72 | 100.97 | 901.96 | ||||
| Ingestion rate of soils (mg/day) a | 1000 | 40.96 | 78.29 | 0.15 | 5.26 | 15.34 | 44.85 | 175.60 | 1367.37 | ||||
| Indoor concentration of chlorpyrifos in dust (µg/g) b | 52 | 2.32 | 15.41 | <LOD | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 0.91 | 112.34 | ||||
| Outdoor concentration of chlorpyrifos in soils (µg/g) b | 57 | 4.27 | 23.10 | <LOD | <LOD | <LOD | 0.11 | 16.19 | 134.60 | ||||
| Indoor concentration of cypermethrin in dust (µg/g) b | 52 | 18.33 | 55.92 | <LOD | 0.11 | 0.37 | 0.83 | 105.79 | 343.27 | ||||
| Outdoor concentration of cypermethrin in soils(µg/g) b | 57 | 4.29 | 22.32 | <LOD | <LOD | <LOD | 0.11 | 16.47 | 134.20 | ||||
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| Body weight of 3–6 year old children at (kg) c | 13.5 | 15.1 | 15.8 | 17.3 | 19.0 | 20.1 | 22.9 | ||||||
SD, standard deviation; P#, #th percentile;
Figure 1Distributions of variables (a–c), and result (d) for estimation of daily intake of chlorpyrifos.
Non-dietary ingestion exposures in terms of percentage of Acceptable Daily Intake for young children.
| Percentile | Chlorpyrifos via | Chlorpyrifos via | Cypermethrin via | Cypermethrin via |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P50 | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) |
| P75 | 0.002% (0.002%, 0.002%) | 0.001% (0.001%, 0.001%) | 0.004% (0.004%, 0.004%) | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) |
| P90 | 0.019% (0.019%, 0.019%) | 0.007% (0.007%, 0.007%) | 0.052% (0.052%, 0.053%) | 0.005% (0.005%, 0.005%) |
| P95 | 0.079% (0.079%, 0.079%) | 0.029% (0.029%, 0.029%) | 0.208% (0.207%, 0.209%) | 0.023% (0.023%, 0.023%) |
| P97.5 | 0.254% (0.253%, 0.255%) | 0.102% (0.101%, 0.102%) | 0.629% (0.627%, 0.631%) | 0.080% (0.079%, 0.080%) |
| P99 | 0.884% (0.880%, 0.887%) | 0.412% (0.410%, 0.414%) | 2.042% (2.035%, 2.049%) | 0.310% (0.308%, 0.311%) |
| P99.9 | 8.313% (8.234%, 8.392%) | 4.819% (4.782%, 4.856%) | 16.89% (16.75%, 17.04%) | 3.155% (3.124%, 3.186%) |
Numbers in parenthesis represent the 95% confidence intervals.
Comparison of non-dietary and dietary ingestion exposures in terms of percentage of ADI.
| Percentile | Chlorpyrifos via | Chlorpyrifos via | Cypermethrin via | Cypermethrin via |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P50 | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) | 1.39% (1.35%, 1.42%) | <0.001% (<0.001%, <0.001%) | 1.67% (1.64%, 1.70%) |
| P75 | 0.003% (0.003%, 0.003%) | NA | 0.004% (0.004%, 0.004%) | NA |
| P90 | 0.026% (0.026%, 0.026%) | 15.52% (15.35%, 15.70%) | 0.057% (0.057%, 0.058%) | 10.55% (10.44%, 10.67%) |
| P95 | 0.108% (0.108%, 0.108%) | NA | 0.231% (0.230%, 0.232%) | NA |
| P97.5 | 0.356% (0.354%, 0.357%) | 24.07% (23.69%, 24.47%) | 0.709% (0.706%, 0.711%) | 15.94% (15.68%, 16.19%) |
| P99 | 1.296% (1.290%, 1.301%) | 29.03% (28.43%, 29.66%) | 2.352% (2.343%, 2.360%) | 19.09% (18.70%, 19.52%) |
| P99.9 | 13.10% (13.02%, 13.25%) | 40.16% (38.39%, 42.41%) | 20.05% (19.87%, 20.23%) | 26.07% (24.87%, 27.42%) |
NA, not available; Numbers in parenthesis represent the 95% confidence intervals; a Data for 2–6 years old in the whole province of Zhejiang, derived from Yuan et al. [23].