| Literature DB >> 29744207 |
Crystal Bill1, Judy A Danielson2, Robert S Jones1.
Abstract
A primary caretaker is a potential reservoir of bacteria for an infant child and can be evaluated during a child's caries risk assessment. The aim of this study was to investigate an indirect method for assessing Streptococcus mutans and Streptococcus sobrinus (MS) and lactobacillus (LB) levels in a caretaker's saliva. Thirty-eight primary caretakers participated in the study to determine whether a 2-step method to assess the intracellular adenosine triphosphate (ATP) levels in saliva (saliva i-ATP method) predicted higher MS and LB levels. This method was tested against a 1-step swab-based total ATP testing of dental plaque (plaque t-ATP method). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to examine the relationship between specificity and sensitivity of the two diagnostic tests. Although the area under the ROC curves of both the saliva i-APT (0.823) and the plaque t-ATP (0.774) methods were shown to be statistically different (p < .05) than the null hypothesis test of a random coin flip, the diagnostic predictability of the ATP tests to assess high levels of MS and LB remained low. The optimal cutoff, which was defined by the Youden index, for the saliva i-ATP method produced a sensitivity/specificity of 60.7/100.0 for MS and 78.6/88.9 for LB. Applying these results to populations of low or high bacterial level prevalence produced undesirable positive and negative predictive values for future potential patients. A pair-wise comparison of both area under the ROC curve values of the saliva i-ATP and plaque t-ATP did not find a statistically significant difference in using one test over the other (MS, p = .629; LB, p = .737). The findings of this study can educate dental clinicians that diagnostic tests, such as the 2-step saliva i-ATP method, can be found to be statistically significant but not ideal for patient use in terms of diagnostic predictability.Entities:
Keywords: bacterial; caries; dentistry; diagnostic; teeth
Year: 2017 PMID: 29744207 PMCID: PMC5839252 DOI: 10.1002/cre2.95
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Clin Exp Dent Res ISSN: 2057-4347
Figure 1Relative value units (RLUs) of luminescence from each subject's samples were plotted against the corresponding Streptococcus mutans and Streptococcus sobrinus (MS) and lactobacillus (LB) bacterial ordinal scale levels that were determined through the CRT clinical‐based culture method. (a) Plaque t‐ATP RLU versus MS levels. (b) Plaque t‐ATP RLU versus LB levels. (c) Saliva i‐ATP RLU versus MS levels. (d) Saliva i‐ATP RLU versus LB levels. 95% confidence intervals of the means are shown. ATP = adenosine triphosphate
Figure 2Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves of plaque t‐ATP and saliva i‐ATP methods versus MS (left) and LB (right). ROC curves are created by plotting the sensitivity to the false positive rate (100‐specificity) at each relative light unit threshold value. Using the 0–2 to indicate low levels and 3–4 indicating higher levels of bacteria. The diagonal line across the ROC curve graphs represents a random 50%/50% test (a null hypothesis area of 0.5). LB = lactobacillus; MS = Streptococcus mutans and Streptococcus sobrinus
The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator curve analysis (CRT value ≥3) using the full range of cutoff relative light unit (RLU) values of the salivary intercellular ATP (saliva i‐ATP) and plaque total ATP (plaque t‐ATP)
| AUC |
| Sen | Sp | RLU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS | |||||
| Saliva i‐ATP | 0.823 | <.0001 | 60.7 | 100.0 | >875 |
| Plaque t‐ATP | 0.774 | .0018 | 78.6 | 88.9 | >8,143 |
| LB | |||||
| Saliva i‐ATP | 0.745 | .0028 | 62.5 | 84.6 | >875 |
| Plaque t‐ATP | 0.707 | .029 | 79.2 | 69.2 | >8,143 |
Note. The optimal sensitivity (Sen) and specificity (Sp) combination determined by the maximum Youden index. ATP = adenosine triphosphate.
Applying sensitivity (Sen) and specificity (Sp) to theoretical populations of 1,000 patients
| 10% | 25% | 50% | 75% | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPV | NPV | PPV | NPV | PPV | NPV | PPV | NPV | |
| MS | ||||||||
| Saliva i‐ATP | [94.0, 100] | [94.3, 97.0] | [97.6, 100] | [86.1, 90.5] | [98.8, 100] | [68.3, 75.1] | [99.2, 100] |
|
| Plaque t‐ATP |
| [96.1, 98.4] | [64.5, 75.5] | [90.4, 94.4] | [84.2, 90.5] | [77.1, 83.8] | [93.7, 97.0] | [52.9, 63.1] |
| LB | ||||||||
| Saliva i‐ATP |
| [93.6, 96.7] | [51.4, 63.5] | [84.5, 89.5] | [75.9, 84.1] | [65.5, 72.9] | [89.8, 94.6] |
|
| Plaque t‐ATP |
| [95.1, 98.0] |
| [88.2, 93.1] | [68.0, 75.7] | [72.7, 80.7] | [85.9, 90.8] |
|
Note. Positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) are dependent on the prevalence of a condition. Potential values (10–75%) of the prevalence of a high CRT threshold value (≥3) within the theoretical population are used. The 95% confidence intervals of the PPV and NPV mean are calculated from Youden index's Sen and Sp at the potential prevalence values. Confidence intervals displayed in bold place the mean values as equal or less predictive than 50%. ATP = adenosine triphosphate.
Sample size estimation for a future study that examines salivary intercellular ATP and plaque total ATP assessment
| AUC saliva i‐ATP | AUC plaque t‐ATP | Type I error | Type II error | Expected ratio of samples (pos/neg) | Number of negative samples required | Number of positive sample required | Total number of samples required | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS | 0.823 | 0.774 | 0.05 | 0.2 | 2 | 394 | 788 | 1,182 |
Note. This estimation is based on comparing the area under an ROC curve (AUC) with a null hypothesis (0.5) value. The sample size takes into account the required significance level, power (0.80) of the test, and the AUC found in this study. ATP = adenosine triphosphate; ROC = receiver operating characteristic.
Figure 3Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves of plaque t‐ATP and saliva i‐ATP methods versus MS (left) and LB (right). ROC curves are created by plotting the sensitivity to the false positive rate (100‐specificity) at each relative light unit threshold value. Using the 0–3 to indicate low levels and 4 indicating highest levels of bacteria. The diagonal line across the ROC curve graphs represents a random 50%/50% test (a null hypothesis area of 0.5). LB = lactobacillus; MS = Streptococcus mutans and Streptococcus sobrinus