| Literature DB >> 29672827 |
Massimo Federico1, Monica Bellei1, Luigi Marcheselli1, Marc Schwartz2, Martina Manni1, Vittoria Tarantino1, Stefano Pileri3,4, Young-Hyeh Ko5, Maria E Cabrera6, Steven Horwitz7, Won S Kim8, Andrei Shustov9, Francine M Foss10, Arnon Nagler11, Kenneth Carson12, Lauren C Pinter-Brown13, Silvia Montoto14, Michele Spina15, Tatyana A Feldman16, Mary J Lechowicz17, Sonali M Smith18, Frederick Lansigan19, Raul Gabus20, Julie M Vose21, Ranjana H Advani22.
Abstract
Different models to investigate the prognosis of peripheral T cell lymphoma not otherwise specified (PTCL-NOS) have been developed by means of retrospective analyses. Here we report on a new model designed on data from the prospective T Cell Project. Twelve covariates collected by the T Cell Project were analysed and a new model (T cell score), based on four covariates (serum albumin, performance status, stage and absolute neutrophil count) that maintained their prognostic value in multiple Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was proposed. Among patients registered in the T Cell Project, 311 PTCL-NOS were retained for study. At a median follow-up of 46 months, the median overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) was 20 and 10 months, respectively. Three groups were identified at low risk (LR, 48 patients, 15%, score 0), intermediate risk (IR, 189 patients, 61%, score 1-2), and high risk (HiR, 74 patients, 24%, score 3-4), having a 3-year OS of 76% [95% confidence interval 61-88], 43% [35-51], and 11% [4-21], respectively (P < 0·001). Comparing the performance of the T cell score on OS to that of each of the previously developed models, it emerged that the new score had the best discriminant power. The new T cell score, based on clinical variables, identifies a group with very unfavourable outcomes.Entities:
Keywords: PTCL-NOS; clinical variables; prognostic index; risk factors; survival
Mesh:
Year: 2018 PMID: 29672827 PMCID: PMC6033106 DOI: 10.1111/bjh.15258
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Br J Haematol ISSN: 0007-1048 Impact factor: 6.998
Figure 1Flow chart of patients included in the analysis. ANC, absolute neutrophil count; ECOG‐PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; Hb, haemoglobin; LMR, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio; PTCL‐NOS, peripheral t‐ cell lymphoma, not otherwise specified; ULN, upper limit of normality; LDH, lactated dehydrogenase.
Baseline characteristics of the patients of the training sample (n = 311) including variables with possible impact on survival analysed
| Factor |
| % |
|---|---|---|
| Median age, years (range) | 63 (23–83) | |
| Age >60 years | 170 | 55 |
| Sex, male | 192 | 62 |
| Stage III–IV | 237 | 76 |
| B‐symptoms presence | 136 | 44 |
| Extra nodal sites >1 | 88 | 28 |
| ECOG PS >1 | 81 | 26 |
| LDH > ULN | 164 | 53 |
| Hb < 120 g/l | 122 | 39 |
| Albumin < 35 g/l | 118 | 38 |
| Platelet count < 150 × 109 cells/l | 65 | 21 |
| NLR > 6·5 | 64 | 21 |
| ANC > 6·5 × 109/l | 73 | 23 |
| LMR ≤ 2·1 | 129 | 41 |
ANC, absolute neutrophil count; ECOG‐PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; Hb, haemoglobin; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; LMR, lymphocyte to monocyte ratio; NLR, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio.
Figure 2Kaplan–Meier curves of overall survival and progression‐free survival (for all patients in the training sample (n = 311). 95% CI, 95%confidence interval; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression‐free survival.
Univariate and multivariate Cox PH regression in the training sample (n = 311)
| 5‐year OS [95 CI] | Univariate | Multivariate | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall ( | 32 [26–38] | ||||
| Factor | Status | HR [95 CI] | HR [95 CI] |
| |
| Stage | I–II | 52 [37–65] | 1·00 | 1·00 | |
| III–IV | 25 [18–33] | 2·16 [1·43–3·27] | 1·74 [1·14–2·65] | 0·010 | |
| ECOG PS | 0–1 | 38 [30–46] | 1·00 | 1·00 | |
| 2–4 | 15 [7–25] | 2·62 [1·91–3·61] | 2·12 [1·52–2·94] | <0·001 | |
| Albumin, g/l | ≥35 | 42 [34–52] | 1·00 | 1·00 | |
| <35 | 15 [8–24] | 2·66 [1·96–3·61] | 2·03 [1·47–2·81] | <0·001 | |
| ANC, ×109/l | ≤6·5 | 38 [30–45] | 1·00 | 1·00 | |
| >6·5 | 13 [5–26] | 2·05 [1·48–2·85] | 1·85 [1·33–2·58] | <0·001 | |
| NLR | ≤6·5 | 37 [30–45] | 1·00 | ||
| >6·5 | 13 [5–24] | 2·23 [1·60–3·12] | |||
| Age, years | ≤60 | 39 [30–48] | 1·00 | ||
| >60 | 26 [18–35] | 1·25 [0·92–1·70] | |||
| Sex | Female | 43 [31–54] | 1·00 | ||
| Male | 26 [19–34] | 1·54 [1·11–2·14] | |||
| B‐symptoms | No | 42 [33–51] | 1·00 | ||
| Yes | 18 [11–27] | 1·79 [1·32–2·43] | |||
| ENS, | 0–1 | 32 [24–40] | 1·00 | ||
| >1 | 31 [21–42] | 1·19 [0·86–1·65] | |||
| LDH | ≤ULN | 44 [34–54] | 1·00 | ||
| >ULN | 21 [14–29] | 1·99 [1·46–2·73] | |||
| Hb, g/l | ≥120 | 37 [28–45] | 1·00 | ||
| <120 | 26 [17–35] | 1·43 [1·06–1·95] | |||
| Platelet count, ×109/l | ≥150 | 34 [27–42] | 1·00 | ||
| <150 | 23 [12–36] | 1·54 [1·08–2·20] | |||
| LMR | >2·1 | 37 [28–46] | 1·00 | ||
| ≤2·1 | 25 [16–34] | 1·53 [1·13–2·08] |
Slope shrinkage 0·955 (overfitting 0·045). c‐Harrell 0·706 (corrected 0·700). Log‐likelihood test final model versus full model, P = 0·273. Final model included 310 cases: one subject removed because of an influential point on the coefficient vector. Slope shrinkage and corrected c‐Harrell over 250 bootstrap replicates. 95 CI, 95% confidence interval; Cox PH, cox proportional hazard regression, Efron method for ties; ECOG‐PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status; ENS, extranodal sites; Hb, hemoglobin; HR, hazard ratio; LDH, lactated dehydrogenase; LMR, lymphocyte monocyte ratio; NLR, neutrophil lymphocyte ratio; PS, performance status; ULN, upper limit of normality.
Final model estimated in sample of 310 patients, one excluded because it was an outlier. Median follow‐up 46 months (range 1–99 months).
Distribution of patients with PTCL‐NOS by risk score in the training sample (n = 311) and in the external validation sample (n = 98)
| Training sample | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk (score) |
| % | Events | 3‐year OS [95 CI] | HR [95 CI] |
|
| Low (0) | 48 | 15 | 12 | 76 [61–88] | 1·00 | |
| Intermediate (1–2) | 189 | 61 | 100 | 43 [35–51] | 3·08 [1·65–5·76] | <0·001 |
| High (3–4) | 74 | 24 | 58 | 11 [4–21] | 8·88 [4·62–17·1] | <0·001 |
| High | 2·88 [2·07–4·00] | <0·001 | ||||
|
c‐Harrell 0·674 | ||||||
| External validation sample | ||||||
| Low (0) | 18 | 18 | 5 | 69 [46–100] | 1·00 | |
| Intermediate (1–2) | 54 | 55 | 30 | 41 [29–57] | 2·27 [0·88–5·85] | 0·091 |
| High (3–4) | 26 | 27 | 17 | 31 [17–57] | 3·80 [1·40–10·3] | 0·009 |
|
c‐Harrell 0·631 | ||||||
95 CI, 95% confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; OS, overall survival; PTCL‐NOS, peripheral t‐ cell lymphoma, not otherwise specified.
Figure 3Kaplan–Meier curves of overall survival by risk groups identified by the model in the training sample (n = 311) (Panel A) and in the validation sample (n = 98) (Panel B). Interm., intermediate.