Kuen-Cheh Yang1, Hui-Fang Hung2, Meng-Kan Chen2, Sam Li-Sheng Chen3, Jean Ching-Yuan Fann4, Sherry Yueh-Hsia Chiu5, Amy Ming-Fang Yen3, Kuo-Chin Huang6, Hsiu-Hsi Chen7, Sen-Te Wang8. 1. Department of Family Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital Bei-Hu Branch, Taipei, Taiwan. 2. Department of Community and Family Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital Hsinchu Branch, Hsinchu, Taiwan. 3. School of Oral Hygiene, College of Oral Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan. 4. Department of Health Industry Management, School of Healthcare Management, Kainan University, Tao-Yuan, Taiwan. 5. Department of Health Care Management, College of Management, Chang Gung University, Tao-Yuan, Taiwan; Department of Internal Medicine, Kaohsiung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Kaohsiung, Taiwan. 6. Department of Family Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital Bei-Hu Branch, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Family Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan. 7. Institute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan. 8. Department of Family Medicine, School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan; Department of Family Medicine, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan; School of Gerontology Health Management, College of Nursing, Taipei Medical University, Taipei, Taiwan. Electronic address: wangader@tmu.edu.tw.
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Despite the fact that vaccination is an effective primary prevention strategy for the containment of influenza outbreaks, health policymakers have shown great concern over the enormous costs involved in universal immunization, particularly when resources are limited. METHODS: A two-arm cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) was conducted that took into account the aspect of herd immunity. The analysis used a study cohort of 100000 residents with a demographic make-up identical to that of the underlying population in Taipei County, Taiwan, during the epidemic influenza season of 2001-2002. The parameters embedded in the dynamic process of infection were estimated through the application of the newly proposed susceptible-infection-complication-recovery (SICR) model to the empirical data, in order to compute the number of deaths and complications averted due to universal vaccination compared to no vaccination. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve (CEAC) given maximum amount of willingness-to-pay (WTP) were calculated to delineate the results of the two-arm CEA. RESULTS: The incremental costs involved in the vaccinated group as compared to the unvaccinated group were $1195 to reduce one additional complication and $805 to avert one additional death, allowing for herd immunity. The corresponding figures were higher for the results without considering herd immunity. Given the ceiling ratio of WTP equal to $10000 (approximately two-thirds of GDP), the probability of the vaccination being cost-effective for averting death was 100% and for averting complications was 96.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Universal vaccination against seasonal influenza was found to be very cost-effective, particularly when herd immunity is considered. The probability of being cost-effective was almost certain given the maximum amount of WTP within two-thirds of the GDP.
OBJECTIVES: Despite the fact that vaccination is an effective primary prevention strategy for the containment of influenza outbreaks, health policymakers have shown great concern over the enormous costs involved in universal immunization, particularly when resources are limited. METHODS: A two-arm cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) was conducted that took into account the aspect of herd immunity. The analysis used a study cohort of 100000 residents with a demographic make-up identical to that of the underlying population in Taipei County, Taiwan, during the epidemic influenza season of 2001-2002. The parameters embedded in the dynamic process of infection were estimated through the application of the newly proposed susceptible-infection-complication-recovery (SICR) model to the empirical data, in order to compute the number of deaths and complications averted due to universal vaccination compared to no vaccination. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve (CEAC) given maximum amount of willingness-to-pay (WTP) were calculated to delineate the results of the two-arm CEA. RESULTS: The incremental costs involved in the vaccinated group as compared to the unvaccinated group were $1195 to reduce one additional complication and $805 to avert one additional death, allowing for herd immunity. The corresponding figures were higher for the results without considering herd immunity. Given the ceiling ratio of WTP equal to $10000 (approximately two-thirds of GDP), the probability of the vaccination being cost-effective for averting death was 100% and for averting complications was 96.7%. CONCLUSIONS: Universal vaccination against seasonal influenza was found to be very cost-effective, particularly when herd immunity is considered. The probability of being cost-effective was almost certain given the maximum amount of WTP within two-thirds of the GDP.