| Literature DB >> 29897919 |
Léon Mbiyangandu Kazumba1, Jean-Claude Tshinzobe Kaka2, Dieudonné Mumba Ngoyi3,4, Désiré Tshala-Katumbay1,4,5.
Abstract
We conducted a retrospective study on mortality trends and risk factors in 781 naïve cases of advanced stage-2 sleeping sickness admitted between 1989 and 2012 at the National Reference Center for Human African Trypanosomiasis (HAT), Department of Neurology, Kinshasa University, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Death was the outcome variable whereas age, gender, duration of disease, location of trypanosomes in body fluids, cytorachy, protidorachy, clinical status (assessed on a syndromic and functional basis) on admission, and treatment regimen were predictors in logistic regression models run at the 0.05 significance level. Death proportions were 17.2% in the standard melarsoprol schedule (3-series of intravenous melarsoprol on 3 successive days at 3.6 mg/kg/d, with a one-week interval between the series, ARS 9); 12.1% in the short schedule melarsoprol (10 consecutive days of intravenous melarsoprol at 2.2 mg/kg/d, ARS 10), 5.4% in the first-line eflornithine (14 days of eflornithine at 400 mg/kg/d in 4 infusions a day DFMO B), 9.1% in the NECT treatment regimen (eflornithine for 7 days at 400, mg/kg/d in 2 infusions a day combined with oral nifurtimox for 10 days at 15 mg/kg/d in 3 doses a day); and high (36%) in the group with select severely affected patients given eflornithine because of their clinical status on admission, at the time when this expensive drug was kept for treatment of relapses (14 days at 400 mg/kg/d in 4 infusions a day, DFMO A). After adjusting for treatment, death odds ratios were as follows: 10.40 [(95% CI: 6.55-16.51); p = .000] for clinical dysfunction (severely impaired clinical status) on admission, 2.14 [(95% CI: 1.35-3.39); p = .001] for high protidorachy, 1.99 [(95% CI: 1.18-3.37); p = .010] for the presence of parasites in the CSF and 1.70 [(95% CI: 1.03-2.81); p = .038] for high cytorachy. A multivariable analysis within treatment groups retained clinical status on admission (in ARS 9, ARS 10 and DFMO B groups) and high protidorachy (in ARS 10 and DFMO B groups) as significant predictors of death. The algorithm for initial clinical status assessment used in the present study may serve as the basis for further development of standardized assessment tools relevant to the clinical management of HAT and information exchange in epidemiological reports.Entities:
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Year: 2018 PMID: 29897919 PMCID: PMC5999091 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006504
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Fig 1Yearly admissions of study subjects and treatment regimens over the study period.
Arrows indicate introduction of select treatment regimens. Plain line = 4 successive regimens (ARS9 or melaroprol long schedule, ARS10 or short schedule melarsoprol, DFMO B or first-line eflornithine and NECT or nifurtimox-eflornithine combination therapy). Dotted line = period when severely affected patients were exceptionally treated with eflornithine (DFMO A), which was the preferred option for relapsed cases. Peaks in admissions correspond to the discovery of new foci of sleeping sickness in the villages of Kimwenza in 2001 and Muwana in 2007.
Fig 2Yearly distribution of deaths and severely affected subjects on admission over the study period.
Plain line = number of deaths per year; dotted line = number of severe (dysfunctional) cases on admission per year.
Fig 3Proportion of deaths by severity grade on admission.
N = number of patients admitted in one severity grade group; n = number of deaths in the corresponding severity grade group. Bars = percentage of deaths in each grade group. Black bars and dashed bars represent deceased patients among those admitted in dysfunctional (severely affected) and non-dysfunctional states, respectively.
Fig 4Proportion of deaths by clinical status on admission by treatment.
Black bar = deceased, dysfunctional on admission; dashed bar = deceased, non-dysfunctional on admission.
Unadjusted odds of death.
| PREDICTORS | Crude OR (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.19 (.79–1.81) | .403 | |
| 1.04.60–1.80) | .881 | |
| 1.39.90–2.14) | .140 | |
| 2.04 (1.21–3.44) | .008 | |
| 10.12 (6.41–15.96) | .000 | |
| 1.00 (1.00–1.00) | .468 | |
| 1.70 (1.02–2.83) | .040 | |
| 1.01 (1.00–1.01) | .000 | |
| 2.03 (1.28–3.23) | .003 | |
| 1.27 (1.08–1.50) | .004 | |
| Reference | ||
| 2.09 (.70–6.17) | .184 | |
| 1.37 (.46–4.05) | .569 | |
| 5.65 (1.65–19.38) | .006 | |
| .57 (.17–1.93) | .364 |
Unadjusted odds of deaths by treatment group.
| Treatment | ARS 9, N = 226 | ARS 10, N = 307 | DFMO A, N = 36 | DFMO B, N = 168 | NECT, N = 44 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | Crude OR (95% CI) | ||||||
| .77 (.37–1.57) | .46 | 1.96 (.96–4.01) | .07 | 0.37 (0.09–1.53) | .17 | 4.12 (0.83–20.47) | .08 | 0.45 (0.04–4.72) | .51 | |
| .70 (.28–1.77) | .46 | 1.35 (.50–3.64) | .56 | 1.74 (0.44–6.97) | .43 | 2.51 (0.30–20.73) | .39 | |||
| 1.42 (.70–2.88) | .33 | 1.39 (.68–2.84) | .37 | 0.69 (0.16–2.97) | .62 | 1.37 (0.27–7.00) | .71 | 1.00 (0.09–10.74) | 1.00 | |
| 1.58 (.65–3.81) | .31 | 1.94 (.85–4.40) | .12 | 0.50 (0.08–2.94) | .44 | 5.83 (0.71–47.70) | .10 | |||
| 17.79 (7.85–40.2) | .00 | 3.99 (1.81–8.78) | .00 | 11.00 (1.22–99.07) | .03 | 31.28 (6–163.57) | .00 | 5.67 (.66–48.33) | .11 | |
| 1.25 (.58–2.68) | .56 | 1.38 (.62–3.06) | .43 | 4.35 (0.53–35.67) | .17 | |||||
| 1.23 (.59–2,56) | .57 | 2.24 (1.01–4.99) | .05 | 2.60 (0.52–13.04) | .25 | 8.74 (1.67–45.65) | .01 | |||
*Not applicable due to limitations in sample size.
Adjusted odds of deaths by treatment group.
| Treatment | ARS 9 | ARS 10 | DFMO A | DFMO B | NECT | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.04 (.44–2.46) | 0.92 | 2.16 (1.01–4.63) | 0.05 | .74 (.13–4.23) | 0.73 | 6.24 (.77–50.80) | 0.09 | .14 (.004–4.73) | 0.28 | |
| .87 (.26–2.91) | 0.82 | 1.29 (.42–3;91) | 0.66 | .67 (.05–9.61) | 0.77 | 1.13 (.08–16.44) | 0.93 | * | * | |
| 19.26 (8.09–45.82) | 0.00 | 3.31 (1.43–7.70) | 0.00 | 27.74 (1.50–345.07) | 0.24 | 16.09 (2.45–105.51) | 0.00 | 15.24 (.85–271.59) | 0.06 | |
| 1.32 (.49–3.55) | 0.58 | .95 (.33–2.76) | 0.93 | * | * | 1.61 (.13–20.61) | 0.71 | .12 (.00–3.18) | 0.20 | |
| .76 (.31–1.87) | 0.55 | 2.26 (1.01–5.07) | 0.05 | 4.93 (.46–52.17) | 0.18 | 9.33 (1.08–80.80) | 0.04 | * | * | |
Stage-2 HAT severity assessment chart.
| Data from clinical examination on admission | Severity assessment | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Absent (Asymptomatic) | All functions preserved | Grade 0 | Non-Dysfunctional |
| 1 to 2 signs (Paucisymptomatic) | Partial impairment of 1 or 2 functions | Grade 1 | Non-Dysfunctional |
| 3 or more signs (Multisymptomatic) | Partial impairment of 1 or 2 functions | Grade 2 | Non-Dysfunctional |
| Any number of signs | Partial impairment of 3 or complete loss of 1 or 2 functions = “hypofunctional status”) | Grade 3 | Dysfunctional |
| Any number of signs | All functions lost (“afunctional status” = akinetic mutism) | Grade 4 | Dysfunctional |
Disease severity is assessed as “Non-Dysfunctional” (Grades 0, 1 or 2) or “Dysfunctional” (Grades 3 or 4).
Syndromic and functional aspects of clinical presentation in the 781 study subjects.
| Syndromic Assessment | N | % |
|---|---|---|
| Behavioral changes or | 536 | 68.6 |
| Archaic reflexes | 466 | 60.1 |
| Rigidity | 428 | 54.8 |
| Weight loss | 428 | 54.8 |
| Neck stiffness | 380 | 48.7 |
| Cerebellar signs | 356 | 45.6 |
| Incontinence | 212 | 27.1 |
| Hemiparesis | 172 | 22.0 |
| Dyskinesia | 114 | 14.6 |
| Walking Impairment | 207 | 26.5 |
| Speech Impairment | 186 | 23.8 |
| Deglutition Impairment | 91 | 11.6 |
Frequency by severity grade in the 781 study subjects.
| Severity grade | N | % |
|---|---|---|
| Grade 0 | 84 | 10.8 |
| Grade 1 | 416 | 53.3 |
| Grade 2 | 137 | 17.5 |
| Sub-Total (Non-Dysfunctional) | ||
| Grade 3 | 101 | 12.9 |
| Grade 4 | 43 | 5.5 |
| Sub-Total (Dysfunctional) | ||
| Total |
Socio-demographic, biological and clinical characteristics by treatment group.
| Characteristics | ARS 9, N = 226 | ARS 10, N = 307 | DFMO A, N = 36 | DFMOB, N = 168 | NECT, N = 44 | OVERALL, N = 781 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 133 | 152 | 14 | 88 | 26 | 413 | ||
| 93 | 155 | 22 | 80 | 18 | 368 | ||
| 1.4 | 1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.1 | ||
| 30.7 ± 15.0 | 30.8 ± 16.5 | 23.1 ± 20.8 | 29.3 ± 17.3 | 29.5 ± 11.0 | 30.0 ± 16.3 | ||
| 14.2 | 16.9 | 47.2 | 23.2 | 4.5 | 18.2 | ||
| 11.4 ± 13.6 | 9.0 ± 11.9 | 8.4 ± 5.4 | 11.1 ± 15.2 | 5.7 ± 9 | 9.9 ± 12.8 | ||
| 66.7 | 21.2 | 57.6 | 50.6 | 36.4 | 51.8 | ||
| 17.3 | 13.4 | 66.7 | 13.7 | 18.2 | 18.4 | ||
| 75.1 | 66.8 | 83.3 | 59.5 | 90.9 | 69.9 | ||
| 256.2 ± 303 | 397.9 ± 456 | 463.4 ± 489.3 | 347.0 ± 478.6 | 473.7 ± 382.6 | 353.3 ± 425.4 | ||
| 67.9 | 70.0 | 86.1 | 66.1 | 90.7 | 70.4 | ||
| 116.6 ± 56.3 (207) | 89.4 ± 35.6 (217) | 108.5 ± 56.4 (28) | 85.6 ± 24.8 (75) | 88.4 ± 13.7 (22) | 99.8 ± 45.7 (559) | ||
| 57.9 | 29.0 | 35.7 | 17.3 | 11.4 | 37.7 | ||
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | |||
SD = standard deviation; CSF = cerebrospinal fluid; WBC = white blood cells.
a Data were lacking in 22 subjects
b Percentage of cases with trypanosomes present in their CSF
c Data were lacking in 3 subjects
d Subjects classified as stage 2 on the basis of high CSF proteins (≥ 100 mg/dl).