| Literature DB >> 29924843 |
Nuol Aywel Madut1,2, Adrian Muwonge3, George William Nasinyama2, John Bwalya Muma4, Jacques Godfroid5, Ambrose Samuel Jubara1, James Muleme2, Clovice Kankya2.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Brucellosis is a worldwide recognized bacterial zoonotic disease. There is currently no information on bovine brucellosis sero-prevalence in South Sudan regardless of the economic, social and public health impact on populations. Therefore, for the first time in 33 years, we report the sero-prevalence of brucellosis in cattle and their herders. Furthermore, we characterize the drivers associated with the disease at the human-animal interface in Bahr el Ghazal region, South Sudan.Entities:
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Year: 2018 PMID: 29924843 PMCID: PMC6010255 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006456
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Fig 1The map of Greater Bahr el Ghazal showing all the ten states.
The map was generated using cartographic data from World Geodetic System 1984 (WGS 84) (https://confluence.qps.nl/pages/viewpage.action?pageId=29855173) Black diamond- represents the location of the cattle camps where our sampling was conducted.
Shows the summary statistics for bovine brucellosis, sero-prevalence estimates and a univariable analysis of social demographic factors in Bahr el Ghazal.
| Variable | Level | Total | RBPT(+n) | cELISA (+n) | X2 | P-value | Prevalence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Wau | 138 | 91 | 87 | 91.39 | 2.2e-16 | 63(53–70) |
| Gogrial | 70 | 7 | 7 | - | - | 10(4.5–20.1) | |
| Tonj | 198 | 65 | 65 | - | - | 32.8(26.4–39.9) | |
| Aweil | 487 | 118 | 118 | - | - | 24.2(20.5–28.3) | |
| Age | 0–5 | 283 | 76 | 76 | 22.03 | 1.64e-05 | 26.8(21.8–32.4) |
| 6–10 | 411 | 114 | 113 | - | - | 27.5(23.2–32.1) | |
| 11–17 | 199 | 91 | 88 | - | - | 44.2(37.3–51.4) | |
| Sex | Female | 644 | 198 | 196 | 0.394 | 0.53 | 30.4(26.9–34.2) |
| Male | 249 | 83 | 81 | - | - | 32.5(26.8–38.7) | |
| Herd size | < 30 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 98.93 | 2.2e-16 | 60.0(27.3–86.3) |
| 30–49 | 710 | 165 | 165 | - | - | 23.2(20.2–26.5) | |
| 50–100 | 128 | 84 | 81 | - | - | 63.2(54.2–71.5) | |
| > 100 | 45 | 25 | 25 | - | - | 55.5(40.1–70.0) | |
| Lactating | Dry | 353 | 91 | 90 | 16.42 | 0.00093 | 25.5(21.1–30.4) |
| L1 | 42 | 10 | 10 | _ | _ | 23.80(12.6–39.8) | |
| L2 | 165 | 56 | 56 | _ | _ | 33.9(26.8–41.7) | |
| L3 | 86 | 41 | 40 | _ | _ | 46.5(35.7–57.5) | |
| Body condition | Good | 816 | 254 | 261 | 18.91 | 7.8e-05 | 31.9(28.8–35.3) |
| Poor | 57 | 5 | 5 | _ | _ | 8.7(3.2–20.0) | |
| Cachectic | 20 | 12 | 11 | _ | _ | 55.0(32.0–76.2) | |
| No | 882 | 273 | 269 | 7.2341 | 0.007153 | 30.5(27.5–33.7) | |
| Yes | 9 | 7 | 7 | - | - | 77.7(40.2–96.1) | |
| History of abortion | No | 745 | 192 | 192 | 8.32 | 0.003927 | 25.7(22.7–29.1) |
| Yes | 29 | 15 | 15 | - | - | 51.7(32.8–70.1) |
**Hygroma (n = 891/893) because we did not find information on hygroma for two (2) animals while we were collecting data, whereas for History of abortion (774) because heifers and calves were not included while measuring this variable
* represents factors that are significantly associated with the sero-positive status. Lactation stage: Dry = a period 2 months before calving when the cow is not milked, L1 = period 0-3months after birth, L2 = period from 3 months to 6 months and L3 = period from 6 months to 1 year during which the cow is milked.
Multivariable logistic regression model for brucellosis sero-prevalence and associated herd management factors in Bahr el Ghazal region, South Sudan.
| Factors | Description | Odds Ratio at (97.5%)CI | P- value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lactating stage | Non-lactating | 1 | Ref |
| L1 | 1.71(0.67–4.08) | 0.232 | |
| L2 | 1.70(1.08–2.67) | 0.019 | |
| L3 | 2.5(1.46–4.47) | 0.0008 | |
| Herd size | <50 | 1 | Ref |
| 50–100 | 0.18(0.03–0.76) | 0.03 | |
| >100 | 0.05(0.008–0.17) | 3.63e-05 | |
| History of abortion | No | 1 | Ref |
| Yes | 0.46(0.11–1.63) | 0.25 | |
| BCS | Good | 1 | Ref |
| Poor | 0.22(0.07–0.54) | 0.002 | |
| Cachectic | 0.21(0.03–1.19) | 0.08 |
BCS = body condition score, Level of statistical significance
*** = 0.001
* = 0.05, AIC = 673.42 and AUC = 0.68
Shows the summary descriptive statistics for zoonotic brucellosis among herders in Bahr el Ghazal.
| Variable | Level | Total | RBPT (+n) | cELISA (+n) | X2 | P-value | Prevalence* 95%CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Tonj | 40 | 18 | 12 | 2.08 | 0.14 | 30.0(17.1–46.7) |
| Aweil | 47 | 17 | 17 | - | - | 36.2(23.1–51.5) | |
| Age | 6–15* | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2.27 | 0.32 | 20.0(5.3–48.6) |
| 16–35 | 49 | 16 | 21 | - | - | 42.9(29.1–57.7) | |
| 36–60 | 23 | 10 | 11 | - | - | 47.8(27.4–68.9) | |
| Gender* | Female | 62 | 22 | 18 | 1.18 | 0.27 | 29.0(18.6–42.1) |
| Male | 25 | 13 | 11 | - | - | 44.0(25.0–64.7) | |
| Literacy | Illiterate | 83 | 32 | 26 | 0.81 | 0.36 | 31.3(21.8–42.5) |
| Literate | 4 | 3 | 3 | - | - | 75.0(21.9–98.6) | |
| Marital Status* | Single | 18 | 3 | 3 | 1.97 | 0.16 | 16.6(4.4–42.2) |
| Married | 69 | 32 | 26 | _ | _ | 37.6(26.5–50.2) | |
| Occupational activity* | Herder | 33 | 12 | 12 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 36.3(20.9–54.8) |
| Milkers | 46 | 20 | 15 | _ | _ | 32.6(19.9–48.3) |
6–15* It is noteworthy that information for six of the individuals in this age category will be redundant for the marital status and literacy categories. Eight individuals did not specify their *occupational activity