Jun Huang1, Hong-Tao Liao2, Hong-Wen Fei2, Yu-Mei Xue2, Li Zhang1, Qiong-Wen Lin2, Si-Qi Ren2, Xian-Zhang Zhan2, Xian-Hong Fang2, Mu-Rui Zheng3, Shu-Lin Wu2, Lin Xu4,5. 1. Department of Geriatrics, Guangdong General Hospital, Institute of Geriatrics, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China. 2. Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Province Key Laboratory of South China Structural Heart disease, Guangdong General Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China. 3. Guangzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Guangzhou, China. 4. School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China. 5. School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to examine the association of CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores with left atrial thrombus (LAT) and spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (SEC) in non-anticoagulated nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) spontaneous patients, and to develop a new scoring system for LAT/SEC prediction. METHODS: Consecutive non-anticoagulated NVAF patients with or without LAT/SEC by transesophageal echocardiography were identified in the Guangdong General Hospital. RESULTS: Among 2,173 patients, the prevalence of LAT/SEC was 4.9%. Both predictive values of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for the presence of LAT/SEC were low-to-moderate (receiver operating characteristic [ROC] = 0.591 and 0.608, respectively, p = 0.90). By multivariate analysis, non-paroxysmal AF, decreased left ventricular ejection fraction, and left atrial enlargement were positively associated with LAT/SEC, while CHADS2/CHA2DS2VASc scores were not. A new scoring system based on these 3 factors above significantly improved the discrimination for LAT/SEC (ROC = 0.792). CONCLUSIONS: CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores had limited value in predicting LAT/SEC; a new scoring system that combines AF type and echocardiographic parameters may better predict LAT/SEC as a surrogate for cardioembolic risk in NVAF patients.
OBJECTIVES: The aim of the study was to examine the association of CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores with left atrial thrombus (LAT) and spontaneous echocardiographic contrast (SEC) in non-anticoagulated nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) spontaneous patients, and to develop a new scoring system for LAT/SEC prediction. METHODS: Consecutive non-anticoagulated NVAF patients with or without LAT/SEC by transesophageal echocardiography were identified in the Guangdong General Hospital. RESULTS: Among 2,173 patients, the prevalence of LAT/SEC was 4.9%. Both predictive values of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for the presence of LAT/SEC were low-to-moderate (receiver operating characteristic [ROC] = 0.591 and 0.608, respectively, p = 0.90). By multivariate analysis, non-paroxysmal AF, decreased left ventricular ejection fraction, and left atrial enlargement were positively associated with LAT/SEC, while CHADS2/CHA2DS2VASc scores were not. A new scoring system based on these 3 factors above significantly improved the discrimination for LAT/SEC (ROC = 0.792). CONCLUSIONS: CHADS2/CHA2DS2-VASc scores had limited value in predicting LAT/SEC; a new scoring system that combines AF type and echocardiographic parameters may better predict LAT/SEC as a surrogate for cardioembolic risk in NVAF patients.